28 June         Trump    Clinton
Penn              42         46
Ohio               40         44

June 29
Nth Carolina    40         42
Florida            42          46

July 2
Ohio                48         49
Penn                48         50
Florida              49         49

July 11
Florida              47         42
          

I believe about now is when the story really starts and these states are where it really starts and finishes..

Three Quinnipiac polls (usually reliable):
July 13
                       Trump        Clinton
Penn                 43              41
Ohio                 41               41
Florida               42               39

July 15

Florida    Trump/Clinton  37/44

July 17

Virginia   Trump/Clinton  39/39

Many of the simple minded will vote for whoever they believe will win. Hillary will get a lot of votes from the Dead and Non-existent as well as the old yellow dog democrats who don't know the Party they grew up with has been replaced by socialism. On the other side of the issue is that many who have chosen not to vote for Democrat Lite Candidates in the last two elections will vote this year!

bugger me. how could it come down to this, 2 of the most pathetic candidates for the US presidency ever in history.  :-Whats going on over there Mort? something in the water?

rhino wrote on Jul 20^th, 2016 at 11:38pm:

bugger me. how could it come down to this, 2 of the most pathetic candidates for the US presidency ever in history.  :-Whats going on over there Mort? something in the water?

The one political party with two faces really has it's panties in a knot over him so he can't be that bad.

Texuun philosophy for you ladies and gentlemen

Idiot goes to the desert during the hottest time of the year! Go away my little piggy!

Whatever it took to get away from you vile Texuuns.


You know I often wondered why Texuuns don't go out in the heat of the sun. Then it hit me: it's because their so friggin fat all that grease flowing in their Texuun arteries would boil and they would explode.


Gross.

I spent last week in the Branson/Springfield Missouri area where it is cooler than here. Not in the blazing hot desert like a fool! I'm waiting until next February to take a cruise to the Bahamas, we already have our tickets.

Golly! ::)

The system is simple, you go to the hot places during spring break and the cold places in the summer months. Don't bother to thank me, it is just a service I am glad to help you with.

No morty torty you go on vacation when you are allowed to.

Try not to be mistaken for shark bait in those Bermuda waters. Then again, seeing you are Texuun, you might be considered a food hazard for them.

You chased Pokémon all the way to Arizona, didn't you?

21 July

Ohio  Trump/Clinton   44/44

(& this isn't swing state but it is a surprise
New Hampshire  Trump/Clinton  37/39 )

There are a number of polls which include the two minor candidates but I am ignoring these, even though from a casual glance Trump's standing increases.

Left-wing filmmaker Michael Moore, who rarely has anything positive to say about Republicans, predicted Wednesday that Donald Trump would win the presidency.

“I’m sorry I have to kind of be the buzz kill here so early on, but I think Trump is going to win,” Mr. Moore said on a special edition of “Real Time with Bill Maher.”

Mr. Moore said the Republican National Convention speeches blasting Democrat Hillary Clinton may have sounded “crazy to us, but to millions and millions of Americans, this was music to their ears.”


“One of the things I’ve been concerned about this week is that we’re all sitting [in] what as you refer to as the bubble, we’ve been sitting in our bubble having a good laugh at what you call this total sh— show, but the truth is this plays to a lot of people he has to win to become the next president,” Mr. Moore told Mr. Maher.

A Michigan native, Mr. Moore pointed out that more people voted Republican in this year’s Michigan primary than Democrat.
“That should be disturbing to everyone,” said Mr. Moore, a liberal provocateur and director of documentary-style films such as “Roger and Me” and “Fahrenheit 9/11.”

He said there could be a “Brexit” by four large manufacturing states — Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — that would give Mr. Trump the 64 electoral votes that Republican Mitt Romney lost by in 2012.

rhino wrote on Jul 20^th, 2016 at 11:38pm:

bugger me. how could it come down to this, 2 of the most pathetic candidates for the US presidency ever in history.  :-Whats going on over there Mort? something in the water?

having watched Trumps speech its the gun lobby that are backing him they have more power than congress ..

they went mad when he said.. every American has the right to bare arms....and murder murder murder...

and he worries about little things like terrorists....he has a mountain of home grown ones.

http://i.imgur.com/Q1fjsoR.png

Latest electoral map

Politico:

Donald Trump spent much of his acceptance speech Thursday night in Cleveland arguing that Clinton and President Barack Obama have made the country less safe. Leading into that speech, a majority of Ohio voters agreed.

A Suffolk University poll conducted over the first three nights of the convention had Trump and Clinton tied on the ballot test at 44 percent.

But the poll also showed 55 percent of likely voters in Ohio felt less safe living in the country over the past 5 to 10 years — and a 60-percent majority of them are voting for Trump, compared to just 27 percent for Clinton.

And among the nearly quarter of likely voters who said terrorism and national security were the most important issues facing the next president, Trump leads by a similar margin: 61 percent to 26 percent.

July 22

Michigan   Trump/Clinton   34/40

(But this is a poll from Mitchell Research? not one of the mainstream pollsters, and it looks dodgy to me )

Michael Moore, whom I once admired strange to say, has added some more comment in the last 24 hours or so following the Dems VP pick.

He believes that the Sanders millenials & others are going to stay home even more so now, which of course is as good as a vote for Trump.

July 25

Nevada   Trump/Clinton  43/38

Ohio.   Trump/Clint. 45/45

Tuesday in Philadelphia at the Democratic National Convention in an interview with Politico, former Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell (D-PA) said Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump’s message on trade was “resonating with white blue collar workers” in his home state, which according to him Pennsylvania was “in play.”

Rendell said, “I warn Democrats Donald Trump is giving a message that is resonating with white blue collar workers who worked in factory who worked on construction crews. We would be naive if we didn’t understand that exists So this state is in play.”

July 28   
Penn       Trump/Clinton  41/50

July 26

Missouri   Trump/Clinton  47/37
Kansas                           44/27

bogarde73 wrote on Aug 1^st, 2016 at 10:21am:

July 28    Penn       Trump/Clinton  41/50 July 26 Missouri   Trump/Clinton  47/37 Kansas                           44/27

You shouldn't bother looking at these polls - the methodology is constantly being changed to engineer a lead for Hilary, thereby encouraging sheep to follow their chosen herd.

There was no excitement for the candidate to begin with, a string of scandals, a nightmare of a convention which was empty apart from paid seat warmers and protesters, amid evidence of vote-rigging which has lost her over half of bernies votes, and her lead somehow increases?

It's all lies bogey.  You're half-way unplugged, don't go back in.

No No. There are many pollsters out there who delivered pretty accurately during the primaries.
I'm already ignoring Reuters/Ipsos.

bogarde73 wrote on Aug 1^st, 2016 at 10:36am:

No No. There are many pollsters out there who delivered pretty accurately during the primaries. I'm already ignoring Reuters/Ipsos.

So you're aware of reuters "reformulating" their polls, but what are your sources for the polling numbers you posted?

... wrote on Aug 1^st, 2016 at 10:44am:

bogarde73 wrote on Aug 1st, 2016 at 10:36am: No No. There are many pollsters out there who delivered pretty accurately during the primaries. I'm already ignoring Reuters/Ipsos. So you're aware of reuters "reformulating" their polls, but what are your sources for the polling numbers you posted?

You can see them all on RealClear Polls - Rasmussen, Suffolk, Gravis etc etc

1/8
Penn   T/C.  45/49

2/8
Nevada. T/C  40/41
Oklahoma     53/29

3/8
Nth Carol. T/C. 46/42