Quote:

Queensland's new premier would lose his Brisbane seat if an election was held now, a new poll suggests. The ReachTel poll - conducted just four months after Campbell Newman seized the state's top job - shows he would lose if voters were asked again. The automated phone poll of 661 Ashgrove residents on Monday night showed his primary vote has fallen by nine percentage points since March, when he and the Liberal National Party (LNP) stormed to victory. It put Labor marginally ahead in the two-party preferred race, on the back of an improved primary vote and Green preferences. The poll had the LNP on 42.8 per cent of the primary vote, nine points lower than at the March election. Labor's support was up 4.5 per cent to 41.1 per cent, while increases were also recorded for the Greens and Katter's Australian Party. But the result should be treated with caution. The error margin for the poll means each figure could be up to 3.7 percentage points higher or lower. Based on preference flows from the March poll, the LNP had 48.5 per cent of the two-party-preferred vote in Ashgrove. That's down 7.2 per cent since the election, when Mr Newman ousted Labor incumbent Kate Jones. Labor was ahead on 51.5 per cent. The result comes amid anger over Mr Newman's decision to shed thousands of public sector jobs. But the poll shows Ashgrove voters are evenly divided on the issue, with 45.3 per cent supporting it, 46 per cent against and 8.6 per cent undecided. On Mr Newman's performance as premier, 47.7 per cent said he was doing a poor or very poor job, and 42.3 per cent said he was doing a good or very good job.

http://bigpondnews.com/articles/Politics/2012/08/07/Newman_would_lose_his_seat_-_new_poll_780691.html

I bet Queenslanders feel like real idiots after putting this moron in charge of their state.
Theres a lot of new LNP MP's in Queensland who'll be looking for new jobs after the next election..Newman is looking like a one hit wonder

It is always entertaining to watch the mathematically challenged discussing a poll. it is like watching playschool. An 'automated poll'? seriously, you want to take that as gospel? Thosr methods always have a very very high margin of error and when added to to automatic mid-term swing against a govt of 3% ends up becoming almost no swing at all.

All we need now is for Greens_wins to come on and claim that polls show the Greens will win the next election.

Newman has gone too far, he's going to have to pull his head in and change his stance on quite a few of the cutbacks if he wants any chance of getting re elected.

No NDIS

No Breastscreen mobile unit

Whilst throwing money at the racing fraternity.

The people of Qld let Bligh know, in no uncertain terms, when she crossed them and they'll do the same with Newman.

Why can't we have a moderate? Is that too much to ask?

Queenslanders bet on a nobody with no policies and no idea and they lost their shirts.

gold_medal wrote on Aug 7^th, 2012 at 5:07pm:

It is always entertaining to watch the mathematically challenged discussing a poll. it is like watching playschool. An 'automated poll'? seriously, you want to take that as gospel? Thosr methods always have a very very high margin of error and when added to to automatic mid-term swing against a govt of 3% ends up becoming almost no swing at all. All we need now is for Greens_wins to come on and claim that polls show the Greens will win the next election.

It's always entertaining to watch longweekend  jump in both feet first and be wrong once again.
Trying to pass your opinion of as fact again?
Why don't you give up you always get caught out.
Automated polling is as accurate as IVR polling this is a fact not my opinion. If you bothered to do some research before you open your mouth you might actually learn something.

Automatic midterm swing?  FFS   How can it be a midterm swing when he's only just got the job?

adelcrow wrote on Aug 7^th, 2012 at 3:58pm:

I bet Queenslanders feel like real idiots after putting this moron in charge of their state.

This was MORE than evident in audience reactions on this week's Q and A



The executive producer of ABC's Q&A program has denied there are issues with the show's audience vetting process after federal senator George Brandis was repeatedly jeered by a Brisbane crowd dominated by Coalition voters.

Broadcast live from New Farm's Brisbane Powerhouse last night, the current affairs question-and-answer panel show included federal Trade Minister Craig Emerson (ALP), Senator George Brandis (LNP), and Katter's Australian Party leader Bob Katter, the member for Kennedy, as well as singer-songwriter Katie Noonan.


The bit of noise was a reflection of the passion that people are feeling about politics in Queensland at the moment

The program's live studio audience was, as always, selected by producers on the basis of federal political voting intentions, with last night's audience comprising 43 per cent Coalition voters, 28 per cent ALP and 15 per cent Green voters.


http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/entertainment/tv-and-radio/brandis-qa-boos-a-reflection-of-queensland-passion-20120807-23rsj.html#ixzz22qiBpvg9

The voters fell for the hate and fear campaign so now they have to live with the guilt of ruining their state.
The question is..will they fall for it again Federally?

adelcrow wrote on Aug 7^th, 2012 at 7:11pm:

The voters fell for the hate and fear campaign so now they have to live with the guilt of ruining their state. The question is..will they fall for it again Federally?

An ALP traditional voter here.  Bligh and the ALP in Qld State Politics had run their race.  Arrogant, tired, no vision, and going backwards.  No surprise that they were shown the door, and I voted to out them.

Having said that, this Can't is the best thing going in Queensland for the ALP Federally.

Gillard and the Federal ALP do not deserve to lose if you look at any barometer of national or even international performance.

Go you Can't!!

:)

Aussie wrote on Aug 7^th, 2012 at 7:16pm:

adelcrow wrote on Aug 7th, 2012 at 7:11pm: The voters fell for the hate and fear campaign so now they have to live with the guilt of ruining their state. The question is..will they fall for it again Federally? Gillard and the Federal ALP do not deserve to lose if you look at any barometer of national or even international performance.

And there lies the GREATEST MYSTERY





buzzanddidj wrote on May 23^rd, 2012 at 1:46pm:

AUSTRALIA - you're STILL "the TOP" ! May 23, 2012 The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) says the Australian economy is expected to grow at a faster rate than most other advanced economies in 2012 and 2013. It predicts that Australia's economy will grow at 3.1 per cent in 2012 and 3.7 per cent in 2013, and welcomes the Federal Government's commitment to delivering a budget surplus. But the organisation warns that the crisis in the eurozone poses the single largest risk to the global economy. The organisation has endorsed the Government's plan to boost its cash reserves while the economy is strong and demand for resource exports is still high, and says lowering interest rates will help offset any negative impact of budget tightening. In the budget handed down earlier this month, the Federal Government forecast growth of about 3.25 per cent slowing to 3 per cent. Federal Treasurer Wayne Swan says the report confirms yet again that Australia is the stand-out performer on the global stage. "It's consistent with the fact that we have got solid growth, long unemployment, contained inflation, strong public finances and a record pipeline of business investment in resources," he said. "I think it is good news. I mean, Australia has a triple-A credit rating from the three major credit rating agencies" Global implications The report warns that a failure to act immediately could lead to a worsening European crisis with serious global consequences. In November, the OECD warned if the eurozone did not tackle its debt crisis, there could be a deep recession with global implications. Six months on, the organisation says these immediate dangers have receded somewhat, but have not disappeared. The OECD predicts the eurozone's economy will shrink by 0.1 per cent this year. By contrast, the US economy will expand by 2.4 per cent. The OECD also expects eurozone unemployment to stay high, at 10.8 per cent this year. http://au.news.yahoo.com/nsw/latest/a/-/article/13756178/oecd-issues-stark-eurozone-warning/ Aussies better off than ever May 02, 2012 MANY families may be struggling to make ends meet but a new report says we are much better off than in previous decades. The latest AMP.NATSEM Income and Wealth Report shows Australian household income is outpacing the cost of living over the longer term, with disposable incomes increasing 20 per cent over the last 27 years. It says the average family is better off by $224 per week in real terms. But the report points out that since 1984 the cost of living has skyrocketed with everyday essentials such as electricity (up 253 per cent), petrol (208 per cent) and public transport costs (287 per cent) all soaring. But those rises have been partially offset by dramatic drops in audio visual and computing, which now cost one tenth what they did in 1984, while average prices for clothing, footwear and major household appliances have changed little, and are often lower today than 27 years ago. AMP Financial Services managing director Craig Meller said the report shows households today are more focused on lifestyles and aspirations than they were in the 80s. "Many Australians are leading busier lives and facing greater demands on their time, which means we're now paying for things we may not have previously, such as childcare, gardening and housekeeping," Mr Meller said. "We've also seen a noticeable shift in spending habits with people spending more on education, holidays and eating out. "Essentially we seem to be leading bigger lifestyles, all of which can add to perceived cost of living pressures" The report says incomes have outpaced the cost of living across the board since 1984 and couples with children have seen their income grow by 37 per cent, single parent incomes have grown 34 per cent, and working families 22 per cent. Expenses for secondary students have grown by 264 per cent, mostly attributed to higher private school fees. Maintaining good health has not come cheap either - medical, dental and insurance costs have increased at even greater rates, jumping 560 per cent, 356 per cent and 346 per cent respectively. And if think petrol prices are outrageous, think again because we are amongst the lowest in the developed world. Only Canada, the United States and Mexico have cheaper petrol prices. Australia's average unleaded petrol price of around $1.40 per litre is significantly cheaper than most European countries where petrol can cost more than $2 per litre. Unsurprisingly, Sydney is the most expensive city in Australia, and Adelaide is the cheapest. http://www.news.com.au/business/aussies-better-off-than-ever/story-fn7mjon9-1226344212903#ixzz1vezS5AxT Not that you'd KNOW just how WELL we're faring - listening to all the depressing, ungrateful "what about me" DOOMSAYERS that haunt these such forums

i
If the WORLD can recognise - and praise the Australian Government's management of the GFC - why can't AUSTRALIANS ?

scope wrote on Aug 7^th, 2012 at 7:01pm:

gold_medal wrote on Aug 7th, 2012 at 5:07pm: It is always entertaining to watch the mathematically challenged discussing a poll. it is like watching playschool. An 'automated poll'? seriously, you want to take that as gospel? Thosr methods always have a very very high margin of error and when added to to automatic mid-term swing against a govt of 3% ends up becoming almost no swing at all. All we need now is for Greens_wins to come on and claim that polls show the Greens will win the next election. It's always entertaining to watch longweekend  jump in both feet first and be wrong once again. Trying to pass your opinion of as fact again? Why don't you give up you always get caught out. Automated polling is as accurate as IVR polling this is a fact not my opinion. If you bothered to do some research before you open your mouth you might actually learn something. Automatic midterm swing?  FFS   How can it be a midterm swing when he's only just got the job?

first get an eduction in statistics and then a crash course in political history. you seen incredibly deficient in both - especially in QLD politics which is notably diferrent from other states.

buzzanddidj wrote on Aug 7^th, 2012 at 8:17pm:

Aussie wrote on Aug 7th, 2012 at 7:16pm: adelcrow wrote on Aug 7th, 2012 at 7:11pm: The voters fell for the hate and fear campaign so now they have to live with the guilt of ruining their state. The question is..will they fall for it again Federally? Gillard and the Federal ALP do not deserve to lose if you look at any barometer of national or even international performance. And there lies the GREATEST MYSTERY buzzanddidj wrote on May 23rd, 2012 at 1:46pm: AUSTRALIA - you're STILL "the TOP" ! May 23, 2012 The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) says the Australian economy is expected to grow at a faster rate than most other advanced economies in 2012 and 2013. It predicts that Australia's economy will grow at 3.1 per cent in 2012 and 3.7 per cent in 2013, and welcomes the Federal Government's commitment to delivering a budget surplus. But the organisation warns that the crisis in the eurozone poses the single largest risk to the global economy. The organisation has endorsed the Government's plan to boost its cash reserves while the economy is strong and demand for resource exports is still high, and says lowering interest rates will help offset any negative impact of budget tightening. In the budget handed down earlier this month, the Federal Government forecast growth of about 3.25 per cent slowing to 3 per cent. Federal Treasurer Wayne Swan says the report confirms yet again that Australia is the stand-out performer on the global stage. "It's consistent with the fact that we have got solid growth, long unemployment, contained inflation, strong public finances and a record pipeline of business investment in resources," he said. "I think it is good news. I mean, Australia has a triple-A credit rating from the three major credit rating agencies" Global implications The report warns that a failure to act immediately could lead to a worsening European crisis with serious global consequences. In November, the OECD warned if the eurozone did not tackle its debt crisis, there could be a deep recession with global implications. Six months on, the organisation says these immediate dangers have receded somewhat, but have not disappeared. The OECD predicts the eurozone's economy will shrink by 0.1 per cent this year. By contrast, the US economy will expand by 2.4 per cent. The OECD also expects eurozone unemployment to stay high, at 10.8 per cent this year. http://au.news.yahoo.com/nsw/latest/a/-/article/13756178/oecd-issues-stark-eurozone-warning/ Aussies better off than ever May 02, 2012 MANY families may be struggling to make ends meet but a new report says we are much better off than in previous decades. The latest AMP.NATSEM Income and Wealth Report shows Australian household income is outpacing the cost of living over the longer term, with disposable incomes increasing 20 per cent over the last 27 years. It says the average family is better off by $224 per week in real terms. But the report points out that since 1984 the cost of living has skyrocketed with everyday essentials such as electricity (up 253 per cent), petrol (208 per cent) and public transport costs (287 per cent) all soaring. But those rises have been partially offset by dramatic drops in audio visual and computing, which now cost one tenth what they did in 1984, while average prices for clothing, footwear and major household appliances have changed little, and are often lower today than 27 years ago. AMP Financial Services managing director Craig Meller said the report shows households today are more focused on lifestyles and aspirations than they were in the 80s. "Many Australians are leading busier lives and facing greater demands on their time, which means we're now paying for things we may not have previously, such as childcare, gardening and housekeeping," Mr Meller said. "We've also seen a noticeable shift in spending habits with people spending more on education, holidays and eating out. "Essentially we seem to be leading bigger lifestyles, all of which can add to perceived cost of living pressures" The report says incomes have outpaced the cost of living across the board since 1984 and couples with children have seen their income grow by 37 per cent, single parent incomes have grown 34 per cent, and working families 22 per cent. Expenses for secondary students have grown by 264 per cent, mostly attributed to higher private school fees. Maintaining good health has not come cheap either - medical, dental and insurance costs have increased at even greater rates, jumping 560 per cent, 356 per cent and 346 per cent respectively. And if think petrol prices are outrageous, think again because we are amongst the lowest in the developed world. Only Canada, the United States and Mexico have cheaper petrol prices. Australia's average unleaded petrol price of around $1.40 per litre is significantly cheaper than most European countries where petrol can cost more than $2 per litre. Unsurprisingly, Sydney is the most expensive city in Australia, and Adelaide is the cheapest. http://www.news.com.au/business/aussies-better-off-than-ever/story-fn7mjon9-1226344212903#ixzz1vezS5AxT Not that you'd KNOW just how WELL we're faring - listening to all the depressing, ungrateful "what about me" DOOMSAYERS that haunt these such forums i If the WORLD can recognise - and praise the Australian Government's management of the GFC - why can't AUSTRALIANS ?

because unlike these economic cesspools, we had the worlds best economy in 2007 by a significantly bigger margin than we currently do. Your simplistic view of this is just as cimpliostic as these so-called economists from a collection of failed countries whose collective failure is the result of these same economists.

gold_medal wrote on Aug 7^th, 2012 at 11:53pm:

scope wrote on Aug 7th, 2012 at 7:01pm: gold_medal wrote on Aug 7th, 2012 at 5:07pm: It is always entertaining to watch the mathematically challenged discussing a poll. it is like watching playschool. An 'automated poll'? seriously, you want to take that as gospel? Thosr methods always have a very very high margin of error and when added to to automatic mid-term swing against a govt of 3% ends up becoming almost no swing at all. All we need now is for Greens_wins to come on and claim that polls show the Greens will win the next election. It's always entertaining to watch longweekend  jump in both feet first and be wrong once again. Trying to pass your opinion of as fact again? Why don't you give up you always get caught out. Automated polling is as accurate as IVR polling this is a fact not my opinion. If you bothered to do some research before you open your mouth you might actually learn something. Automatic midterm swing?  FFS   How can it be a midterm swing when he's only just got the job? first get an eduction in statistics and then a crash course in political history. you seen incredibly deficient in both - especially in QLD politics which is notably diferrent from other states.

And once again you fail, you do not address your continued use of your own opinion claiming them to be facts.
So typical of you, but that's just what we have come to expect from you.You can change your name but you can't change your arrogant attitude.
When proved wrong you resort to name calling and abuse.
How about you address your claims that automatic polling has always had a very very high margin of error.
My bet is you wont.

So Laborites believe this 1 single poll about Newman but do not believe polls in the last 18 months that says Federal Labor will lose the election?

Maqqa wrote on Aug 8^th, 2012 at 8:12am:

So Laborites believe this 1 single poll about Newman but do not believe polls in the last 18 months that says Federal Labor will lose the election?

It's called selective reasoning - they only see/hear what they want to see/hear.

Maqqa wrote on Aug 8^th, 2012 at 8:12am:

So Laborites believe this 1 single poll about Newman but do not believe polls in the last 18 months that says Federal Labor will lose the election?

no one is predicting the next election based on this poll  ... they are just discussing the current polls and the sharp turn around... whereas you take todays polls to mean an election result in 18 months time .....we'll leave the crystal ball reading to you