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Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings. (Read 16854 times)
rabbitoh07
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #180 - Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:28pm
 
progressiveslol wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:18pm:
rabbitoh07 wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:15pm:
progressiveslol wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:10pm:
rabbitoh07 wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:05pm:
gold_medal wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 7:07am:
Maqqa wrote on Jan 7th, 2013 at 8:21pm:
Maqqa wrote on Jan 1st, 2013 at 8:21am:
Maqqa wrote on Dec 31st, 2012 at 3:12pm:
MOTR wrote on Dec 31st, 2012 at 1:28pm:
Maqqa wrote on Dec 31st, 2012 at 1:21pm:
Maqqa wrote on Dec 31st, 2012 at 12:37pm:
Interesting to note:

(1) If the ice and the water it floats in are of different composition then the water is displaced ie freshwater ice in salt water. The pictures we've been seeing is from Antarctica and Greenland (freshwater ice)

(2) Does anyone know what the IPCC say about recent rises in sea-level and how much it contributes to Antarctica and Greenland?

http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg1/ar4-wg1-spm.pdf

Antarctic and Greenland ice sheet mass contributed to sea level rise between 1993 and 2003

Antarctica ==>> 0.21 ± 0.35 mm/year
Greenland ==>> 0.21 ± 0.07 mm/year


things to note:
(a) This is an estimate
(b) The rise is in millimetres
(c) The Antarctic margin of error wipes out the Antarctic contribution as well as offsets the Greenland contribution



not one leftie commented on this IPCC finding?

you don't know what 0.21mm looks like? - look in your pants and multiply that by 1,000

talking about multiplying by 1,000

if we multiply 0.21mm by 1,000 years = 210mm = 21cm in 1,000 years???



Give me time, Maqqa.

Have you thought about using a metric other than your penis size. It doesn't seem to match any standard I'm aware of.


penis size is about the only measurement lefties understand

you guys haven't discovered the Empirical Measurement let alone the Metric



Still nothing from the left about these sea level increases?



Still nothing from the left about these IPCC figures?


too smug about a few hot days around the country. NOW it is global warming because it is hot and not even close to the hottest.


Why did you tell this outright lie here:
gold_medal wrote on Dec 30th, 2012 at 8:05pm:
well let's look at the '97% of climate scientists' claim that MOTR makes.

the source of this data is a survey of just two questions - both poorly written and subjective.

it was sent out to 10,000+ 'climate scientists' a massive number of 76 responded. yep, SEVENTY SIX. so in the mother of all self-selction bias surveys, 97% say they support a poorly defined ACC.

there are Womens Day surveys with more statistical credibility than that.

this is an example of the statistical nonsense that passes for science over in the climate hysterical corner.


THere were 3146 respondents to the survey.  Not 76.

What did you hope to gain by telling such a ridiculous lie?

That same as when you lied about glaciers receding.  When are going to apologise to the forum for that lie?

You need to keep up. You sound like you are so far from the information at hand, you almost sound like that useful idiot I was talking about.

Do you know why Gold Medal told such a silly lie?  Could you explain?

I know of the information of the 76 because I linked to it. It is not a lie. The 97% comes from 76 climate scientist who had published a paper that was accepted withn xxxx. Big number hey considering 3000+ respondents.

Pathetic. Started with 10000. Ended up with 3000 something responses and only ended with a 97% number of 76 out of 3000 something respondents.

Gold Medal lied.

He wrote that
it was sent out to 10,000+ 'climate scientists' a massive number of 76 responded.

That is false

And of the 10, 257 people approached to take part in this survey, 3,146 or 30.7% chose to participate.
http://www.garnautreview.org.au/update-2011/commissioned-work/the-'scientigic-co...

79 of the 3,149 respondants were "defined as those who had both ‘nominated climate science as their area of expertise’ and ‘published more than 50% of their recent peer- reviewed papers on... climate change’"

Gold Medal told a deliberate lie.  Just as he did when he told a deliberate lie about glaciers receding.
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progressiveslol
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #181 - Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:32pm
 
rabbitoh07 wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:28pm:
progressiveslol wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:18pm:
rabbitoh07 wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:15pm:
progressiveslol wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:10pm:
rabbitoh07 wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:05pm:
gold_medal wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 7:07am:
Maqqa wrote on Jan 7th, 2013 at 8:21pm:
Maqqa wrote on Jan 1st, 2013 at 8:21am:
Maqqa wrote on Dec 31st, 2012 at 3:12pm:
MOTR wrote on Dec 31st, 2012 at 1:28pm:
Maqqa wrote on Dec 31st, 2012 at 1:21pm:
Maqqa wrote on Dec 31st, 2012 at 12:37pm:
Interesting to note:

(1) If the ice and the water it floats in are of different composition then the water is displaced ie freshwater ice in salt water. The pictures we've been seeing is from Antarctica and Greenland (freshwater ice)

(2) Does anyone know what the IPCC say about recent rises in sea-level and how much it contributes to Antarctica and Greenland?

http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg1/ar4-wg1-spm.pdf

Antarctic and Greenland ice sheet mass contributed to sea level rise between 1993 and 2003

Antarctica ==>> 0.21 ± 0.35 mm/year
Greenland ==>> 0.21 ± 0.07 mm/year


things to note:
(a) This is an estimate
(b) The rise is in millimetres
(c) The Antarctic margin of error wipes out the Antarctic contribution as well as offsets the Greenland contribution



not one leftie commented on this IPCC finding?

you don't know what 0.21mm looks like? - look in your pants and multiply that by 1,000

talking about multiplying by 1,000

if we multiply 0.21mm by 1,000 years = 210mm = 21cm in 1,000 years???



Give me time, Maqqa.

Have you thought about using a metric other than your penis size. It doesn't seem to match any standard I'm aware of.


penis size is about the only measurement lefties understand

you guys haven't discovered the Empirical Measurement let alone the Metric



Still nothing from the left about these sea level increases?



Still nothing from the left about these IPCC figures?


too smug about a few hot days around the country. NOW it is global warming because it is hot and not even close to the hottest.


Why did you tell this outright lie here:
gold_medal wrote on Dec 30th, 2012 at 8:05pm:
well let's look at the '97% of climate scientists' claim that MOTR makes.

the source of this data is a survey of just two questions - both poorly written and subjective.

it was sent out to 10,000+ 'climate scientists' a massive number of 76 responded. yep, SEVENTY SIX. so in the mother of all self-selction bias surveys, 97% say they support a poorly defined ACC.

there are Womens Day surveys with more statistical credibility than that.

this is an example of the statistical nonsense that passes for science over in the climate hysterical corner.


THere were 3146 respondents to the survey.  Not 76.

What did you hope to gain by telling such a ridiculous lie?

That same as when you lied about glaciers receding.  When are going to apologise to the forum for that lie?

You need to keep up. You sound like you are so far from the information at hand, you almost sound like that useful idiot I was talking about.

Do you know why Gold Medal told such a silly lie?  Could you explain?

I know of the information of the 76 because I linked to it. It is not a lie. The 97% comes from 76 climate scientist who had published a paper that was accepted withn xxxx. Big number hey considering 3000+ respondents.

Pathetic. Started with 10000. Ended up with 3000 something responses and only ended with a 97% number of 76 out of 3000 something respondents.

Gold Medal lied.

He wrote that
it was sent out to 10,000+ 'climate scientists' a massive number of 76 responded.

That is false

And of the 10, 257 people approached to take part in this survey, 3,146 or 30.7% chose to participate.
http://www.garnautreview.org.au/update-2011/commissioned-work/the-'scientigic-co...

79 of the 3,149 respondants were "defined as those who had both ‘nominated climate science as their area of expertise’ and ‘published more than 50% of their recent peer- reviewed papers on... climate change’"

Gold Medal told a deliberate lie.  Just as he did when he told a deliberate lie about glaciers receding. 

76 that were deemed worthy by the cult responded and to get the result wanted. Not hard to see how he was right. He just left out the cult worthiness.
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greggerypeccary
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #182 - Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:39pm
 
rabbitoh07 wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:05pm:
THere were 3146 respondents to the survey.  Not 76.




The 97% figure is taken from only 77 scientists, not 3146 respondents.

"The number stems from a 2009 online survey of 10,257 earth scientists, conducted by two researchers at the University of Illinois. The survey results must have deeply disappointed the researchers - in the end, they chose to highlight the views of a subgroup of just 77 scientists, 75 of whom thought humans contributed to climate change.  The ratio 75/77 produces the 97% figure that pundits now tout."

http://icecap.us/index.php/go/joes-blog/that_97_solution_again/


"The Doran paper  has been criticised by many sceptics in the past, where a survey of 10,256 with 3146 respondents was whittled down to 75 out of 77 “expert” ’active climate researchers’ (ACR) to give the 97% figure, based on just two very simplistic (shallow) questions that even the majority of sceptics might agree with."


Here are but just a few of many responses from scientists that actually took part in the survey, taken from the appendi of the MSc thesis:

“..scientific issues cannot be decided by a vote of scientists. A consensus is not, at any given time, a good predictor of where the truth actually resides..”

“..The “hockey stick” graph that the IPCC so touted has, it is my understanding, been debunked as junk science..”

“..I’m not sure what you are trying to prove, but you will undoubtably be able to prove your pre-existing opinion with this survey! I’m sorry I even started it!..”


http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/07/18/what-else-did-the-97-of-scientists-say/


I'd have to agree that "there are Womens Day surveys with more statistical credibility than that."






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rabbitoh07
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #183 - Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:45pm
 
progressiveslol wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:32pm:
76 that were deemed worthy by the cult responded and to get the result wanted. Not hard to see how he was right. He just left out the cult worthiness.

He deliberately lied.

There were not 76 respondants.  There were 3146 respondents.  He lied.  And the responses of the 3146 respondents were represented in the study.

You can read a review of the study here:
http://www.garnautreview.org.au/update-2011/commissioned-work/the-'scientigic-co...
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rabbitoh07
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #184 - Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:46pm
 
greggerypeccary wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:39pm:
I'd have to agree that "there are Womens Day surveys with more statistical credibility than that."



Yes - but of course, you are an idiot:

The number of respondents for the survey as a whole is large; leaving aside the question of response rates, 3,146 is a large sample by almost any measure. And with 82% of respondents as a whole agreeing that ‘human activity is a significant contributing factor in changing mean global temperatures’ we might reasonably conclude that in this survey the proposition in question was overwhelmingly supported.
http://www.garnautreview.org.au/update-2011/commissioned-work/the-'scientigic-co...
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BatteriesNotIncluded
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #185 - Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:54pm
 
rabbitoh07 wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:46pm:
greggerypeccary wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:39pm:
I'd have to agree that "there are Womens Day surveys with more statistical credibility than that."



Yes - but of course, you are an idiot:

The number of respondents for the survey as a whole is large; leaving aside the question of response rates, 3,146 is a large sample by almost any measure. And with 82% of respondents as a whole agreeing that ‘human activity is a significant contributing factor in changing mean global temperatures’ we might reasonably conclude that in this survey the proposition in question was overwhelmingly supported.
http://www.garnautreview.org.au/update-2011/commissioned-work/the-'scientigic-co...

greggery is not an idiot he's just pretending to be an idiot:greggery hates the kids this much!
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greggerypeccary
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #186 - Jan 8th, 2013 at 2:00pm
 
rabbitoh07 wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:46pm:
greggerypeccary wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:39pm:
I'd have to agree that "there are Womens Day surveys with more statistical credibility than that."



Yes - but of course, you are an idiot:




Now that your 97% "argument" has been exposed as a sham, you resort to personal insults.

Not surprising.
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greggerypeccary
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #187 - Jan 8th, 2013 at 2:08pm
 
rabbitoh07 wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:45pm:
He deliberately lied.



No he didn't "deliberately" lie, and the true figures have been revealed so it's totally irrelevant anyway.

Now that your 97% "argument" has been exposed as a sham, you're just trying to deflect.

Not surprising though.

The important thing is how many of the respondents were used to come up with the 97% figure, and now we all know the answer to that.

Stay focused my friend, and stop worrying so much about the side issues and stop hurling around personal abuse.  Your constant cries of "liar" (and "idiot") are doing you (or the AGW alarmist camp) no favours.  Quite frankly, it's just making you look petulant.
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rabbitoh07
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #188 - Jan 8th, 2013 at 3:40pm
 
greggerypeccary wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 2:08pm:
rabbitoh07 wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:45pm:
He deliberately lied.



No he didn't "deliberately" lie,

Yes, he did.

He wrote that:
it was sent out to 10,000+ 'climate scientists' a massive number of 76 responded

It was sent to 10,257 people - not all scientists - and 3146 people responded. 

If that is not a deliberate attempt to spread misinformation - I don't know what is

greggerypeccary wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 2:08pm:
and the true figures have been revealed so it's totally irrelevant anyway.

The true figures show that he told a lie.
greggerypeccary wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 2:08pm:
Now that your 97% "argument" has been exposed as a sham, you're just trying to deflect.

Did I have a "97%" argument?!?!  What was that?!?!?

And how was Doran's figure of 97% a sham?  97% of the people that responded to that survey who who had both ‘nominated climate science as their area of expertise’ and ‘published more than 50% of their recent peer- reviewed papers on... climate change’ agreed that ‘human activity is a significant contributing factor in changing mean global temperatures’.  All 79 of them.  Where is the "sham"?

This result was very similar to that arrived at in Lichter 2008:

97% of the 489 scientists surveyed agreed that that global temperatures have risen over the past century. Moreover, 84% agreed that “human-induced greenhouse warming” is now occurring.” Only 5% disagreed with the idea that human activity is a significant cause of global warming.
http://journalistsresource.org/studies/environment/climate-change/structure-scie...

Is that a "sham" too?


greggerypeccary wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 2:08pm:
Stay focused my friend, and stop worrying so much about the side issues and stop hurling around personal abuse.  Your constant cries of "liar" (and "idiot") are doing you (or the AGW alarmist camp) no favours.  Quite frankly, it's just making you look petulant.

It pains me very greatly to have to make these accusations.  But when Gold Medal claims that glaciers have stopped receding and provides no supportive evidence, or when he deliberately spreads misinformation about a surveys methodology - what other conclusions can one draw?
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progressiveslol
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #189 - Jan 8th, 2013 at 3:42pm
 
rabbitoh07 wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 3:40pm:
greggerypeccary wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 2:08pm:
rabbitoh07 wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 1:45pm:
He deliberately lied.



No he didn't "deliberately" lie,

Yes, he did.

He wrote that:
it was sent out to 10,000+ 'climate scientists' a massive number of 76 responded

It was sent to 10,257 people - not all scientists - and 3146 people responded. 

If that is not a deliberate attempt to spread misinformation - I don't know what is

greggerypeccary wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 2:08pm:
and the true figures have been revealed so it's totally irrelevant anyway.

The true figures show that he told a lie.
greggerypeccary wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 2:08pm:
Now that your 97% "argument" has been exposed as a sham, you're just trying to deflect.

Did I have a "97%" argument?!?!  What was that?!?!?

And how was Doran's figure of 97% a sham?  97% of the people that responded to that survey who who had both ‘nominated climate science as their area of expertise’ and ‘published more than 50% of their recent peer- reviewed papers on... climate change’ agreed that ‘human activity is a significant contributing factor in changing mean global temperatures’.  All 79 of them.  Where is the "sham"?

This result was almost exactly the same as that arrived at in Lichter 2008:

97% of the 489 scientists surveyed agreed that that global temperatures have risen over the past century. Moreover, 84% agreed that “human-induced greenhouse warming” is now occurring.” Only 5% disagreed with the idea that human activity is a significant cause of global warming.
http://journalistsresource.org/studies/environment/climate-change/structure-scie...

Is that a "sham" too?


greggerypeccary wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 2:08pm:
Stay focused my friend, and stop worrying so much about the side issues and stop hurling around personal abuse.  Your constant cries of "liar" (and "idiot") are doing you (or the AGW alarmist camp) no favours.  Quite frankly, it's just making you look petulant.

It pains me very greatly to have to make these accusations.  But when Gold Medal claims that glaciers have stopped receding and provides no supportive evidence, or when he deliberately spreads misinformation about a surveys methodology - what other conclusions can one draw?

There is no misinformation.

The 97% is just 76 respondants from 10000 sent out. You can disregard the others of the 3000+ because they didnt use them in the 97% figure.

You are just crying over symantics. Gold was accurate.
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greggerypeccary
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #190 - Jan 8th, 2013 at 3:56pm
 
progressiveslol wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 3:42pm:
There is no misinformation.

The 97% is just 76 respondants from 10000 sent out. You can disregard the others of the 3000+ because they didnt use them in the 97% figure.

You are just crying over symantics. Gold was accurate.



Indeed. 

Everybody else in the forum understands exactly what Gold was trying to say: it was not a deliberate lie.

Ultimately, the figures speak for themselves.

I know that the AGW alarmists just love colourful little graphs, so here's one for Bunny to enjoy:

...

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rabbitoh07
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #191 - Jan 8th, 2013 at 3:56pm
 
progressiveslol wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 3:42pm:
There is no misinformation.

The 97% is just 76 respondants from 10000 sent out. You can disregard the others of the 3000+ because they didnt use them in the 97% figure.

You are just crying over symantics. Gold was accurate.

WTF?!?!  Are you serious?!?!

He told an outright lie.

He wrote:
it was sent out to 10,000+ 'climate scientists' a massive number of 76 responded
THis is completely incorrect and misleading

It was sent to 10,257 Earth scientists*. 3146 responded.   Of these Approximately 5% of the respondents were climate scientists, and 8.5% of the respondents indicated that more than 50% of their peer-reviewed publi- cations in the past 5 years have been on the subject of climate change.

Here is the actual report.  Read it yourself
http://tigger.uic.edu/~pdoran/012009_Doran_final.pdf




*NB - I wrote earlier:
It was sent to 10,257 people - not all scientists - my bad.  They were all scientists:
An invitation to participate in the sur- vey was sent to 10,257 Earth scientists. The database was built from Keane and Martinez [2007], which lists all geosci- ences faculty at reporting academic insti- tutions, along with researchers at state geologic surveys associated with local universities, and researchers at U.S. fed- eral research facilities (e.g., U.S. Geo- logical Survey, NASA, and NOAA (U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) facilities; U.S. Depart- ment of Energy national laboratories; and so forth).

The "general public" data used for comparison in the report came from a different survey
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rabbitoh07
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #192 - Jan 8th, 2013 at 3:59pm
 
greggerypeccary wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 3:56pm:
progressiveslol wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 3:42pm:
There is no misinformation.

The 97% is just 76 respondants from 10000 sent out. You can disregard the others of the 3000+ because they didnt use them in the 97% figure.

You are just crying over symantics. Gold was accurate.



Indeed. 

Everybody else in the forum understands exactly what Gold was trying to say: it was not a deliberate lie.

Ultimately, the figures speak for themselves.

Yes -  the figures speak for themselves.

Gold said:
it was sent out to 10,000+ 'climate scientists' a massive number of 76 responded

whereas the truth is
it was sent out to 10,000+ 'earth scientists' a massive number of 3146 responded

We understand what Gold was trying to say.  He was telling a lie, just like when he wrote that glaciers had stopped receding, that an underwater volcano was melting the arctic ice cap and the the MWP was 4 degrees warmer globally than today.
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #193 - Jan 8th, 2013 at 4:01pm
 
So 75 out of 10000 odd 'climate' scientists believe in AGW. The power of consensus ....  Cheesy

That's pretty embarrassing.
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #194 - Jan 8th, 2013 at 4:01pm
 
greggerypeccary wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 3:56pm:
progressiveslol wrote on Jan 8th, 2013 at 3:42pm:
There is no misinformation.

The 97% is just 76 respondants from 10000 sent out. You can disregard the others of the 3000+ because they didnt use them in the 97% figure.

You are just crying over symantics. Gold was accurate.



Indeed. 

Everybody else in the forum understands exactly what Gold was trying to say:
it was not a deliberate lie.

Ultimately, the figures speak for themselves.

I know that the AGW alarmists just love colourful little graphs, so here's one for Bunny to enjoy:

http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2012/07/98_percent_climate_scientists...


Grin Grin
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*Sure....they're anti competitive as any subsidised job is.  It wouldn't be there without the tax payer.  Very damned difficult for a brainwashed collectivist to understand that I know....  (swaggy) *
 
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