longweekend58 wrote on Jun 28
th, 2012 at 6:16pm:
seriously, who do you expect to believe that drivel? so the day howard brought in his solution he was lucky that suddenly all the refugees dried up the same month? and miraculously the refugees suddenly became a problem again co0incidentally the monthe Rudd stopped it?
yeah, if you believe that then your opinion isnt really very worthwhile. The very fact that you are trying to desperately claim that teh paciific solutino didnt work discredits your entire positiion. NO ONE can argue that it didnt work because it plainly did.
Not at all. There was some initial deterrent effect of the policy. However there were also fewer people escaping as can be seen worldwide where the numbers dropped to a minimum in 2006. This would have reduced the numbers coming to Australia.
It's interesting that 2004-6 saw a small gradual overall increase in numbers in Australia while they were still falling in the rest of the world (are you paying attention lolly!!?). 2005-7 saw ever increasing numbers despite the fact that the Pacific Solution was in full swing. Why? Because the deterrent effect had eroded.
The OECD chart shows this quite clearly but for the doubters it's even more clearly seen in this chart of
BOAT arrivals across the Pacific Solution period:
http://www.ozpolitic.com/album/forum-attachments/BoatArrivalNumbers2.jpgClearly 2005-2007 saw marked increases in the number of arrivals
despite the Pacific Solution. And the OECD chart shows that numbers worldwide were increasing around that time. So with numbers increasing worldwide and a dysfunctional policy in Australia, it's no surprise that numbers were increasing even
before Rudd dismantled the policy.
There's little doubt that dismantling the Pacific Solution without other measures in place did nothing to prevent new arrivals, especially in a climate of increased numbers worldwide.
There's also no doubt that a return to the Pacific Solution would do precisely ZERO.
Did you make that graph up yourself. It looks like it, it smells like it, it is linked to only this forum site. Must be it.