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economic growth vs resource consumption (Read 9832 times)
perceptions_now
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Re: economic growth vs resource consumption
Reply #15 - Sep 29th, 2010 at 12:09am
 
freediver wrote on Sep 28th, 2010 at 10:10pm:
Quote:
At every point of the Agricultural & Manufacturing process, there is the indirect & direct involvement of Energy


Are you afraid the sun will stop shining?



So, the sun now acts as a fertiliser, the sun runs the machinery that sows & reaps, as well as getting involved in the making of that machinery and the sun then fuels the vehicles that transport the agriculatural produce to the wholesaler, to the supermarket & then to the home for consumption?

Gee, that sun has got very busy, while I wasn't watching it today!
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perceptions_now
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Re: economic growth vs resource consumption
Reply #16 - Sep 29th, 2010 at 12:26am
 
freediver wrote on Sep 28th, 2010 at 10:10pm:
Quote:
If there is no Energy, increased Energy scarcity or simply a large increase in Energy costs, then Food & Drink will become less available to an increasing number of the Global Population!


The people who are most dependent on fossil fuels in the food supply are those who can most easily afford to pay the higher price for whatever ends up replacing them. Note that we have at least a few centuries of coal left, so we will only get off it willingly. Those who are least able to afford the energy tend to be more reliant on traditional food production mechanisms.



Note, we probably only have about 40-60 years left, at the rates of Consumption that are likely.

In fact, we are NOW PEAKING ON PRODUCTION OF THE BETTER GRADES OF COAL, which means that this form of Energy will now start costing more, as it will take a greater volume of the lesser grade Coal, to produce an equivalent amount of Energy!
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perceptions_now
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Re: economic growth vs resource consumption
Reply #17 - Sep 29th, 2010 at 12:33am
 
freediver wrote on Sep 28th, 2010 at 10:10pm:
Quote:
If there is no Energy, increased Energy scarcity or simply a large increase in Energy costs, then Food & Drink will become less available to an increasing number of the Global Population!


The people who are most dependent on fossil fuels in the food supply are those who can most easily afford to pay the higher price for whatever ends up replacing them. Note that we have at least a few centuries of coal left, so we will only get off it willingly. Those who are least able to afford the energy tend to be more reliant on traditional food production mechanisms.



Note, we probably have only about 40-60 years left, at the rates of Consumption that are likely.

In fact, we are NOW PEAKING ON PRODUCTION OF THE BETTER GRADES OF COAL, which means that this form of Energy will now start costing more, as it will take a greater volume of the lesser grade Coal, to produce an equivalent amount of Energy!
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perceptions_now
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Re: economic growth vs resource consumption
Reply #18 - Sep 29th, 2010 at 12:38am
 
freediver wrote on Sep 28th, 2010 at 10:10pm:
[quote]Technology will help us in the struggle for sustainability, but should not be viewed as having an infinite capacity to support us.[/quote]

We are also achieving a far more significant sustainability goal - curbing the birth rate.



I would have thought, you would at least agree with yourself?

Yes and that has been happening for 40 years, but that is now attracting the Baby Boomer Bust, which will be followed by an actual total Population decline for at least 40-60 years, before we may finally stabilize.
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Re: economic growth vs resource consumption
Reply #19 - Sep 29th, 2010 at 8:24am
 
Quote:
Is that your "considered" course of action, for 7 Billion people?


Did you know that most of the world's food is already grown in urban environments?

Quote:
So, the sun now acts as a fertiliser


You were talking about energy PN. The sun is a source of energy.

Quote:
Note, we probably only have about 40-60 years left, at the rates of Consumption that are likely.


Not true.

Quote:
In fact, we are NOW PEAKING ON PRODUCTION OF THE BETTER GRADES OF COAL, which means that this form of Energy will now start costing more, as it will take a greater volume of the lesser grade Coal, to produce an equivalent amount of Energy!


The better grades of coal are not used in electricity production.

Quote:
Yes and that has been happening for 40 years, but that is now attracting the Baby Boomer Bust, which will be followed by an actual total Population decline for at least 40-60 years, before we may finally stabilize.


So what is the problem? A population decline is not unsustainable.
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Re: economic growth vs resource consumption
Reply #20 - Sep 29th, 2010 at 8:40am
 
Quote:
Did you know that most of the world's food is already grown in urban environments?


Are you talking about those who are starving?

Quote:
You were talking about energy PN. The sun is a source of energy.


The sun is the source of energy which produced oil supplies over many many years. The sun produced forests.
The gravityy of the sun produces energy also.
All hail the "Sun of God". (Jesus)

So frikin' what? We already know that.

Give us some substance puhlease.
Don't go talking to me about Gods who will produce crops for us, I don't believe you. Verily.







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« Last Edit: Sep 29th, 2010 at 8:46am by Amadd »  
 
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freediver
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Re: economic growth vs resource consumption
Reply #21 - Sep 29th, 2010 at 9:05am
 
Quote:
Are you talking about those who are starving?


Not really. If they were starving they would leave the city and head back to the farms.

Quote:
Give us some substance puhlease.


It was PN's argument that lacks substance. I was merely pointing that out.
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Amadd
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Re: economic growth vs resource consumption
Reply #22 - Sep 29th, 2010 at 10:40am
 
Quote:
Not really. If they were starving they would leave the city and head back to the farms.


Who is "they" who are able to sustain themselves from a city terrace?
I don't know "them".

Quote:
It was PN's argument that lacks substance. I was merely pointing that out.


Point out where he is wrong. "Substance" would be to logically point out facts.
I don't see any facts to substantiate growing energy sources in line with required economic growth. Do you?
If so, I'd like to hear of them.

Sorry mate, but your idea of economic growth by means of arts, advertising and any other non-productive leech field is just ridiculous.

Did you ever wonder why poor Americans were so fat?
Then maybe you have a clue as to why they had money to spend on so many other things that they now will not, and which will now impact other economies.

I'll be so glad to see the dumbass yankee take their medicine.





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Re: economic growth vs resource consumption
Reply #23 - Sep 29th, 2010 at 10:44am
 
Quote:
Who is "they" who are able to sustain themselves from a city terrace?
I don't know "them".


They tend to be poorer. Few Australians are that poor, so it is to be expected you don't know them.

Quote:
Point out where he is wrong. "Substance" would be to logically point out facts.


I did. It was quite a simple fact, and you criticised it for not being a thesis. The complexity of my answer was commensurate with the complexity of the original claim.

Quote:
Sorry mate, but your idea of economic growth by means of arts, advertising and any other non-productive leech field is just ridiculous.


That is not my idea.
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Amadd
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Re: economic growth vs resource consumption
Reply #24 - Sep 29th, 2010 at 11:35am
 
The crux of the conversation FD, is that economic growth (which, let's face it, we all rely on if we want returns) cannot keep up with demand.

We need to consume our (finite depleting) resources at an alarming rate to keep up with growth demand, let a lone stagnation demand.

Nobody can wave a magical resource wand to make it all better, it's gonna be massively hard work. For you that it is, I'm taking my cash and parting ways with this disrespectful capitalist bunny.

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Re: economic growth vs resource consumption
Reply #25 - Sep 29th, 2010 at 12:21pm
 
Quote:
The crux of the conversation FD, is that economic growth (which, let's face it, we all rely on if we want returns) cannot keep up with demand.


That doesn't make any sense. There is no objective way to measure demand that does not take the actual rate of growth into account. Actual demand is always a reflection of actual supply, and vice versa. The only other objective measure of demand simply says that demand can be anything at all between zero and infinity.
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perceptions_now
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Re: economic growth vs resource consumption
Reply #26 - Sep 29th, 2010 at 1:38pm
 
perceptions_now wrote on Sep 29th, 2010 at 12:38am:
freediver wrote on Sep 28th, 2010 at 10:10pm:
[quote]Technology will help us in the struggle for sustainability, but should not be viewed as having an infinite capacity to support us.[/quote]

We are also achieving a far more significant sustainability goal - curbing the birth rate.



I would have thought, you would at least agree with yourself?

Yes and that has been happening for 40 years, but that is now attracting the Baby Boomer Bust, which will be followed by an actual total Population decline for at least 40-60 years, before we may finally stabilize.


No comment on that one FD?

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perceptions_now
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Re: economic growth vs resource consumption
Reply #27 - Sep 29th, 2010 at 1:43pm
 
freediver wrote on Sep 29th, 2010 at 8:24am:
Quote:
Is that your "considered" course of action, for 7 Billion people?


Did you know that most of the world's food is already grown in urban environments?


Now that would surprise many, including a few farmers.

Link please?
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perceptions_now
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Re: economic growth vs resource consumption
Reply #28 - Sep 29th, 2010 at 3:00pm
 
freediver wrote on Sep 29th, 2010 at 8:24am:
Quote:
So, the sun now acts as a fertiliser


You were talking about energy PN. The sun is a source of energy.



That's not quite the full story, FD!

====================
You said, "Humans can't eat electricity. We can't wear it. We can't sit on it and ride around the country."

I replied with -
"Can't we? Don't we?
What do you think is involved in getting Food & Drink, onto the dinner table?

At every point of the Agricultural & Manufacturing process, there is the indirect & direct involvement of Energy, be it via machinery that runs on Energy (electricity generated from Coal, Oil & Gas) or involving compounds, such as those used in making Fertiliser.
If there is no Energy, increased Energy scarcity or simply a large increase in Energy costs, then Food & Drink will become less available to an increasing number of the Global Population!
A Vast amount of what we wear IS ACTUALLY MADE FROM SYNTHETIC MATERIALS , which are manufactured on machinery that runs on Energy (electricity generated from Coal, Oil & Gas) and often from Oil based compounds.
Many chairs that you sit on, particularly Plastic ones, are  manufactured on machinery that runs on Energy (electricity generated from Coal, Oil & Gas) and often from Oil based compounds.
What do you think runs cars, trucks, electric trains, planes etc!"


Your reply was -
freediver wrote on Sep 28th, 2010 at 10:10pm:
Quote:
At every point of the Agricultural & Manufacturing process, there is the indirect & direct involvement of Energy


Are you afraid the sun will stop shining?



My reply was -
perceptions_now wrote on Sep 29th, 2010 at 12:09am:
freediver wrote on Sep 28th, 2010 at 10:10pm:
Quote:
At every point of the Agricultural & Manufacturing process, there is the indirect & direct involvement of Energy


Are you afraid the sun will stop shining?



So, the sun now acts as a fertiliser, the sun runs the machinery that sows & reaps, as well as getting involved in the making of that machinery and the sun then fuels the vehicles that transport the agriculatural produce to the wholesaler, to the supermarket & then to the home for consumption?

Gee, that sun has got very busy, while I wasn't watching it today!

===============

I'm not sure which planet you are living on, but the humans on this planet need Energy to continue any sort of complex society.

The Energy Supply needs to be varied, to accommodate the varied tasks that are required, such as power generation & a largely liquid form of Energy to run the existing transport fleet.

It should be noted that we may be able to transition away from liquids for Transport, but the transition would take 20-30 years and massive amounts of Capital, which is currently not available, due to existing Debt levels.

Your thread, this thread, is about Economic Growth & Resource Consumption.

Clearly, there are diverging factors involved there -
1)  Under the Economic Status Quo, Growth is regarded as a pre-requisite, as is shown by the Monetary system and the every utterance of almost all Politicians, Economists & Big Business.
2)  One of the leading factors involved in delivering Economic Growth is Population Growth, as it provides for an automatic, built in growth in Demand for Products & Services of every description.
3)  Energy Growth, in all of the required forms, is a pre-requisite to track Population & Demand.

Energy is what Enables Population & Demand to continue to grow, they are all in lockstep.

If Energy Growth does not track Population & Demand Growth &/or the Energy to Global GDP ratio increases significantly, thus removing large portions of Personal &/or National disposable income capacity, then the Global Economy will go into decline or collapse completely, depending on the size of the Decline in Energy Supply &/or the increase in Energy Costs!

Now, you can go off on one of your irrelevant tangents, as you usual do, but it will not change the fact that, both economic growth vs resource consumption WILL GO INTO DECLINE, if Energy is unable to track the Growth of Population & Demand growth or there is a significant Energy cost increase!

Finally, as I have said previously, it may be possible that human intellect may outweigh the other 7 deadly human conditions (sins), but I just don't think we can run good public policy, on such a wing & a prayer.
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perceptions_now
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Re: economic growth vs resource consumption
Reply #29 - Sep 29th, 2010 at 7:45pm
 
freediver wrote on Sep 29th, 2010 at 8:24am:
Quote:
Note, we probably only have about 40-60 years left, at the rates of Consumption that are likely.


Not true.

Quote:
Yes and that has been happening for 40 years, but that is now attracting the Baby Boomer Bust, which will be followed by an actual total Population decline for at least 40-60 years, before we may finally stabilize.


So what is the problem? A population decline is not unsustainable.



You may actually be correct, Coal could last longer than 40-60 years, but that would be because of a large reduction in the use of Coal & other Energy, arising from a larger than expected Population decline.

The problem is, whilst a large Population decline is required, to eventually reach a level where Population & Resources can sustain each other, the Global Economy is likely to collapse from lack of Demand driven growth whilst all that is happening or enter a prolonged & serious Economic Recession, at best.
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