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General Discussion >> Federal Politics >> Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1370572106 Message started by matty on Jun 7th, 2013 at 12:28pm |
Title: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by matty on Jun 7th, 2013 at 12:28pm
Can anyone else see this? This is just a sneaking suspicion of mine. I just can't se that many MPs so willingly fall off the sinking ship with Gillard at the helm. Labor is stupid, but they can be very cunning, and I get the feeling that it will change leaders, but not until late July or early august, ie a few weeks before the writs are called.
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Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by FriYAY on Jun 7th, 2013 at 12:32pm
Well he is Geelong ATM looking like he's the PM.
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Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by greggerypeccary on Jun 7th, 2013 at 12:54pm matty wrote on Jun 7th, 2013 at 12:28pm:
Agreed. I'm with Amanda Vanstone on this one. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by Greens_Win on Jun 7th, 2013 at 1:00pm
Change leader and go for a snap election ... does labor have the guts to throw the conservatives a curve ball.
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Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by greggerypeccary on Jun 7th, 2013 at 1:04pm ____ wrote on Jun 7th, 2013 at 1:00pm:
Yep. I've never believed the 14th September date. Rudd in August is my tip. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by Grendel on Jun 7th, 2013 at 1:16pm Quote:
Who cares. They've had 2 goes and failed miserably each time. No more chances they are bereft of talent they should bugger off into the political abyss. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by iceyone on Jun 7th, 2013 at 1:41pm Grendel wrote on Jun 7th, 2013 at 1:16pm:
I care - I don't like Fanta Pants or Speedo boy - anyone but those 2 - PLEASE! The ALP has lost their way under their current head (she isn't a leader) and while a change might help, they'll probably lose anyway. Still - the thought of speedo boy as p.m makes me shudder. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by alevine on Jun 7th, 2013 at 2:45pm
matty, will you take the helm if asked?
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Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by Grendel on Jun 7th, 2013 at 4:38pm Fit of Absent Mindeness wrote on Jun 7th, 2013 at 1:41pm:
nice completely immature comment from someone I'm hoping isn't old enough to vote. You don't get to choose or vote for the PM their party and their electorates do. apparently the ALp had lost its way and Gillard was going to fix that... well as we can all see... she's really fixed it. And before the same old stalkers and cheersquad have a mindless go at me again. let me just remind you that I liked Gillard and thought she was a great deputy. To say this Julia and the others since have been a disappointment is a gross understatement. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by adelcrow on Jun 7th, 2013 at 5:12pm matty wrote on Jun 7th, 2013 at 12:28pm:
They would be stupid to copy the Libs under Howard and hang on to a lame duck PM while they are staring at a comprehensive defeat. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by skippy. on Jun 7th, 2013 at 5:19pm adelcrow wrote on Jun 7th, 2013 at 5:12pm:
Unfortunately I think they are stupid. Abbott is the worst possible candidate for PM this country has ever seen, and Labor are to blame for giving us the women bashing thug. I have no problem with a Liberal government, my problem is with the fvckwit they have as leader that will be our PM. The fact the likes of Grendel don't think Abbott is an extremist says it all. ::) |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by matty on Jun 7th, 2013 at 5:25pm adelcrow wrote on Jun 7th, 2013 at 5:12pm:
The Libs were never winning that election, no matter who was leader. The plan was to minimise the damage as much as possible, which was in the end done quite well, still retaining 65 seats, and in position to almost take it in 2010. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by matty on Jun 7th, 2013 at 5:26pm skippy. wrote on Jun 7th, 2013 at 5:19pm:
He isn't an extremist, and he isn't a women basher. You just make stuff up, and seem to think that all righties are extremists. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by Grendel on Jun 7th, 2013 at 5:29pm skippy. wrote on Jun 7th, 2013 at 5:19pm:
Please provide the quote thanks Skippy... I'm sure everyone here is aware of you being extremist. I'm pretty sure being; a Rhodes scholar, a lifesaver, a member of the local Bushfire brigade, a sports nut and the founder of pollie pedal makes him some sort of extremist. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by greggerypeccary on Jun 7th, 2013 at 5:32pm skippy. wrote on Jun 7th, 2013 at 5:19pm:
Yes. I'd have to agree with that. I don't particularly mind seeing the Libs get another go, but I object wholeheartedly to having Abbott as our country's Prime Minister. Still, he isn't there yet ... |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by skippy. on Jun 7th, 2013 at 5:33pm matty wrote on Jun 7th, 2013 at 5:26pm:
Abbott is both. When are you going to challenge him Matty? We have already had the Matty for PM t shirts printed up. The fact you left the GREENS, just up the road from KFC in Top Ryde, to join the Libs for its animal companion/ lover policy makes you the perfect PM ,Matty. Don't you listen to fri yay trying to play soggy biscuits with you Matty, we know your love of animals over rides any wish to play soggy biscuits with fri yay. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by matty on Jun 7th, 2013 at 5:34pm Grendel wrote on Jun 7th, 2013 at 5:29pm:
He also helped a blind man run a marathon. What an inspiration, what a legend! |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by matty on Jun 7th, 2013 at 5:35pm skippy. wrote on Jun 7th, 2013 at 5:33pm:
Where is your proof? You also know that I wasn't in the Greens. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by skippy. on Jun 7th, 2013 at 5:38pm matty wrote on Jun 7th, 2013 at 5:35pm:
But you told us you were a member of the GREENS Matty, did you lie? We can't have that on your T shirts Matty. Ignore Grendal Matty, his love of animals is not what it seems. He just doesn't love his dog like you do,wink wink. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by adelcrow on Jun 7th, 2013 at 5:50pm skippy. wrote on Jun 7th, 2013 at 5:38pm:
Only Jewlair lies...Matty would never lie :D |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by longweekend58 on Jun 7th, 2013 at 6:52pm Grendel wrote on Jun 7th, 2013 at 5:29pm:
and by contrast Gilllard is.... a politician and nothing else. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by Datalife on Jun 7th, 2013 at 8:46pm
You know what is going to be interesting? If Labor loses the Red Barren has vowed to stay in Parliament. I don't believe for a second she will do that, but that is what she is saying.
So a possibility of the Labor leadership contested between Gillard who has union backing and Dudd who has popularity and might be electable? Or maybe she just wants to hang around and white ant him for vengeance. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by Rider on Jun 7th, 2013 at 8:53pm longweekend58 wrote on Jun 7th, 2013 at 6:52pm:
don't forget Julia does a lot of free legal work....oh, but only if you are a union scumbag and if you are screwing him....so that rules most of us out ;D ;D |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by Dnarever on Jun 7th, 2013 at 9:49pm matty wrote on Jun 7th, 2013 at 5:25pm:
Do you wake in the middle of the night and write down your dreams? |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by Dnarever on Jun 7th, 2013 at 9:54pm Grendel wrote on Jun 7th, 2013 at 5:29pm:
None of that shows anything but his lifelong political history tells a consistent tale showing someone who consistently supported the most extreme option year after year decade after decade. Of course a few years of mentoring with a minder to approve every word and a historical re write fixes all the actual fact. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by Dnarever on Jun 7th, 2013 at 9:55pm
Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour?
Both Labor and the Libs should. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by ian on Jun 7th, 2013 at 10:01pm
No. Labour will be wiped out, Rudd is waiting in the wings until after the election.
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Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by longweekend58 on Jun 7th, 2013 at 11:44pm Dnarever wrote on Jun 7th, 2013 at 9:54pm:
so being a volunteer and surf lifesaver and fitness nut is evidence of being extreme right-wing??? You are drinking from the same well as adelcrow and the same idiocy is flowing out. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by Dnarever on Jun 8th, 2013 at 12:03am longweekend58 wrote on Jun 7th, 2013 at 11:44pm:
That conservative comprehension problem raises its ugly head again. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by Andrei.Hicks on Jun 8th, 2013 at 12:14am
Would you care to tell us what comments or actions of Tony Abbott in his time as Opposition Leader cause him to be cast as "Extreme Right Wing" then DNA?
I have to be honest and say I don't find him to be extreme at all. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by Dnarever on Jun 8th, 2013 at 1:38am Andrei.Hicks wrote on Jun 8th, 2013 at 12:14am:
Mr Fraser, who served as prime minister from 1975-83, reportedly has quit the Liberal Party over long-standing differences with its direction. "Mr Fraser's resignation is highlighting some of the extreme policies that Mr Abbott and his opposition have been drawn to http://www.afr.com/p/national/fraser_quit_because_abbott_too_extreme_rK9cyxr2hkiJodM6thTX9J Past Lib PM's say he is extreme ??? Some quotes. Writing for The Australian in October 2008, he claimed that paid parental leave – like abortion – was part of a "radical women's agenda" championed by extreme feminists in the Labor movement Tony Abbott said “I won’t be rushing out to get my daughters vaccinated, maybe that’s because I’m a cruel, callow, callous, heartless bastard but, look, I won’t be“ Tony Abbott quotes – Maternity Leave, over his Government’s dead body Tony Abbott says Fr Nestor a priest struck off by the Vatican was “He was … a beacon of humanity at seminary,” as he vouched for the priests character before a court. Father John Gerard Nestor, a priest from the Wollongong area in NSW was charged with the indecent assault. Tony Abbott gave a glowing character reference. Lance Corporal Jared MacKinney was shot dead in a battle with Taliban in Afghanistan. A war the Liberal party sent Australian military personnel into. Talking about the death of MacKinney, Tony Abbott said “poo happens”. I think it would be folly to expect that women will ever dominate or even approach equal representation in a large number of areas simply because their aptitudes, abilities and interests are different for physiological reasons’ ‘Climate change is absolute crap’ / ‘If you want to put a price on carbon why not just do it with a simple tax.’ The government's emissions trading scheme is the perfect political response to the public's fears. It's a plausible means to limit carbon emissions that doesn't impose any obvious costs on voters.... ...Whyalla will be wiped off the map by Julia Gillard’s carbon tax I say to Julia Gillard, what have you got against the people of Gladstone? Why are you trying to close down Gladstone with your mining tax and your carbon tax? We did take an ETS as our policy to the last election. We are prepared to have an ETS, So we are taking this issue seriously and we would like to see an ETS which excludes agriculture, which protects Australian jobs, which doesn't damage export industries, which is at least as... The argument [behind climate change] is absolute crap. However, the politics of this are tough for us. Abortion is the easy way out. It’s hardly surprising that people should choose the most convenient exit from awkward situations. There may not be a great job for [aboriginal people] but whatever there is, they just have to do it |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by adelcrow on Jun 8th, 2013 at 8:11am
Six months into an Abbott govt when we are sinking deeper into recession, the Aussie dollar has collapsed causing an inflation bubble and petrol prices spike above record levels. He is at war with unions over basic pay and conditions and unemployment is fast approaching double figures I wonder how long he will keep his job as leader of the Libs... ;D
Im kinda looking forward to saying "I told you so" to the right wing nut jobs who vote this hardline nutbag into power" ;D |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by RightSadFred on Jun 8th, 2013 at 8:51am
matty
Common sense would say no but given how many MP's are well off the reservation I can't recall a party is such massive panic as this lot nor can I recall a political party at any level being this politically stupid. If they change leaders it will be out of spite as I can't see any plus side to the idea. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by rodya on Jun 8th, 2013 at 8:57pm
It's still a definite possibility, if the ALP caucus has the guts to draft him into the leadership. Rudd still seems vindictive and as wily as ever. Why is a backbencher declaring to help out in the marginal seats? He could be in Beijing. If it was any other ex-PM they would be drafting an auto-biography by now...
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Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by Datalife on Jun 8th, 2013 at 9:11pm atticus wrote on Jun 8th, 2013 at 8:57pm:
Why take it though? Easier and better politically to see Gillard lead the party over the cliff. Plus he doesn't need to negotiate with people who are likely not to be there after the election. So far in elections he is one for one, Gillard has none and looks set to lose one for a negative 2. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by rodya on Jun 8th, 2013 at 9:40pm Datalife wrote on Jun 8th, 2013 at 9:11pm:
Fair point, at least then in his own mind he could still go down in his auto-bio as Whitlam-esque. Tragically knocked from the throne, and a dignified Labor reformist. But some part of me thinks his disgust with a catastrophic defeat would be enough reason to step back up to the plate (provided he is drafted by the caucus). The real question is, do you think they have the courage to do that? As Ferguson, Creane, etc. did. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by RightSadFred on Jun 9th, 2013 at 8:08am atticus wrote on Jun 8th, 2013 at 8:57pm:
rodya ALP have guts ? They could respect democracy and stick it up the unions that own them. The very fact the knifed a leader that was in a winnable position as opposed to Gillard who never looked like winning and has damaged brand ALP beyond repair in the short term ? |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by Grendel on Jun 9th, 2013 at 1:39pm
Comrade Fraser is more Left than Whitlam these days, why would the Liberal Party even care?
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Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by longweekend58 on Jun 9th, 2013 at 1:41pm Grendel wrote on Jun 9th, 2013 at 1:39pm:
ex-PMs are a pain at best. Fraser is one of the worst. At least Hawke shuts up. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by longweekend58 on Jun 9th, 2013 at 1:48pm
Ironically, Rudd kinda makes sense at the moment. Not that I think his ego would permit it but given that the election is well and truly lost and labor looks like losing 35-40 seats the Ruddster actually makes sense now. There is only a few months left and while Gillard is still losing support, Rudd could halve the margin overnight to 15-20 seats which is HUGE in terms of the future.
A labor party that loses by such a relatively small margin can plan to rebuild a genuine assault on the government benches in 1-2 terms. A labor party that loses by the current expected margin will take 1-2 terms to even get enough members to form an opposition, nevermind a government. Rudd gets to return to the Lodge, labor loses by far less and the opposition leader can be whoever. Of course, Rudd wont go for it since his ego would not be fed by such a suicidal and self-less mission. And Gillard of course would never go willingly but would rather destroy the ALP for a generation rather than resign. and that is why there will not be a federal labor government for 15 years - because there might not be a functional labor PARTY for at least 10 years. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by rodya on Jun 9th, 2013 at 9:15pm Grendel wrote on Jun 9th, 2013 at 1:39pm:
No as he puts it- 'everyone around him has moved over to the right'. He does have a bone to pick after quitting the Liberal Party in 2010. Look at his character assassination of Abbott a couple of years back. |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by Chimp_Logic on Jun 9th, 2013 at 9:26pm
If the Polls don't start moving towards Julia soon, the Labour party will certainly play a last roll of the dice shifty closer to the election
THe Liberals will keep with Abbott as long as he is in front in the Polls against the lagging Julia. If Labour shifts to Rudd or someone else, it will be at the 11th hour to catch the Libs wondering whether to ditch Abbott and go for a Turnbull type At this stage, Labour cannot win - and will most likely be slaughtered at the polls (they didn't exactly have a big majority in the first place - in fact they didn't get a majority at all and needed the independents and greens to form office) |
Title: Re: Will Labor change leaders at the eleventh hour? Post by skippy. on Jun 9th, 2013 at 9:42pm
:)
Chimp_Logic wrote on Jun 9th, 2013 at 9:26pm:
MMMMMM, I see how you came by your name. Does your logic also tell you the Libs would have needed to do a deal with independents to form government also? Does it also tell you Abbott was a total failure at the negotiating procedure? he was still in his UNI days mindset of offering his ass as some sort of reward. |
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