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Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings. (Read 16943 times)
MOTR
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #30 - Dec 30th, 2012 at 10:27pm
 
Innocent bystander wrote on Dec 30th, 2012 at 10:24pm:
Even if all scientists really did agree that would still be proof of nothing, we may as well start facing mecca and praying to allah if all it takes is a consensus to tell us what to do.


It's evidence that those collecting the evidence find it very compelling. To not heed the warnings is irrational behaviour.
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Hunt says Coalition accepts IPCC findings

"What does this mean? It means that we need to do practical things that actually reduce emissions."
 
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progressiveslol
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #31 - Dec 30th, 2012 at 10:47pm
 
MOTR wrote on Dec 30th, 2012 at 10:24pm:
Perhaps you could do your own peer reviewed survey. Or, even easier, progs, how about you name one scientific body of national or international standing that does not accept the planet is warming largely due human activity.

What are the numbers MOTR (from my previous question http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1356856163/27#27)? Why did you avoid answering that?
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progressiveslol
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #32 - Dec 30th, 2012 at 11:05pm
 
In case anyone is still reading this poorly thought out thread.

I thought I would share this logical but obviously poorly understood subject. It is short and intended for thought.

Quote:
The Antarctic is a continent surrounded by ocean. As a consequence, during the summer, sea ice breaks up and drifts northward unimpeded, where the great majority of it melts every summer. This happens with or without climate change. Perhaps more significant is the thickening of the glacial ice sheet that covers the southernmost continent.

The Arctic is an ocean surrounded by land. There are few escape routes for the sea ice that forms each winter and so, although some melts each year, some stays, surviving the summer and thickening each winter. Climate alarmists would have us believe that the melting ice in the Arctic is a crisis, while the growing ice in the Antarctic is insignificant. In reality, the dynamics of both sets of pack ice are poorly understood.


In other words, it is significant that a land masse (Antartica) has its ice growing, that is unimpeeded by land to break off, escape and melt, where the Arctic is a sea masse that has land surrounding it to trap ice but is melting to normal or less extent.

There seem to be an obvious shift to a warmer north and a cooler south. That is not global. It resembles a tilt toward and away from the sun, north to south, either magnetic or axis. Not saying it is, but something to think about logically. It certainly doesnt resemble CO2 globally as we are told it has to be globally to be CO2, because co2 is not a local phenomena.
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MOTR
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #33 - Dec 30th, 2012 at 11:21pm
 
progressiveslol wrote on Dec 30th, 2012 at 10:47pm:
MOTR wrote on Dec 30th, 2012 at 10:24pm:
Perhaps you could do your own peer reviewed survey. Or, even easier, progs, how about you name one scientific body of national or international standing that does not accept the planet is warming largely due human activity.

What are the numbers MOTR (from my previous question http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1356856163/27#27)? Why did you avoid answering that?


I'm not sure what you are getting at, progs. The 97% number comes from two surveys, Anderegg 2010 and Doran 2009. In the Doran survey of earth scientists, 77 climatologists who are actively publishing responded to the question on anthropogenic global temperature change. 75, or 97%, of these respondents believe humans are a significant factor in changing global temperatures.

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Hunt says Coalition accepts IPCC findings

"What does this mean? It means that we need to do practical things that actually reduce emissions."
 
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progressiveslol
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #34 - Dec 30th, 2012 at 11:24pm
 
MOTR wrote on Dec 30th, 2012 at 11:21pm:
progressiveslol wrote on Dec 30th, 2012 at 10:47pm:
MOTR wrote on Dec 30th, 2012 at 10:24pm:
Perhaps you could do your own peer reviewed survey. Or, even easier, progs, how about you name one scientific body of national or international standing that does not accept the planet is warming largely due human activity.

What are the numbers MOTR (from my previous question http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1356856163/27#27)? Why did you avoid answering that?


I'm not sure what you are getting at, progs. The 97% number comes from two surveys, Anderegg 2010 and Doran 2009. In the Doran survey of earth scientists, 77 climatologists who are actively publishing responded to the question on anthropogenic global temperature change. 75, or 97%, of these respondents believe humans are a significant factor in changing global temperatures.


You gave a graph. Do you have links to each of the surveys so we can get numbers. I would rather not stick with a limited graph with limited numbers. 99.5% would represent nothing in that grapgh you provided, unless I knew 99.5% of what total and the total of what question.
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MOTR
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #35 - Dec 30th, 2012 at 11:35pm
 
progressiveslol wrote on Dec 30th, 2012 at 11:05pm:
In case anyone is still reading this poorly thought out thread.

I thought I would share this logical but obviously poorly understood subject. It is short and intended for thought.

Quote:
The Antarctic is a continent surrounded by ocean. As a consequence, during the summer, sea ice breaks up and drifts northward unimpeded, where the great majority of it melts every summer. This happens with or without climate change. Perhaps more significant is the thickening of the glacial ice sheet that covers the southernmost continent.

The Arctic is an ocean surrounded by land. There are few escape routes for the sea ice that forms each winter and so, although some melts each year, some stays, surviving the summer and thickening each winter. Climate alarmists would have us believe that the melting ice in the Arctic is a crisis, while the growing ice in the Antarctic is insignificant. In reality, the dynamics of both sets of pack ice are poorly understood.


In other words, it is significant that a land masse (Antartica) has its ice growing, that is unimpeeded by land to break off, escape and melt, where the Arctic is a sea masse that has land surrounding it to trap ice but is melting to normal or less extent.

There seem to be an obvious shift to a warmer north and a cooler south. That is not global. It resembles a tilt toward and away from the sun, north to south, either magnetic or axis. Not saying it is, but something to think about logically. It certainly doesnt resemble CO2 globally as we are told it has to be globally to be CO2, because co2 is not a local phenomena.


How about a warmer north and a warmer south.

...
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Hunt says Coalition accepts IPCC findings

"What does this mean? It means that we need to do practical things that actually reduce emissions."
 
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MOTR
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #36 - Dec 30th, 2012 at 11:45pm
 
progressiveslol wrote on Dec 30th, 2012 at 11:24pm:
MOTR wrote on Dec 30th, 2012 at 11:21pm:
progressiveslol wrote on Dec 30th, 2012 at 10:47pm:
MOTR wrote on Dec 30th, 2012 at 10:24pm:
Perhaps you could do your own peer reviewed survey. Or, even easier, progs, how about you name one scientific body of national or international standing that does not accept the planet is warming largely due human activity.

What are the numbers MOTR (from my previous question http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1356856163/27#27)? Why did you avoid answering that?


I'm not sure what you are getting at, progs. The 97% number comes from two surveys, Anderegg 2010 and Doran 2009. In the Doran survey of earth scientists, 77 climatologists who are actively publishing responded to the question on anthropogenic global temperature change. 75, or 97%, of these respondents believe humans are a significant factor in changing global temperatures.


You gave a graph. Do you have links to each of the surveys so we can get numbers. I would rather not stick with a limited graph with limited numbers. 99.5% would represent nothing in that grapgh you provided, unless I knew 99.5% of what total and the total of what question.


http://www.garnautreview.org.au/update-2011/commissioned-work/the-'scientigic-co...

http://tigger.uic.edu/~pdoran/012009_Doran_final.pdf

This is the most useful information I can find on the Doran survey.

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« Last Edit: Dec 31st, 2012 at 4:18am by MOTR »  

Hunt says Coalition accepts IPCC findings

"What does this mean? It means that we need to do practical things that actually reduce emissions."
 
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progressiveslol
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #37 - Dec 30th, 2012 at 11:59pm
 
MOTR wrote on Dec 30th, 2012 at 11:35pm:
progressiveslol wrote on Dec 30th, 2012 at 11:05pm:
In case anyone is still reading this poorly thought out thread.

I thought I would share this logical but obviously poorly understood subject. It is short and intended for thought.

Quote:
The Antarctic is a continent surrounded by ocean. As a consequence, during the summer, sea ice breaks up and drifts northward unimpeded, where the great majority of it melts every summer. This happens with or without climate change. Perhaps more significant is the thickening of the glacial ice sheet that covers the southernmost continent.

The Arctic is an ocean surrounded by land. There are few escape routes for the sea ice that forms each winter and so, although some melts each year, some stays, surviving the summer and thickening each winter. Climate alarmists would have us believe that the melting ice in the Arctic is a crisis, while the growing ice in the Antarctic is insignificant. In reality, the dynamics of both sets of pack ice are poorly understood.


In other words, it is significant that a land masse (Antartica) has its ice growing, that is unimpeeded by land to break off, escape and melt, where the Arctic is a sea masse that has land surrounding it to trap ice but is melting to normal or less extent.

There seem to be an obvious shift to a warmer north and a cooler south. That is not global. It resembles a tilt toward and away from the sun, north to south, either magnetic or axis. Not saying it is, but something to think about logically. It certainly doesnt resemble CO2 globally as we are told it has to be globally to be CO2, because co2 is not a local phenomena.


How about a warmer north and a warmer south.

http://www.skepticalscience.com/pics/AntarcticTemperatureChange.png

I think the word RE-ANALYSIS should have been an alarm. But not for the likes of you. MODEL would be pretty major as well.

This would be a good place to start for anyone.
Caveats:
•Please read the problem list before using the data.

http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/reanalysis/problems.shtml
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progressiveslol
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #38 - Dec 31st, 2012 at 12:00am
 
MOTR wrote on Dec 30th, 2012 at 11:45pm:
progressiveslol wrote on Dec 30th, 2012 at 11:24pm:
MOTR wrote on Dec 30th, 2012 at 11:21pm:
progressiveslol wrote on Dec 30th, 2012 at 10:47pm:
MOTR wrote on Dec 30th, 2012 at 10:24pm:
Perhaps you could do your own peer reviewed survey. Or, even easier, progs, how about you name one scientific body of national or international standing that does not accept the planet is warming largely due human activity.

What are the numbers MOTR (from my previous question http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1356856163/27#27)? Why did you avoid answering that?


I'm not sure what you are getting at, progs. The 97% number comes from two surveys, Anderegg 2010 and Doran 2009. In the Doran survey of earth scientists, 77 climatologists who are actively publishing responded to the question on anthropogenic global temperature change. 75, or 97%, of these respondents believe humans are a significant factor in changing global temperatures.


You gave a graph. Do you have links to each of the surveys so we can get numbers. I would rather not stick with a limited graph with limited numbers. 99.5% would represent nothing in that grapgh you provided, unless I knew 99.5% of what total and the total of what question.


http://www.garnautreview.org.au/update-2011/commissioned-work/the-'scientigic-co...

http://tigger.uic.edu/~pdoran/012009_Doran_final.pdf

This is the most useful information on can find on the Doran survey.


I know about the BS doran survey. I am curious of the others you put forward that were OTHERS (not doran) according to you.
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MOTR
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #39 - Dec 31st, 2012 at 5:42am
 
progressiveslol wrote on Dec 30th, 2012 at 11:59pm:
MOTR wrote on Dec 30th, 2012 at 11:35pm:
progressiveslol wrote on Dec 30th, 2012 at 11:05pm:
In case anyone is still reading this poorly thought out thread.

I thought I would share this logical but obviously poorly understood subject. It is short and intended for thought.

Quote:
The Antarctic is a continent surrounded by ocean. As a consequence, during the summer, sea ice breaks up and drifts northward unimpeded, where the great majority of it melts every summer. This happens with or without climate change. Perhaps more significant is the thickening of the glacial ice sheet that covers the southernmost continent.

The Arctic is an ocean surrounded by land. There are few escape routes for the sea ice that forms each winter and so, although some melts each year, some stays, surviving the summer and thickening each winter. Climate alarmists would have us believe that the melting ice in the Arctic is a crisis, while the growing ice in the Antarctic is insignificant. In reality, the dynamics of both sets of pack ice are poorly understood.


In other words, it is significant that a land masse (Antartica) has its ice growing, that is unimpeeded by land to break off, escape and melt, where the Arctic is a sea masse that has land surrounding it to trap ice but is melting to normal or less extent.

There seem to be an obvious shift to a warmer north and a cooler south. That is not global. It resembles a tilt toward and away from the sun, north to south, either magnetic or axis. Not saying it is, but something to think about logically. It certainly doesnt resemble CO2 globally as we are told it has to be globally to be CO2, because co2 is not a local phenomena.


How about a warmer north and a warmer south.

http://www.skepticalscience.com/pics/AntarcticTemperatureChange.png

I think the word RE-ANALYSIS should have been an alarm. But not for the likes of you. MODEL would be pretty major as well.

This would be a good place to start for anyone.
Caveats:
•Please read the problem list before using the data.

http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/reanalysis/problems.shtml


...


Quote:
West Antarctica warming fast, may quicken sea level rise REUTERS December 28, 2012 5:15pm


OSLO, NORWAY - West Antarctica is warming almost twice as fast as previously believed, adding to worries of a thaw that would add to sea level rise from San Francisco to Shanghai, a study showed on Sunday.

Annual average temperatures at the Byrd research station in West Antarctica had risen 2.4 degrees Celsius (4.3F) since the 1950s, one of the fastest gains on the planet and three times the global average in a changing climate, it said.

The unexpectedly big increase adds to fears the ice sheet is vulnerable to thawing. West Antarctica holds enough ice to raise world sea levels by at least 3.3 metres (11 feet) if it ever all melted, a process that would take centuries.

"The western part of the ice sheet is experiencing nearly twice as much warming as previously thought," Ohio State University said in a statement of the study led by its geography professor David Bromwich.

The warming "raises further concerns about the future contribution of Antarctica to sea level rise," it said. Higher summer temperatures raised risks of a surface melt of ice and snow even though most of Antarctica is in a year-round deep freeze.

Low-lying nations from Bangladesh to Tuvalu are especially vulnerable to sea level rise, as are coastal cities from London to Buenos Aires. Sea levels have risen by about 20 cms (8 inches) in the past century.
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« Last Edit: Dec 31st, 2012 at 6:02am by MOTR »  

Hunt says Coalition accepts IPCC findings

"What does this mean? It means that we need to do practical things that actually reduce emissions."
 
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MOTR
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #40 - Dec 31st, 2012 at 6:09am
 
So what makes you think Antarctica is getting colder, progs?

http://antarcticsun.usap.gov/science/contenthandler.cfm?id=2786
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Hunt says Coalition accepts IPCC findings

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MOTR
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #41 - Dec 31st, 2012 at 6:16am
 
Quote:
After 20 years of occasionally contradictory results, an international team of 47 researchers, which included scientists from TU Delft and Utrecht University, has reached agreement on the question of how quickly the polar icecaps in Greenland and Antarctica are shrinking. This now appears to be occurring three times quicker than in the 1990s. The melting has caused sea levels to rise by 11.1 millimetres in the previous 20 years. This amounts to a fifth of the total sea-level rise in this period. The researchers will publish their results in Science on 30 November.

The amount of ice loss for Greenland since 1990 appears to match earlier reports. For Antarctica, the researchers have adjusted the loss of ice mass downwards. This means that the loss of ice mass in Greenland is now twice as great as in Antarctica between 1992 and 2011.

However, the increase in the speed of icecap melting is unequivocal: from 0.27 mm per year in 1992 to 0.95 mm per year at present. 'This means that the icecaps of Antarctica and Greenland contribute significantly to the present rise of sea levels and that this is almost certain to continue in coming decades,' according to the head of the research project, professor Michiel van den Broeke of Utrecht University.


http://phys.org/wire-news/117355825/antarctic-ice-loss-adjusted-downwards-but-me...
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Hunt says Coalition accepts IPCC findings

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progressiveslol
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #42 - Dec 31st, 2012 at 7:11am
 
MOTR wrote on Dec 31st, 2012 at 6:09am:
So what makes you think Antarctica is getting colder, progs?

http://antarcticsun.usap.gov/science/contenthandler.cfm?id=2786

I cant seem to get my ice to melt at -20 degrees C

What is the margin of error in the temps? A whole 50% I would suggest it is much worse than that, but in any case, it isnt a temperature measure to be relied upon to any degree.
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« Last Edit: Dec 31st, 2012 at 8:09am by progressiveslol »  
 
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adelcrow
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #43 - Dec 31st, 2012 at 7:16am
 
All deniers have is misrepresenting the facts and until there are thousands of peer reviewed papers supporting the denialists arguments thats all they will ever have.
Cmon..with all the money the fossil fuel industry is throwing at the denialists surely they can get a few thousand peer reviewed papers up and running...or how about a few hundred if thats the best they can do.
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gold_medal
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Re: Deniers nailed misrepresenting IPCC findings.
Reply #44 - Dec 31st, 2012 at 8:06am
 
adelcrow wrote on Dec 31st, 2012 at 7:16am:
All deniers have is misrepresenting the facts and until there are thousands of peer reviewed papers supporting the denialists arguments thats all they will ever have.
Cmon..with all the money the fossil fuel industry is throwing at the denialists surely they can get a few thousand peer reviewed papers up and running...or how about a few hundred if thats the best they can do.


ah.. adelcrow - the new skippy. no content, just disagreement and abuse. what a waste.
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