Peaking two years out from an election? Nice timing bro

bwood1946 wrote on Jul 18^th, 2011 at 12:28pm:

Why do you think Gillard will go to an early election???? why would she? she's got nothing to lose and everything  to gain by going full term.

skippy. wrote on Jul 18^th, 2011 at 12:34pm:


The power brokers will give her the arse      and it wont be long

I just wonder if Gillard can find a way over the next 2.5 years on how to not alienate the last 26% of the voters she has left willing to support her.
Perhaps even get something right for a change.

cods wrote on Jul 18^th, 2011 at 1:11pm:

   
News    >    

Latest Nielsen Poll


June 21, 2011

LABOR PARTY VOTE AT RECORD LOW

Key Findings

Two-party vote: Coalition 59% (up 3) lead ALP 41% (down 3) [based on 2010 election preferences]
First preferences: Labor 27% (down 4), Coalition 49% (up 2), Greens 12% (up 2)
Ms Gillard’s approval at 37% (down 6); disapproval at 59% (up 7)
Mr Abbott’s approval at 46% (up 1); disapproval at 50% (steady)
Gillard and Abbott tied as preferred PM: Gillard 46% (down 1), Abbott 46% (up 2)
The Gillard Government would be defeated in a landslide if an election were held now, according to the latest Nielsen Poll.

The national poll of 1,400 respondents, taken from Tuesday to Thursday (14-16 June), shows the Coalition with 59% of the two-party vote (up 3 points since May) ahead of the ALP on 41% (down 3 points). This is the Coalition’s biggest two-party preferred lead since May 1996, when they were ahead 60% to 40%

On primaries Labor is on 27% (down 4) and the Coalition is up two points to 49% The Greens lead the minor parties with 12% of the vote (up 2). Family First is on 3% (up 1), and independents are on 4% (down 2). Other parties are on 5% (steady).

Labor’s primary vote of 27% is the lowest for any major party in the 39 year history of the Federal Nielsen Poll. The previous record lows were ALP 31% in May 1996, Coalition 31% in April 2001 and the ALP 31% in April and May 2011. The Liberal and National parties primary vote of 49% is its highest since January 2005 when the Coalition polled 52% of primaries.

When the two-party vote is calculated by how respondents said they would allocate preferences, the result is Coalition 59% (up 3) ahead of the ALP 41% (up 3).

[Compared to May 2011, there was no statistically significant movement in two-party vote. The Labor and independent primary vote falls were statistically significant at the 5% level. No other primary vote changes were statistically significant.]

The leaders
Ms Gillard’s approval rating is 37% (down 6). Disapproval of Ms Gillard is 59% (up 7), giving her a net approval of minus 22 (37% approval minus 59% disapproval = -22%). This is Ms Gillard’s lowest approval and highest disapproval since becoming Prime Minister a year ago. It is the lowest approval rating for a Prime Minister since John Howard’s 35% in April 2001. Ms Gillard’s net approval of -22% is the lowest since Paul Keating’s -23% in October 1995.

Mr Abbott’s approval is 46% (up 1). Disapproval is 50% (steady). Mr Abbott’s net approval is -4% (up 1).

Ms Gillard and Mr Abbott are tied as preferred Prime Minister: Gillard 46% (down 1) to Abbott 46% (up 2). This is the first time since November 2007 that the Prime Minister has not been in front as preferred PM. Opposition Leader Rudd was ahead of John Howard as preferred Prime Minister in every Nielsen Poll in 2007, with Mr Rudd’s lead ranging from 4 to 13 points.

[The changes in approval, disapproval and net approval for Ms Gillard were statistically significant at the 5% level. None of the changes in preferred Prime Minister or Abbott approval/disapproval were statistically significant.]






 

seems pretty weird that an anarchist seems to be all about the labour party but whatever