Forum

 
  Back to OzPolitic.com   Welcome, Guest. Please Login or Register
  Forum Home Album HelpSearch Recent Rules LoginRegister  
 

Pages: 1 2 3 
Send Topic Print
Can someone explain preferences to me? (Read 3423 times)
woof woof
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 1518
Gender: male
Can someone explain preferences to me?
Aug 22nd, 2013 at 10:25pm
 
I am finding the way preferences work to be somewhat confusing.

Say we have 5 candidates a b c d e

a gets 35%
b gets 35%
c gets 12%
d gets 10%
e gets 8%


e gives his votes to who??

does all 8% of his votes go to who he has done a preference deal with??


Or as ppl say you can control who your preferences go to, so

of e 8% of votes, half preferenced a as number 2 on the vote and half preferenced b as number 2.


So e gives his votes to who was preferenced 2nd does that mean candidate a and b get half of e total votes?? each improving their vote to 39% assuming none of the other candidates where preferenced second???


I can't see electoral officials sorting through thousands of votes for the candidates that get the lowest number of votes and then sorting those votes to the second preference, that would take hours and results come in way quicker than could be manually sorted??
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
____
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 33410
Australia
Gender: male
Re: Can someone explain preferences to me?
Reply #1 - Aug 22nd, 2013 at 10:36pm
 
The one with the lowest number of votes is removed and their preferences dispersed.

The lowest then is next removed and their preferences dispersed.

and so on.

The preferences are either decided by the voter below the line or by the party when voting above the line.
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
matty
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 11055
East Sydney
Gender: male
Re: Can someone explain preferences to me?
Reply #2 - Aug 22nd, 2013 at 10:42pm
 
What Greens said is true, but also, you do get to choose who gets your preferences. You do not have to follow the how to vote card of your favourite party, if you do not wish to do so.

However the senate is much more tricky. If you just put a '1" above the line of your chosen party, then you have no say in where your preferences go. That's why a lot of people like to number every box below the line - that way you can decide exactly where your preferences go, it is just a lot more involved and time consuming.
Back to top
 

BILL SHORTEN WILL NEVER BE PM!!!!
 
IP Logged
 
Karnal
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 96013
Gender: male
Re: Can someone explain preferences to me?
Reply #3 - Aug 22nd, 2013 at 10:47pm
 
Thanks, Matty.

Did that answer your question, Woof Woof?

Thoughts, please.
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
woof woof
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 1518
Gender: male
Re: Can someone explain preferences to me?
Reply #4 - Aug 22nd, 2013 at 10:48pm
 
OK so if e is removed first and the preferences allocated, we then come to d


what happens to d preferences that had e as number 2????

e is out gone see ya, but what happenes to the votes of those who preferenced e 2nd but voted for d
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
woof woof
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 1518
Gender: male
Re: Can someone explain preferences to me?
Reply #5 - Aug 22nd, 2013 at 10:51pm
 
who would get d votes if everyone of his votes had e as second but he's gone??

would they then look at who was 3rd pref on d vote and they'd get d votes
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
Dnarever
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 58665
Here
Gender: male
Re: Can someone explain preferences to me?
Reply #6 - Aug 22nd, 2013 at 10:59pm
 
The votes are only counted till a winner is decided at the polling place, all votes are eventually counted but only enough to determine a result on the day.

i.e. in a very substantial number of seats the first preference plus the above the line vote preferences from one or two other groups will decide the result.

i.e. if there are 100,000 voters in an electorate and the Liberals get 40,000 direct votes and one nation have a deal to preference the Liberals and they get 11,000 above the line votes then the Libs have 51% of the vote easily counted at the poling stations on the day of the election.

Each booth will provide the above the line numbers for all major groups. Labor Liberal Nat Greens Democrats one nation, family first etc. The totals are easily assembled.

The few electorates where it is real close and it takes a few days or weeks even are the places where they have to actually count all the votes.
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
Peter Freedman
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 5275
Wellington
Gender: male
Re: Can someone explain preferences to me?
Reply #7 - Aug 22nd, 2013 at 11:09pm
 
Geez, it's a complex system. The sooner it changes the better.
Back to top
 

God grant me the patience to accept the things I cannot change, the courage to change the things I can and, above all, the wisdom to tell the difference.
 
IP Logged
 
Dnarever
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 58665
Here
Gender: male
Re: Can someone explain preferences to me?
Reply #8 - Aug 22nd, 2013 at 11:17pm
 
woof woof wrote on Aug 22nd, 2013 at 10:51pm:
who would get d votes if everyone of his votes had e as second but he's gone??

would they then look at who was 3rd pref on d vote and they'd get d votes


The reality is that they are only going to count the Labor and Liberal votes in most electorates unless they have to count something else. In this case if someone gets to 51% without these votes they will not be counted at that time.

i.e. the pile of something else is high.
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
MOTR
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 6646
Re: Can someone explain preferences to me?
Reply #9 - Aug 23rd, 2013 at 4:07am
 
Peter Freedman wrote on Aug 22nd, 2013 at 11:09pm:
Geez, it's a complex system. The sooner it changes the better.


It's actually quite a straight forward process unless of course we're talking about the Senate.
Back to top
 

Hunt says Coalition accepts IPCC findings

"What does this mean? It means that we need to do practical things that actually reduce emissions."
 
IP Logged
 
MOTR
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 6646
Re: Can someone explain preferences to me?
Reply #10 - Aug 23rd, 2013 at 4:22am
 
woof woof wrote on Aug 22nd, 2013 at 10:48pm:
OK so if e is removed first and the preferences allocated, we then come to d


what happens to d preferences that had e as number 2????

e is out gone see ya, but what happenes to the votes of those who preferenced e 2nd but voted for d


Your assumption that d is eliminated next is wrong. We don't know who will be eliminated next until e's preferences have been distributed. It's possible that many of those who voted e preferenced d. This might be because the two candidates have similar policies. In this case a strong flow of preferences from e to d will see c eliminated.

If e's preferences don't save d, d will be eliminated. As for the d voters who preferenced e 2nd, it's then necessary to jump to their 3rd preference.

It might sound complicated, but the process is quite straightforward once you get your head around a couple of basic rules.

Back to top
 

Hunt says Coalition accepts IPCC findings

"What does this mean? It means that we need to do practical things that actually reduce emissions."
 
IP Logged
 
greggerypeccary
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 137969
Gender: male
Re: Can someone explain preferences to me?
Reply #11 - Aug 23rd, 2013 at 7:59am
 
woof woof wrote on Aug 22nd, 2013 at 10:25pm:
I am finding the way preferences work to be somewhat confusing.



It's not really that confusing:


http://www.eca.gov.au/systems/single/by_category/preferential.htm


And remember what matty said: you can number the boxes any way you like.  You do not need to follow the how-to-vote cards.  They're your preferences, not the candidates'.


http://www.aec.gov.au/education/Democracy_Rules/interactives/voting_tool/index.h...
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
RightSadFred
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 2220
Gender: male
Re: Can someone explain preferences to me?
Reply #12 - Aug 23rd, 2013 at 8:17am
 
woof woof

While I am no fan of preferences, I do struggle to model a better system especially for the scenario your describing.

The way it works is that they count first preferences, if there is a clear winner ..... more then 50% then they declare the seat won

If that fails they add second preferences and if there is a clear winner ..... more then 50% then they declare the seat won

They keep following this process until there are no preferences left which means that mathematically one candidate should have 50%+ of the votes.

I guess its possible that 2 candidates could end up on 50:50 which I assume they would have to call a new election for that seat ..... I can't recall it happening but its mathematically possible ..... so is winning lotto.

Can you suggest a more efficient way to determine who is best to represent the electorate ?

One change I would prefer is they just count 2nd preferences and whoever has the highest vote count wins (even if its not > 50%)

The last state election I only had 3 candidates. Someone who votes Greens would not want their vote to count for the libs, which is possible in a close race. Not that it mattered as I am in safe Liberal seat.

Similarly people who vote Liberal don't want their vote to count to greens

The vast majority of people support the Libs/Nats or the ALP ...... based on current polling that is about 80% this group does not think about who they like as a third option or forth etc.....
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
greggerypeccary
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 137969
Gender: male
Re: Can someone explain preferences to me?
Reply #13 - Aug 23rd, 2013 at 8:40am
 
woof woof wrote on Aug 22nd, 2013 at 10:25pm:
I am finding the way preferences work to be somewhat confusing.

Say we have 5 candidates a b c d e

a gets 35%
b gets 35%
c gets 12%
d gets 10%
e gets 8%


e gives his votes to who??




Nobody.  The candidate with the fewest votes is excluded from each count.
Back to top
« Last Edit: Aug 23rd, 2013 at 8:49am by greggerypeccary »  
 
IP Logged
 
Alinta
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 1470
Melbourne
Gender: female
Re: Can someone explain preferences to me?
Reply #14 - Aug 23rd, 2013 at 9:40am
 
greggerypeccary wrote on Aug 23rd, 2013 at 8:40am:
woof woof wrote on Aug 22nd, 2013 at 10:25pm:
I am finding the way preferences work to be somewhat confusing.

Say we have 5 candidates a b c d e

a gets 35%
b gets 35%
c gets 12%
d gets 10%
e gets 8%


e gives his votes to who??




Nobody.  The candidate with the fewest votes is excluded from each count.


You sure Gregg???  I thought that E's #2 votes are distributed prior to his/her exclusion from the next count.   
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
Pages: 1 2 3 
Send Topic Print