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Shares,  Finance & Economics (Read 11869 times)
shampain socialist
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Re: Shares,  Finance & Economics
Reply #15 - Aug 24th, 2010 at 12:18am
 
if you *really* understood, vege, you would not need to hear the answer to the closing statement "it can be done". You would know what they mean. Sorry. Most people today, including myself, anyone really born since world war 2, if not before, have been brought up with "Keynesian" economic thought, most notably Labor thinking people.
Keynesian stuff is all about "the government will fix everything for us", "if there is a recession, just give people more money to spend and that will stimulate everything and the problem will go away".

It is a false fix though, like putting sticky tape on a crack in the wall. Looks good, won't last.  The symptom of this that people see, but don't understand, is why they have worked hard and have money in the bank, but even though they get an interest rate, ten years later, prices have risen so much higher than the value of their money, and it isn't worth anything anymore. This system encourages people not to try and save. It is called "inflation".
In the past under different currency systems, inflation was under control, if you saved, your money retained value. Now, what you have to do is invest in inflation-related things like property that keep increasing in value - and price! Pity the people who have to try and buy a house - which is just about all of us ordinary people.

The answer to their closing question is an answer that most people today, (who are Keynesian thinkers) don't want to hear and won't tolerate. The alternative is a crash. It is the only way left to clean out the system, and it is tragic.
That's the point - stimulus spend or don't stimulus spend, that is the question. People today want the government to spend, in the past long ago, they did not want the government to do that.
The Liberal political way of thinking is that latter, more old fashioned way of thinking, which was the situation for hundreds of years. The Labor way of thinking is for the government to spend us out of economic trouble. Saving versus spending, pretty much that's it.
Can a government really take your money and spend that and much more on credit to get you out of credit problems? For a while, yes, but eventually the music stops. That's why there so many homeless people in America now.
The worst possible scenario is to go into a crash like that - with no effective government!
Fasten your seatbelt.
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Labor Marxist Feministas Unite!&&Take over the World! Nationalise spermbanks! Abolish Men!
 
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mantra
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Re: Shares,  Finance & Economics
Reply #16 - Aug 24th, 2010 at 7:21am
 
Quote:
Can a government really take your money and spend that and much more on credit to get you out of credit problems? For a while, yes, but eventually the music stops. That's why there so many homeless people in America now.
The worst possible scenario is to go into a crash like that - with no effective government!
Fasten your seatbelt.


It is obvious that when you don't have much money - you should spend it cautiously. The cash stimulus did initially help, and our trade figures have improved, but our credit card debt has almost doubled in the last couple of years - which is alarming.

Our banks are in good shape though and I suppose that's what you need to keep an economy going.

Still Australia can't remain a single good economy now that we're globalised and at the rate we're spending - it's not sustainable, especially if the rest of the world can't afford our exports.
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muso
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Re: Shares,  Finance & Economics
Reply #17 - Aug 24th, 2010 at 8:08am
 
shampain socialist wrote on Aug 24th, 2010 at 12:18am:
if you *really* understood, vege, you would not need to hear the answer to the closing statement "it can be done". You would know what they mean. Sorry. Most people today, including myself, anyone really born since world war 2, if not before, have been brought up with "Keynesian" economic thought, most notably Labor thinking people.
Keynesian stuff is all about "the government will fix everything for us", "if there is a recession, just give people more money to spend and that will stimulate everything and the problem will go away".

It is a false fix though, like putting sticky tape on a crack in the wall. Looks good, won't last.  The symptom of this that people see, but don't understand, is why they have worked hard and have money in the bank, but even though they get an interest rate, ten years later, prices have risen so much higher than the value of their money, and it isn't worth anything anymore. This system encourages people not to try and save. It is called "inflation".
In the past under different currency systems, inflation was under control, if you saved, your money retained value. Now, what you have to do is invest in inflation-related things like property that keep increasing in value - and price! Pity the people who have to try and buy a house - which is just about all of us ordinary people.

The answer to their closing question is an answer that most people today, (who are Keynesian thinkers) don't want to hear and won't tolerate. The alternative is a crash. It is the only way left to clean out the system, and it is tragic.
That's the point - stimulus spend or don't stimulus spend, that is the question. People today want the government to spend, in the past long ago, they did not want the government to do that.
The Liberal political way of thinking is that latter, more old fashioned way of thinking, which was the situation for hundreds of years. The Labor way of thinking is for the government to spend us out of economic trouble. Saving versus spending, pretty much that's it.
Can a government really take your money and spend that and much more on credit to get you out of credit problems? For a while, yes, but eventually the music stops. That's why there so many homeless people in America now.
The worst possible scenario is to go into a crash like that - with no effective government!
Fasten your seatbelt.


LOL, I agree with you, but do you have to be such an optimist?  Smiley
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...
1523 people like this. The remaining 7,134,765,234 do not 
 
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vegitamite
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Re: Shares,  Finance & Economics
Reply #18 - Aug 24th, 2010 at 10:53am
 
Keynesian stuff is all about "the government will fix everything for us",
=========================

I have never BEEN one that expects the Government to fix everything on a personal level. I vote for what’s best for the country over what is in it for ME.

However, you can not ignore that our system has been created to work on growth and credit,  whether I or you liked it of not. So realistically you can NOT just put the breaks on a system that has been built on growth of credit. That’s why it needed a subtle stimulus from the government UNTIL we learn and change our system and way of thinking...

That is also why I protested in the Howard era against the baby bonus , the first home buyers bonus the ignored warning of credit debt of the people whilst Howard was rattling of “we have never had it so good”.
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vegitamite
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Re: Shares,  Finance & Economics
Reply #19 - Aug 24th, 2010 at 10:56am
 
The answer to their closing question is an answer that most people today, (who are Keynesian thinkers) don't want to hear and won't tolerate. The alternative is a crash. It is the only way left to clean out the system, and it is tragic.


======================

I understand that.

BUT I still felt it needed to be said out loud. So those that were listening that DONT see it ,can hear it.

Not all people can read between the lines...if we all could we wouldnt be in the postion we and OUR kids may face.....
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Re: Shares,  Finance & Economics
Reply #20 - Aug 24th, 2010 at 7:26pm
 
Quote:
Keynesian stuff is all about "the government will fix everything for us",


No it isn't. That is socialism.
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Re: Shares,  Finance & Economics
Reply #21 - Aug 24th, 2010 at 7:38pm
 
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BUT, but we will suffer IF the world does as we are as I have always stated- in the eye of a storm...and on the wrong path.


Great time to have a surplus and no public debt!
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perceptions_now
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Re: Shares,  Finance & Economics
Reply #22 - Aug 24th, 2010 at 10:27pm
 
Quote:
Hey perceptions... Smiley


You're a mod .....  Smiley Smiley[smiley=beer.gif] Smiley

My apology, I did not realise that this thread was still being used, until it was transferred. Today?

As I said to Pansi, in the "Welcome" post, I intend to take this role very seriously, indeed!?

In fact, I have taken the liberty of having a special stamp prepared, specifically for the role of "evil moderator".


...

I figure that if I live up to the reputation, which apparently precedes me, I will not require another stamp, showing my APPROVAL, as that will be unlikely to be used?
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perceptions_now
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Re: Shares,  Finance & Economics
Reply #23 - Aug 24th, 2010 at 10:33pm
 
Quote:
perceptions- hope you viewed Tonights ABC Show 4 Corners  ?

Lips Sealed


Actually, I was otherwise occupied last night, so I recorded it & watched it today.

It was similar to some other programs, it raised some valid points, but missed out on other factors that have had large impacts & it didn't finish properly, because it didn't say where the likely future scenarios would go!
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perceptions_now
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Re: Shares,  Finance & Economics
Reply #24 - Aug 25th, 2010 at 12:12am
 
shampain socialist wrote on Aug 23rd, 2010 at 11:32pm:
the Australian media is again years late picking up on this news, vege. This has been plastered all over the net for the last two years, featuring the very commentators who were on the Four Corners program tonight.
Australia, including the government, have been too late in understanding the gravity of the global situation, and have simply followed suit and made the same mistakes as other governments have made, as set out so clearly in that program.

Fasten your seatbelt. These are once in a lifetime events coming up, maybe rarer than that.



Agreed!
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Ex Dame Pansi
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Re: Shares,  Finance & Economics
Reply #25 - Aug 25th, 2010 at 6:42am
 
I used to frequent yahoo finance board too, although I refrained from posting because they seemed to be a well established 'club' and I didn't want to butt in. It certainly made for interesting reading and I'm sure it will here when it catches on.
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Ex Dame Pansi
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Re: Shares,  Finance & Economics
Reply #26 - Aug 25th, 2010 at 6:58am
 
<<Australia, including the government, have been too late in understanding the gravity of the global situation, and have simply followed suit and made the same mistakes as other governments have made, as set out so clearly in that program.>>

................................................................................
............

I can never quite work out if the government does understand the gravity of the situation or not.

If they did surely all of their policies would reflect this, but to me, it seems that they really believe that we are heading for ongoing growth.

Then again, I wonder if they do realise what's around the corner, but like America in the GFC MarkI, couldn't come to terms with it, so are choosing to ignore it.

Or maybe they don't have a flaming clue and are fully entrenched in the 'growth fairy' ideology.

I realise that they couldn't come straight out and tell us, that would cause chaos with the banking system etc, but surely we would be seeing certain signs, but I don't see any evidence that the government or opposition (whoever that is at the moment lol) is aware of an imminent  serious meltdown.

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andrei said: Great isn't it? Seeing boatloads of what is nothing more than human garbage turn up.....
 
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perceptions_now
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Re: Shares,  Finance & Economics
Reply #27 - Aug 25th, 2010 at 12:22pm
 
Ex Dame Pansi wrote on Aug 25th, 2010 at 6:58am:
<<Australia, including the government, have been too late in understanding the gravity of the global situation, and have simply followed suit and made the same mistakes as other governments have made, as set out so clearly in that program.>>

................................................................................
............

I can never quite work out if the government does understand the gravity of the situation or not.

If they did surely all of their policies would reflect this, but to me, it seems that they really believe that we are heading for ongoing growth.

Then again, I wonder if they do realise what's around the corner, but like America in the GFC MarkI, couldn't come to terms with it, so are choosing to ignore it.

Or maybe they don't have a flaming clue and are fully entrenched in the 'growth fairy' ideology.

I realise that they couldn't come straight out and tell us, that would cause chaos with the banking system etc, but surely we would be seeing certain signs, but I don't see any evidence that the government or opposition (whoever that is at the moment lol) is aware of an imminent  serious meltdown.



I think you would find Globally, a mixture of a few that have the knowledge, quite a few that simply act on self-interest and the vast majority that go about their daily lives, thinking that "this time & these times, are not different" and another small bunch who know something is happening, but do not have access to all of the information!
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perceptions_now
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Re: Shares,  Finance & Economics
Reply #28 - Aug 25th, 2010 at 12:33pm
 
freediver wrote on Aug 24th, 2010 at 7:26pm:
Quote:
Keynesian stuff is all about "the government will fix everything for us",


No it isn't. That is socialism.


I can not agree with either of you!

Keynesian Economics, is just A branch of Economics, which suggests certain solutions for certain circumstances and given the right inputs, those solutions would be correct, just as the Austrian branch would be correct under certain circumstances.

The thing is that the current & future inputs we face are unique in history and the solutions will also need to be unique, both Economically & Politically!
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« Last Edit: Aug 25th, 2010 at 12:38pm by perceptions_now »  
 
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freediver
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Re: Shares,  Finance & Economics
Reply #29 - Aug 29th, 2010 at 9:20am
 
So where's all those yahooligans from the finance boards that were going to turn up?
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