Postmodern Trendoid wrote on Jul 22
nd, 2013 at 11:09am:
ian wrote on Jul 21
st, 2013 at 2:04pm:
Howard stayed in power basically by buying votes from segments of the community with middle class welfare, effectively sqaundering the benefits of the mining boom. How Rudd will manage is a different thing with no money to fling around, but he is just as good a strategist and propogandist as Howard if not better. I dont think this is all he has under his hat.
I don't think so. He didn't foresee the boat people debacle when ending tpvs. Like most with international socialist ideals, he believed asylum seekers were all good natured and wouldn't take advantage of us. The flaws of international socialism have been there for a while (at least 100 years, probably much longer), yet he stuck to it. International socialists all suffer from the same problem: They believe in the one-world harmony ideal, and ignore the practical and self-interests of states and people in general.
Rudd the international socialist. I like it. I guess that makes Keating and Howard international socialists too.
Look at the Howard problems Rudd came in to fix:
- An apology to the stolen generations
- Withdrawing all troops from Iraq
- An end to the health "blame game"
- A price on carbon
- A more humane solution to refugees
Rudd did the first three, was opposed in parliament on the second, and lastly, he abandoned the Pacific Solution.
This was no big deal, as when Rudd came to office, the boats had stopped. Howard's policies had taken effect.
It's pretty clear now that this change of policy started the boats back up again. I don't buy the end of the Sri Lankan civil war proposition and all the push factors. But by 2011, the boat situation had got out of control.
During Howard's time, a couple of thousand boat people was no urgent crisis - the only crisis was on talkback radio. The Tampa, SIEV X - these were engineered problems to create a political solution. Boat people did not throw their children overboard. Boat people were demonized by the Howard government to get elected. And they were.
This is what Rudd was responding to when he came in. He changed the policy, and before long, the arrivals crept up to17000 in a year. We had a tragedy in Christmas Island where almost 200 boat people were shipwrecked and drowned.
The Libs had every right to be angry about this, but they did nothing to help solve it. They voted down the Malaysian Solution. Each new boat that came in was a percentage point in the polls to the Libs.
Now Rudd's solved the boats, and that "international socialism" has had everything to do with it. By dealing directly with the Pacific countries and offering aid, Rudd has found a solution to the boats. Abbott would never have done this. He wouldn't even have thought of it.
Abbott's policy would have seen the boats keep coming, with the odd one being turned back by the navy - "when it was safe to do so".
Rudd has stopped the boats, but it's no "lurch to the right" as you're claiming. The boat problem has been escalating out of control for more than a year, and the death toll is almost a thousand - that we know of.
Onshore processing (as the Greens want) would see refugee numbers rising into the tens of thousands. The death toll would go through the roof.
This problem can no longer be seen in left/right terms. It's a bastard of a policy area, where you're damned if you do and you're damned if you don't.
Stopping the boats is the only humane thing to do, and Rudd's done it.