If we can believe helian, a default, on all its debt by the USA would lead to
Quote:A dive in the Euro, a spike in the price of gold in Europe, an improvement in the US dollar and USDX, calls in Greece to also cancel its debt despite risking a further dive in the Euro, a further spike in the price of gold in Europe, a further improvement in the US dollar and USDX, expulsion from the EU, a political crisis in Greece, a complete collapse of the Greek economy, massive social unrest not seen since WW2 and serious debate about the viability of the EU itself.
If there was any justice in the world, what should happen is other countries lose trust in the US$, switch to other currencies for oil (and other) purchases, stop borrowing US$ to fund development projects, and try to trade any US$ they have in exchange for anything of real value... all of which will cause a drop in the value of the US$ but have little effect on the value of other countries' currencies. But the world is not always just in matters concerning superpowers, so perhaps the outcome might be completely different.
Whichever way it goes, I think it's obvious that just striking out debt and starting again is not a safe option for everyone.