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Sea Levels fall! What happened to ACC? (Read 6919 times)
BatteriesNotIncluded
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Re: Sea Levels fall! What happened to ACC?
Reply #60 - Aug 25th, 2013 at 4:43pm
 
Ajax wrote on Aug 24th, 2013 at 5:26pm:
rabbitoh07 wrote on Aug 24th, 2013 at 5:20pm:
Innocent bystander wrote on Aug 24th, 2013 at 3:52pm:
The_Barnacle wrote on Aug 24th, 2013 at 11:48am:
Given these facts I find it no surprise that Australia's record rains of 2010 and 2011 would cause a small temporary drop in the sea levels.




Thats just an amazing grasp at straws by the global warming religious movement, the whole theory has fallen to bits and you are reduced to pedalling crap like that, its very sad really.

Given that the earth continues to warm,
sea levels continue to rise,
global glacial mass balance continues to decrease, and
the arctic ice continues to decrease

How exactly has "the whole theory has fallen to bits"?!?!?

Could you explain?
Or is it just something Jonesy told you?


Says who the IPCC and sceptical science....????

AGW is a lie probably the biggest lie ever told.

Ajax, you hate your kids: we get it!

Lol, how easy is it to hate everything when you're eyeballs are burning from meth and you can't sleep but desperately want to get away from your boring existence of couting coin and smoking clouds of pretend power??

  Huh Huh Huh Huh  Grin Grin  Kiss
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*Sure....they're anti competitive as any subsidised job is.  It wouldn't be there without the tax payer.  Very damned difficult for a brainwashed collectivist to understand that I know....  (swaggy) *
 
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longweekend58
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Re: Sea Levels fall! What happened to ACC?
Reply #61 - Aug 25th, 2013 at 5:43pm
 
muso wrote on Aug 25th, 2013 at 4:26pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Aug 25th, 2013 at 4:09pm:
Has it not also occurred to you that if this explanation is true that the very revers must also be undeniably true?  And that is that RISES in the sea level can also be due to nothing more than drought?  I was wonderign if someone would eventually work this out bu no one did.  so from now on, seal level is ti be a function of drought?


Droughts generally take a number of years for things to dry out.  It's a much more gradual process than what happened in 2010 and 2011.  If you look at the graph, you can see that the trend recovered pretty quickly after 2011.

http://skepticalscience.com//pics/sl_ns_global.png

There are all kinds of situations regarding perched aquifers. Some  follow surface water trends and some don't. Deeper groundwater aquifers (not necessarily Artesian) can recharge pretty quickly too, and there were also some pretty high rainfalls right on the ranges in the recharge zone for the GAB.  Maybe some of it is still working its way down there.


my point is that I have never heard this kind of 'explanation' used for sea level before and I find it rather convenient.  It is just another example of desperately trying to find some random explanation to explain a failure in the orthodoxy.  Yet try and make the claim that sea level rises NOW are because Australia is drying out (which it is).
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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Re: Sea Levels fall! What happened to ACC?
Reply #62 - Aug 25th, 2013 at 6:20pm
 
longweekend58 wrote on Aug 25th, 2013 at 5:43pm:
muso wrote on Aug 25th, 2013 at 4:26pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Aug 25th, 2013 at 4:09pm:
Has it not also occurred to you that if this explanation is true that the very revers must also be undeniably true?  And that is that RISES in the sea level can also be due to nothing more than drought?  I was wonderign if someone would eventually work this out bu no one did.  so from now on, seal level is ti be a function of drought?


Droughts generally take a number of years for things to dry out.  It's a much more gradual process than what happened in 2010 and 2011.  If you look at the graph, you can see that the trend recovered pretty quickly after 2011.

http://skepticalscience.com//pics/sl_ns_global.png

There are all kinds of situations regarding perched aquifers. Some  follow surface water trends and some don't. Deeper groundwater aquifers (not necessarily Artesian) can recharge pretty quickly too, and there were also some pretty high rainfalls right on the ranges in the recharge zone for the GAB.  Maybe some of it is still working its way down there.


my point is that I have never heard this kind of 'explanation' used for sea level before and I find it rather convenient.  It is just another example of desperately trying to find some random explanation to explain a failure in the orthodoxy.  Yet try and make the claim that sea level rises NOW are because Australia is drying out (which it is). 


Regardless of the purpose of the paper, it seems plausible after some brief reality checks.

Some of the short term sea level change is probably due to Australia drying out as you put it, but it has increased to about 10mm per annum, so it can't be the whole story.
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Re: Sea Levels fall! What happened to ACC?
Reply #63 - Aug 25th, 2013 at 6:27pm
 
Deathridesahorse - You're not improving the signal to noise ratio in here. Please stop abusing people.
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Re: Sea Levels fall! What happened to ACC?
Reply #64 - Aug 25th, 2013 at 8:43pm
 
Its all just ...



...

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Re: Sea Levels fall! What happened to ACC?
Reply #65 - Aug 30th, 2013 at 2:04am
 
rabbitoh07 wrote on Aug 24th, 2013 at 8:37pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Aug 23rd, 2013 at 7:44pm:
you are still talking about enough water to lower the oceans!!!!  that is not credible.  it is a stupid explanation.  the amount of water involved in lowering the oceans by 7mmm PLUS the 3mm of thermal expansion makes it 10mm GLOBALLY. to do that would require every square metre of Australia to receive and absorb ENTIRELY 1000mm.  there must be no evaporation and no runoff which accounts for between 50 and 70% of rainfall meaning that australias rainfall over the entire continent would have had to been 2000mm or around 5 times want much of the coast receives and 50 times that in the centre.

it doesn't add up at all.

What is causing the thermal expansion Longy?

Aren't you one of those people that always tell us that global warming "stopped" in 1998?


Come on Longy.
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Re: Sea Levels fall! What happened to ACC?
Reply #66 - Aug 30th, 2013 at 9:40am
 
MOTR wrote on Aug 30th, 2013 at 2:04am:
rabbitoh07 wrote on Aug 24th, 2013 at 8:37pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Aug 23rd, 2013 at 7:44pm:
you are still talking about enough water to lower the oceans!!!!  that is not credible.  it is a stupid explanation.  the amount of water involved in lowering the oceans by 7mmm PLUS the 3mm of thermal expansion makes it 10mm GLOBALLY. to do that would require every square metre of Australia to receive and absorb ENTIRELY 1000mm.  there must be no evaporation and no runoff which accounts for between 50 and 70% of rainfall meaning that australias rainfall over the entire continent would have had to been 2000mm or around 5 times want much of the coast receives and 50 times that in the centre.

it doesn't add up at all.

What is causing the thermal expansion Longy?

Aren't you one of those people that always tell us that global warming "stopped" in 1998?


Come on Longy.


stick to the point.  this 'explanation' wants you to believe that heavy rains in australia lowered the worlds oceans by 10mm.  But a drought doesnt RAISE them?  and of course heavy rains in other parts of the world never does this?

The argument is silly because it is the classic example of casting about for any explanation that 'might possibly, perhaps kinda fit maybe, as long as all our assumptions are right...'

The right answer was 'we don't know...', because we don't.

MOTR, you beleive ANYTHING that supports your orthodoxy and reject all that doesnt.
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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Re: Sea Levels fall! What happened to ACC?
Reply #67 - Aug 30th, 2013 at 11:44am
 
Not sure why this is such a difficult concept for you Longy. Temperatures are not going up steadily. Oceans are not going up steadily. There are always small variations around the trend. Those variations have explanations, and the one suggested is entirely plausible.

This reminds me of your other assertion that minor party popularity always rises monotonically until immediately prior to their disappearance. You seem to have a strange fixation with putting straight lines on any measurement, then allowing only small fragments of the reality to enter your consciousness and freaking out about each and every one.
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Re: Sea Levels fall! What happened to ACC?
Reply #68 - Aug 30th, 2013 at 11:56am
 
Sea levels are not rising despite what the IPCC & its computer circulation models are saying.


This guy wrote the laws on tides
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1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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Re: Sea Levels fall! What happened to ACC?
Reply #69 - Aug 30th, 2013 at 12:10pm
 
longweekend58 wrote on Aug 30th, 2013 at 9:40am:
stick to the point.  this 'explanation' wants you to believe that heavy rains in australia lowered the worlds oceans by 10mm.  But a drought doesnt RAISE them?  and of course heavy rains in other parts of the world never does this?

The argument is silly because it is the classic example of casting about for any explanation that 'might possibly, perhaps kinda fit maybe, as long as all our assumptions are right...'

The right answer was 'we don't know...', because we don't.

MOTR, you beleive ANYTHING that supports your orthodoxy and reject all that doesnt.


Hey Longweekend

I had this argument over in the Environmental section.

http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1377319847/0#0

In the year 2010 & 2011 about 10000 kilometres cube (10000km3) of rain fell on the Australian Terrain.

Very astronomical amount of water to contemplate, i had a hard time getting my mind around it.

This paper apparently says that because so much rain fell on Australia it lowered sea levels by 7mm.

There's only one problem with that and that's this

Quote:
Key facts


• Around 89% of Australia’s total rainfall evaporates or is transpired by plants into
the atmosphere. Only around 9% runs off into streams, rivers and storages. The
remaining 2% drains below the root zone into groundwater aquifers and, from
there, into rivers.

• Exactly how much rainfall returns to the atmosphere and how much is available to
recharge soil, surface, and groundwater stores depends mainly on the amount of
energy from sunshine, and to a much lesser degree on the type of soil and
vegetation, and the management practices on the land.

• Annual crops and pastures use less water per year than perennial vegetation,
including trees, primarily because of their short growing seasons and shallower
root systems. The larger canopies of native and plantation forests add to their
higher evapotranspiration.

• About 65% of continental Australia’s runoff occurs in far northern Australia and
coastal Queensland. Only about 7% of runoff occurs in the Murray-Darling Basin
where more than 50% of Australia’s water is used
.

http://www.mla.com.au/files/2089f840-665f-4c3d-834a-9d66008a9009/


So while an unbelievable amount of water did fall on Australia in 2010 & 2011, the possibility of that water all disappearing underground never to be seen again is....

Not True.

All rainwater eventually finds its way back to the ocean, or what's left of it.

A weak excuse to try and protect the IPCC failed forecast once again.
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« Last Edit: Aug 30th, 2013 at 12:21pm by Ajax »  

1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
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rabbitoh07
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Re: Sea Levels fall! What happened to ACC?
Reply #70 - Aug 30th, 2013 at 12:26pm
 
Ajax wrote on Aug 30th, 2013 at 12:10pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Aug 30th, 2013 at 9:40am:
stick to the point.  this 'explanation' wants you to believe that heavy rains in australia lowered the worlds oceans by 10mm.  But a drought doesnt RAISE them?  and of course heavy rains in other parts of the world never does this?

The argument is silly because it is the classic example of casting about for any explanation that 'might possibly, perhaps kinda fit maybe, as long as all our assumptions are right...'

The right answer was 'we don't know...', because we don't.

MOTR, you beleive ANYTHING that supports your orthodoxy and reject all that doesnt.


Hey Longweekend

I had this argument over in the Environmental section.

In the year 2010 & 2011 about 10000 kilometres cube (10000km3) of rain fell on the Australian Terrain.

Very astronomical amount of water to contemplate, i had a hard time getting my mind around it.

This paper apparently says that because so much rain fell on Australia it lowered sea levels by 7mm.

There's only one problem with that and that's this

Quote:
Key facts

• Around 89% of Australia’s total rainfall evaporates or is transpired by plants into
the atmosphere. Only around 9% runs off into streams, rivers and storages. The
remaining 2% drains below the root zone into groundwater aquifers and, from
there, into rivers.

• Exactly how much rainfall returns to the atmosphere and how much is available to
recharge soil, surface, and groundwater stores depends mainly on the amount of
energy from sunshine, and to a much lesser degree on the type of soil and
vegetation, and the management practices on the land.

• Annual crops and pastures use less water per year than perennial vegetation,
including trees, primarily because of their short growing seasons and shallower
root systems. The larger canopies of native and plantation forests add to their
higher evapotranspiration.

• About 65% of continental Australia’s runoff occurs in far northern Australia and
coastal Queensland. Only about 7% of runoff occurs in the Murray-Darling Basin
where more than 50% of Australia’s water is used
.

http://www.mla.com.au/files/2089f840-665f-4c3d-834a-9d66008a9009/


So while an unbelievable amount of water did fall on Australia in 2010 & 2011, the possibility of that water all disappearing underground never to be seen again is....

Not True.

All rainwater eventually finds its way back to the ocean, or what's left of it.

A weak excuse to try and protect the IPCC failed forecast once again.

THis is the 3rd time you have told this lie now.  Why do you keep doing it?

Nobody claimed that all of the 10,000km3 that fell on Australia was "disappearing underground never to be seen again" - yet 3 times now you have told this lie.  Why?

What you WERE told - repeatedly -  is that it would only take less than 1/4 of the 10,000km3 of rain to be retained on land to lower the world's oceans by 7mm.

Your source says that typically - some 11% of rainfall is not directly cycled back into the atmosphere, but retained on or below land.  You source also expands on this typical figure by saying:
Exactly how much rainfall returns to the atmosphere and how much is available to
recharge soil, surface, and groundwater stores depends mainly on the amount of
energy from sunshine, and to a much lesser degree on the type of soil and
vegetation, and the management practices on the land


We know that in 2010/11groundwater reserves would have been depleted after a long period of drought, and also that in those years the amount of energy from sunshine would have been less than usual because of the extreme amount or precipitation received.

THe suggestion that in 2010/11, the amount of rainfall remaining on land was higher than the typical figure of 11% and closer to 25% is not in any way unreasonable.

I suggest that this is why you continue to deliberately lie about claims that %100 of this rainfall was retained on land.

You are not fooling anyone.
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Re: Sea Levels fall! What happened to ACC?
Reply #71 - Aug 30th, 2013 at 12:31pm
 
longweekend58 wrote on Aug 30th, 2013 at 9:40am:
MOTR wrote on Aug 30th, 2013 at 2:04am:
rabbitoh07 wrote on Aug 24th, 2013 at 8:37pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Aug 23rd, 2013 at 7:44pm:
you are still talking about enough water to lower the oceans!!!!  that is not credible.  it is a stupid explanation.  the amount of water involved in lowering the oceans by 7mmm PLUS the 3mm of thermal expansion makes it 10mm GLOBALLY. to do that would require every square metre of Australia to receive and absorb ENTIRELY 1000mm.  there must be no evaporation and no runoff which accounts for between 50 and 70% of rainfall meaning that australias rainfall over the entire continent would have had to been 2000mm or around 5 times want much of the coast receives and 50 times that in the centre.

it doesn't add up at all.

What is causing the thermal expansion Longy?

Aren't you one of those people that always tell us that global warming "stopped" in 1998?


Come on Longy.


stick to the point.  this 'explanation' wants you to believe that heavy rains in australia lowered the worlds oceans by 10mm.  But a drought doesnt RAISE them?  and of course heavy rains in other parts of the world never does this?

The argument is silly because it is the classic example of casting about for any explanation that 'might possibly, perhaps kinda fit maybe, as long as all our assumptions are right...'

The right answer was 'we don't know...', because we don't.

MOTR, you beleive ANYTHING that supports your orthodoxy and reject all that doesnt.

Aren't you one of those people that always repeats the silly claim by the Daily Mail columnist that  global warming "stopped" in 1998?

if so - what caused this 3mm of thermal expansion you mentioned?

Why can't you answer?
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Re: Sea Levels fall! What happened to ACC?
Reply #72 - Aug 30th, 2013 at 12:36pm
 
This has been done to death on the other thread in the environment forum.
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muso
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Re: Sea Levels fall! What happened to ACC?
Reply #73 - Aug 30th, 2013 at 12:38pm
 
Ajax wrote on Aug 30th, 2013 at 12:10pm:
Hey Longweekend

I had this argument over in the Environmental section....


- and you well and truly humiliated yourself. You must have a very short memory.
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Re: Sea Levels fall! What happened to ACC?
Reply #74 - Aug 30th, 2013 at 12:41pm
 
Sensational journalism at its best.

Sea levels are rising 10mm/year.......????

Quote:
The world's sea levels fell in 2011 and it's all Australia's fault.


New US research shows Australia's dry soil and mountainous coastline soaked up heavy rainfall in 2010 and 2011 and stopped it from flowing back into the ocean.

That effectively halted a longterm trend of rising sea levels which have been caused by higher temperatures and melting ice sheets.

"No other continent has this combination of atmospheric set-up and topography," scientist John Fasullo, who worked on the study, said in a statement.

"Only in Australia could the atmosphere carry such heavy tropical rains to such a large area, only to have those rains fail to make their way to the ocean."

The world's oceans have been rising in recent decades by around three millimetres every year.

This is partly because heat has caused water to expand, and partly because run-off from retreating glaciers and ice sheets has made its way into the oceans.

But for an 18-month period beginning in 2010, the oceans mysteriously dropped by about seven millimetres, more than offsetting the annual rise, the study says.

The US scientists say this was mainly caused by Australia's uniquely dry soil and land surface.

While some of the water evaporated in the desert sun, much of it sank into the dry, granular soil of the Western Plateau or filled the Lake Eyre basin in the east.

Since 2011, sea levels have been rising at a faster pace of about ten millimetres per year
.



http://news.ninemsn.com.au/national/2013/08/22/22/24/aust-sucks-up-ocean-s-water...



This guy wrote the laws on tides

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1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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