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Abbott's $62 a tonne carbon price. (Read 3379 times)
freediver
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Re: Abbott's $62 a tonne carbon price.
Reply #30 - Feb 2nd, 2013 at 5:20pm
 
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Andrei.Hicks
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Re: Abbott's $62 a tonne carbon price.
Reply #31 - Feb 2nd, 2013 at 5:49pm
 
Per capita.

The worlds worst polluter - which produces 1/3rd of the entire worlds emissions - are fine to carry on accelerating at the rate we are.

We need to instead focus on reducing the world's real threat instead....

Falkland Islands, Netherlands Antilles and Gibraltar.

See how absurd your per capita is?
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MOTR
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Re: Abbott's $62 a tonne carbon price.
Reply #32 - Feb 2nd, 2013 at 6:03pm
 
Andrei.Hicks wrote on Feb 2nd, 2013 at 5:49pm:
Per capita.

The worlds worst polluter - which produces 1/3rd of the entire worlds emissions - are fine to carry on accelerating at the rate we are.

We need to instead focus on reducing the world's real threat instead....

Falkland Islands, Netherlands Antilles and Gibraltar.

See how absurd your per capita is?


China now exceeds the U.S. in the deployment of clean energy and in government investments to further develop renewable technologies.

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"What does this mean? It means that we need to do practical things that actually reduce emissions."
 
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Re: Abbott's $62 a tonne carbon price.
Reply #33 - Feb 2nd, 2013 at 7:16pm
 
MOTR wrote on Feb 2nd, 2013 at 6:03pm:
Andrei.Hicks wrote on Feb 2nd, 2013 at 5:49pm:
Per capita.

The worlds worst polluter - which produces 1/3rd of the entire worlds emissions - are fine to carry on accelerating at the rate we are.

We need to instead focus on reducing the world's real threat instead....

Falkland Islands, Netherlands Antilles and Gibraltar.

See how absurd your per capita is?


China now exceeds the U.S. in the deployment of clean energy and in government investments to further develop renewable technologies.



a misleading statistic because china is decades (and in some places centuries) behind the rest of the world in most areas. It is playing catchup which is why the vast majority live in conditions considered primitive 200 years ago. It is not hard to increase at a faster rate than most when you start 35,000 laps behind the leaders.
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freediver
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Re: Abbott's $62 a tonne carbon price.
Reply #34 - Feb 2nd, 2013 at 7:28pm
 
Andrei.Hicks wrote on Feb 2nd, 2013 at 5:49pm:
Per capita.

The worlds worst polluter - which produces 1/3rd of the entire worlds emissions - are fine to carry on accelerating at the rate we are.

We need to instead focus on reducing the world's real threat instead....

Falkland Islands, Netherlands Antilles and Gibraltar.

See how absurd your per capita is?


It is not so absurd once you consider the reality, or the morality, of asking China to meet stricter standards than us.
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Re: Abbott's $62 a tonne carbon price.
Reply #35 - Feb 2nd, 2013 at 7:33pm
 
freediver wrote on Feb 2nd, 2013 at 7:28pm:
Andrei.Hicks wrote on Feb 2nd, 2013 at 5:49pm:
Per capita.

The worlds worst polluter - which produces 1/3rd of the entire worlds emissions - are fine to carry on accelerating at the rate we are.

We need to instead focus on reducing the world's real threat instead....

Falkland Islands, Netherlands Antilles and Gibraltar.

See how absurd your per capita is?


It is not so absurd once you consider the reality, or the morality, of asking China to meet stricter standards than us.


only when you use the 'bleeding heart' version of 'standards'. if there is a problem then address it. If not then play around with meaningless nonsense like this.
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freediver
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Re: Abbott's $62 a tonne carbon price.
Reply #36 - Feb 2nd, 2013 at 9:51pm
 
Basic fairness is not bleeding heart nonsense. Unless you plan on pointing a gun at the Chinese and telling them that they are only entitled to 1/10th the emissions we are then your alternative simply will not work. Surely you understand the concept of something not working, even if you have no concept of fairness? The Chinese do not share your delusion that the historical geopolitical accident that happened to group them into a larger group than us means they have to put up with your self indulgent crap. You are right that they are a bigger problem. You are wrong that this excuses us from doing our part, or that being one-eyed and selfish will somehow help solve the problem.
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Andrei.Hicks
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Re: Abbott's $62 a tonne carbon price.
Reply #37 - Feb 3rd, 2013 at 9:15am
 
freediver wrote on Feb 2nd, 2013 at 9:51pm:
Basic fairness is not bleeding heart nonsense. Unless you plan on pointing a gun at the Chinese and telling them that they are only entitled to 1/10th the emissions we are then your alternative simply will not work. Surely you understand the concept of something not working, even if you have no concept of fairness? The Chinese do not share your delusion that the historical geopolitical accident that happened to group them into a larger group than us means they have to put up with your self indulgent crap. You are right that they are a bigger problem. You are wrong that this excuses us from doing our part, or that being one-eyed and selfish will somehow help solve the problem.


The Chinese - and given my upcoming trip back there in mind this is not a criticism of the country itself - are building more dirty power stations than any other country in the world bar none.

The emissions are 1/3rd of the world.
Beijing - a beautiful place that it is - is clouded in smog daily.
Chinese respiratory problems are through the roof in the last decade.

China is making strides on cleaner energy - and we are partnering them to do it hence my trips with others - but they are a million miles away from the picture you paint.

The reality is if you go with this per capita guff, you'd regard the worst offenders in the world as Gibraltar, Netherlands Antilles, St Lucia and Falklands Islands.

All well and good from a fluffy all-hold-hands be fair to one another mindset - but wouldn't remotely fix the problem.

To use a different analogy, the bath is full and pouring over the side and you're concerned about emptying one end with a cup but allowing the two taps (India and China) to remain on full at the other end.

Then you wonder why your cup emptying hasnt helped?
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Re: Abbott's $62 a tonne carbon price.
Reply #38 - Feb 3rd, 2013 at 10:09am
 
Andrei, you are the one attempting to argue that some countries should act and others not. No-one else here is.

Comparing our GHG emissions with foreign countries
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Andrei.Hicks
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Re: Abbott's $62 a tonne carbon price.
Reply #39 - Feb 3rd, 2013 at 10:51am
 
That's not what I am arguing.
I am stating the target should be total based and a flat rate.

The country's figure in 1990 and the target emissions needs to be a set % of that.

That way the United States has a set reduction to be say 90% of that and China should be 90% of their 1990 level.

The Falklands aren't penalized absurdly then and everyone reduces.

"Global emissions should be reduced to reduce the threat of climate change. We in the United States should play our part. But let me tell you something, I'll be damned if America is going to pick up the bar bill for the Chinese and everybody else"
President George W Bush, Kyoto.
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14% - that low?!

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Re: Abbott's $62 a tonne carbon price.
Reply #40 - Feb 3rd, 2013 at 10:55am
 
freediver wrote on Feb 3rd, 2013 at 10:09am:
Andrei, you are the one attempting to argue that some countries should act and others not. No-one else here is.

Comparing our GHG emissions with foreign countries



That is the basis of the Kyoto Protocol

195 countries signed up to it and most have ratified - but only 32 of the countries (who signed and ratified) are penalised if it failed to meet the targets

this list is found in Annexure A

this is the epitome of some doing and others don't
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Bill 14% is not the alcohol content of that wine. It's your poll number
 
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Re: Abbott's $62 a tonne carbon price.
Reply #41 - Feb 3rd, 2013 at 11:09am
 
Andrei.Hicks wrote on Feb 3rd, 2013 at 10:51am:
That's not what I am arguing.
I am stating the target should be total based and a flat rate.

The country's figure in 1990 and the target emissions needs to be a set % of that.

That way the United States has a set reduction to be say 90% of that and China should be 90% of their 1990 level.

The Falklands aren't penalized absurdly then and everyone reduces.

"Global emissions should be reduced to reduce the threat of climate change. We in the United States should play our part. But let me tell you something, I'll be damned if America is going to pick up the bar bill for the Chinese and everybody else"
President George W Bush, Kyoto.


So if a country that was dirt poor in 1990 wants to increase their standard of living, they should be forced to pay money to wealthy counties for the right to pollute at the same level? That is what it means for wealthy countries to not pay the tab for poorer countries?
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Re: Abbott's $62 a tonne carbon price.
Reply #42 - Feb 3rd, 2013 at 12:38pm
 
Andrei.Hicks wrote on Feb 3rd, 2013 at 9:15am:
[quote author=freediver link=1359770116/36#36 date=1359805884]Basic fairness is not bleeding heart nonsense. Unless you plan on pointing a gun at the Chinese and telling them that they are only entitled to 1/10th the emissions we are then your alternative simply will not work...

The Chinese - and given my upcoming trip back there in mind this is not a criticism of the country itself - are building more dirty power stations than any other country in the world bar none.

The emissions are 1/3rd of the world.

China is making strides on cleaner energy - and we are partnering them to do it hence my trips with others - but they are a million miles away from the picture you paint.

The reality is if you go with this per capita guff, you'd regard the worst offenders in the world as Gibraltar, Netherlands Antilles, St Lucia and Falklands Islands.

All well and good from a fluffy all-hold-hands be fair to one another mindset - but wouldn't remotely fix the problem.

To use a different analogy, the bath is full and pouring over the side and you're concerned about emptying one end with a cup but allowing the two taps (India and China) to remain on full at the other end.

Then you wonder why your cup emptying hasnt helped?


This might make sense from a nation-state view of the world - where all these individual countries just do their own thing.

But they don’t. China’s emissions are high because it’s the world’s manufacturer.

Switzerland’s emissions are low because it’s the world’s banker.

The world is a global economy. The "bleeding hearts" are not giving India and China and India a free license to pollute. The world relies on their production capacity. If China doesn’t manufacture all that stuff, that production goes somewhere else. The global economy is about borrowing from Peter to pay Paul. The Kyoto convergence strategy is exactly this - assisting India and China to converge their development with the more developed countries.

It’s not bleeding heart nonsense. If the world’s economy does not converge, we’ll merely see polluters country-shopping. As Andrei knows, this is standard business practice. The multinationals are competing for all that cheap labour and low environmental standards. Based on development in Latin America and South East Asia over the last 30 years, once India and China develop their economies, they will pollute less. Developed countries with urban middle classes and service economies create less greenhouse gasses and deforestation. Pollution and deforestation rely on poverty.

It’s not bleeding heart nonsense, it’s hard economics. If the biggest polluters are encouraged to develop, they’ll pollute less in the long run. Again, this is not some socialist dream, but based on economic data. GDP and carbon emissions correlate. Economic growth and carbon emissions correlate. They generally peak when countries go through the cowboy stage of development, and reduce with urbanisation and the development of more efficient transport and energy systems. Basically, developed countries produce more with less.  It’s called efficiency.

Inefficient developing countries have bad electricity grids, poor roads and untrained people - hence no one wants to do business there and they become poorer and less efficient: the poverty trap.

Developed countries have good energy and transportation systems, hence it’s cheaper to transport goods and services and set up shop there. To become developed, countries rely on foreign investment. Without this, they’ll continue cutting down forests to burn wood, using generators for electricity, and generally sitting there baking in the sun and staying poor. Well, running around madly carrying water on their heads and taking their goods to market on mules - if they have them. Poverty is a huge waste of energy.

This is why developing industrial countries like China and India are given some leeway: the Kyoto convergence strategy. And it’s working. China is slowly coming around to more sustainable energy sources.

However, if the developed world - including the highest per capita emitter, Australia - relies totally on the developing world to lower their emissions, there is bad will all round. India is still in the pre-contemplation stage of moving to a low carbon economy. It does look at Australia and think, bugger it. Why should we do it all? Most of our population are farmers running around madly carrying water on their heads. How can they seriously ask us to place the cost of more expensive, low-emmitting energy onto them?

So, sure there’s a bleeding heart element to this debate. There are parts of India with no power at all. How can Australia seriously expect people who have not even put in basic infrastructure to reduce their C02 emissions?

The economy, based on all that activity and energy, profitable or not - is global. Until there is a semblance of a level playing field, the world will not become more efficient or more environmentally sustainable. This isn’t a bleeding heart ideal, it’s a basic economic fact.

The countries with the highest levels of economic growth will continue to be high consumers of energy. They will continue to produce all that C02 because we will continue to consume their goods and services. And because they’re cheaper, without regulation, we’ll be forced to.

Yes, friends, this is how the world works, bleeding hearts and all.
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« Last Edit: Feb 3rd, 2013 at 12:45pm by Karnal »  
 
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Andrei.Hicks
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Re: Abbott's $62 a tonne carbon price.
Reply #43 - Feb 3rd, 2013 at 1:04pm
 
Look, there is a tonne in that post from Karnal that I agree - particularly regarding the complexity and inter-linking of the global economy.

However it doesn't deal with the actual problem itself.

Whether people like it or not, China pollutes 1/3rd of the entire world's pollution.
That's not a made up number its fact.

China has increased its pollution over the last decade by more each year than a country like Australia pollutes in total.

So in layman's terms, if Australia reduced its pollution to ZERO, China's increase would offset it and add more.

China's increases over the Kyoto programme was FIVE TIMES that of all the countries reductions added together.

That is the reality of the problem.

Yeah there is a bleeding heart issue here.
People take the "Oh but China was poor in 1990, we should let them pollute to catch up..."

That's like us at work sitting around at the end of the year and going "ooooh Elf struggled in Latin America this year, we should cap our drilling and give them some of our rigs to catch up..."

The route I take - everyone has a year, everyone has the % to get to - may be tough on some, but it will a step to fixing the problem.

Because as the figures show you - handing China and India Get-out-of-Jail free cards pretty much fks up any advances the rest of us make.
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Re: Abbott's $62 a tonne carbon price.
Reply #44 - Feb 3rd, 2013 at 1:39pm
 
Andrei.Hicks wrote on Feb 3rd, 2013 at 1:04pm:
Yeah there is a bleeding heart issue here.
People take the "Oh but China was poor in 1990, we should let them pollute to catch up..."

That's like us at work sitting around at the end of the year and going "ooooh Elf struggled in Latin America this year, we should cap our drilling and give them some of our rigs to catch up..."


Exactly. And companies do that all the time.

But that’s not the point - we RELY on Chinese manufacturing. It’s the reason why the real cost of manufactured goods has lowered dramatically over the last 20 years.

This will not stop. China  is, and will continue to be, the world’s manufacturing centre. The only people giving China a free ticket are the companies that outsource their production there - and the consumers who buy manufactured goods.

Which is everyone.

How can a company blame one of its centers for high production costs when that centre is the engine room of the entire operation?

China might be currently in a polluted haze, but so was Amerika, so was Mother England.

Until we can develop less polluting sources of energy, this will continue, and this is exactly why the developing and developed worlds need to price carbon and invest in more sustainable alternatives.
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