ex-member DonaldTrump wrote on Mar 20
th, 2007 at 12:46am:
He betrayed Bob Hawke and led Australia to an economic crisis. And yes, he wanted Australia to be part of Asia and change Australia's cultural climate.
Australia was heading for economic crisis regardless, the idea that Keating had anything to do with it is a well debunked myth: it was a combination of an over-stretched economy (thanks to Fraser and Whitlam policies of controlling interest rates) and global recession. Hawke and Keating with bi-partisan support set us up for the long growth period we have enjoyed since the beginning of Keatings leadership. Yes growth has been more or less ongoing for over 15 years now, not the 11 years of Howard.
But don't take my word for it, take the word of the former governor of the reserve bank, the eminent conservative economist Ian Macfarlane (Costello appointee):
At the end of the 1980s expansion, the Australian economy was over-stretched on a number of ways. By the second half of 1989, GDP was rising by over 5% and domestic demand by 8%. The strongest components of spending were imports, which were rising by 29% and commercial construction, at 22%. At the same time, inflation was 7-1/2%. More importantly, the corporate sector was heavily geared, and yet its borrowing was still rising at 17% per annum, despite interest rates being at very high levels. Prices for all classes of property, commercial, industrial, retail and residential, had risen to exceptional heights. The country was therefore extremely vulnerable to any contractionary shock to the economy itself, or to confidence.
The shock duly came in the form of the international recession of the early 1990s. Again, as in 1974 and 1982, Australia participated. The early 1990s international recession came in two waves, with the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Finland and Sweden, going into recession in 1990, followed by the Continental European countries some time later. Given the over-stretched economic situation in Australia, and the international recession, our participation was inevitable.http://www.abc.net.au/rn/boyerlectures/stories/2006/1769927.htmhttp://www.abc.net.au/rn/boyerlectures/default.htmIf you are at all interested in an in depth analysis of Australias economic history, listen to those lectures. This is not lefty trash this is one of the most eminent economists in this country (favored by the right if anything) talking history without the political spin.
Keating was an architect of the independence of the reserve bank and the floating of the Australian dollar. Keating recognised the importance of trade within our local region and so sought to strengthen our diplomatic ties, nothing more. And yet he set up an economic system that allowed us to weather the storm that was the Asian economic crisis. Had he actually done anything to 'make us part of Asia' we would have gone down during that particular recession, we did not. Isolationism leads to the death of any nation, look at North Korea, look what happened to the USSR, what was happening to China. It is senseless economic suicide to ignore our geographic neighbours.
Macfarlane makes some very strong points in that particular lecture about the fact that interest rates alone were not responsible for the 90s recession, demonstrating that under treasurer Howard, interest rates hit 21% with strong growth. The basis of his entire lecture series is that the historical approach to economics was for governments to create employment where there was a failing from the private sector, and to control interest rates. Seeing as interest rates are such a politically sensitive issue, governments failed to raise them when they needed to be raised and inflation grew out of control.
The current system, implemented by the Hawke/Keating government with bi-partisan support (important fact there!) is that of an independent reserve bank that is charged with using interest rates to control inflation, and it has been a very successful policy that has kept us firing on all cylinders ever since. Forget Howard and the Liberals, Labor was responsible for the necessary economic policies that have made our country strong in recent years! Howard has simply minimised government spending in an already favorable situation, not that he hasn't done a good job of course.
Keating is quite simply the man.