Australian Politics Forum - Tim Flannery: fails forecasting exam

chicken_lipsforme

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Re: Tim Flannery: fails forecasting exam
Reply #15 - Mar 7^th, 2012 at 7:42am

muso wrote on Mar 3^rd, 2012 at 11:07am:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 3^rd, 2012 at 7:02am:

Oooooowwwww.
We've never had icebergs before.
The climate must be changing.
Lets have an air tax and change the climate. Grin

Good example of this:

Reductionism 101:
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Example:
Statement:
60 million people died as a result of World War II

Reductionist stock answer:
Oooooowwwww.
We've never had people die before.

or:

People have been dying for millions of year, There's nothing new in that old acorn.

(The devil is in the detail.)

A good example? Grin

It's chalk and cheese.

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"Another boat, another policy failure from the Howard government"

Julia Gillard
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chicken_lipsforme

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Re: Tim Flannery: fails forecasting exam
Reply #16 - Mar 7^th, 2012 at 7:46am

Gist wrote on Mar 3^rd, 2012 at 10:50am:

chicken_lipsforme wrote on Mar 3^rd, 2012 at 7:02am:

Gist wrote on Mar 1^st, 2012 at 6:07pm:

Meanwhile the Antarctic is breaking up. A 900 square kilometre iceberg is in the process of being calved Shocked

http://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/gigantic-antarctic-crack-mapped...

No ... climate change isn't happening. You deniers were right all along! Roll Eyes

Oooooowwwww.
We've never had icebergs before.
The climate must be changing.
Lets have an air tax and change the climate. Grin

There's an excellent book by Jared Diamond called "Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Survive" which investigates the collapse of several societies in the past and present. It's worth reading. Anyway, in there Diamond asks the question as to what may have been going through the mind of the polynesians on Easter Island as they cut down their last tree to move their stone statues.Posts like yours and the others may help answer that question chook.

By the way, there's a fairly large chapter on Australia. Like I say, worth reading.

Read another book and it could well tell you aliens put the statues there.
In fact, if you get half a dozen books on the subject, you will have six different explanations.
It's up to the individual which one they choose to beleive.
And they can't all be right.

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"Another boat, another policy failure from the Howard government"

Julia Gillard
Shadow Health Minister
2003.

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MOTR Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 6646	Re: Tim Flannery: fails forecasting exam Reply #17 - Mar 7^th, 2012 at 11:02pm It's called critical reading, chicken_lipsforme. You're a walking manifestation of the Gonski report. Talk back is no substitute for a good education.
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MOTR

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Re: Tim Flannery: fails forecasting exam
Reply #18 - Mar 7^th, 2012 at 11:15pm

salad in wrote on Mar 1^st, 2012 at 2:59pm:

Quote:

Weather forecasting is obviously not Professor Tim Flannery's forte

METEOROLOGISTS suggested Climate Commissioner Tim Flannery leave weather forecasting to them as the big wet defies his prediction rain would become scarce.

In 2007 Professor Flannery said Sydney, Adelaide and Brisbane were in urgent need of desalination plants.

Four years on, Warragamba Dam is on the verge of overflowing and Brisbane last year endured the worst flooding in almost four decades.

After yesterday discovering Professor Flannery is not a meteorologist, the Weather Channel's meteorologists said it was probably best he left the forecasting to them.

[...]

http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/sydney-nsw/weather-forecasting-is-obviously-not-professor-tim-flannerys-forte/story-e6freuzi-1226285558977

Public acts of masturbation should be discouraged.

I don't recall a single meteorologist predicting an intensification of the La Nina/El Nino cycle. It is simply beyond their ken. Flannery was picking up on an unprecedented decades long trend, which at the time demanded a policy response.

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Hunt says Coalition accepts IPCC findings

"What does this mean? It means that we need to do practical things that actually reduce emissions."

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salad in

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Re: Tim Flannery: fails forecasting exam
Reply #19 - Mar 8^th, 2012 at 6:58am

MOTR wrote on Mar 7^th, 2012 at 11:15pm:

I don't recall a single meteorologist predicting an intensification of the La Nina/El Nino cycle. It is simply beyond their ken. Flannery was picking up on an unprecedented decades long trend, which at the time demanded a policy response.

And so it is very dangerous to make statements like....the east coast of Australia will never again have dam filling rains. That's the reason why I suggested that masturbation should be done in private.

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The ALP, the progressive party, the party of ideas, the workers' friend, is the only Australian political party to roast four young Australians in roof cavities. SHAME! SHAME! SHAME!

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chicken_lipsforme Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 7090 Townsville NQ Gender:	Re: Tim Flannery: fails forecasting exam Reply #20 - Mar 8^th, 2012 at 8:02am MOTR wrote on Mar 7^th, 2012 at 11:02pm: It's called critical reading, chicken_lipsforme. You're a walking manifestation of the Gonski report. Talk back is no substitute for a good education. No it's not is it. You can call it critical reading. A million others would call it selective reading.
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MOTR

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Re: Tim Flannery: fails forecasting exam
Reply #21 - Mar 8^th, 2012 at 1:45pm

salad in wrote on Mar 8^th, 2012 at 6:58am:

MOTR wrote on Mar 7^th, 2012 at 11:15pm:

I don't recall a single meteorologist predicting an intensification of the La Nina/El Nino cycle. It is simply beyond their ken. Flannery was picking up on an unprecedented decades long trend, which at the time demanded a policy response.

And so it is very dangerous to make statements like....the east coast of Australia will never again have dam filling rains. That's the reason why I suggested that masturbation should be done in private.

Can you find the direct quote where he said that.

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Hunt says Coalition accepts IPCC findings

"What does this mean? It means that we need to do practical things that actually reduce emissions."

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salad in

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Re: Tim Flannery: fails forecasting exam
Reply #22 - Mar 8^th, 2012 at 4:23pm

MOTR wrote on Mar 8^th, 2012 at 1:45pm:

salad in wrote on Mar 8^th, 2012 at 6:58am:

MOTR wrote on Mar 7^th, 2012 at 11:15pm:

I don't recall a single meteorologist predicting an intensification of the La Nina/El Nino cycle. It is simply beyond their ken. Flannery was picking up on an unprecedented decades long trend, which at the time demanded a policy response.

And so it is very dangerous to make statements like....the east coast of Australia will never again have dam filling rains. That's the reason why I suggested that masturbation should be done in private.

Can you find the direct quote where he said that.

Yes I can. Can you?

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The ALP, the progressive party, the party of ideas, the workers' friend, is the only Australian political party to roast four young Australians in roof cavities. SHAME! SHAME! SHAME!

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Doctor Jolly

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Re: Tim Flannery: fails forecasting exam
Reply #23 - Mar 8^th, 2012 at 4:32pm

salad in wrote on Mar 8^th, 2012 at 4:23pm:

MOTR wrote on Mar 8^th, 2012 at 1:45pm:

salad in wrote on Mar 8^th, 2012 at 6:58am:

MOTR wrote on Mar 7^th, 2012 at 11:15pm:

I don't recall a single meteorologist predicting an intensification of the La Nina/El Nino cycle. It is simply beyond their ken. Flannery was picking up on an unprecedented decades long trend, which at the time demanded a policy response.

And so it is very dangerous to make statements like....the east coast of Australia will never again have dam filling rains. That's the reason why I suggested that masturbation should be done in private.

Can you find the direct quote where he said that.

Yes I can. Can you?

So you know that he didnt say never again from this point foward. he said that, and I'm paraphrasing, that if global warming is left unchecked there will come a time where the dams will run dry..

A bit of hyperbole no doubt, but certainly not dis-proven yet.

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salad in

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Re: Tim Flannery: fails forecasting exam
Reply #24 - Mar 8^th, 2012 at 4:38pm

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 8^th, 2012 at 4:32pm:

salad in wrote on Mar 8^th, 2012 at 4:23pm:

MOTR wrote on Mar 8^th, 2012 at 1:45pm:

salad in wrote on Mar 8^th, 2012 at 6:58am:

MOTR wrote on Mar 7^th, 2012 at 11:15pm:

I don't recall a single meteorologist predicting an intensification of the La Nina/El Nino cycle. It is simply beyond their ken. Flannery was picking up on an unprecedented decades long trend, which at the time demanded a policy response.

And so it is very dangerous to make statements like....the east coast of Australia will never again have dam filling rains. That's the reason why I suggested that masturbation should be done in private.

Can you find the direct quote where he said that.

Yes I can. Can you?

So you know that he didnt say never again from this point foward. he said that, and I'm paraphrasing, that if global warming is left unchecked there will come a time where the dams will run dry..

A bit of hyperbole no doubt, but certainly not dis-proven yet.

He, Professor (cough cough) Flannery used words such as "permanent nature" "I would love to be wrong" "the science is pointing in other directions". Sounds like the words of someone convinced that the change to a drier and warmer climate is here to stay.

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The ALP, the progressive party, the party of ideas, the workers' friend, is the only Australian political party to roast four young Australians in roof cavities. SHAME! SHAME! SHAME!

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MOTR

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Re: Tim Flannery: fails forecasting exam
Reply #25 - Mar 8^th, 2012 at 8:15pm

salad in wrote on Mar 8^th, 2012 at 4:23pm:

MOTR wrote on Mar 8^th, 2012 at 1:45pm:

salad in wrote on Mar 8^th, 2012 at 6:58am:

MOTR wrote on Mar 7^th, 2012 at 11:15pm:

I don't recall a single meteorologist predicting an intensification of the La Nina/El Nino cycle. It is simply beyond their ken. Flannery was picking up on an unprecedented decades long trend, which at the time demanded a policy response.

And so it is very dangerous to make statements like....the east coast of Australia will never again have dam filling rains. That's the reason why I suggested that masturbation should be done in private.

Can you find the direct quote where he said that.

Yes I can. Can you?

No. Could you give me the link.

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Hunt says Coalition accepts IPCC findings

"What does this mean? It means that we need to do practical things that actually reduce emissions."

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Doctor Jolly

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Re: Tim Flannery: fails forecasting exam
Reply #26 - Mar 8^th, 2012 at 9:56pm

salad in wrote on Mar 8^th, 2012 at 4:38pm:

Doctor Jolly wrote on Mar 8^th, 2012 at 4:32pm:

salad in wrote on Mar 8^th, 2012 at 4:23pm:

MOTR wrote on Mar 8^th, 2012 at 1:45pm:

salad in wrote on Mar 8^th, 2012 at 6:58am:

MOTR wrote on Mar 7^th, 2012 at 11:15pm:

I don't recall a single meteorologist predicting an intensification of the La Nina/El Nino cycle. It is simply beyond their ken. Flannery was picking up on an unprecedented decades long trend, which at the time demanded a policy response.

And so it is very dangerous to make statements like....the east coast of Australia will never again have dam filling rains. That's the reason why I suggested that masturbation should be done in private.

Can you find the direct quote where he said that.

Yes I can. Can you?

So you know that he didnt say never again from this point foward. he said that, and I'm paraphrasing, that if global warming is left unchecked there will come a time where the dams will run dry..

A bit of hyperbole no doubt, but certainly not dis-proven yet.

He, Professor (cough cough) Flannery used words such as "permanent nature" "I would love to be wrong" "the science is pointing in other directions". Sounds like the words of someone convinced that the change to a drier and warmer climate is here to stay.

So you are now back pedalling from your original claim about Flannery ?

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