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Spot the Double Digit ALP Margin (Read 366 times)

RightSadFred Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 2220 Gender:	Spot the Double Digit ALP Margin Aug 21^st, 2013 at 5:14pm http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/electorate-map Try playing with this map and spot the Double digit margin for the ALP Also try to find the LNP/Nationals marginal. I was Surprised AnPhoneyAlButKnees is on around 4% ...... Given he is NSW he could lose his seat easily.
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RightSadFred Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 2220 Gender:	Re: Spot the Double Digit ALP Margin Reply #1 - Aug 21^st, 2013 at 5:23pm I guess I could do it off a list but here is what I counted off the map QLD 0 NSW 5 VIC 8 Tas 2 So only 15 seats are truly safe
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RightSadFred

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Re: Spot the Double Digit ALP Margin
Reply #2 - Aug 21^st, 2013 at 5:36pm

These are the marginals for the LNP (4% or less) again its off a map (more interesting then a list)

wa 2
Vic 2
nsw 1
Qld 4

What I found interesting with the QLD LNP marginals is that they were right next door to LNP seats with double digit margins

If we are witnessing about a 4% swing on primaries this will cut the ALP double digit seats in half (assuming a uniform swing) while delivering a Coalition with very few marginals.

Assuming this happens, this will make it a big call for the ALP to be competitive in the election after the next.

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longweekend58

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Re: Spot the Double Digit ALP Margin
Reply #3 - Aug 21^st, 2013 at 6:05pm

I read an interesting article on crikey that claimed there is a chance of a hung parliament with Katter and Wilkie holding the balance of power. It was interesting but Id have to say it was rather generous with labors hopes. Bernard Keane seems to think Labor can win a swag in QLD and even get an 8% swing in WA!!! I don't know whay he used essential medias poll when it is at odds with everyone elses. there does however seem to be this insane almost desperate need to pretend that Labor can win despite all evidence being to the contrary.

AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."

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Innocent bystander Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 4220 Gender:	Re: Spot the Double Digit ALP Margin Reply #4 - Aug 21^st, 2013 at 6:07pm I think at this stage its been reduced to the left praying for che guevvara to reincarnate and come rescue the f#ckwits at gun point
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cods Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 88048	Re: Spot the Double Digit ALP Margin Reply #5 - Aug 21^st, 2013 at 6:56pm Innocent bystander wrote on Aug 21^st, 2013 at 6:07pm: I think at this stage its been reduced to the left praying for che guevvara to reincarnate and come rescue the f#ckwits at gun point you are one bad dude.. but really funny..
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