Results just announced on 7 news:


Quote:

Ashgrove voters appear ready to vote Campbell Newman out of office, with a new poll showing the Queensland premier trailing his Labor opponent just four days before the election. The ReachTEL poll commissioned by Seven News showed Newman had 46% of the two-party-preferred vote in his inner-west Brisbane seat, a drop of one point since a previous poll on 13 January. Labor’s former Queensland environment minister, Kate Jones, who is following a low-key campaign strategy, had improved her two-party vote by one point to 54%. The results are likely to trigger a fresh round of speculation about who would become premier if Newman lost his seat of Ashgrove and the LNP won Saturday’s state-wide election. The poll of 861 Ashgrove voters on Tuesday evening also confirmed significant discontent with Newman’s governing style.

http://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2015/jan/28/campbell-newman-on-brink-of-defeat-in-ashgrove-queensland-poll-shows

Obvious disclaimer about the small sample size.

I'll be interested to see if the other polls back this up.

In any case - just 3 days out, and the lead has only increased for labor. What would such uncertainty about the premier's own seat be having on the electorate overall? This could be an interesting game-changer in the state-wide result.

Thoughts?

one could be excused for thinking Abbott tried to sabotage Newman with his knighthood of Phillip  just days before the election

;D ;D ;D ;D

polite_gandalf wrote on Jan 28^th, 2015 at 6:20pm:

I'll be interested to see if the other polls back this up.

every poll for the last 6 months, if not longer, has shown Newman would lose his seat

This is fantastic news.

No really ... it's FANTASTIC news.

John Smith wrote on Jan 28^th, 2015 at 6:24pm:

polite_gandalf wrote on Jan 28th, 2015 at 6:20pm: I'll be interested to see if the other polls back this up. every poll for the last 6 months, if not longer, has shown Newman would lose his seat

True, but if memory serves, in 2012 the polls were saying Newman couldn't win Ashgrove right up until the very end. I wouldn't be surprised at all if we saw a significant narrowing in the Friday polls.

well dur...

when they made him their political leader the only seat that they could find him was a "marginal" seat..

it was always going to be hard for him to keep his seat in the 2015 election especially when he's had to make some hard decisions to get QLD back on track...

it was a stupid decision by the LNP to put him in that seat...

or was it? ;) ;)

polite_gandalf wrote on Jan 28^th, 2015 at 6:20pm:

Results just announced on 7 news: Quote: Ashgrove voters appear ready to vote Campbell Newman out of office, with a new poll showing the Queensland premier trailing his Labor opponent just four days before the election. The ReachTEL poll commissioned by Seven News showed Newman had 46% of the two-party-preferred vote in his inner-west Brisbane seat, a drop of one point since a previous poll on 13 January. Labor’s former Queensland environment minister, Kate Jones, who is following a low-key campaign strategy, had improved her two-party vote by one point to 54%. The results are likely to trigger a fresh round of speculation about who would become premier if Newman lost his seat of Ashgrove and the LNP won Saturday’s state-wide election. The poll of 861 Ashgrove voters on Tuesday evening also confirmed significant discontent with Newman’s governing style. http://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2015/jan/28/campbell-newman-on-brink-of-defeat-in-ashgrove-queensland-poll-shows Obvious disclaimer about the small sample size. I'll be interested to see if the other polls back this up. In any case - just 3 days out, and the lead has only increased for labor. What would such uncertainty about the premier's own seat be having on the electorate overall? This could be an interesting game-changer in the state-wide result. Thoughts?

Labor or Liberal - it's all the same rubbish leadership to me.