Australian Politics Forum
http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl
General Discussion >> America >> 2024 like 2016 when big win by Hillary predicted
http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1728098296

Message started by Laugh till you cry on Oct 5th, 2024 at 1:18pm

Title: 2024 like 2016 when big win by Hillary predicted
Post by Laugh till you cry on Oct 5th, 2024 at 1:18pm
The pundits were wrong in 2016 despite the Russia collusion allegations and the sex allegations.

The US public actually fears tighter control of their lives by big government than they do external influence on US politics.

That is why Hillary lost in 2016.

Chat GPT:


Quote:
Nate Silver and his website FiveThirtyEight did not predict a Donald Trump victory in the 2016 U.S. presidential election, but they were among the more cautious forecasters, giving Trump a better chance than many other outlets.

What Nate Silver Predicted:
In the final forecast before Election Day, FiveThirtyEight gave Hillary Clinton a 71% chance of winning and Donald Trump a 29% chance.

Other major models, like The New York Times Upshot, gave Clinton a higher chance of winning (around 85%-90%).

Silver's Caution:
Silver emphasized the uncertainty of the race and warned that Trump still had a meaningful




Australian Politics Forum » Powered by YaBB 2.5.2!
YaBB Forum Software © 2000-2024. All Rights Reserved.