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Member Run Boards >> Environment >> Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1245027361 Message started by Grendel on Jun 15th, 2009 at 10:56am |
Title: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by Grendel on Jun 15th, 2009 at 10:56am
I just loved the title... ;D
Posted: October 20, 2008, 10:26 AM by Kelly McParland Lorne Gunter, Ful Comment In early September, I began noticing a string of news stories about scientists rejecting the orthodoxy on global warming. Actually, it was more like a string of guest columns and long letters to the editor since it is hard for skeptical scientists to get published in the cabal of climate journals now controlled by the Great Sanhedrin of the environmental movement. Still, the number of climate change skeptics is growing rapidly. Because a funny thing is happening to global temperatures -- they're going down, not up. On the same day (Sept. 5) that areas of southern Brazil were recording one of their latest winter snowfalls ever and entering what turned out to be their coldest September in a century, Brazilian meteorologist Eugenio Hackbart explained that extreme cold or snowfall events in his country have always been tied to "a negative PDO" or Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Positive PDOs -- El Ninos -- produce above-average temperatures in South America while negative ones -- La Ninas -- produce below average ones. Dr. Hackbart also pointed out that periods of solar inactivity known as "solar minimums" magnify cold spells on his continent. So, given that August was the first month since 1913 in which no sunspot activity was recorded -- none -- and during which solar winds were at a 50-year low, he was not surprised that Brazilians were suffering (for them) a brutal cold snap. "This is no coincidence," he said as he scoffed at the notion that manmade carbon emissions had more impact than the sun and oceans on global climate. Also in September, American Craig Loehle, a scientist who conducts computer modelling on global climate change, confirmed his earlier findings that the so-called Medieval Warm Period (MWP) of about 1,000 years ago did in fact exist and was even warmer than 20th-century temperatures. Prior to the past decade of climate hysteria and Kyoto hype, the MWP was a given in the scientific community. Several hundred studies of tree rings, lake and ocean floor sediment, ice cores and early written records of weather -- even harvest totals and censuses --confirmed that the period from 800 AD to 1300 AD was unusually warm, particularly in Northern Europe. But in order to prove the climate scaremongers' claim that 20th-century warming had been dangerous and unprecedented -- a result of human, not natural factors -- the MWP had to be made to disappear. So studies such as Michael Mann's "hockey stick," in which there is no MWP and global temperatures rise gradually until they jump up in the industrial age, have been adopted by the UN as proof that recent climate change necessitates a reordering of human economies and societies. Dr. Loehle's work helps end this deception. Don Easterbrook, a geologist at Western Washington University, says, "It's practically a slam dunk that we are in for about 30 years of global cooling," as the sun enters a particularly inactive phase. His examination of warming and cooling trends over the past four centuries shows an "almost exact correlation" between climate fluctuations and solar energy received on Earth, while showing almost "no correlation at all with CO2." An analytical chemist who works in spectroscopy and atmospheric sensing, Michael J. Myers of Hilton Head, S. C., declared, "Man-made global warming is junk science," explaining that worldwide manmade CO2 emission each year "equals about 0.0168% of the atmosphere's CO2 concentration ... This results in a 0.00064% increase in the absorption of the sun's radiation. This is an insignificantly small number." Other international scientists have called the manmade warming theory a "hoax," a "fraud" and simply "not credible." While not stooping to such name-calling, weather-satellite scientists David Douglass of the University of Rochester and John Christy of the University of Alabama at Huntsville nonetheless dealt the True Believers a devastating blow last month. For nearly 30 years, Professor Christy has been in charge of NASA's eight weather satellites that take more than 300,000 temperature readings daily around the globe. In a paper co-written with Dr. Douglass, he concludes that while manmade emissions may be having a slight impact, "variations in global temperatures since 1978 ... cannot be attributed to carbon dioxide." Moreover, while the chart below was not produced by Douglass and Christy, it was produced using their data and it clearly shows that in the past four years -- the period corresponding to reduced solar activity -- all of the rise in global temperatures since 1979 has disappeared. It may be that more global warming doubters are surfacing because there just isn't any global warming. |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by Grendel on Jun 15th, 2009 at 11:00am
Any minute now Muso of team Astroturf will ridicule name-call, deny, ignore and all those usual things he does because.... all the people mentioned and their arguments are irrelevant because they are NOT climate scientists.. ;D
Or are they? |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by muso on Jun 15th, 2009 at 12:10pm
That's so full of lies, half truths and contradictions that I don't know where to start.
The one by the good ol' boy Michael J. Myers of Hilton Head, S. C might be interesting to pull apart. When I have more time, I'll demonstrate the amazing slight of hand in that comment. You must admit, they do a good job in churning this stuff out. If I can show that a single part of that article is a tad on the nose, then the rest of it should be at least suspect of being extremely stinky. The ironic thing about your remarks about astroturfing is that this article is an example of astroturfing par excellence. - As for now, I have work to do. Some bastard government has brought in new legislation, which means I have to be bored out of my skull for 3 days in Brisbane going through a formal training course, which will take me just as long to RPL, so it's easier just to attend, bite my lip and not complain. >:( |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by Grendel on Jun 15th, 2009 at 3:05pm
Ta Daaaaaaaaaaaaa!
But you have to admit Muso it does have a great title. ;D |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by muso on Jun 15th, 2009 at 3:55pm
I'll tell you what. I'll post an explanation (OK a proof in your terminology) of how we know conclusively that increases in greenhouse gases result in accelerated warming, and you can try to find any mistakes, Grendel. (haven't I done that already? - oh that was the time you had to be somewh
How does that sound? I'll start on that next week. The title of the thread? Who cares? Everybody has seen the graphs, and they know that something is definitely on the nose about everything (well almost everything) you cut and paste here. Next time you're in the shopping Centre, just be careful to pick the right escalator. You seem to have a problem telling up from down. ;D |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by Grendel on Jun 15th, 2009 at 4:39pm
If greenhouse gasses release and increase 800 years after a warming period now would be that time and it would have no connection with recent manmade emissions.
How ya gonna explain that away? |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by Grendel on Jun 15th, 2009 at 4:49pm
You know... other people can read graphs.... ;D ;D ;D
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Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by muso on Jun 15th, 2009 at 6:25pm Grendel wrote on Jun 15th, 2009 at 4:39pm:
LOL Where did you find that little gem?? ;D Ahem there's a little thing called the Earth's carbon balance and the unique isotope ratios of carbon from fossil fuels. Grendel, if you read the most basic explanation of the Earth's carbon cycle, even one that's designed for schools, all should become immediately apparent. You're not waffling about the Medieval Warming again are you? ;D Maybe I should start a thread on that and put it to bed, just like the petition of 32,000 Grendel clones.... I mean pseudoscientists. I guess they would have a Bachelor of Pseudoscience. |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by Grendel on Jun 15th, 2009 at 6:28pm
Lots of scientists you don't recognise have cited that gem.
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Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by muso on Jun 15th, 2009 at 6:30pm Grendel wrote on Jun 15th, 2009 at 6:28pm:
If it goes Duck duck then it's a quack. Well something like that. It reminds me of the case of Quacks in the 19th century. Anti-quackery activists were accused of being part of a huge "conspiracy" to suppress "unconventional" and/or "natural" therapies, as well as those who promote them. It is alleged that this conspiracy is backed and funded by the pharmaceutical industry and the established medical care system - represented by the AMA, FDA, ADA, CDC, WHO, etc. - for the purpose of preserving their power and increasing their profits. Substitute IPCC for AMA etc, and it starts to sound like something quite familiar. Roll up, Roll up, come and get your snake oil. ;D |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by Grendel on Jun 15th, 2009 at 8:58pm
Nice try... typical... but not in the least convincing. :D
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Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by mozzaok on Jun 15th, 2009 at 10:19pm
Grendel, if you did not stalwartly refuse to even look at the refutations by real scientists, of this endless parade of misinformation, we may be able to make progress, but whilst you maintain the stance that any qualified climate scientist who agrees with global warming, and that is to all intent and purpose all of them, is a willing dupe of a secret cabal of evil grant enablers, then we will forever see you trotting out discredited misinformation as if you have discovered the holy grail of denialism.
You could engage with muso, who is far more knowledgeable than I, and go through the basics, step by step, and try and refute anything you feel is unjustified, but you refuse that offer. That is plain old recalcitrance, and once more you align yourself with the extremist position. Well you and the rest of the 2% sure can make a nuisance of yourselves for being such a numerically insignificant minority. |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by Grendel on Jun 16th, 2009 at 7:14am
Read stuff from both sides mozz... don't lie about me ok.
If you didn't ignore climate scientists who dissent from the AGW viewpoint we might make progress. ;D I have engaged with Muso... so far he proves to be a hypocrite and a liar. oh dear. I have no time for people who just like to name call and ridicule, whose main argument is shooting messengers and ignoring other points of view. I don't have an extremist position. In fact my position isn't fixed I have an open mind on the subject unlike yourself and Muso the Astroturfer. I am as yet unconvinced that manmade co2 emissions is the major climate driver. In fact Mozz NO ONE has proven that yet. A FACT you keep ignoring. Ahhh the truth is a powerful thing. |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by Grendel on Jun 16th, 2009 at 9:07am
Oh and BTW...
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Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by muso on Jun 16th, 2009 at 9:18am Grendel wrote on Jun 15th, 2009 at 8:58pm:
Strawman. There was no huge input of CO2 during the periods cited. The main driver then was fluctuations in Solar irradiance due to the Milankovich cycles. However, it's true that there is a lag in temperature response. That basically means that the worst is yet to come. |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by muso on Jun 16th, 2009 at 9:23am Grendel wrote on Jun 16th, 2009 at 9:07am:
They talked to him about Ocean temperatures! Why on earth would they do that? Typical reaction from the Department of Climate Change. I was totally underwhelmed by their ineptitude on my last visit to Canberra. One public servant did all the talking and the other nodded like one of these dogs in the back of a car. Now I hear that the one who did all the talking has got a job with industry, and we're left to deal with noddy. Re Fielding - It sounds like they're getting some facts together for a second meeting. ::) They should get Dr Karl Kruszelnicki to do the communicating. He's good at communicating with laymen without getting them confused. |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by Grendel on Jun 16th, 2009 at 11:02am
Oh yeah of course... the propaganda "machine" is what is important... not the FACTS.
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Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by Happy on Jun 16th, 2009 at 11:42am Besides reducing CO2 emission irrespectively of cooling / warming we just have to plant more plants, presumably trees as little plants like grasses do not produce more oxygen than CO2. Best would be plants that can accept brackish water, as we supposedly have severe deficiency of drinking water. While ago I read book about hot house (in cold climate during winter), that had to have CO2 producing device (fermenter) in order to provide plants with enough CO2 to grow, as hot house was not ventilated due to heat conservation. |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by muso on Jun 16th, 2009 at 11:43am Grendel wrote on Jun 16th, 2009 at 11:02am:
Nah - it's more like saying to a dog "Canine creature, I would be delighted if you will descend on to all four feet" generally "Down Fido!" works better. |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by muso on Jun 16th, 2009 at 11:46am Happy wrote on Jun 16th, 2009 at 11:42am:
Thanks for making an intelligent observation. It was getting like a desert in here. We need to get new crops that will adapt to changing climate - yes. |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by Happy on Jun 16th, 2009 at 12:00pm muso wrote on Jun 16th, 2009 at 11:46am:
Thanks for nice comment. Above all we should adopt our ways to “finite” everything. We have finite surface available. We have finite quantity of water (minus 7 m3 less every second lost to intergalactic space) We have finite resources, apparently we will even run out of mineral necessary to produce LCD screens in about 15 years or less. Pity that so vast resources have to be tied to military, that except for some discoveries are just lost effort to achieve nothing for the humanity. |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by Grendel on Jun 16th, 2009 at 12:18pm
As I've always said happy no matter what the outcome... our number one asset is our ability to adapt and no matter what the climate we need to be prepared for it and adapt accordingly.
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Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by freediver on Jun 16th, 2009 at 10:15pm
Crap Grendel. You post the same BS nearly every week. Every time you fail to post a graph of the actual temperature. That's because only a moron would look at the temperature trend and say it is going down. I thought you were now too embarassed to try the silly 'frost this morning, therefor no global warming' line. No such luck.
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Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by Grendel on Jun 16th, 2009 at 10:53pm
You being rude and lying about me fd. how unusual for you.
Muso already posted the graph I've been talking about. Go fetch! One thing you got right I don't confuse daily temps with yearly av temps. |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by freediver on Jun 19th, 2009 at 9:35pm
No thanks Grendel. Your unwillingness to provide the evidence is more than sufficient to demonstrate your intent. I don't need to post the graph to show that 'frost this morning, therefor no global warming' is a fool's argument.
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Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by Grendel on Jun 19th, 2009 at 9:40pm
yawn... still an excellent chap i see...
^--- Personal attacks will not be tolerated. Tell me if there are more. I might get around to fixing them this century. |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by Happy on Jun 20th, 2009 at 12:53pm
1709 was extremely cold year in Western Europe, coldest in 500 years or so.
Some wind measurements show that prevailing winds were from the west with only several days that wind was from the east(corrected error). Which is strange as usually cold snap is associated with wind from Siberia. It started in early January then there was few days thaw and it came back with even lower temperatures to let go some time in April. It is quoted that up to 1 million people perished directly due to cold temperatures and later because of starvation and disease. Until now it is not known exactly what the cause was. Due to limited observations we might never know for sure, but it shows that freakish phenomenon all of the sudden can cause quite devastation. |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by skippy on Jun 20th, 2009 at 2:59pm
What we do know happy is that Fielding attended a conference sponsored by the fossil fuel industry and then came home sprouting that industries propaganda.
Only a fool would buy this, I see there a plenty about tho. |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by Grendel on Jun 20th, 2009 at 3:49pm Quote:
Quote:
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Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by Grendel on Jun 20th, 2009 at 3:59pm
The questions posed by Fielding to Wong and her "specialist" were:
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Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by mozzaok on Jun 20th, 2009 at 4:09pm
I agree wit Mr Hunt, that people should be encouraged to express their views openly, but my issue with Senator Fielding's approach was the dishonest way he presented himself as being open minded and that he was not an already avowed GW skeptic.
He should have been upfront about his stance, and said, I am a skeptic, I am impressed by denialist arguments, now see if you can change my mind. We have got to the unforunate position where the denialists have been so successful with their campaigns of promoting confusion, and their dissemination of misinformation, that we are now seeing an equally unreliable group who are promoting Global Warming alarmism using similiar techniques. That we even need to see PR firms brought in, to push the Global Warming side of the debate, shows how successful the denialist have become, and does not inspire confidence that they will do anything but undermine the credibility that real scientists have struggled to maintain throughout this whole messy saga. If a projected warming range is stated as being 4 to 11 degrees Fahrenheit, then the PR folks will focus on the upper limit as if it is a given, when it is a worst case scenario, then they will leave out the Fahrenheit bit, and let people assume it is Celsius, and that type of deceptive ommission, to promote alarmism will just reinforce the denialists in their belief that the whole argument is wildly exaggerated. I know it was the denialists whose successes inspired this kind of response, but it is not a worthy excuse to justify allowing PR bullartists to further confuse an issue already way too muddied with hype and hyperbole. |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by skippy on Jun 20th, 2009 at 4:11pm
So the fossil fuel industry also have scientists on the payroll, no surprises there, anybody trying to prove a point will employ people who LOOK LIKE they know what they're talking about to try and convince simple people like Fielding and those in agreement with him.
The oil industry has been doing it for years, what I'm surprised about are the dips hits who buy it. |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by Grendel on Jun 21st, 2009 at 11:48am
ROTFLMAO
I already explained this. Quote:
The AGW camp equate scepticism with denial. if you are a sceptic you are a denialist. This is what Fielding is saying he is not. The fact you people abuse the terminology is what the problem is. Quote:
Quote:
Fielding is wrong... he is skeptical... he is uncertain... he is questioning in order to acquire greater knowledge and certainty. But using your definition and bias... he is right... he is not a denialist. |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by pjb05 on Jun 21st, 2009 at 12:09pm wrote on Jun 20th, 2009 at 4:11pm:
Not much of an argument. There is a huge vested interest in promoting AGW. The holy grail of researchers is to get funding. Most of this comes from governments and it's 'problems' that attract funding. |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by skippy on Jun 21st, 2009 at 2:20pm pjb05 wrote on Jun 21st, 2009 at 12:09pm:
I think you'll find the fossil fuel industry are the ones who have a huge vested interest in maintaining the status quo. Last time I checked 98% of transport used fossil fuels.As well as electricity supplies ect ect. |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by mozzaok on Jun 21st, 2009 at 3:27pm Grendel wrote on Jun 21st, 2009 at 11:48am:
Quote:
Fielding is wrong... he is skeptical... he is uncertain... he is questioning in order to acquire greater knowledge and certainty. But using your definition and bias... he is right... he is not a denialist.[/quote] Unfortunately Fielding does not agree with you, in his thirty second sound byte, going into the meeting, he claimed two or three times, that "I am not a skeptic" I do not believe him |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by Grendel on Jun 21st, 2009 at 6:32pm
I'm sorry... you still seem to be having comprehension difficulties...
Or did you just ignore what I actually wrote... as usual? |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by muso on Jun 23rd, 2009 at 3:53pm
I'm back. I'll take a look at this twaddle that Fielding has been quoting tomorrow maybe. Richard Lindzen and Willie Soon - yeah that would be right. What kind of 'Climate Confusionalists' are they anyway? Answer - the best money can buy.
Richard Lindzen has also long been a spokesman for tobacco companies. He's a professional skeptic in the "Smoking is good for your health" brigade. I wonder how he sleeps at night. ...............Come to the dark side. |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by muso on Jun 23rd, 2009 at 3:57pm pjb05 wrote on Jun 21st, 2009 at 12:09pm:
There is a far greater vested interest in slowing down action on alternative energy, and I think you know that. Most of the driving force is small business these days. Big Oil and Big Coal don't seem to do too much of that nowadays - at least not publically. |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by pjb05 on Jun 23rd, 2009 at 3:58pm muso wrote on Jun 23rd, 2009 at 3:53pm:
Don't you make a living out of AGW Muso? |
Title: Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof Post by muso on Jun 24th, 2009 at 9:10am pjb05 wrote on Jun 23rd, 2009 at 3:58pm:
Nope. I work for the big bad chemical industry. If anything, I should be muddying the waters. In industry we need a clear idea of the future, so that we can adapt. Are there any Douglas Adams fans still around? I liken the 'confusionalist' view to his 'Joo Janta 200 Super Chromatic Peril-Sensitive Sunglasses'. At the first hint of trouble they turn totally black and thus prevent you from seeing anything that might alarm you. Most of the confusionalists don't really want to know the truth (many of them know the truth already). They just want to muddy the waters as much as possible. That's why I have coined the term 'confusionalist', because it reflects their true agenda. |
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