freediver
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www.ozpolitic.com
Posts: 49277
At my desk.
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The four front page articles are linked below. The only other thing on the front page was a dot point summary and photo.
main story:
Mild budget cuts as Treasurer delivers all poll promises
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,23695702-601,00.html
WAYNE Swan has taken a knife to John Howard's middle-class welfare in a budget delivering Kevin Rudd's election promises in full and banking $41 billion to spend on health, education and infrastructure.
The Treasurer also delivered a greater-than-expected $21.7 billion budget surplus, worth 1.8 per cent of GDP, which he said should satisfy the Reserve Bank and reduce pressure on interest rates.
And in another major departure from the approach of his predecessor, Peter Costello, Mr Swan said he would invest the budget surplus - which dwarfed the Treasurer's target of $17 billion - as part of $41 billion to be locked away in three new investment funds for use in the future.
The $20 billion Building Australia Fund, the $10 billion Health and Hospitals Fund, and the $11billion Education Investment Fund would not be used this year to avoid placing further pressure on inflation by putting money into the economy.
The decision to quarantine the money and delay spending is in line with Labor's central economic argument that reckless spending by the Howard government was partly responsible for eight consecutive interest rate rises to the current 12-year high of 7.25 per cent.
But Access Economics director Chris Richardson warned last night the measures might not be enough to curb inflation. "The risk is that the economy will continue to travel faster and that interest rates won't have been successful in slowing much of Australia," he said. "They will hurt a bunch of people, but lots of Australia is still travelling at speed. The risk is the economy grows faster, employment grows faster, wages and prices grow faster and, even with the cuts in this budget, interest rates may have to go up."
Mr Swan said he found the notion of high-income earners being paid government welfare "impossible to defend on any grounds". "For too long, working families have watched the proceeds of the boom directed elsewhere in the form of tax cuts skewed to those already doing well," Mr Swan said.
In his speech, Mr Swan said some Australians had been asked to bear a greater burden than others. "But in the end, if we're to beat inflation and build prosperity, we have no choice. We simply cannot go on as before, spending irresponsibly and allowing inflation to build."
RHS of front page:
Trade-off will make or break Labor
The optimism is mirrored in Wayne Swan’s declarations that the budget “is designed to fight inflation”, while “we tip the scales in favour of working families”. This is a high-wire act. It will finish either in a standing ovation or a fall. From this point, any interest rate increases will be owned by Labor.
The surplus of 1.8 per cent of GDP is the highest ratio for nearly a decade. Spending growth has been cut by two-thirds from Howard’s last days. All Labor’s new spending is offset by spending cuts.
The budget reality dismisses the phoney symbolism of recent days. This is not a Robin Hood budget. It is not an attack on middle-class welfare. It does not involve a major dismantling of Howard government programs. Indeed, the spending cuts are careful and targeted to minimise electoral backlash.
Labor can boast a superior fiscal discipline than existed in Howard’s last years and deeper support for fairness via limited means-testing.
Bottom left:
Pressure will remain on monetary policy
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,23695703-30538,00.html
According to Wayne Swan, Reserve Bank governor Glenn Stevens will be happy with the outcome.
Stevens is unlikely to contradict him, certainly not publicly, and in any case would probably agree with Swan's description of the fiscal stance of his first budget as "a mild tightening".
However, it is also true that it could have been much worse, and on its track record in its final years, under the Howard government it would have been.
By quarantining the revenue windfall, as it promised, the Government has allowed the budget's economic stabilisers to work.
As for Swan's promise of a new era of economic management, the budget is heading in the right direction, but it will take more than one budget before we can sensibly make a judgement on how successfully it will be delivered.
Bottom right:
Spending slayer more a prodder
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,23695700-5017094,00.html
WAYNE Swan wants to feel your pain. The Treasurer may still be talking tough on fighting inflation but his budget figures reveal a decidedly more gentle touch.
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