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after climate and water? (Read 6530 times)
freediver
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after climate and water?
May 2nd, 2007 at 4:00pm
 
Suppose that in 50 years time we are getting all of our energy from solar, wind, hydro and other renewables and most of our water from desalination and recycling. Electricity and food would be more expensive, but probably not prohibitive. What then would limit our population growth? Is it simply not feasible to support large scale agriculture from water that is desalinated and pumped inland using renewable energy sources?
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mantra
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Re: after climate and water?
Reply #1 - May 2nd, 2007 at 4:17pm
 
Hopefully by the time we are fully reliant on green energy, we will have chooks in the backyard and a vegetable garden and water supplied by our tanks.

I would say that our population would increase, as some of our high energy habits would be reduced, leaving us with the more basics of life.

But we can't afford to let agriculture diminish any further in Australia.   There is no guarantee that disease or war won't ravage those countries who export large quantities of produce to us.

If we ever become isolated we need to be self sufficient.
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zoso
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Re: after climate and water?
Reply #2 - May 2nd, 2007 at 6:58pm
 
Nutrient losses are the next big issue (ie desertification), that and farming practices in general. Currently we use some 1.5kJ of energy to produce 1kJ of energy in the form of food. Those numbers do not add up. Furthermore, we ignore the natural means by which nutrient and trace elements are delivered to plants through the decomposition process and bacterial activity in general. Instead we manufacture nutrients and trace elements in factories at high energy consumption and inject them directly into the soil where they only wash away since there is no biological activity to sustain them.

Arable land will run out, we (stupid as we are) will likely cut down more forests to create more land, thus accelerating the losses of topsoil through erosion, decreasing rainfall, decreasing biodiversity and so on. Arable land will be the next big ticket item.

Buy organic wherever you can, grow your own food if you can, or at least find a local farmers market and find the organic grocers. Again, costs will be higher, but this is reality. Burning 50% more energy than we can produce in the form of food is not sustainable.

I predict that this issue will hit us sooner than you think, perhaps 5-10 years from now. I accurately predicted the current water crisis some 4 years ago too Wink (not that it was hard to see...but people are stupid!)
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zoso
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Re: after climate and water?
Reply #3 - May 2nd, 2007 at 7:05pm
 
mantra wrote on May 2nd, 2007 at 4:17pm:
But we can't afford to let agriculture diminish any further in Australia.   There is no guarantee that disease or war won't ravage those countries who export large quantities of produce to us.

Australia is one of a very small number of countries that is a net exporter of food, together with the US and Europe (from memory). You may see a lot of imported food on the shelves but that does not mean we are dependant on it.

Oh and expect our agricultural output to diminish significantly, rapidly and soon. We, as a nation, are a nation of idiots when it comes to farming. Australia is the most barren and nutrient poor continent on earth, and we have continued with more or less unchanged farming practices developed in extremely nutrient rich areas. We have taken a degraded land and degraded it further, in a REALLY BAD way, and VERY RAPIDLY.

There needs to be a complete shift in paradigm if we are to survive the next 50 years I think. Water is just the tip of the iceberg!
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Sprintcyclist
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Re: after climate and water?
Reply #4 - May 3rd, 2007 at 10:49am
 
maybe our social respopnsibility will tend for us to not increase.
Birth rates are dropping.

Yes, I could well see problems with the farming methods we use.  Sooner rahter than later too.

Permaculture works. Imagine if the councils planted fruting tees instead of nonproductive one s ?

The chooks in my old permaculture garden were perfect. They loved it and looked right.

My brother on Mt Mee has water tanks, they have had the water truck up once in 6 years. 
No drain on the "system" at all
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zoso
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Re: after climate and water?
Reply #5 - May 4th, 2007 at 5:02pm
 
Sprintcyclist wrote on May 3rd, 2007 at 10:49am:
maybe our social respopnsibility will tend for us to not increase.
Birth rates are dropping.

One can only hope!

Quote:
Permaculture works. Imagine if the councils planted fruting tees instead of nonproductive one s ?

The council where I live (lismore) does this, its a really good idea!

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Sprintcyclist
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Re: after climate and water?
Reply #6 - May 4th, 2007 at 6:28pm
 
Zoso - what a great council !
Was a permaculture idea I read about. Good on them

Sort of a "can't lose" move they have done, as I see it.
They were going to plant trees anyway.
If these ones don't produce, so what, the others sure would never !

had councils planted fruiting trrees 20 years ago, imagine the streets/parks now

I am SUCH a dreamer - love it
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zoso
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Re: after climate and water?
Reply #7 - May 4th, 2007 at 6:41pm
 
Lismore is a great council. Fruit trees in the parks, veggies in the gardens in the parks. A good mate of mine is setting up a series of community gardens too that will also be work for the dole places where the dole workers get tafe certification. They also have a red/yellow green bin system (rubbish, recycling and green waste) all green waste is composted at the tip and then sold back to the public at a very low figure. We also have a waste water treatment facility which treats our sewage and puts the recycled water back into the local dam. The nimbin energy centre is one of the biggest suppliers of renewable energy solutions around too, with some  $300k worth of solar cells on the roof they actually profit from putting power back into the grid!

There may be smelly hippies around but jeeze there is some great stuff happening up in this corner of the world Smiley
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oceans_blue
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Re: after climate and water?
Reply #8 - May 5th, 2007 at 12:20pm
 
ABC a couple nights ago and Scientists according to this report are now saying that it is not to late OR too costly to curb global warming. China is fast becoming the worlds biggest polluter and the Government is still divvying up who did what when and why.With the immense amount of emmissions being produced by China if we dont get them to get on board soon, every effort will fail, as they produce, or will, twice as much as other developing countries, including us the US and India put together.

The Scientists believe the worlds economies can afford to tackle climate change and that ity is not too late to halt the damage if we start NOW!!!!

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zoso
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Re: after climate and water?
Reply #9 - May 5th, 2007 at 1:39pm
 
In 2003, the US was emitting 20 tonnes of CO2 per person, per year (Australia is something similar), China was emitting 2.7 tonnes per person per year... So please, lets be fair about this, China has 1/6th of the worlds population, they can be emitting a whole lot more CO2 than the US in total, and still the average chinese will be living quite the humble existence.

It is the first world countries that need to curb emissions, stop looking at everyone else and start looking at your own lifestyle.
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freediver
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China warns on spreading deserts threat
Reply #10 - May 7th, 2007 at 11:42am
 
I agree. We need to get the Australian government on board before we can start looking overseas. China is using Australia as an excuse not to do any more to curb emissions, which is entirely fair. They have already done more than us.

http://www.smh.com.au/news/World/China-warns-on-spreading-deserts-threat/2007/07/12/1183833690235.html

Spreading deserts are the main environmental challenge holding back China's sustainable development and the situation remains serious despite some improvements, the government said.

Deserts, which cover a fifth of China, are spreading on the upper reaches of the Yellow River, on the Qinghai-Tibet plateau and parts of Inner Mongolia and Gansu, the forestry ministry said in a statement on its website.

"Experts say that the series of anti-desertification measures our country has taken has obtained obvious results, which have had an important effect on improving people's livelihood," it said.

"But at present the anti-desertification situation remains serious, and is still the main ecological problem which restricts our sustainable socio-economic development," the ministry added.

"Stepping up control efforts is of the utmost urgency."
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« Last Edit: Jul 13th, 2007 at 12:27pm by freediver »  

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Jasin
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Re: after climate and water?
Reply #11 - Oct 17th, 2019 at 9:52pm
 
Isn't it interesting what we thought, 10+ years ago, here on this Forum.
I love looking back.
(You must remember this...)

But, with the Sci-Fi writers of the Golden Age back in the 50's being 80% spot on, it makes one wonder about the 'Predictability Factor' of a Society that is imprisoned to a destiny that it can't escape from anyway.  Wink

I love being a 'Day Ahead' Australian,
more than a 'Down Under' one.  Cheesy
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AIMLESS EXTENTION OF KNOWLEDGE HOWEVER, WHICH IS WHAT I THINK YOU REALLY MEAN BY THE TERM 'CURIOSITY', IS MERELY INEFFICIENCY. I AM DESIGNED TO AVOID INEFFICIENCY.
 
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Bobby.
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Re: after climate and water?
Reply #12 - Oct 18th, 2019 at 4:27am
 
Thanks Jasin - it is interesting to look back.

The changes are:
a huge uptake of solar cells on the roofs of houses &
much higher energy prices.
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BigP
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Re: after climate and water?
Reply #13 - Oct 18th, 2019 at 12:07pm
 
I hear they will be renaming Australia , to Adustbowl lol
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lee
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Re: after climate and water?
Reply #14 - Oct 18th, 2019 at 12:17pm
 
zoso wrote on May 5th, 2007 at 1:39pm:
In 2003, the US was emitting 20 tonnes of CO2 per person, per year (Australia is something similar), China was emitting 2.7 tonnes per person per year... So please, lets be fair about this, China has 1/6th of the worlds population, they can be emitting a whole lot more CO2 than the US in total, and still the average chinese will be living quite the humble existence.

It is the first world countries that need to curb emissions, stop looking at everyone else and start looking at your own lifestyle.


Another ones of those people who prefer to look at per capita emissions instead of total emissions. Roll Eyes

Australia is a net carbon dioxide sink, something that (some) other countries are trying to achieve.
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