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Avoiding Climate Extremism (Read 32506 times)
sir prince duke alevine
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Re: Avoiding Climate Extremism
Reply #285 - Jun 7th, 2011 at 3:37pm
 
longweekend58 wrote on Jun 7th, 2011 at 3:28pm:
but you could enforce a 5 thread per week rule quite easily. after all there are only a few people in that group so informing them an enforcing it woudlnt be hard.

i cant wait to see how the Australian plans to charge people for cut and paste of their onlne material. how exactly do u enforce that and I very much doubt that they have legal right to do so.


They could very easily sue Maqqa for the fact he never properly cites them and redistributes them.
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Re: Avoiding Climate Extremism
Reply #286 - Jun 7th, 2011 at 3:43pm
 

".......50 million climate refugees by 2010 due to sea level rise........."

that was pretty extreme, and false
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Re: Avoiding Climate Extremism
Reply #287 - Jun 7th, 2011 at 4:00pm
 
longweekend58 wrote on Jun 7th, 2011 at 9:31am:
mozzaok wrote on Jun 6th, 2011 at 8:28pm:
Better Crowther, and think yourrself lucky it is not Nazi Germany, or you would be the first to go. Grin

The point is honesty, express your opinions as strongly as you like, but do so openly and honestly, and you will have no problems here.


so NOT true. you gave me a 24hr ban and have yet to explain why - all in a thread asking mods to do something about abusive posters and spammers.


Well, that's just ridiculous LW!

I fail to see any reason why you should be banned!

In fact, you are generally one of the better reasons why people should support such things as action on Climate Change etc, because your posts are so totally unconvincing for your cause/s.

So, I would think you should stay online and posting, as it makes my position easier to explain, rationally!

Ha! Ha! Ha!
That's a joke boy,
I say, that's a joke!
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Re: Avoiding Climate Extremism
Reply #288 - Jun 7th, 2011 at 4:25pm
 
longweekend58 wrote on Jun 3rd, 2011 at 11:37am:
The ‘Great Climate Debate’ is anything but a debate. In fact, it has never really been a debate at all. A debate involves a frank exchange of views with mutual respect and a desire to find a consensus or compromise position.  The subject of Climate Change has never been anything but a call to arms to adopt one of two extremist positions with no room for anyone in the middle. Seeking after truth has been relegated way below the politics and a struggle for supremacy.

On one side we have the Chicken Little Brigade predicting doom, gloom and 100m sea level rises all due to occur in the next decade. On the other side we have the Total Deniers with the tagline of ‘climate change is crap’.

Extreme positions are common in any debate but the Climate Change debate is different in that there are only two positions anyone is permitted to hold. Anyone that supports action on CO2 emissions is instantly classed as an Al Gore sycophant and his thoroughly discredited views. Anyone who even questions the declarations of the IPCC is considered a ‘denier of science’ even if their views are credible.
This extreme polarisation of views makes rational debate pointless and valueless. Nothing is ever achieved by calling a highly respected professor of science a ‘science denier or fraud’ for questioning the tenets of Climate Change. Likewise, nothing is gained by describing the climate change evangelists as ‘conspiracists, liars and frauds’.

Truth lies in the middle of most complex arguments. This one is no different.

‘Climate Change is Crap’ is a stupid comment either on the basic level or the ‘considered’ one. On the basic level there is ALWAYS climate change and that is undeniable.  The considered opinion states that climate change occurs, but that humans do not affect it. That is also ludicrous as it is a basic tenet of science that our mere existence affects the outcome of our environment. However, the extent of this impact is where the debate should lie. But it doesn’t. It instead becomes a simple yet pointless yes/no question that is wrong no matter how you answer it.

‘The Science is settled’ is just as stupid and even more dangerous. Science is never settled. Lacking the omniscience of God, science is an iterative process that approaches truth through experiment treating both success and failure as valuable contributions to that search. The notion that we ‘know all there is to know’ on a topic is arrogance beyond belief. Around 1900, scientists proudly proclaimed that ‘we know all there is to know about the structure of matter’. And then someone discovered that atoms themselves have a sub-atomic structure and now we know even less than we did before.  The US Patent Office stopped taking new patents at one stage saying that after the invention of the automobile, there ‘wasnt anything more to invent’. We laugh at such short-sightedness today yet proudly proclaim the ‘science is settled’ in a discipline that is more complex than sub-atomic physics and has far less history of research.

Many of us have our own considered opinions on this issue, but if we dare to proclaim them we are unceremoniously dumped into one or other extremist camp.

I don’t know the real answer but one thing I can guarantee is that it will be neither of the two extremist positions currently being advertised and argued.

Truth remains as distant as ever before but hysteria walks among us.


OK Longy, as you requested my opinion on your Original Post, I will oblige you.
Unfortunately while I can agree with your premise that just polarising all views to fit into the camp of either extreme, is usually counter productive, I must admit to being someone who does hold ALL climate change deniers in utter contempt, as I firmly believe that they do not fit into the category of either being "honest", or a "sceptic", although I do believe that there are honest sceptics who do challenge aspects of the AGW issue, they do not indulge in the behaviour or share the views of the denialists, who are in a distinct category all of their own.

Now to examine your post.
Quote:
The subject of Climate Change has never been anything but a call to arms to adopt one of two extremist positions with no room for anyone in the middle

This is clearly not a fair portrayal of the facts, while The Denialists extreme position is, and always has been, Do Nothing, Nothing needs to be done, the Other side of the supposed extremist range you imply exists would be who? And what "extreme" actions do you think they are asking for?
I will go into the answer to this most salient point later,(with a link to a scholarly article discussing the complexities of this issue) because the truth of the matter is that this is the only "valid" debate now happening, and the denialists "do nothing" position, is rightly relegated as distracting background noise which should not be allowed to drown out the critical debate about what level Carbon Emissions will need to be mitigated to, and how best can we achieve such goals.

Quote:
On one side we have the Chicken Little Brigade predicting doom, gloom and 100m sea level rises all due to occur in the next decade. On the other side we have the Total Deniers with the tagline of ‘climate change is crap’.
longy

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mozzaok
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Re: Avoiding Climate Extremism
Reply #289 - Jun 7th, 2011 at 4:59pm
 
The obvious Strawman statement is evident in the fact that the predictions you make are false, nobody is making such predictions, and even though you may be attempting to parody the case, the real predictions of the scientific community have been consistently conservative, and almost universally outpaced by the real world events being measured.
Take the Arctic Sea Ice predictions, and I quote;
Quote:
In early May, the international Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Program found that temperatures in the Arctic in the last six years were the highest since measurements began in 1880. Arctic sea ice is melting significantly faster than projected by the UN International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in 2007 and, along with melting ice sheets and glaciers, points toward a sea level rise of 35-63 inches by 2100.

That was from this article linked below.
http://triplecrisis.com/can-low-carbon-growth-save-us/

So this characterisation of extremists making false and unfounded predictions goes against the evidence we have at hand, yet the characterisation of the Denialists maintaining that Climate change is, "absolute crap", is entirely accurate.

Quote:
Anyone that supports action on CO2 emissions is instantly classed as an Al Gore sycophant and his thoroughly discredited views. Anyone who even questions the declarations of the IPCC is considered a ‘denier of science’ even if their views are credible.


While Al Gore may have been guilty of a degree of sensationalism, in his attempt to have this issue receive the degree of serious examination he felt it needed, to claim he is thoroughly discredited is just untrue, he is merely a politician who used his political skills to have a critical issue highlighted, and is not the architect of the scientific examination, of the IPCC, and is not particularly relevant to the current scientific issues being debated, which are all of a quantitative nature, rather than substantive, as the serious debate has moved beyond that point, and it is only the denialists who are still questioning the substance of the scientific knowledge currently agreed upon, by not only the bulk of the world's governments, but also the bulk of the climate science community.

Quote:
Truth lies in the middle of most complex arguments. This one is no different.
longy

This is the Holy Grail for the denialists, an unfair demand that their lack of scientific opinion, their lack of credible argument, and their politically motivated objection to taking any action on Climate Change is intellectually, and morally equivalent of the work and opinions of the world's leading climate scientists, and therefore we need to ignore the accumulated evidence accrued over decades of hard, observational science, and revert to a childish debate based on the denialists demanding the right to not believe the scientific opinion of the most eminently qualified scientists in the climate science field.

This is akin to the creationists demanding to have god created the world in six days, being taught as valid competing theory in earth history or geology classes, and we need to just stop pandering to such groups.
They can either do the scientific work to collect data and write up papers and theories to be open to constructive analysis, or else stop demanding that their unfounded opinions be treated with the same gravity as those people who have done the serious scientific work, and had it examined and rigorously reviewed, and found to be relevant.
Currently they demand the right to dismiss scientific work out of hand, and have their opinions accepted in their place, and to any fair minded person that has to appear as idiocy.

Quote:
‘The Science is settled’ is just as stupid and even more dangerous. Science is never settled.
longy

Well that is the truest thing you have said so far, the science is certainly not settled, it is ongoing.
The fact that it is ongoing does not however mean that was has already been done is discredited, in fact the opposite is true, as more and more evidence accumulates the evidence keeps mounting to show the original concerns were entirely valid, and if anything, understated.

Now, I shall provide the link to that article I mentioned earlier, which goes into just what mitigation strategies we should be considering.
It is a pretty technical read, but worth the time for those of you who do not put themselves in the corner with the extreme, "Absolute Crap", camp.

http://ssis.arts.unsw.edu.au/tsw/IPCCcrit.html

PS, you will like this article Longy, because it shitcans the IPCC, Stren, and Garnaut, but it is evidence of the type of debate we should be having, the debate about the HOW, not a silly debate about should we, as all serious minds have already gone past that point.
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« Last Edit: Jun 7th, 2011 at 5:07pm by mozzaok »  

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Re: Avoiding Climate Extremism
Reply #290 - Jun 7th, 2011 at 5:03pm
 
Just to show the hypocrisy of the position of people who demand action on Australia but are happy to accept China's 2005 based carbon 'intensity' data.

This is China's CO2 growth over the last 3 decades.

Now tell me again where the problem lies?
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Re: Avoiding Climate Extremism
Reply #291 - Jun 7th, 2011 at 5:10pm
 
Last year the US invested $34 billion, Germany $41 Billion, and China topped the world with, $54 Billion investment in clean energy options.

Edumacate yourself Andrei.

http://triplecrisis.com/can-low-carbon-growth-save-us/
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Re: Avoiding Climate Extremism
Reply #292 - Jun 7th, 2011 at 5:14pm
 
mozzaok wrote on Jun 7th, 2011 at 5:10pm:
Last year the US invested $34 billion, Germany $41 Billion, and China topped the world with, $54 Billion investment in clean energy options.

Edumacate yourself Andrei.

http://triplecrisis.com/can-low-carbon-growth-save-us/

Was that suppose to help. Someone or something with money can spend it on what you want and then you are happy and the whole world is doomed is sidestepped. Dubious.
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Re: Avoiding Climate Extremism
Reply #293 - Jun 7th, 2011 at 5:23pm
 
mozzaok wrote on Jun 7th, 2011 at 5:10pm:
Last year the US invested $34 billion, Germany $41 Billion, and China topped the world with, $54 Billion investment in clean energy options.

Edumacate yourself Andrei.

http://triplecrisis.com/can-low-carbon-growth-save-us/



So why pray tell, are they not willing to reduce their total emissions and be held to emissions targets?

Their standard position, along with their Indian partner-in-crime, is that they will not accepted 1990 based binding targets.

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Andrei.Hicks
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Re: Avoiding Climate Extremism
Reply #294 - Jun 7th, 2011 at 5:25pm
 
Mozza - You do realize that whilst the world is reducing its emissions over the last 5 years.

China and India have openly grown theirs and make no apologies for it.

Have a look at that graph and then tell me again what a terrific job they are doing.
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sir prince duke alevine
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Re: Avoiding Climate Extremism
Reply #295 - Jun 7th, 2011 at 5:26pm
 
Andrei.Hicks wrote on Jun 7th, 2011 at 5:23pm:
mozzaok wrote on Jun 7th, 2011 at 5:10pm:
Last year the US invested $34 billion, Germany $41 Billion, and China topped the world with, $54 Billion investment in clean energy options.

Edumacate yourself Andrei.

http://triplecrisis.com/can-low-carbon-growth-save-us/



So why pray tell, are they not willing to reduce their total emissions and be held to emissions targets?

Their standard position, along with their Indian partner-in-crime, is that they will not accepted 1990 based binding targets.



That has been asked and answered. Why do you love to ignore and repeat all the time?
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Re: Avoiding Climate Extremism
Reply #296 - Jun 7th, 2011 at 5:30pm
 
No, it is just an indication that China does accept the serious issue of Climate Change, and is not just demanding they be allowed to continue on with the denialist style, Business As Usual, approach.
They are a developing economy, and as such acknowledge that their emissions will continue to grow, but they can take the Denialist route, the "Do Nothing" route, that so many here seem to desire that Australia does, or they can go the minimum growth route, attempting to limit their growing emissions rather than just letting them run rampant, and damn the consequences.
The attempts to dumb this issue down to one starting point, one strategy, for every nation, and economy in the world, irrespective of their current standards, or their projected growth, is fine for people who do not really want to see this problem tackled in a fair and realistic fashion, but for the rest of us, knowing that China is setting targets, and is investing in clean technologies, certainly does nothing to validate the position of the Carbon Tax naysayers who proclaim we do nothing because nobody else is.
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Re: Avoiding Climate Extremism
Reply #297 - Jun 7th, 2011 at 5:33pm
 
China refused to budge Wednesday on its demands that rich nations commit to large greenhouse gas cuts at upcoming climate change talks, while also declining to put a ceiling on its own emissions.

China and other developing nations will call on rich countries to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 40 percent by 2020 from 1990 levels at negotiations in Copenhagen in December, said Yu Qingtai, China's top climate negotiator.

"We have all along believed that due to the historical responsibility of the developed nations, they must continue to take the lead with large reductions beyond 2012," Yu told reporters.

We "have demanded that developed nations reduce emissions by 40 percent... this is fair and reasonable... China's position has not changed."

The December negotiations are aimed at hammering out a new climate change pact to replace the Kyoto protocol that expires in 2012.

As a developing nation with low per-capita emissions, China is not required to set emissions cuts under the UN Framework on Climate Change.

The European Union has said it will slash emissions by 20 percent by 2020 compared with the 1990 level.

The US Congress is considering legislation that would reduce US greenhouse gas emissions by 17 percent from 2005 levels by 2020.


China, the world's largest emitter of greenhouse gases along with the United States, has said neither of the cuts are enough.

Yu further called on rich countries to lay out concrete plans to finance technology transfers to help developing nations cut emissions.

His comments came after weeks of discussions between China and the United States on climate change and after UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon said late last month that Beijing was key to the success of the upcoming talks.

Yu said China is seeking to increase energy efficiency by 20 percent from 2006 to 2010 as part of a plan to address global warming and will set similar targets for the period until 2020.

However, China still has not projected when it will reach its peak of greenhouse gas emissions, he added.


"When China reaches its emission peak will depend on its development stage, per capita GDP, national resources, technological level," Yu said.

"Our experts and competent authorities are studying when China will reach its emission peak."

Copyright © 2011 AFP. All rights reserved.
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Re: Avoiding Climate Extremism
Reply #298 - Jun 7th, 2011 at 5:44pm
 
mozzaok wrote on Jun 7th, 2011 at 4:25pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Jun 3rd, 2011 at 11:37am:
The ‘Great Climate Debate’ is anything but a debate. In fact, it has never really been a debate at all. A debate involves a frank exchange of views with mutual respect and a desire to find a consensus or compromise position.  The subject of Climate Change has never been anything but a call to arms to adopt one of two extremist positions with no room for anyone in the middle. Seeking after truth has been relegated way below the politics and a struggle for supremacy.

On one side we have the Chicken Little Brigade predicting doom, gloom and 100m sea level rises all due to occur in the next decade. On the other side we have the Total Deniers with the tagline of ‘climate change is crap’.

Extreme positions are common in any debate but the Climate Change debate is different in that there are only two positions anyone is permitted to hold. Anyone that supports action on CO2 emissions is instantly classed as an Al Gore sycophant and his thoroughly discredited views. Anyone who even questions the declarations of the IPCC is considered a ‘denier of science’ even if their views are credible.
This extreme polarisation of views makes rational debate pointless and valueless. Nothing is ever achieved by calling a highly respected professor of science a ‘science denier or fraud’ for questioning the tenets of Climate Change. Likewise, nothing is gained by describing the climate change evangelists as ‘conspiracists, liars and frauds’.

Truth lies in the middle of most complex arguments. This one is no different.

‘Climate Change is Crap’ is a stupid comment either on the basic level or the ‘considered’ one. On the basic level there is ALWAYS climate change and that is undeniable.  The considered opinion states that climate change occurs, but that humans do not affect it. That is also ludicrous as it is a basic tenet of science that our mere existence affects the outcome of our environment. However, the extent of this impact is where the debate should lie. But it doesn’t. It instead becomes a simple yet pointless yes/no question that is wrong no matter how you answer it.

we know even less than we did before.  The US Patent Office stopped taking new patents at one stage saying that after the invention of the automobile, there ‘wasnt anything more to invent’. We laugh at such short-sightedness today yet proudly proclaim the ‘science is settled’ in a discipline that is more complex than sub-atomic physics and has far less history of research.

Many of us have our own considered opinions on this issue, but if we dare to proclaim them we are unceremoniously dumped into one or other extremist camp.

I don’t know the real answer but one thing I can guarantee is that it will be neither of the two extremist positions currently being advertised and argued.

Truth remains as distant as ever before but hysteria walks among us.


OK Longy, as you requested my opinion on your Original Post, I will oblige you.
Unfortunately while I can agree with your premise that just polarising all views to fit into the camp of either extreme, is usually counter productive, I must admit to being someone who does hold ALL climate change deniers in utter contempt, as I firmly believe that they do not fit into the category of either being "honest", or a "sceptic", although I do believe that there are honest sceptics who do challenge aspects of the AGW issue, they do not indulge in the behaviour or share the views of the denialists, who are in a distinct category all of their own.

Now to examine your post.
Quote:
The subject of Climate Change has never been anything but a call to arms to adopt one of two extremist positions with no room for anyone in the middle

This is clearly not a fair portrayal of the facts, while The Denialists extreme position is, and always has been, Do Nothing, Nothing needs to be done, the Other side of the supposed extremist range you imply exists would be who? And what "extreme" actions do you think they are asking for?
I will go into the answer to this most salient point later,(with a link to a scholarly article discussing the complexities of this issue) because the truth of the matter is that this is the only "valid" debate now happening, and the denialists "do nothing" position, is rightly relegated as distracting background noise which should not be allowed to drown out the critical debate about what level Carbon Emissions will need to be mitigated to, and how best can we achieve such goals.

Quote:
On one side we have the Chicken Little Brigade predicting doom, gloom and 100m sea level rises all due to occur in the next decade. On the other side we have the Total Deniers with the tagline of ‘climate change is crap’.
longy



A little bit disappointing there mozza. you almost got there but how many people really occupy that 'climate change is crap' position? very few actually which was ,my point. You would classify me in that camp because I dont subscribe to your viewpoint. the whole point of my OP was to point out that very few people genuinely hold either extremist position but duringn debate everyone gets classified thus. Your belief that there are no pro-climate change extremists is perhaps the most disappointing of all. Im surprised you actually can say that with a straight face.
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longweekend58
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Re: Avoiding Climate Extremism
Reply #299 - Jun 7th, 2011 at 5:52pm
 
mozzaok wrote on Jun 7th, 2011 at 4:59pm:
The obvious Strawman statement is evident in the fact that the predictions you make are false, nobody is making such predictions, and even though you may be attempting to parody the case, the real predictions of the scientific community have been consistently conservative, and almost universally outpaced by the real world events being measured.
Take the Arctic Sea Ice predictions, and I quote;
Quote:
In early May, the international Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Program found that temperatures in the Arctic in the last six years were the highest since measurements began in 1880. Arctic sea ice is melting significantly faster than projected by the UN International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in 2007 and, along with melting ice sheets and glaciers, points toward a sea level rise of 35-63 inches by 2100.

That was from this article linked below.
http://triplecrisis.com/can-low-carbon-growth-save-us/

Quote:
Anyone that supports action on CO2 emissions is instantly classed as an Al Gore sycophant and his thoroughly discredited views. Anyone who even questions the declarations of the IPCC is considered a ‘denier of science’ even if their views are credible.


substantive, as the serious debate has moved beyond that point, and it is only the denialists who are still questioning the substance of the scientific knowledge currently agreed upon, by not only the bulk of the world's governments, but also the bulk of the climate science community.

Quote:
Truth lies in the middle of most complex arguments. This one is no different.
longy

This is the Holy Grail for the denialists, an unfair demand that their lack of scientific opinion, their lack of credible argument, and their politically motivated objection to taking any action on Climate Change is intellectually, and morally equivalent of the work and opinions of the world's leading climate scientists, and therefore we need to ignore the accumulated evidence accrued over decades of hard, observational science, and revert to a childish debate based on the denialists demanding the right to not believe the scientific opinion of the most eminently qualified scientists in the climate science field.

This is akin to the creationists demanding to have god created the world in six days, being taught as valid competing theory in earth history or geology classes, and we need to just stop pandering to such groups.
They can either do the scientific work to collect data and write up papers and theories to be open to constructive analysis, or else stop demanding that their unfounded opinions be treated with the same gravity as those people who have done the serious scientific work, and had it examined and rigorously reviewed, and found to be relevant.
Currently they demand the right to dismiss scientific work out of hand, and have their opinions accepted in their place, and to any fair minded person that has to appear as idiocy.

Quote:
‘The Science is settled’ is just as stupid and even more dangerous. Science is never settled.
longy

Well that is the truest thing you have said so far, the science is certainly not settled, it is ongoing.
The fact that it is ongoing does not however mean that was has already been done is discredited, in fact the opposite is true, as more and more evidence accumulates the evidence keeps mounting to show the original concerns were entirely valid, and if anything, understated.

Now, I shall provide the link to that article I mentioned earlier, which goes into just what mitigation strategies we should be considering.
It is a pretty technical read, but worth the time for those of you who do not put themselves in the corner with the extreme, "Absolute Crap", camp.

http://ssis.arts.unsw.edu.au/tsw/IPCCcrit.html

PS, you will like this article Longy, because it shitcans the IPCC, Stren, and Garnaut, but it is evidence of the type of debate we should be having, the debate about the HOW, not a silly debate about should we, as all serious minds have already gone past that point.


You make some good points but it is not even remotely like an unbiased one. There have been several very respected scientists say that the ACC hysteria is just that - hysteria. But you reject them - simply because of their opinion.

While saying that the predictions are accurate you really miss so many of the past predictions. 100m sea level rises anyone? or even 6m? and the 50million refugees nonsense!  and there have been mutiple embarrassing idiotic predictions that have failed to materialise. every summer the arctic is melting and every year ot fails to do so.

then there are the predictions of TOTAL melt of greenland and the antarctic despite the actual impossibility of such a thing.

Nope, there are many predictions made and many astonsihing failures.

And I have to say that supporting Gore's actions and predictions discredits you enormously. Virtually everybody in climate science says he is an idiot and that his movie is an embarrassment. You might as well get your science from the movie 'The Day after Tomorrow' which at least was entertaining!
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