freediver wrote on May 23
rd, 2010 at 5:38pm:
You mean human/passenger space transportation? There still does not appear to be enough demand for a profitable proivate industry. It may never happen, given the impending oil shortage and carbon taxes.
the human transportation is a minor aspect.
Most of the money is in launching commercial satellites. Currently the Russians have the cheapest launch technology at around
$2,000 per kilogram into low earth orbit.
The first Falcon 9 launch is quoting a cost of around $2900 per kilogram, and this price will fall as they get more contracts. The Russian Energia has a similar cost per kilogram, but the Proton is the lowest cost overall for higher Inclination orbits.
The payload for a Falcon 9 is 12,500kg. The Russian Proton can take 20,800kg.
Space X have one other launch vehicle at the design stage - The Falcon 9 Heavy, which will take 28,000kg. I don't think anyone has come up with a costing for it as yet.