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For the Record (Read 197656 times)
perceptions_now
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Re: For the Record
Reply #1365 - Jan 9th, 2016 at 10:15am
 
Well, talk about volatility!

VIX index UP AGAIN, now @ 27.01
http://www.investing.com/indices/volatility-s-p-500
DOW finished Down 168 overnight @ 16,346, after being UP some 120, in early trading.
Most European markets also closed Down, overnight.
OZ markets closed slightly Down Yesterday.
Chinese markets closed UP 1.5-2%

http://www.investing.com/indices/major-indices
Wti Oil was UP, Down & all around, but finish Down @ $32.89.
http://www.investing.com/commodities/crude-oil
Part of the reason for the Oil Price swings was the US$ index, which also had some wild swings, spiking nearly a full cent, before falling away, again.
http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/dxy
The BDIY also continued its slide, now Down to an all time low of 429.
http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/BDIY:IND
Finally, the OZ$ went under 70, to finish @ 69.52.
https://au.finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=AUDUSD=X&t=1d&l=on&z=l&q=l&c=
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« Last Edit: Jan 9th, 2016 at 10:30am by perceptions_now »  
 
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perceptions_now
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Re: For the Record
Reply #1366 - Jan 9th, 2016 at 10:20am
 
I Re-post the following here, as it is Relevant.
perceptions_now wrote on Mar 3rd, 2015 at 10:19pm:
RandomWalk wrote on Mar 3rd, 2015 at 4:39am:
Oil seems to have bottomed in recent weeks. Any thoughts on what we can expect in the near future?


Well, that could depend a bit, on what you think "near future" means?

Let me put it this way, it is MORE likely that there will be "some" upward pressure on pricing, as the USA Production goes into Decline, over the short term (this year).

That said, at "some time", in the not too distant future, possibly towards the end of this year, "the hair that finally breaks the camels back (the camels back, being the Global Economy) may finally arrive & when that happens, DEMAND WILL GO INTO STEEP DECLINE, AS WILL OIL PRICING AGAIN!

US Production will then hit the skids BIG TIME, AS WILL PRODUCTION GLOBALLY & Pricing will eventually stabilize, but probably not before Oil hits around $20-$30 per barrel, it could then retrace to around $40-$60 a barrel, but on a lot less Production.

However, in the longer term, say 10-20 years, Production will collapse more than Demand will collapse, so Pricing is likely to eventually head North again.   


You can check the progress here -
http://www.investing.com/commodities/crude-oil
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Re: For the Record
Reply #1367 - Jan 10th, 2016 at 10:51am
 
Perfect Storm!


One of the (many) fascinating things about this latest global financial crisis is that there's no single catalyst. Unlike 2008, when the carnage could be traced back to US subprime housing, or 2000, when tech stocks crashed and pulled down everything else, this time around a whole bunch of seemingly unrelated things are unraveling all at once.

...

What happens next? At some point - today or next week or next month, but probably pretty soon - the dam will break. Everyone will hit "sell" at the same time and find out that those liquid markets they'd come to see as normal have disappeared and yesterday's prices are meaningless fantasy. The exits will slam shut and - as in China last night where the markets closed a quarter-hour into the trading session - the whole world will be stuck with the positions they created back when markets were liquid and central banks were omnipotent and government bonds were risk-free and Amazon was going to $2,000.

http://seekingalpha.com/article/3798436-perfect-storm?ifp=0
==============================================
More to come - LATER
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Re: For the Record
Reply #1368 - Jan 12th, 2016 at 4:13pm
 
Oil, BDIY, All Ords still Down today -


OZ All Ords market closed slightly Down today by 8.50 @ 4,982.20
http://www.tradingroom.com.au/apps/index.ac

Wti Oil is Down again, currently @ $30.54.
http://www.investing.com/commodities/crude-oil

The BDIY also continued its slide, now Down to an all time low of 415.
http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/BDIY:IND
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Re: For the Record
Reply #1369 - Jan 12th, 2016 at 4:15pm
 
Oil, BDIY, All Ords still Down today -


OZ All Ords market closed slightly Down today by 8.50 @ 4,982.20
http://www.tradingroom.com.au/apps/index.ac

Wti Oil is Down again, currently @ $30.54.
http://www.investing.com/commodities/crude-oil

The BDIY also continued its slide, now Down to an all time low of 415.
http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/BDIY:IND


Oh & US DOW Futures, currently Down just over 100 points @ 16,181
http://www.investing.com/indices/us-30-futures-advanced-chart
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Re: For the Record
Reply #1370 - Jan 14th, 2016 at 10:20am
 
Well, MORE volatility!

DOW finished Down 365 overnight @ 16,151. The DOW is now some 12% lower than its Peak last year.

The BDIY also continued its slide, now Down to an all time low of 384.
http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/BDIY:IND

The Japanese Nikkei is also Down today, over 600, currently trading @ around 17,060, which is nearly 20% Down on its last year Peak.
http://www.investing.com/indices/japan-ni225

It would seem that the OZ market is set for a Down day, But how much may depend on what happens in China, when it opens.
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Re: For the Record
Reply #1371 - Jan 14th, 2016 at 11:56pm
 
Having kept a close eye on many issues, over time, which relate to Governments (from the Right, Left & Centre) & Central Banks, both here in OZ & in other countries, I must say that there is a great deal of "misinformation", which is spread about.

This "misinformation" is spread across many issues, including share markets, a great deal of "supposed" factual Economic information and many other issues.

In short, there are deliberate attempts to keep the general Public "blind", to many REALITIES!

However, TPTB should keep in mind that everything has limits, as I suggest we may be in the process of finding out! 
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Re: For the Record
Reply #1372 - Jan 15th, 2016 at 7:20pm
 
Given the action, so far this year, it may well be that the DOW will take another substantial Decline overnight, as investors try to NOT GET CAUGHT WITH TOO MUCH IN THE SYSTEM OVER THIS WEEKEND?

Depending on FedRes action/s, we could see falls ranging from 100-500?
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Re: For the Record
Reply #1373 - Jan 15th, 2016 at 8:34pm
 
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 15th, 2016 at 7:20pm:
Given the action, so far this year, it may well be that the DOW will take another substantial Decline overnight, as investors try to NOT GET CAUGHT WITH TOO MUCH IN THE SYSTEM OVER THIS WEEKEND?

Depending on FedRes action/s, we could see falls ranging from 100-500?
A range of 250 down is definitely on the cards, and a question for you does the fed res usually announce when they intervene in the market to my knowledge they don't?
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Re: For the Record
Reply #1374 - Jan 15th, 2016 at 8:39pm
 
oh dear wrote on Jan 15th, 2016 at 8:34pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 15th, 2016 at 7:20pm:
Given the action, so far this year, it may well be that the DOW will take another substantial Decline overnight, as investors try to NOT GET CAUGHT WITH TOO MUCH IN THE SYSTEM OVER THIS WEEKEND?

Depending on FedRes action/s, we could see falls ranging from 100-500?
A range of 250 down is definitely on the cards, and a question for you does the fed res usually announce when they intervene in the market to my knowledge they don't?


No, No announcements, you are correct, they are like Nike, they "just do it".
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Re: For the Record
Reply #1375 - Jan 16th, 2016 at 12:07am
 
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 15th, 2016 at 7:20pm:
Given the action, so far this year, it may well be that the DOW will take another substantial Decline overnight, as investors try to NOT GET CAUGHT WITH TOO MUCH IN THE SYSTEM OVER THIS WEEKEND?

Depending on FedRes action/s, we could see falls ranging from 100-500?


Just back from Dining out & much of Europe is Down 2-3%, with Russian indexes Down 4.8-6.4%.

US DOW Futures Down, over 2.3% or some 390 points.

As suggested earlier, it may be an "interesting" night?

Will the FedRes "intervene" in the US, let's judge tomorrow???

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Re: For the Record
Reply #1376 - Jan 16th, 2016 at 9:55am
 
Oil Prices Drive Stocks Rout: Dow Sheds Nearly 400 Points


Plunging oil prices pounded U.S. stock markets again on Friday, with
the Dow Jones industrial average closing down nearly 400 points
, or more than 2 percent, and the other indices taking similar beatings.


Earlier the Dow had been down nearly 537 points
.


The Dow and S&P 500 have now fallen about 8 percent this year, while the Nasdaq is off more than 10 percent.

An International Atomic Energy Agency report verifying whether Iran has kept its promises under a nuclear deal reached last year with world powers is likely to be issued on Saturday, paving the way for sanctions relief and the widespread resumption of Iranian oil shipments, a diplomatic source told Reuters on Friday. Iranian and other officials had previously said they expected the report to come out on Friday.

Bracing for the decision, traders drove the price of crude oil down past the symbolically important $30 a barrel level.

U.S. crude oil settled at $29.42 a barrel,
down $1.78, or 5.71 percent. It was the first time in 12 years that it had finished trading under $30.


The steep slump in crude from over $100 a barrel in the summer of 2014 has eviscerated energy company profits and made it much harder for them to pay off their debts.

Still, some traders said the market was overselling on oil's woes, given the continued strength of the overall U.S. economy. But evidence of a fourth-quarter slowdown, weaker than expected U.S. retail sales for December , continued to mount. And the Federal Reserve reported that U.S. industrial production, which includes manufacturing, mining and utilities, dropped in December for the third month in a row.

Investors also were spooked by expectations of disappointing earnings reports for companies hit by plunging oil prices, and indications that China will report its weakest full-year growth figure in 25 years on Tuesday
.


Economists said the expansion of the Chinese economy was held back by sluggish domestic and external demand, weak investments, factory overcapacity and high property inventories, which exacerbated deflationary pressures in the economy.

The U.S. markets' down day continued a rout that began when Shanghai Composite Index finished down 3.6 percent, sliding to its lowest close since Dec. 8, 2014.

Stocks opened higher in Europe but quickly fell. Germany's DAX lost 3.1 percent, while France's CAC 40 dropped 2.9 percent. Britain's FTSE 100 dropped 2.4 percent.

http://www.nbcnews.com/business/markets/u-s-stock-market-dow-plunges-oil-prices-...
============================================
It should be noted that it is likely that the FedRes may have "assisted" a little, when the DOW was Down 537 in mid session and again, when it was Down some 415 points, with 2 minutes left in the session, before finally closing Down 391.

It should also be noted that Oil actually "settled" at $29.70, after reaching a session low of $29.19.

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Re: For the Record
Reply #1377 - Jan 16th, 2016 at 10:53am
 
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 16th, 2016 at 9:55am:
Oil Prices Drive Stocks Rout: Dow Sheds Nearly 400 Points


Plunging oil prices pounded U.S. stock markets again on Friday, with
the Dow Jones industrial average closing down nearly 400 points
, or more than 2 percent, and the other indices taking similar beatings.


Earlier the Dow had been down nearly 537 points
.


The Dow and S&P 500 have now fallen about 8 percent this year, while the Nasdaq is off more than 10 percent.

An International Atomic Energy Agency report verifying whether Iran has kept its promises under a nuclear deal reached last year with world powers is likely to be issued on Saturday, paving the way for sanctions relief and the widespread resumption of Iranian oil shipments, a diplomatic source told Reuters on Friday. Iranian and other officials had previously said they expected the report to come out on Friday.

Bracing for the decision, traders drove the price of crude oil down past the symbolically important $30 a barrel level.

U.S. crude oil settled at $29.42 a barrel,
down $1.78, or 5.71 percent. It was the first time in 12 years that it had finished trading under $30.


The steep slump in crude from over $100 a barrel in the summer of 2014 has eviscerated energy company profits and made it much harder for them to pay off their debts.

Still, some traders said the market was overselling on oil's woes, given the continued strength of the overall U.S. economy. But evidence of a fourth-quarter slowdown, weaker than expected U.S. retail sales for December , continued to mount. And the Federal Reserve reported that U.S. industrial production, which includes manufacturing, mining and utilities, dropped in December for the third month in a row.

Investors also were spooked by expectations of disappointing earnings reports for companies hit by plunging oil prices, and indications that China will report its weakest full-year growth figure in 25 years on Tuesday
.


Economists said the expansion of the Chinese economy was held back by sluggish domestic and external demand, weak investments, factory overcapacity and high property inventories, which exacerbated deflationary pressures in the economy.

The U.S. markets' down day continued a rout that began when Shanghai Composite Index finished down 3.6 percent, sliding to its lowest close since Dec. 8, 2014.

Stocks opened higher in Europe but quickly fell. Germany's DAX lost 3.1 percent, while France's CAC 40 dropped 2.9 percent. Britain's FTSE 100 dropped 2.4 percent.

http://www.nbcnews.com/business/markets/u-s-stock-market-dow-plunges-oil-prices-...
============================================
It should be noted that it is likely that the FedRes may have "assisted" a little, when the DOW was Down 537 in mid session and again, when it was Down some 415 points, with 2 minutes left in the session, before finally closing Down 391.

It should also be noted that Oil actually "settled" at $29.70, after reaching a session low of $29.19.



Monday MAY WELL be an "interesting" day, on OZ MARKETS?!
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Re: For the Record
Reply #1378 - Jan 16th, 2016 at 11:51am
 
Sorry, I nearly forgot, the OZ$ also had "some" movement -
1) Commenced Friday @ 69.96
2) Friday Low @ 68.36
3) Closed Friday @ 68.59

https://au.finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=AUDUSD%3DX#symbol=AUDUSD=X;range=
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Re: For the Record
Reply #1379 - Jan 20th, 2016 at 8:24am
 
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 16th, 2016 at 10:53am:
Monday MAY WELL be an "interesting" day, on OZ MARKETS?!


But it wasn't, and it actually recovered the small drop on Tuesday. The Australian market seems quite robust compared to other markets, and the AUD is actually making headway against the GBP and of course, the Euro.... So far.
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