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Temperature data manipulation exposed (Read 24033 times)
progressiveslol
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Re: Temperature data manipulation exposed
Reply #90 - Jun 29th, 2014 at 7:24am
 
Sorry guys, but this is a thread about data manipulation and boy is there plenty of it around at USHCN

Steve Goddard is right, a statement for all that mocked him


Nearly every station has had the actual temperatures adjusted upwards by about half a degree centigrade.
There are 8, out of the 29 stations, which have “Estimated” temperatures on USHCN. This is a ratio of 28%, which seems to tie in with Steve Goddard’s country-wide assessment.
Of these eight estimates, five are because of missing data, as listed at the bottom. Four of these are now shut.
There seems to be no obvious reason why the other three estimates have been made , at Ellsworth, Liberal and Ottawa. The adjustments at these though don’t appear to be significantly different to the non estimated ones.



In addition to recent temperatures being adjusted upwards, we also find that historical ones have been adjusted down
. So, for instance we find that the January 1934 mean temperature at Ashland has been adjusted from 3.78C to 3.10C, whilst at Columbus there is a reduction from 4.00C to 3.52C.

In total, therefore, there has been a warming trend of about 1C added since 1934. It has always been my understanding that the various adjustments made for TOBS, etc, have been made to the historic data, and that present temperatures were left unaltered. Certainly, the cooling adjustments of about half a degree in the 1930’s would seem to tally with what NOAA have been publishing.

But this leaves the question of just why there is a need to continually adjust current temperatures upwards.



http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2014/06/28/ushcn-adjustments-in-kan...

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progressiveslol
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Re: Temperature data manipulation exposed
Reply #91 - Jun 29th, 2014 at 7:26am
 
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MOTR
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Re: Temperature data manipulation exposed
Reply #92 - Jun 29th, 2014 at 9:15am
 
Of course there are temperature adjustments, progs. When methodologies change, data has to be adjusted.

Surely, you're not advocating that we should be basing our science on raw data, even when we know the data collection methods have a bias.

...

Just keep in the back of your mind this is the gap in which progs and others believe they can seed doubt.


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« Last Edit: Jun 29th, 2014 at 11:38am by MOTR »  

Hunt says Coalition accepts IPCC findings

"What does this mean? It means that we need to do practical things that actually reduce emissions."
 
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MOTR
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Re: Temperature data manipulation exposed
Reply #93 - Jun 29th, 2014 at 11:54am
 
...

I think this is an image of progs. One of the inhabitants of those fringe denialist sites that seem to endlessly resuscitate these zombie myths.

http://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2014/jun/25...
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« Last Edit: Jun 29th, 2014 at 12:02pm by MOTR »  

Hunt says Coalition accepts IPCC findings

"What does this mean? It means that we need to do practical things that actually reduce emissions."
 
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lee
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Re: Temperature data manipulation exposed
Reply #94 - Jun 29th, 2014 at 1:46pm
 
MOTR wrote on Jun 29th, 2014 at 9:15am:
When methodologies change, data has to be adjusted.



Why does data gave to be adjusted- it is data. How much does
'data' have to be adjusted before it is meaningless?
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MOTR
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Re: Temperature data manipulation exposed
Reply #95 - Jun 29th, 2014 at 2:04pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 29th, 2014 at 1:46pm:
MOTR wrote on Jun 29th, 2014 at 9:15am:
When methodologies change, data has to be adjusted.


Why does data gave to be adjusted- it is data. How much does
'data' have to be adjusted before it is meaningless?


If the time of temperature observation was changed, then wouldn't it be necessary to adjust the raw data.

If Tony Heller, aka Steven Goddard, believes these adjustments are flawed, he should attempt to have his findings published in a peer reviewed scientific journal.

How much the data should be adjusted is a technical question that I don't have the expertise to answer. The point is that adjustments are necessary and are hardly the smoking gun of some sort of massive conspiracy.

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« Last Edit: Jun 29th, 2014 at 2:15pm by MOTR »  

Hunt says Coalition accepts IPCC findings

"What does this mean? It means that we need to do practical things that actually reduce emissions."
 
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progressiveslol
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Re: Temperature data manipulation exposed
Reply #96 - Jun 29th, 2014 at 3:11pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 29th, 2014 at 1:46pm:
MOTR wrote on Jun 29th, 2014 at 9:15am:
When methodologies change, data has to be adjusted.



Why does data gave to be adjusted- it is data. How much does
'data' have to be adjusted before it is meaningless?

There are needs and there is fraud. A mixture of both keeps the agw loon dream alive.
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MOTR
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Re: Temperature data manipulation exposed
Reply #97 - Jun 29th, 2014 at 4:19pm
 
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/monitoring-references/faq/temperature-monitoring.php

Here is a straight forward explanation for the adjustments from the National Climatic Data Center.

Perhaps progs could identify the exact adjustments he is questioning and the reasons for his concerns. Or more importantly, perhaps Steven Goddard (or whoever he really is) could publish a peer reviewed paper that actually works towards advancing science in some way.

I hold my breath for neither of these things.


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Hunt says Coalition accepts IPCC findings

"What does this mean? It means that we need to do practical things that actually reduce emissions."
 
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lee
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Re: Temperature data manipulation exposed
Reply #98 - Jun 30th, 2014 at 12:55pm
 
How can we ever know that any adjustments to the historical record makes them right? The answer is we can't.

With the use of minimum and maximum thermometers, why is time of reading so important. Surely the importance is accuracy. I would take a bet that a maximum reading at 5pm would be accurate at least 364 days/year.

I can't ever remember a maximum after 5 pm.

Perhaps it is more the systematic adjustments over time. Why the need to change more than once?
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BatteriesNotIncluded
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Re: Temperature data manipulation exposed
Reply #99 - Jun 30th, 2014 at 1:17pm
 
MOTR wrote on Jun 29th, 2014 at 9:15am:
Of course there are temperature adjustments, progs. When methodologies change, data has to be adjusted.

Surely, you're not advocating that we should be basing our science on raw data, even when we know the data collection methods have a bias.

http://www.skepticalscience.com/pics/GHCN_RawvAdj.jpg

Just keep in the back of your mind this is the gap in which progs and others believe they can seed doubt.



doubt can be sown at every step: deny deny deny!
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*Sure....they're anti competitive as any subsidised job is.  It wouldn't be there without the tax payer.  Very damned difficult for a brainwashed collectivist to understand that I know....  (swaggy) *
 
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Re: Temperature data manipulation exposed
Reply #100 - Jun 30th, 2014 at 1:23pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 30th, 2014 at 12:55pm:
How can we ever know that any adjustments to the historical record makes them right? The answer is we can't.

With the use of minimum and maximum thermometers, why is time of reading so important. Surely the importance is accuracy. I would take a bet that a maximum reading at 5pm would be accurate at least 364 days/year.

I can't ever remember a maximum after 5 pm.

Perhaps it is more the systematic adjustments over time. Why the need to change more than once?

The trouble lies in the fact people don't understand what temperature is!
Temperature is an indicator of heat content!! It means next to nothing when discussing the system that is climate as it can only ever be a local indicator of heat content- unfortunately that is all anyone understands so to make the science understandable to the public weird concepts such as global average temperature have to be invented to keep the public- who votes - informed.

THIS is why doubt can be thrown in at every stage... it's simply called groupthink!


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*Sure....they're anti competitive as any subsidised job is.  It wouldn't be there without the tax payer.  Very damned difficult for a brainwashed collectivist to understand that I know....  (swaggy) *
 
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Re: Temperature data manipulation exposed
Reply #101 - Jun 30th, 2014 at 1:24pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 30th, 2014 at 12:55pm:
How can we ever know that any adjustments to the historical record makes them right? The answer is we can't.

With the use of minimum and maximum thermometers, why is time of reading so important. Surely the importance is accuracy. I would take a bet that a maximum reading at 5pm would be accurate at least 364 days/year.

I can't ever remember a maximum after 5 pm.

Perhaps it is more the systematic adjustments over time. Why the need to change more than once?

The trouble lies in the fact people don't understand what temperature is!
Temperature is an indicator of heat content!! It means next to nothing when discussing the system that is climate as it can only ever be a local indicator of heat content- unfortunately that is all anyone understands so to make the science understandable to the public weird concepts such as global average temperature have to be invented to keep the public- who votes - informed.

THIS is why doubt can be thrown in at every stage... it's simply called groupthink!


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*Sure....they're anti competitive as any subsidised job is.  It wouldn't be there without the tax payer.  Very damned difficult for a brainwashed collectivist to understand that I know....  (swaggy) *
 
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lee
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Re: Temperature data manipulation exposed
Reply #102 - Jun 30th, 2014 at 1:35pm
 
And why has NOOA adjusted temperatures yet again?

July 1936 is now back to being the hottest EVAH.

But it is all hunky dory.

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/06/29/noaas-temperature-control-knob-for-the-pas...

Or you can just check it for yourself. Wink
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progressiveslol
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Re: Temperature data manipulation exposed
Reply #103 - Jun 30th, 2014 at 10:04pm
 
It isn't just the manipulation of known temperatures. If the articles were read, you would have noticed that
More Than 40% Of USHCN Station Data Is Fabricated


Yes, fabricated. Yes 40%.

That aint a hockey stick, this is a hockey stick

...


The graph below is generated by counting the number of reported monthly temperatures in the final and raw data sets. They have lost 30% of their station data since 1990, but still report adjusted temperatures for the missing data.
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MOTR
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Re: Temperature data manipulation exposed
Reply #104 - Jun 30th, 2014 at 10:22pm
 
...

To put progs' concerns into perspective, think about this. The US makes up 2% of the earths surface, so in effect he is worried about 2% of the gap between the dark green line and the light green line.


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Hunt says Coalition accepts IPCC findings

"What does this mean? It means that we need to do practical things that actually reduce emissions."
 
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