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Member Run Boards >> Cats and Critters >> Poor lees http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1700972962 Message started by Jovial Monk on Nov 26th, 2023 at 2:29pm |
Title: Poor lees Post by Jovial Monk on Nov 26th, 2023 at 2:29pm
Posted a couple articles, one from WUWT and a crazy exercise in regression of temperature data. You can always find a lot of correlations and other relationships but does not mean they are real!
Poor lees just does not have the education to winnow good papers from bad, sense from nonsense and his fear always makes him select papers that seem to say what he wants them to say. Meanwhile, the globe keeps warming. |
Title: Re: Poor lees Post by Jovial Monk on Nov 29th, 2023 at 5:30am
lees continues searching for papers that say AGW is not real. Most of the papers seem to be ones Judith Curry mentions.
There is one on Halstatt/Bray cycles said to control climate. Just more statistical bullshit. Solar variation does not vary much on a millennial scale. Over geologic time—over half a billion years the sun has brightened by 6%. You know it is but statistical buggerery—no mechanism is suggested. The Milankovitch Cycle has to do with the orbit of the earth around the sun, the inclination of the axis of rotation of the planet and precession of the equinoxes. The Milankovotch Cycle has a mechanism that drives it. Halstatt/Bray cycles do not. You start looking at a set of data and you can find a lot of statistically significant correlations. That just happens by chance: 1 in 20 tests will give a false positive at the 5% confidence rate. Not just my opinion: Quote:
https://climatefactchecks.org/post-falsely-claim-that-solar-cycles-are-causing-climate-change/ |
Title: Re: Poor lees Post by Jovial Monk on Nov 29th, 2023 at 2:53pm
LOL sometimes lees really fancies he gets this science stuff. But he doesn’t really.
Did the lunatic ever buy a copy of “Statistics for Dummies?” Because it would help him, a bit. |
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