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Politics, Economics & New Realities! (Read 32264 times)
Bias_2012
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Re: Politics, Economics & New Realities!
Reply #165 - Jan 21st, 2016 at 12:02pm
 
stunspore wrote on Jan 21st, 2016 at 10:59am:
So what are small businesses worried about...



From first link ...

Aaron Smith, founder and chief executive of fitness business KX Group, says while the share market has dropped significantly in the last few weeks, he doubts it is affecting small business on a local level.
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"Scare tactics from the media really dictate what small business see happening," he says.



I'd say they watch more than just the Media, there's big falls in the stock market, there's bankruptcies and low profits of large companies, then there's other businesses' around them of different trades slowing down or shutting their doors etc

When I had a sole trader business, the main thing I checked often was the rent I was paying, it got so high, I told the rent collector "I'm out" .... it was just as well I did because the economy went bad after that and took two years to pick up again

This current downturn is worse than that time though



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Our Lives Are Governed By The Feast & Famine Variable
 
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perceptions_now
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Re: Politics, Economics & New Realities!
Reply #166 - Jan 21st, 2016 at 12:11pm
 
I Re-post the following, as it is relevant.

perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2016 at 12:03pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 20th, 2016 at 6:12pm:
And, they are off & racing, yet again!?

Europe recently opened & many/most are already Down over 2%.
Japan has closed & they finished Down 630 or 3.71%.
http://www.investing.com/indices/major-indices
Dow Futures are currently Down some 265 or 1.67%.
http://www.investing.com/indices/us-30-futures-advanced-chart
And, the Oil Price is Down some $0.84 @ $28.74.
http://www.investing.com/commodities/crude-oil


Indications, suggest MAYBE another "interesting" session on the DOW overnight???
 


Talk about off & racing OR UP/DOWN & All Around!?

Europe closed mostly Down around 3 & 4%, plus a couple around 5%.
The Dow had a wild ride, being Down over 500, then it recovered to be only Down around 133, before closing Down 249 (1.56%) @ 15,767.
Japan is currently UP 241 (1.47%).
http://www.investing.com/indices/major-indices
And, the Oil Price dipped Down to a low of $27.65 in the early hours (although channel 7 Sunrise said $26), before rising again to close @ $28.70.
http://www.investing.com/commodities/crude-oil

My take on the wild "fluctuations", is that there MAY WELL again have been a little outside assistance (RedRes/PPT).

Oh & the All Ords is currently UP around 57 - Go Figure?



IMO these "fluctuations" are set to continue, for some time, until the final straw that breaks the camels back, finally arrives, most likely prior to the end of this year!

At which time, governments &/or CB's, won't have ANY effect & "the proverbial will hit the fan"!

At which time, Global Share markets are likely to initially Decline some 50%, But eventually that Decline could go down as low as 70 - 90%.

So, ANY POLITICIAN, who talks about Growth, you will know they are JUST A POLITICIAN, DOING WHAT POLITICIANS DO! 
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Re: Politics, Economics & New Realities!
Reply #167 - Jan 21st, 2016 at 12:41pm
 
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2016 at 12:11pm:
I Re-post the following, as it is relevant.

perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2016 at 12:03pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 20th, 2016 at 6:12pm:
And, they are off & racing, yet again!?

Europe recently opened & many/most are already Down over 2%.
Japan has closed & they finished Down 630 or 3.71%.
http://www.investing.com/indices/major-indices
Dow Futures are currently Down some 265 or 1.67%.
http://www.investing.com/indices/us-30-futures-advanced-chart
And, the Oil Price is Down some $0.84 @ $28.74.
http://www.investing.com/commodities/crude-oil


Indications, suggest MAYBE another "interesting" session on the DOW overnight???
 


Talk about off & racing OR UP/DOWN & All Around!?

Europe closed mostly Down around 3 & 4%, plus a couple around 5%.
The Dow had a wild ride, being Down over 500, then it recovered to be only Down around 133, before closing Down 249 (1.56%) @ 15,767.
Japan is currently UP 241 (1.47%).
http://www.investing.com/indices/major-indices
And, the Oil Price dipped Down to a low of $27.65 in the early hours (although channel 7 Sunrise said $26), before rising again to close @ $28.70.
http://www.investing.com/commodities/crude-oil

My take on the wild "fluctuations", is that there MAY WELL again have been a little outside assistance (RedRes/PPT).

Oh & the All Ords is currently UP around 57 - Go Figure?



IMO these "fluctuations" are set to continue, for some time, until the final straw that breaks the camels back, finally arrives, most likely prior to the end of this year!

At which time, governments &/or CB's, won't have ANY effect & "the proverbial will hit the fan"!

At which time, Global Share markets are likely to initially Decline some 50%, But eventually that Decline could go down as low as 70 - 90%.

So, ANY POLITICIAN, who talks about Growth, you will know they are JUST A POLITICIAN, DOING WHAT POLITICIANS DO! 


Most of those joints have had long periods of QE. They're inflated anyway.
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Very funny Scotty, now beam down my clothes.
 
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Re: Politics, Economics & New Realities!
Reply #168 - Jan 21st, 2016 at 4:28pm
 
mariacostel wrote on Jan 18th, 2016 at 12:16pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Jan 18th, 2016 at 10:20am:
A suitable climate is one item we won’t have for much longer.

China is flexing its military muscle in a big way, it could try the old technique of a war to distract the populace from local poor/declining economic conditions.

Confidence has not really returned to the private sector anywhere since the GFC, private sector is dis- and de-leveraging. Saving and paying down that. The 2014 Budget has a lot to do with that. Confidence will take a long time to rebuild.



You mean because of all the drastic temperature changes that aren't happening? the massive sea level rises that arent occuring or perhaps it is the melting polar cas which are growing instead.

Or Perhaps you are like Prince Charles who thinks ISIS was caused by global warming. You do tend to 'think alike'.

Drastic temperature changes that are not happening? {oops}

2015 was drastically hotter than 2014 than any year has been hotter than the preceding year.

This nonsense about no temperature change is finished!
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-01-21/2015-was-by-far-hottest-in-modern-times-no...
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Get the vaxx! 💉💉

If you don’t like abortions ignore them like you do school shootings.
 
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perceptions_now
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Re: Politics, Economics & New Realities!
Reply #169 - Jan 21st, 2016 at 7:36pm
 
I Re-post the following here, as it is relevant -

perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2016 at 7:34pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 21st, 2016 at 12:03pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Jan 20th, 2016 at 6:12pm:
And, they are off & racing, yet again!?

Europe recently opened & many/most are already Down over 2%.
Japan has closed & they finished Down 630 or 3.71%.
http://www.investing.com/indices/major-indices
Dow Futures are currently Down some 265 or 1.67%.
http://www.investing.com/indices/us-30-futures-advanced-chart
And, the Oil Price is Down some $0.84 @ $28.74.
http://www.investing.com/commodities/crude-oil


Indications, suggest MAYBE another "interesting" session on the DOW overnight???
 


Talk about off & racing OR UP/DOWN & All Around!?

Europe closed mostly Down around 3 & 4%, plus a couple around 5%.
The Dow had a wild ride, being Down over 500, then it recovered to be only Down around 133, before closing Down 249 (1.56%) @ 15,767.
Japan is currently UP 241 (1.47%).
http://www.investing.com/indices/major-indices
And, the Oil Price dipped Down to a low of $27.65 in the early hours (although channel 7 Sunrise said $26), before rising again to close @ $28.70.
http://www.investing.com/commodities/crude-oil

My take on the wild "fluctuations", is that there MAY WELL again have been a little outside assistance (RedRes/PPT).

Oh & the All Ords is currently UP around 57 - Go Figure?



Well, my wife & I went to the movies this afternoon & have just returned.

On looking at the markets, it seems apparent 'THEY ARE ALL SLOWLY GOING MAD OR ALREADY HAVE BEEN, FOR QUITE SOME TIME"!!!

Japan actually rose by 317 in early trading, But then collapsed, to finish Down by 399 @ 16,017.
The main Chinese markets, finished Down around 3%.
http://www.investing.com/indices/major-indices
Dow Futures have also continued the ride, by initially rising some 150, then going on a Downer, to currently be around 110 Down.
http://www.investing.com/indices/us-30-futures-advanced-chart

Oh & whilst the All Ords did initially rise about 80, it then went into Decline, to finish up only 20.
http://www.investing.com/indices/all-ordinaries

So, back to the movies, the wife & I went to see"The big Short", which went into the GFC and had quite a bit to say about "Stupidity & Fraud" of those in the Financial industry, TPTB, Government/s, Government agencies, CB's & a few more.

For those who think the outcomes now will be similar to then, THINK AGAIN!
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Re: Politics, Economics & New Realities!
Reply #170 - Jan 22nd, 2016 at 8:40am
 
http://theaimn.com/why-labor-have-always-misunderstood-economic-management/

Pretty much standard lib response:
(copied from link)
-    Anything bad that happens when Labor is power is a direct result of their policies, their lack of understanding, or their union* links, while anything good is a result of them being left a great economy thanks to us.
-    Anything bad that happens when we’re in power is not only a direct result of Labor being in power at sometime in the past century but also because of something we couldn’t have foreseen (like iron ore prices not staying at record levels or reducing wages leading to people paying less income tax). Of course, anything good – like the resources boom – is thanks to our sound economic management.
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Re: Politics, Economics & New Realities!
Reply #171 - Feb 4th, 2016 at 10:06am
 
I Re-post the following here, as it is relevant!

Oh & just for timing, Wti Oil recently rose again, from a recent low of around $27, to a recent high of around $34, before then falling again yesterday to around $29.70 & then rising again to currently be at around $32.50.
http://www.investing.com/commodities/crude-oil

Also, the US$ index has recently been as high as 100, But yesterday it hit a high of 98.94, then it hit a low during the day of 96.89 and now it has regained some ground, to be at 97.30.
http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/dxy

Games are being played & the final wash up will come when something is miscalculated and then the proverbial will hit the fan! 


perceptions_now wrote on Feb 3rd, 2016 at 12:47pm:
Collapse Of Shale Gas Production Has Begun


The U.S. Empire is in serious trouble as the collapse of its domestic shale gas production has begun.

All the trillions of Dollars in financial assets mean nothing without oil, natural gas or coal. Energy drives the economy and finance steers it. As I stated several times before, the financial industry is driving us over the cliff.

The Great U.S. Shale Gas Boom Is Likely Over For Good
Total shale gas production from the Barnett, Eagle Ford, Haynesville and Marcellus peaked at 27.9 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) in July and fell to 26.7 Bcf/d by December 2015:
https://staticseekingalpha.a.ssl.fastly.net/uploads/2016/1/31/saupload_Steve-1.j...

Basically, the overwhelming majority of the shale gas extracted at the Haynesville was done so at a complete loss.
Chesapeake is one of the larger shale gas producers in the Haynesville as well as in the United States. According to its recent financial reports, Chesapeake received $1.05 billion in operating cash in the first three-quarters of 2015, but spent $3.2 on capital expenditures to continue drilling. Thus, its free cash flow was a negative $2.1 billion in the first nine months of 2015. And this doesn't include what it paid out in dividends.

The reason these companies continue to produce shale gas at a loss is to keep generating revenue and cash flow to service their debt. If they cut back significantly on drilling activity, their production would plummet. This would cause cash flow to drop like a rock, including their stock price, and they would go bankrupt as they couldn't continue servicing their debt.
Basically, the U.S. Shale Gas Industry is nothing more than a Ponzi Scheme.


While the collapse of U.S. shale gas production is one nail in the U.S. Empire Coffin, the other is Shale Oil. U.S. shale oil production peaked before shale gas production:
https://staticseekingalpha.a.ssl.fastly.net/uploads/2016/1/31/saupload_Steve-8.j...

The notion of U.S. energy independence was built on hype, hope and cow excrement. Instead, we are now going to witness the collapse of U.S. shale oil and gas production.

The collapse of U.S. shale oil and gas production are two nails in the U.S. Empire coffin. Why? Because U.S. will have to rely on growing oil and gas imports in the future as the strength and faith of the Dollar weakens. I see a time when oil exporting countries will no longer take Dollars or U.S. Treasuries for oil. Which means… we are going to have to actually trade something of real value other than paper promises.

I believe U.S. oil production will decline 30-40% from its peak (9.6 million barrels per day July 2015) by 2020 and 60-75% by 2025
. The U.S. Empire is a suburban sprawl economy that needs a lot of oil to keep trains, trucks and cars moving.
A collapse in oil production will also mean a collapse of economic activity.


Thus, a collapse of economic activity means skyrocketing debt defaults, massive bankruptcies and plunging tax revenue. This will be a disaster for the U.S. Empire.

http://seekingalpha.com/article/3851316-collapse-shale-gas-production-begun?ifp=...
==============================================
This article is especially for Longy/Maria, who  are still "true believers", in Shale Oil/Gas, that there is nothing different happening now, that the good old times will roll again & that it's all just part of "the cycle"!?

And, as usual, Longy/Maris areis wrong, yet again!
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Re: Politics, Economics & New Realities!
Reply #172 - Feb 4th, 2016 at 12:26pm
 
I Re-post the following here, as it is relevant!

perceptions_now wrote on Feb 4th, 2016 at 12:24pm:
Whilst Oil is certainly a very important indicator, the BDI (Bulk Dry Index) is also a very important indicator of Global Demand, including for a range of commodities such as coal, iron ore and grain.

Marginal increases in demand can push the index higher quickly, and marginal demand decreases can cause the index to fall rapidly.

Because dry bulk primarily consists of materials that function as raw material inputs to the production of intermediate or finished goods, such as concrete, electricity, steel, and food; the index is also seen as an efficient economic indicator of future economic growth and production.
The BDI is termed a leading economic indicator because it predicts future economic activity
.


Significant BDI levels
On 20 May 2008, the index reached its record high level since its introduction in 1985, reaching 11,793 points.
Half a year later, on 5 December 2008, the index had dropped by 94%, to 663 points, the lowest since 1986, though by 4 February 2009 it had recovered a little lost ground, back to 1,316.
During 2009, the index recovered as high as 4661, but then bottomed out at 1043 in February, 2011.
Though rebounding to 2000 on 7 October, by 3 February 2012, the index made a new multi-decade low of 647.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baltic_Dry_Index
==========================================
As of 3 February 2016, the Baltic Dry Index reached the historic all time low of 303.
http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/BDIY:IND

When integrated with other Global factors, suh as Demographics, Energy, Technology, Climate, Debt levels, interest Rates, Stimulus packages & more, they all fit together & strongly suggest that we are again entering (or, in fact, have entered already) a very testing period for the Local & Global Economy, similar to 2007/2008, but quite likely a greater Downturn & for a longer period, having already used up all of the usual/likely Economic fixes!

So, as the Politicians & those Economists representing "vested interests", speak about Economic Growth, YOU WILL KNOW THEY ARE NOT TELLING THE TRUTH!   


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Re: Politics, Economics & New Realities!
Reply #173 - Feb 15th, 2016 at 5:12pm
 
I Re-post the following here, as it is relevant.

perceptions_now wrote on Feb 15th, 2016 at 11:56am:
polite_gandalf wrote on Feb 15th, 2016 at 11:51am:
Its patently obvious why the prices are exorbitantly high - because of the collusion between the main retailers.

Collusion is illegal under Australian law. The ACCC need to get off their backsides and start dealing penalties.


Yes!
But, the ACCC & the major Political Party's must be aware of what's been happening AND NONE OF THEM HAS EVEN SPOKEN UP, LET ALONE TAKEN ANY REAL ACTION!
I wonder WHY?

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Re: Politics, Economics & New Realities!
Reply #174 - Feb 15th, 2016 at 5:52pm
 
perceptions_now wrote on Feb 15th, 2016 at 5:12pm:
I Re-post the following here, as it is relevant.

perceptions_now wrote on Feb 15th, 2016 at 11:56am:
polite_gandalf wrote on Feb 15th, 2016 at 11:51am:
Its patently obvious why the prices are exorbitantly high - because of the collusion between the main retailers.

Collusion is illegal under Australian law. The ACCC need to get off their backsides and start dealing penalties.


Yes!
But, the ACCC & the major Political Party's must be aware of what's been happening AND NONE OF THEM HAS EVEN SPOKEN UP, LET ALONE TAKEN ANY REAL ACTION!
I wonder WHY?



I wonder WHY?
Perhaps, there are "some answers", in the following?



Petrol stations making historically high margins despite crude oil hitting 11 year low


The price of crude oil might be at its lowest point in 11 years, but Australia's competition watchdog says motorists here are not benefiting as much as they should be.

The ACCC's report has found that the margins for petrol station operators are at historic highs.
But the group representing the industry says service station owners are not doing anything wrong.

David Taylor has our report.

DAVID TAYLOR: The price of crude oil is at an 11-year low. Petrol retailers though, according to the ACCC, are not passing enough of a discount to motorists at the pump.

The consumer watchdog says the service stations are on notice.

DAVID TAYLOR: The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission has released its fifth quarterly report into the Australian petroleum industry.
It shows the average petrol price in Australia's five largest cities - Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide, and Perth - was around 124 cents per litre, down on the previous quarter.
ACCC chairman Rod Sims says he welcomes that decrease, but he says retail margins in Australia are still about 5 cents higher than they usually are.
The ACCC's report noted that quarterly average margins in the five largest cities - around 11 cents per litre - were actually at their highest level since the ACCC began monitoring in 2002.


Refiner margins are also double what they usually are.


Greg Patten is the chief executive of the Motor Traders' Association. He says the price drivers pay at the bowser are not just determined by the price of crude.
DAVID TAYLOR: I'm surprised that you say that the price at the bowser is so influenced by other factors other than the price of crude oil. Can you give me a percentage breakdown?

GREG PATTEN: Roughly speaking, if the price of fuel was one dollar on the nose to make it nice and easy, 45 cents thereabouts is to do with taxes and levies, there's another 20 to 25 cents that's to do with refinery costs, another 10 or 15 in the way of distribution and storage costs, and of course, you know, you've got to account for people in rural areas.

http://www.abc.net.au/worldtoday/content/2016/s4406612.htm
====================================
So, the ACCC has finally said something, "better late, than never", I suppose.

The ACCC suggests, the average Retailer Profit is now about 11 cents a litre, which is roughly double the usual figure!

The ACCC also suggests that about 45% of the per litre cost is to do with taxes and levies, 20-25% is to do with refinery costs, another 10-15% is by way of distribution and storage costs & "some"costs for people in rural areas.


What the ACCC DOESN'T SAY, is how the Refinery & Distribution Costs of 30-40% relate to the "old/usual figures"!

AND, The Politicians are still AVOIDING THIS ISSUE, LIKE THE PLAGUE, nothing new there!!!
Something to do, with keeping quite, on the amount of the Tax Take & AVOIDING BAD PR???
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Re: Politics, Economics & New Realities!
Reply #175 - Feb 16th, 2016 at 6:28am
 
perceptions_now wrote on Feb 15th, 2016 at 5:52pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Feb 15th, 2016 at 5:12pm:
I Re-post the following here, as it is relevant.

perceptions_now wrote on Feb 15th, 2016 at 11:56am:
polite_gandalf wrote on Feb 15th, 2016 at 11:51am:
Its patently obvious why the prices are exorbitantly high - because of the collusion between the main retailers.

Collusion is illegal under Australian law. The ACCC need to get off their backsides and start dealing penalties.


Yes!
But, the ACCC & the major Political Party's must be aware of what's been happening AND NONE OF THEM HAS EVEN SPOKEN UP, LET ALONE TAKEN ANY REAL ACTION!
I wonder WHY?



I wonder WHY?
Perhaps, there are "some answers", in the following?



Petrol stations making historically high margins despite crude oil hitting 11 year low


The price of crude oil might be at its lowest point in 11 years, but Australia's competition watchdog says motorists here are not benefiting as much as they should be.

The ACCC's report has found that the margins for petrol station operators are at historic highs.
But the group representing the industry says service station owners are not doing anything wrong.

David Taylor has our report.

DAVID TAYLOR: The price of crude oil is at an 11-year low. Petrol retailers though, according to the ACCC, are not passing enough of a discount to motorists at the pump.

The consumer watchdog says the service stations are on notice.

DAVID TAYLOR: The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission has released its fifth quarterly report into the Australian petroleum industry.
It shows the average petrol price in Australia's five largest cities - Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide, and Perth - was around 124 cents per litre, down on the previous quarter.
ACCC chairman Rod Sims says he welcomes that decrease, but he says retail margins in Australia are still about 5 cents higher than they usually are.
The ACCC's report noted that quarterly average margins in the five largest cities - around 11 cents per litre - were actually at their highest level since the ACCC began monitoring in 2002.


Refiner margins are also double what they usually are.


Greg Patten is the chief executive of the Motor Traders' Association. He says the price drivers pay at the bowser are not just determined by the price of crude.
DAVID TAYLOR: I'm surprised that you say that the price at the bowser is so influenced by other factors other than the price of crude oil. Can you give me a percentage breakdown?

GREG PATTEN: Roughly speaking, if the price of fuel was one dollar on the nose to make it nice and easy, 45 cents thereabouts is to do with taxes and levies, there's another 20 to 25 cents that's to do with refinery costs, another 10 or 15 in the way of distribution and storage costs, and of course, you know, you've got to account for people in rural areas.

http://www.abc.net.au/worldtoday/content/2016/s4406612.htm
====================================
So, the ACCC has finally said something, "better late, than never", I suppose.

The ACCC suggests, the average Retailer Profit is now about 11 cents a litre, which is roughly double the usual figure!

The ACCC also suggests that about 45% of the per litre cost is to do with taxes and levies, 20-25% is to do with refinery costs, another 10-15% is by way of distribution and storage costs & "some"costs for people in rural areas.


What the ACCC DOESN'T SAY, is how the Refinery & Distribution Costs of 30-40% relate to the "old/usual figures"!

AND, The Politicians are still AVOIDING THIS ISSUE, LIKE THE PLAGUE, nothing new there!!!
Something to do, with keeping quite, on the amount of the Tax Take & AVOIDING BAD PR???


The ACCC wouldn't know if their arse was on fire. They seem to think that prices are set by some pre-ordained formula. One day they will work it all out by themselves. The price is set by good ol' supply and demand.

No laws broken here.
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Very funny Scotty, now beam down my clothes.
 
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Re: Politics, Economics & New Realities!
Reply #176 - Feb 19th, 2016 at 12:18pm
 
I  Re-post the following here, as it is relevant!

perceptions_now wrote on Feb 19th, 2016 at 12:17pm:
The Global Economy Is Absolutely Imploding


The truth is that we are in the early chapters of a brand new economic meltdown, and I believe that all of the signs indicate that it will continue to get worse in the months ahead.

#1 Chinese exports fell by 11.2 percent year over year in January.

#2 Chinese imports were even worse in January.  On a year over year basis, they declined a whopping 18.8 percent.

#3 It may be hard to believe, but Chinese imports have now plunged for 15 months in a row.

#4 In India, exports were down 13.6 percent on a year over year basis in January.

#5 In Japan, exports declined 8 percent in December on a year over year basis, while imports plummeted 18 percent.

#6 For the sixth time in six years, Japanese GDP growth has gone negative.

#7 In the United States, exports were down 7 percent on a year over year basis in December.

#8 U.S. factory orders have fallen for 14 months in a row.

#9 The Restaurant Performance Index in the United States has dropped to the lowest level that we have seen since 2008.

#10 This month the Baltic Dry Index fell below 300 for the first time ever.

#11 It is now cheaper to rent a 1,100 foot merchant vessel than it is to rent a Ferrari.

#12 Orders for Class 8 trucks in the United States dropped by 48 percent on a year over year basis in January.

#13 Due to a lack of demand for trucks, Daimler just laid off 1,250 U.S. workers.

#14 Even though Saudi Arabia and Russia have agreed to freeze oil production at current levels, the price of U.S. oil has still fallen below 30 dollars a barrel.

#15 It is being reported that 35 percent of all oil and gas companies around the world are at risk of falling into bankruptcy.

#16 According to CNN, 67 oil and gas companies in the United States filed for bankruptcy during 2015.

#17 The number of job cuts in the United States skyrocketed 218 percent during the month of January according to Challenger, Gray & Christmas.

#18 All over America, retail stores are shutting down at a stunning pace. 

-Wal-Mart is closing 269 stores, including 154 inside the United States.
-K-Mart is closing down more than two dozen stores over the next several months.

-J.C. Penney will be permanently shutting down 47 more stores after closing a total of 40 stores in 2015.

-Macy’s has decided that it needs to shutter 36 stores and lay off approximately 2,500 employees.

-The Gap is in the process of closing 175 stores in North America.

-Aeropostale is in the process of closing 84 stores all across America.

-Finish Line has announced that 150 stores will be shutting down over the next few years.

-Sears has shut down about 600 stores over the past year or so, but sales at the stores that remain open continue to fall precipitously.

#19 The price of gold is enjoying its best quarterly performance in 30 years.

#20 Global stocks have fallen into bear market territory, which means that about one-fifth of all global stock market wealth has already been wiped out.

#21 Unfortunately for global central banks, they have pretty much run out of ammunition.  Since March 2008, central banks have cut interest rates 637 times and they have purchased a staggering 12.3 trillion dollars worth of assets. 

There is not much more that they can do, and now the next great crisis is upon us.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-02-17/21-new-numbers-show-global-economy-abso...
====================================
It is clear, despite what many/most Politicians may say, that the Local & Global Economies are in Decline!

During most of the Modern Economic era, the Economy could be relied on to bounce back, mainly because the large Population Growth  would automatically create "Growing Demand" & thus re-ignite Economic Growth.

BUT AS THE GLOBAL POPULATION NOW AGES RAPIDLY, THAT GROWTH IS NO LONGER THERE & AT SOME POINT, IN THE NOT TO DISTANT FUTURE, POPULATION & ECONOMIC GROWTH, WILL ACTUALLY GO INTO DECLINE!!! 

Whilst the major Economic driver has been/is Population Growth, there are also other major issues, which are also no longer guaranteed Drivers of BIG Economic Growth, those being -
Energy - Declining Supply Growth & Pricing issues!
Climate Change - The old Goldilock Global Climate, IS NOW GONE!
Technology - Once also virtually guaranteed Economic Growth, But that guarantee is no longer!

So, despite what the Politicians may say, it is also clear that the "old Economy" is dying and there really isn't much more that Governments/Central Banks can now do, having not taken the correct measures over many decades!

Now, the next great crisis is upon us and Governments & CB's have none of the usual ammunition left, so this crisis (GFC2) will prove to be the Great Economic Unwinding!
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perceptions_now
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Re: Politics, Economics & New Realities!
Reply #177 - Apr 1st, 2016 at 12:52pm
 
perceptions_now wrote on Apr 1st, 2016 at 12:46pm:
The Coal Industry Is On The Brink Of Collapse


The US coal industry is in an increasingly desperate situation. Despite the fact that coal still accounts for a huge percentage of US energy consumption, the industry is on the brink of collapse. As technological, political, and societal forces are all aligning against coal, US coal companies will likely continue to experience a severe downturn.

The US, and the world in general, is clearly planning to shift away from coal towards cleaner energy alternatives. While coal has driven the world for centuries, it is rapidly becoming a remnant of the past.

Unsustainable Business
The US coal industry is facing threats from nearly all directions. Not only is coal under threat from increasingly harsh anti-coal policies, but it is also facing enormous market pressures from other energy sources. Declining natural gas prices, for instance, have put a huge strain on the US coal industry over the past few years.
Solar, in particular, poses a huge threat to coal given solar's exponential growth nature. The long-term promise of these new energy technologies certainly does not bode well for coal.
As coal companies are confronted with the ever-growing problem of stranded assets, investors should stay far away from the industry.

Coal Companies Are Collapsing
With some of the largest US coal companies like Arch Coal filing for bankruptcy, the situation could not be worse for the industry. Most recently, Peabody Energy announced that it may be on the brink of bankruptcy. This news should be especially concerning for coal investors given Peabody Energy's status as the past decade's industry leader.

Peabody Energy also admitted that "the continued uncertainty around global coal fundamentals, the stagnated economic growth of certain major coal-importing nations, and the potential for significant additional regulatory requirements imposed on coal producers" should play a big role in the company's prospects. Major US coal companies like Alliance Resource Partners, Consol Energy (NYSE:CNX), and Foresight Energy will likely continue to face downward pressure moving forward.

Policy Environment Is Getting Worse
Anti-coal policies will only compound the industry's massive problems moving forward. The trend towards cleaner energy policies has become clear given the outcome of the Paris Climate Summit and the implementation of numerous anti-coal policies like the Clean Power Plan.
Given that coal is one of the dirtiest fossil fuels, a cleaner energy policy will be especially devastating for the coal industry.


Conclusion
The coal industry is clearly standing on its last legs. Even notoriously heavy coal consuming countries like China are starting to wage a war on coal. As global demand for coal continues to plummet, US coal companies will find themselves in an increasingly untenable situation.

With all the problems plaguing the US coal industry, investors in major US coal companies would be wise to sell their holdings.


http://seekingalpha.com/article/3961956-coal-industry-brink-collapse?ifp=0
===================================
So anyone with Coal Investments, BEWARE!
But, also be advised Coal is not the only Investment under stress!
With the Major/Basic Economic influences of -
Demographics
Energy
Climate
All Investments will be/are subject to a great deal of Stress!

AND, pretty much ALL POLITICIANS have contributed to our current & future POOR ECONOMIC OUTLOOK, as they are more interested in their own short term outcomes, rather than what is in the Best, Long Term interests, OF ALL AUSTRALIANS & there is a similar outlook Globally!
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perceptions_now
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Re: Politics, Economics & New Realities!
Reply #178 - Apr 1st, 2016 at 1:36pm
 
perceptions_now wrote on Apr 1st, 2016 at 12:52pm:
perceptions_now wrote on Apr 1st, 2016 at 12:46pm:
The Coal Industry Is On The Brink Of Collapse


The US coal industry is in an increasingly desperate situation. Despite the fact that coal still accounts for a huge percentage of US energy consumption, the industry is on the brink of collapse. As technological, political, and societal forces are all aligning against coal, US coal companies will likely continue to experience a severe downturn.

The US, and the world in general, is clearly planning to shift away from coal towards cleaner energy alternatives. While coal has driven the world for centuries, it is rapidly becoming a remnant of the past.

Unsustainable Business
The US coal industry is facing threats from nearly all directions. Not only is coal under threat from increasingly harsh anti-coal policies, but it is also facing enormous market pressures from other energy sources. Declining natural gas prices, for instance, have put a huge strain on the US coal industry over the past few years.
Solar, in particular, poses a huge threat to coal given solar's exponential growth nature. The long-term promise of these new energy technologies certainly does not bode well for coal.
As coal companies are confronted with the ever-growing problem of stranded assets, investors should stay far away from the industry.

Coal Companies Are Collapsing
With some of the largest US coal companies like Arch Coal filing for bankruptcy, the situation could not be worse for the industry. Most recently, Peabody Energy announced that it may be on the brink of bankruptcy. This news should be especially concerning for coal investors given Peabody Energy's status as the past decade's industry leader.

Peabody Energy also admitted that "the continued uncertainty around global coal fundamentals, the stagnated economic growth of certain major coal-importing nations, and the potential for significant additional regulatory requirements imposed on coal producers" should play a big role in the company's prospects. Major US coal companies like Alliance Resource Partners, Consol Energy (NYSE:CNX), and Foresight Energy will likely continue to face downward pressure moving forward.

Policy Environment Is Getting Worse
Anti-coal policies will only compound the industry's massive problems moving forward. The trend towards cleaner energy policies has become clear given the outcome of the Paris Climate Summit and the implementation of numerous anti-coal policies like the Clean Power Plan.
Given that coal is one of the dirtiest fossil fuels, a cleaner energy policy will be especially devastating for the coal industry.


Conclusion
The coal industry is clearly standing on its last legs. Even notoriously heavy coal consuming countries like China are starting to wage a war on coal. As global demand for coal continues to plummet, US coal companies will find themselves in an increasingly untenable situation.

With all the problems plaguing the US coal industry, investors in major US coal companies would be wise to sell their holdings.


http://seekingalpha.com/article/3961956-coal-industry-brink-collapse?ifp=0
===================================
So anyone with Coal Investments, BEWARE!
But, also be advised Coal is not the only Investment under stress!
With the Major/Basic Economic influences of -
Demographics
Energy
Climate
All Investments will be/are subject to a great deal of Stress!

AND, pretty much ALL POLITICIANS have contributed to our current & future POOR ECONOMIC OUTLOOK, as they are more interested in their own short term outcomes, rather than what is in the Best, Long Term interests, OF ALL AUSTRALIANS & there is a similar outlook Globally!


Oh & when I say Pretty much ALL POLITICIANS, I mean pretty much ALL POLITICIANS!

Irrespective of "Political Party Leanings", they Pretty much ALL finish up overtly or covertly supporting things like corrupt Unions &/or corrupt company's (such as the current Oil allegations)!

The thing is, they are more interested in their own short term outcomes, rather than what is in the Best, Long Term interests, OF ALL AUSTRALIANS.

So, they just don't "TELL THE TRUTH, THE WHOLE TRUTH & NOTHING BUT THE TRUTH!
Like the TRUTH ABOUT ECONOMICS, THEY (THE POLITICIANS - FROM THE MAJOR PARTY'S) PRETTY MUCH KNOW WHAT IS HAPPENING & WHY, BUT NONE OF THEM WILL TELL US THE TRUTH, THE WHOLE TRUTH!
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aquascoot
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Re: Politics, Economics & New Realities!
Reply #179 - Apr 1st, 2016 at 1:57pm
 
perceptions,  it is a bit negative and neurotic to worry about economic collapse.
i have been hearing about peak oil,  real estate collapses, rising sea levels, GM food catastrophes, nuclear war  for the last 30 years.

being negative and neurotic is the consolation prize for the beta male.

it gives his ego an excuse to not bother trying to be strong, dynamic, powerful and influential.

You know what i honestly think the next 10 years are going to be like.

About

the same

as

the

Last 10 years.

Anyone born in australia has a marvellous opportunity.
An incredible advantage.
Dont curse the country, dont curse the government, dont curse business, dont curse the system, dont curse the soil, dont curse the weather......these are ALL you've got.

Dont curse all you've got!!!!

The miracle of prosperity has been set up for you.

All you have to do is plant the seed .
Dont ask for thing to change, they wont. it will all change for each individual when he/she changes.
Dont ask for less problems/ask for more skills.
Dont ask that it was easier/ask that you were better !!!
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