Australian Politics Forum
http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl
Member Run Boards >> Coronavirus >> Doherty Institute Predicts marathon.
http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1629783460

Message started by aquascoot on Aug 24th, 2021 at 3:37pm

Title: Doherty Institute Predicts marathon.
Post by aquascoot on Aug 24th, 2021 at 3:37pm
yes, we have some challenging times ahead of us.

delta will have to be confronted before we can kick back and rejoin the rest of the world

In an average year of influenza, we would roughly have 600 deaths and 200,000 cases in Australia. Any death is a tragedy, but our health system can cope with this. In the COVID-19 modelling, opening up at 70% vaccine coverage of the adult population with partial public health measures, we predict 385,983 symptomatic cases and 1,457 deaths over six months.

Title: Re: Doherty Institute Predicts marathon.
Post by Carl D on Aug 25th, 2021 at 5:09pm
Not as big a 'marathon' as the one I saw predicted in yesterday's West Australian.

25,000 - 29,000 deaths at 80% would be a disaster of epic proportions.

How many at 70%? 50,000? 100,000? More? :o
20210825_145941.jpg (83 KB | 7 )

Title: Re: Doherty Institute Predicts marathon.
Post by aquascoot on Aug 25th, 2021 at 5:18pm

Carl D wrote on Aug 25th, 2021 at 5:09pm:
Not as big a 'marathon' as the one I saw predicted in yesterday's West Australian.

25,000 - 29,000 deaths at 80% would be a disaster of epic proportions.

How many at 70%? 50,000? 100,000? More? :o



wow

thats double sweden!!!

and they are having 1 death a week now and kicking back with a beer.

should have learnt personal responsibility and ran the marathon before it mutated to deadly delta.

when you hide from a threat, it gets stronger and you get weaker

Title: Re: Doherty Institute Predicts marathon.
Post by buzzanddidj on Aug 25th, 2021 at 5:30pm

Carl D wrote on Aug 25th, 2021 at 5:09pm:
Not as big a 'marathon' as the one I saw predicted in yesterday's West Australian.

25,000 - 29,000 deaths at 80% would be a disaster of epic proportions.

How many at 70%? 50,000? 100,000? More? :o



It certainly puts any death allegedly connected to the so called "pink batts" scheme in perspective

Doesn't it ?






Title: Re: Doherty Institute Predicts marathon.
Post by Carl D on Aug 25th, 2021 at 5:38pm

aquascoot wrote on Aug 25th, 2021 at 5:18pm:
thats double sweden!!!

and they are having 1 death a week now and kicking back with a beer.


Ah, Sweden again.

A year and a half after Sweden decided not to lock down, its COVID-19 death rate is up to 10 times higher than its neighbors

Aria Bendix
Aug. 21, 2021, 11:55 AM



Quote:
Sweden decided not to implement a full-scale lockdown during the pandemic.
It now has up to 10 times as many COVID-19 deaths per capita as its Nordic neighbors.
Sweden also didn’t fare much better economically, suggesting its gamble didn’t pay off.



Quote:
Sweden has recorded more COVID-19 cases per capita than most countries so far: Since the start of the pandemic, roughly 11 out of every 100 people in Sweden have been diagnosed with COVID-19, compared with 9.4 out of every 100 in the UK and 7.4 per 100 in Italy. Sweden has also recorded around 145 COVID-19 deaths for every 100,000 people – around three times more than Denmark, eight times more than Finland, and nearly 10 times more than Norway.



Quote:
If a denser, more populous country like Italy were to adopt Sweden’s strategy, they wrote, it would “likely result in a massacre.”


Do you still believe they did the right thing, aqua?

Title: Re: Doherty Institute Predicts marathon.
Post by aquascoot on Aug 25th, 2021 at 5:40pm

Carl D wrote on Aug 25th, 2021 at 5:38pm:

aquascoot wrote on Aug 25th, 2021 at 5:18pm:
thats double sweden!!!

and they are having 1 death a week now and kicking back with a beer.


Ah, Sweden again.

A year and a half after Sweden decided not to lock down, its COVID-19 death rate is up to 10 times higher than its neighbors

Aria Bendix
Aug. 21, 2021, 11:55 AM



Quote:
Sweden decided not to implement a full-scale lockdown during the pandemic.
It now has up to 10 times as many COVID-19 deaths per capita as its Nordic neighbors.
Sweden also didn’t fare much better economically, suggesting its gamble didn’t pay off.


[quote]Sweden has recorded more COVID-19 cases per capita than most countries so far: Since the start of the pandemic, roughly 11 out of every 100 people in Sweden have been diagnosed with COVID-19, compared with 9.4 out of every 100 in the UK and 7.4 per 100 in Italy. Sweden has also recorded around 145 COVID-19 deaths for every 100,000 people – around three times more than Denmark, eight times more than Finland, and nearly 10 times more than Norway.



Quote:
If a denser, more populous country like Italy were to adopt Sweden’s strategy, they wrote, it would “likely result in a massacre.”


Do you still believe they did the right thing, aqua?[/quote]


definitely

huge admiration.

and their dethas per head of population were lower then france, italy , uk, spain.

inspirational people

Title: Re: Doherty Institute Predicts marathon.
Post by Karnal on Aug 25th, 2021 at 6:11pm

aquascoot wrote on Aug 25th, 2021 at 5:18pm:

Carl D wrote on Aug 25th, 2021 at 5:09pm:
Not as big a 'marathon' as the one I saw predicted in yesterday's West Australian.

25,000 - 29,000 deaths at 80% would be a disaster of epic proportions.

How many at 70%? 50,000? 100,000? More? :o



wow

thats double sweden!!!

and they are having 1 death a week now and kicking back with a beer.

should have learnt personal responsibility and ran the marathon before it mutated to deadly delta.

when you hide from a threat, it gets stronger and you get weaker


Exactly. The government has given everybody the chance to take out a gym membership and buy Zuby's book on creating their best body yet.

Seniors and the disabled have had a good year to get to work. If they cant get their acts together by now, Scomo needs to dish out some strong advice.

Forget Sweden, Scomo should be following the example of India.

Read your Paretto, leftards.

images_-_2021-08-25T181055_592.jpeg (8 KB | 13 )

Title: Re: Doherty Institute Predicts marathon.
Post by Sir lastnail on Aug 25th, 2021 at 6:55pm

Carl D wrote on Aug 25th, 2021 at 5:09pm:
Not as big a 'marathon' as the one I saw predicted in yesterday's West Australian.

25,000 - 29,000 deaths at 80% would be a disaster of epic proportions.

How many at 70%? 50,000? 100,000? More? :o


so what happened to herd immunity at 80% vaxed ?? The vax doesn't provide immunity like a vaccine is supposed to :(





Title: Re: Doherty Institute Predicts marathon.
Post by SadKangaroo on Aug 26th, 2021 at 7:47am

aquascoot wrote on Aug 25th, 2021 at 5:40pm:

Carl D wrote on Aug 25th, 2021 at 5:38pm:

aquascoot wrote on Aug 25th, 2021 at 5:18pm:
thats double sweden!!!

and they are having 1 death a week now and kicking back with a beer.


Ah, Sweden again.

A year and a half after Sweden decided not to lock down, its COVID-19 death rate is up to 10 times higher than its neighbors

Aria Bendix
Aug. 21, 2021, 11:55 AM



Quote:
Sweden decided not to implement a full-scale lockdown during the pandemic.
It now has up to 10 times as many COVID-19 deaths per capita as its Nordic neighbors.
Sweden also didn’t fare much better economically, suggesting its gamble didn’t pay off.


[quote]Sweden has recorded more COVID-19 cases per capita than most countries so far: Since the start of the pandemic, roughly 11 out of every 100 people in Sweden have been diagnosed with COVID-19, compared with 9.4 out of every 100 in the UK and 7.4 per 100 in Italy. Sweden has also recorded around 145 COVID-19 deaths for every 100,000 people – around three times more than Denmark, eight times more than Finland, and nearly 10 times more than Norway.


[quote]If a denser, more populous country like Italy were to adopt Sweden’s strategy, they wrote, it would “likely result in a massacre.”


Do you still believe they did the right thing, aqua?[/quote]


definitely

huge admiration.

and their dethas per head of population were lower then france, italy , uk, spain.

inspirational people [/quote]

Do you care that their Government and Monarchy say they got it wrong?

Or are you happy with your conclusion shopping reinforcing your beliefs no matter how dubious or wrong it is?

Title: Re: Doherty Institute Predicts marathon.
Post by greggerypeccary on Aug 26th, 2021 at 8:34am

aquascoot wrote on Aug 24th, 2021 at 3:37pm:
yes, we have some challenging times ahead of us.

delta will have to be confronted before we can kick back and rejoin the rest of the world

In an average year of influenza, we would roughly have 600 deaths and 200,000 cases in Australia. Any death is a tragedy, but our health system can cope with this.


Really?

My mother was rushed to hospital yesterday in an ambulance and spent 4 and a half hours laying on a gurney in a corridor before anybody even realised she was there.

At another Perth hospital, at the same time, a friend's daughter waited 8 hours to receive attention and when a doctor finally saw her he told her to go home as they were too busy.

And we don't have COVID here at the moment.

Imagine what it will be like once Delta starts her WA tour.







Title: Re: Doherty Institute Predicts marathon.
Post by Carl D on Aug 26th, 2021 at 9:25am

aquascoot wrote on Aug 24th, 2021 at 3:37pm:
but our health system can cope with this.


NSW hospitals warning: nurses and staff ‘flat out’ and ‘exhausted’ as Covid numbers soar

Reports of live transplants cancelled indefinitely at some hospitals due to staffing shortages


Quote:
The nurses union has rubbished New South Wales health minister Brad Hazzard’s claims that Sydney’s hospitals are coping with the city’s Covid outbreak, warning multiple facilities are under “enormous pressure” and have “very little capacity” in their emergency departments.

NSW set a new daily record on Wednesday with 919 local Covid cases. There were 645 Covid patients in hospital, with 113 people in intensive care, but transmission and exposure at multiple hospitals has sidelined significant numbers of health staff due to isolation requirements.

Despite assurances from Hazzard that hospitals in Sydney were “coping”, Guardian Australia has been contacted by people who had kidney transplants and heart angioplasties booked in at public hospitals, but had their operations cancelled and not rescheduled due to staffing shortages and Covid exposure within the hospital system.


So, aqua, what happens when in addition to being understaffed, the doctors, nurses and staff the hospitals do have at the moment are suddenly unable to work due to catching Covid as we've seen happen in other parts of the world?

Hope your mother and your friend's daughter are doing OK, Greg. I have to take my 91 year old aunt to her GP after lunch today for her second Covid vaccination, I'm relieved that she is able to get it before a major Delta outbreak happens here. Fingers crossed I'll be able to get my second one on September 13th before it happens.

Title: Re: Doherty Institute Predicts marathon.
Post by Carl D on Aug 26th, 2021 at 9:34am

Sir lastnail wrote on Aug 25th, 2021 at 6:55pm:
so what happened to herd immunity at 80% vaxed ?? The vax doesn't provide immunity like a vaccine is supposed to :(


Herd immunity likely to be ‘made harder’ by variants

06 Jul 2021


Quote:
Research carried out at James Cook University in Queensland suggests around 85% of Australia’s population will need to be vaccinated for herd immunity to occur.


In the meantime, the #1 reason we need to get vaccinated is to avoid serious illness or death and to prevent Australia's hospitals from being overwhelmed like NSW's is getting close to being.

Of course, the antivaxxer 'brigade' are also making the above 'goals' difficult to achieve as quickly as possible.

Title: Re: Doherty Institute Predicts marathon.
Post by Karnal on Aug 26th, 2021 at 10:52am

greggerypeccary wrote on Aug 26th, 2021 at 8:34am:

aquascoot wrote on Aug 24th, 2021 at 3:37pm:
yes, we have some challenging times ahead of us.

delta will have to be confronted before we can kick back and rejoin the rest of the world

In an average year of influenza, we would roughly have 600 deaths and 200,000 cases in Australia. Any death is a tragedy, but our health system can cope with this.


Really?

My mother was rushed to hospital yesterday in an ambulance and spent 4 and a half hours laying on a gurney in a corridor before anybody even realised she was there.

At another Perth hospital, at the same time, a friend's daughter waited 8 hours to receive attention and when a doctor finally saw her he told her to go home as they were too busy.

And we don't have COVID here at the moment.

Imagine what it will be like once Delta starts her WA tour.


Excuse I, Greggery, your mother has had a good year to put Zuby's advice into practice. If she refuses to take personal responsibility, that's her fault.

Reprehensible.

Australian Politics Forum » Powered by YaBB 2.5.2!
YaBB Forum Software © 2000-2025. All Rights Reserved.