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The Soren Challenge (Read 45315 times)
Emma
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Re: The Soren Challenge
Reply #165 - Oct 19th, 2011 at 9:06pm
 
Thanks for that Muso

very interesting.   Your wee graphic was also good.  : ))

Makes me even more concerned about the level of impact  'air travel' has upon the environment.
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Soren
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Re: The Soren Challenge
Reply #166 - Oct 21st, 2011 at 12:43pm
 
muso wrote on Oct 19th, 2011 at 7:06am:
Well if you think that the actual facts are a snowjob, all I can say is that your BS detector is broken if you fall for some of the things that you parrot.

For what it's worth, I support what you say about the malevolent political part. This lightly disguised redistribution of wealth that would have huge payments to third world countries is an example of that. No wonder Copenhagen was not a success. Regardless of that there is a core atmospheric physics based issue which needs to be dealt with.

I'm not yet convinced that the current government's approach will have any effect on carbon emissions whatsoever. I am prepared to be pleasantly surprised but I'm not holding my breath.

What needs to happen is a focus on renewable energy. If Miners and farmers are so poor that we have to subsidise their purchases of fossil fuel, then we should at least be subsidising renewable alternatives such as biodiesel for them to use instead. That's one of the first things I'd do, and it's really not that difficult.  The only red diesel that should be available should be biodiesel. All the rest should be taxed.

Tackle the low hanging fruit first before trying to convince people of the need for another tax, the proceeds of which would apparently ("trust me, I'm a politician") be used for renewables.    

Notwithstanding all of the above, it doesn't change the fact that there is a sound basis to what you might hear as being shrill pronouncements.

It's frustrating for me trying to explain basic science from first principles when I'm not an educator, but it's also frustrating as hell when I hear idiots like Cardinal Pell talk about Nitrogen as a greenhouse gas when I know for absolute certain (and that is totally certain) that it isn't. To be a greenhouse gas, it has to absorb some of the emitted longwave infrared radiation that is emitted by the earth, and that occurs in a reasonably discrete band as predicted by Planck's Law, which is derived from basic first principles.  



As with everything else in the international domain, this issue would have been addressed effectively a long time ago if it was up to the democracies to make a decision among themselves and act on it. There are no issues of substance that the developed democracies have not been able to tackle effectively among themselves in the past half century. There is extraordinary cooperation on every level even as there is competition. 

The problem is that we have to include the Chinas, Indias, Vietnams and Indonesians of the world and pretend that they are not corrupt and that they have the same outlook as the democracies. This stupid pretence will mean that we will not do anything effective about reducing CO2 but will transfer billions of dollars to these corrupt countries as if that payment did anything environmentally positive. It is a gigantic con in this sense. The corrupt crooks alone will benefit from the well-meaning environmental concerns of people in the west.

ANd then, of course, there are the entirely malvolent forces in the west who want nothing more than to nobble the west in every possible way, AWG being merely the prétexte du jour.



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Re: The Soren Challenge
Reply #167 - Oct 21st, 2011 at 6:29pm
 
Global warming study finds no grounds for climate sceptics' concerns


The world is getting warmer, countering the doubts of climate change sceptics about the validity of some of the scientific evidence, according to the most comprehensive independent review of historical temperature records to date.

Scientists at the University of California, Berkeley, found several key issues that sceptics claim can skew global warming figures had no meaningful effect.

The Berkeley Earth project compiled more than a billion temperature records dating back to the 1800s from 15 sources around the world and found that the average global land temperature has risen by around 1C since the mid-1950s.

This figure agrees with the estimate arrived at by major groups that maintain official records on the world's climate, including Nasa's Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York, the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (Noaa), and the Met Office's Hadley Centre, with the University of East Anglia, in the UK.

Climate sceptics have criticised official global warming figures on the grounds that many temperature stations are poor quality and that data are tweaked by hand.

However, the Berkeley study found that the so-called urban heat island effect, which makes cities warmer than surrounding rural areas, is locally large and real, but does not contribute significantly to average land temperature rises. This is because urban regions make up less than 1% of the Earth's land area. And while stations considered "poor" might be less accurate, they recorded the same average warming trend.

Link -
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2011/oct/20/global-warming-study-climate-s...
=================================
There's also a colourful embedded video, showing the global temperature effect, since 1833.
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Re: The Soren Challenge
Reply #168 - Oct 21st, 2011 at 11:34pm
 
Soren wrote on Oct 21st, 2011 at 12:43pm:
As with everything else in the international domain, this issue would have been addressed effectively a long time ago if it was up to the democracies to make a decision among themselves and act on it. There are no issues of substance that the developed democracies have not been able to tackle effectively among themselves in the past half century. There is extraordinary cooperation on every level even as there is competition.  

The problem is that we have to include the Chinas, Indias, Vietnams and Indonesians of the world and pretend that they are not corrupt and that they have the same outlook as the democracies. This stupid pretence will mean that we will not do anything effective about reducing CO2 but will transfer billions of dollars to these corrupt countries as if that payment did anything environmentally positive. It is a gigantic con in this sense. The corrupt crooks alone will benefit from the well-meaning environmental concerns of people in the west.

ANd then, of course, there are the entirely malvolent forces in the west who want nothing more than to nobble the west in every possible way, AWG being merely the prétexte du jour.





You might be surprised. China is going ahead in leaps and bounds.  They will eventually end up selling some of the renewable technology to Australia. China already has enough renewable energy to power Australia several times over.
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Re: The Soren Challenge
Reply #169 - Oct 22nd, 2011 at 12:01am
 
Quote:
China already has enough renewable energy to power Australia several times over.


Overwhelmingly from hydroelectric power.
We could do that if the Greens let us
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Re: The Soren Challenge
Reply #170 - Oct 22nd, 2011 at 1:31am
 
oh yeah?? so Soren.......
Which River would you say is ripe for this??   Hmmm?

Ridiculous!!  We don't have the geography to use hydro effectively. Our rivers are too old, and the land itself too old - ie flat!. for hydro-electric power to be viable. Unless you want to try Tasmania.  And that ain't going to happen.  Nor should it.
Been there decades ago.  Didn't  get the go-ahead then, and won't now.

Dream on fruit loop! Roll Eyes
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Re: The Soren Challenge
Reply #171 - Oct 22nd, 2011 at 6:45am
 
Soren wrote on Oct 22nd, 2011 at 12:01am:
Quote:
China already has enough renewable energy to power Australia several times over.


Overwhelmingly from hydroelectric power.
We could do that if the Greens let us


Far North Queensland is the obvious candidate for that.  They are already looking at projects in that area (for example Burdekin hydro). It doesn't need to imply huge areas of inundated farm land either.  

The same obstacles apply to nuclear power. The Greens are not very "green" when it comes to thinking through long term outcomes.

It's a question of save the "furries" now in one location, or  let them burn to death later when we have a regional wave of bushfires as temperatures and the fire risk increases.

The problem is one of balance.  In terms of risk, the global and regional issues for the next century far outweigh the local.  We still need to manage the local and regional issues, but with a holistic viewpoint.

Some tough decisions will need to be made.
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« Last Edit: Oct 22nd, 2011 at 6:52am by muso »  

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Re: The Soren Challenge
Reply #172 - Oct 22nd, 2011 at 7:58am
 
Emma wrote on Oct 22nd, 2011 at 1:31am:
oh yeah?? so Soren.......
Which River would you say is ripe for this??   Hmmm?

Ridiculous!!  We don't have the geography to use hydro effectively. Our rivers are too old, and the land itself too old - ie flat!. for hydro-electric power to be viable. Unless you want to try Tasmania.  And that ain't going to happen.  Nor should it.
Been there decades ago.  Didn't  get the go-ahead then, and won't now.

Dream on fruit loop! Roll Eyes



This is what I mean, Muso, the environment is a political issue for the hordes of mongs, cadres and chancers. And so it is turned into a political issue for all of us. Even if the science was really agreed upon, the politics of the environment is framed in 19th century class war terms, both nationally and internationally.

Agreeing with the 'science' has become an agreement with the loud and unhinged alarmists and screamers who want to use the environment for far wider societal transformation. One is immediatly co-opted for their purposes, whether one likes it or not.

Not entirely but to a large extent this is the continuation of the class war by other means. The sticking point in th entire AGW debate are about politics and the economy (political economy, in other words), not environmentl science.

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Re: The Soren Challenge
Reply #173 - Oct 23rd, 2011 at 12:03am
 
'Agreeing with the 'science' has become an agreement with the loud and unhinged alarmists and screamers who want to use the environment for far wider societal transformation. One is immediatly co-opted for their purposes, whether one likes it or not.'- Soren

Seeking common ground with Muso??

My - but you can spin some garbage Soren.

"CLASS WAR BY OTHER MEANS. .."??  

What? you think concern for the future runs along CLASS lines??
Please elaborate. Huh Roll Eyes
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Re: The Soren Challenge
Reply #174 - Oct 23rd, 2011 at 12:57am
 
oh ... and I do agree with you Muso - 'The problem is one of balance.  .......................[i]In terms of risk, the global and regional issues for the next century far outweigh the local.  [/i]'  
Well OK - but individuals need to be engaged, and that can BEST BEGIN locally. Balance requires that LOCAL is as important as regional or global.

'We still need to manage the local and regional issues, but with a holistic viewpoint.
Some tough decisions will need to be made.'
- Muso

Oh yes indeed -  tough decisions do need to made. It is the people that make these decisions that concern me. Because the focus is not on long term outcomes, but short term gains.

I'd say my local council was hell-bent on development , with only lip-service to environmental concerns.  The amount of land clearing continues at a startling pace, with two new 'cities' to be in place , in the next 10-20 yrs, and it's underway now. !!
I live in a rural village, which, due to it's closeness to jobs,  is being overrun with housing developments. The infrastructure is rural. Patchy attempts to improve local roads is a good example of the effort put into supporting this proposed increase of 20,000+ people. The work was long overdue anyway, but only got done when more city folk moved out here.


The local POWER - provider-    'supposedly' ..ENERGEX  ...intend to extend a line through more than 5 river crossings - towers etc. ! But the river has recently received a 'fail' in a healthy waterways survey  - locals - council and activist groups are attempting to prevent the rape of the river by Energex, BUT, it seems power co.s are a power answerable only to themselves.  And this 'option' is still deemed to be the 'cheapest'. (MY input) This option is still their unequivocally stated best  choice.!!  

BUT- its NOT good for the river, or the future. If this sort of blindness is allowed to continue - forget about the global focus -
because the battlegrounds are in our own localities. WE are important - Not Energex and THEIR PROJECTED PROFITS.   Angry Angry
If you are interested in this particular LOCAL fight - happening right now, against energy providers- in defense of crucial habitat -   check out VETO.
REGION  -  SEQ  - the LOGAN RIVER.!!
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Re: The Soren Challenge
Reply #175 - Oct 23rd, 2011 at 10:41am
 
Emma wrote on Oct 23rd, 2011 at 12:57am:
I'd say my local council was hell-bent on development , with only lip-service to environmental concerns.  The amount of land clearing continues at a startling pace, with two new 'cities' to be in place , in the next 10-20 yrs, and it's underway now. !!
I live in a rural village, which, due to it's closeness to jobs,  is being overrun with housing developments. The infrastructure is rural. Patchy attempts to improve local roads is a good example of the effort put into supporting this proposed increase of 20,000+ people.




Looks like it's time for you to reconsider your tired old slogans or at least turn them upside down: think local, act global - campaig fot zero net immigration. That way you will not need to find room for tens of thousands of people. 20,000 Asians in Asia will not use as much energy as the same Aisans in Australia. So how about this:

Zero net immigration. Drastic cut in family reunion.
Carbon dioxide tax on all goods, including all imported goods and coal exports.
Proceeds to be spent excusively on achieving clean energy independence, R&D on renewables and skills education
No ETS and absolutely no transfer of funds overseas in the guise of 'carbon credits'.
Dam all rivers that can be dammed.
All domestic energy (for heating, running domestic appliances and lighting) to be locally produced solar

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Re: The Soren Challenge
Reply #176 - Oct 23rd, 2011 at 12:05pm
 
Soren wrote on Oct 23rd, 2011 at 10:41am:
20,000 Asians in Asia will not use as much energy as the same Aisans in Australia. So how about this:



Take one false premise and you could claim just about anything.  However, I read that post as the usual rabble rousing rather than anything of significance. I would never stoop to such levels as to tease Jalane.  Tongue
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Re: The Soren Challenge
Reply #177 - Oct 23rd, 2011 at 8:05pm
 
Zero net immigration. Drastic cut in family reunion.
Carbon dioxide tax on all goods, including all imported goods and coal exports.
Proceeds to be spent excusively on achieving clean energy independence, R&D on renewables and skills education
No ETS and absolutely no transfer of funds overseas in the guise of 'carbon credits'.
Dam all rivers that can be dammed.
All domestic energy (for heating, running domestic appliances and lighting) to be locally produced solar



These are explicitly environmentally progrssive ideas in AUstralia's national interest. I don't see how anyone could construe them as teasing.

Unless, of course, you have a great deal of difficulty with conflicting PC pieties wrestling for your progressive heart.





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Re: The Soren Challenge
Reply #178 - Oct 24th, 2011 at 12:33am
 
Get out of it.! Wink

But seriously folks - if people don't care about their own 'backyard' ..they're not going to care about the wider issue.

Which is ???  

10 points out of 10 if you say the 'environment'.

Like the old saying goes  "Look after the pennies and the pounds will take care of themselves".

Clear enough?? Smiley
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Re: The Soren Challenge
Reply #179 - Oct 24th, 2011 at 12:36am
 
' - if people don't care about their own 'backyard' ..they're not going to care about the wider issue.' - Me

Is this a false premise Muso?

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