Forum

 
  Back to OzPolitic.com   Welcome, Guest. Please Login or Register
  Forum Home Album HelpSearch Recent Rules LoginRegister  
 

Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 
Send Topic Print
Most Interesting seat? (Read 3415 times)
Fit of Absent Mindeness
Gold Member
*****
Offline


We need more fits of absent
mindedness

Posts: 1622
Brisbane
Gender: male
Re: Most Interesting seat?
Reply #30 - Sep 7th, 2013 at 8:55pm
 
Rankin (my electorate) every party had a swing against it which went to the palmer united party.
Back to top
 

Putting the n in cuts
 
IP Logged
 
polite_gandalf
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 20027
Canberra
Gender: male
Re: Most Interesting seat?
Reply #31 - Sep 7th, 2013 at 8:57pm
 
Aussie wrote on Sep 7th, 2013 at 8:47pm:
Wayne Swan in trouble


no, he's retained pretty comfortably.

Labor almost certainly won't lose any seats in QLD. Apparently the polls were completely warped by the Palmer factor - who is currently getting around 12% - which no one predicted.

Also pleasant surprises for labor in western Sydney. The real killers have been Victoria and Tasmania. Soloman in the NT may be the one gain for labor.

Best news so far - Bandt looks set to retain Melbourne  Smiley
Back to top
 

A resident Islam critic who claims to represent western values said:
Quote:
Outlawing the enemy's uniform - hijab, islamic beard - is not depriving one's own people of their freedoms.
 
IP Logged
 
Aussie
Gold Member
*****
Offline


OzPolitic

Posts: 38853
Gender: male
Re: Most Interesting seat?
Reply #32 - Sep 7th, 2013 at 9:06pm
 
polite_gandalf wrote on Sep 7th, 2013 at 8:57pm:
Aussie wrote on Sep 7th, 2013 at 8:47pm:
Wayne Swan in trouble


no, he's retained pretty comfortably.

Labor almost certainly won't lose any seats in QLD. Apparently the polls were completely warped by the Palmer factor - who is currently getting around 12% - which no one predicted.

Also pleasant surprises for labor in western Sydney. The real killers have been Victoria and Tasmania. Soloman in the NT may be the one gain for labor.

Best news so far - Bandt looks set to retain Melbourne  Smiley


Clive predicted it.

PUP is now an outside, yes ~ outside chance in Fisher, the seat adjacent to Clive's Fairfax.

Fairfax and Fisher, two of the jewels in the Qld LNP Crown!  Love it.

Look out for PUP Campbell Newman!
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
Annie Anthrax
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Take the plan, spin it
sideways

Posts: 7057
Gender: female
Re: Most Interesting seat?
Reply #33 - Sep 7th, 2013 at 9:16pm
 
Aussie wrote on Sep 7th, 2013 at 9:06pm:
polite_gandalf wrote on Sep 7th, 2013 at 8:57pm:
Aussie wrote on Sep 7th, 2013 at 8:47pm:
Wayne Swan in trouble


no, he's retained pretty comfortably.

Labor almost certainly won't lose any seats in QLD. Apparently the polls were completely warped by the Palmer factor - who is currently getting around 12% - which no one predicted.

Also pleasant surprises for labor in western Sydney. The real killers have been Victoria and Tasmania. Soloman in the NT may be the one gain for labor.

Best news so far - Bandt looks set to retain Melbourne  Smiley


Clive predicted it.

PUP is now an outside, yes ~ outside chance in Fisher, the seat adjacent to Clive's Fairfax.

Fairfax and Fisher, two of the jewels in the Qld LNP Crown!  Love it.

Look out for PUP Campbell Newman!


What do you think of Palmer, Aussie?
Back to top
 

I can't do this, but I'm doing it anyway.
 
IP Logged
 
MOTR
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 6646
Re: Most Interesting seat?
Reply #34 - Sep 7th, 2013 at 9:29pm
 
polite_gandalf wrote on Sep 7th, 2013 at 8:57pm:
Aussie wrote on Sep 7th, 2013 at 8:47pm:
Wayne Swan in trouble


no, he's retained pretty comfortably.

Labor almost certainly won't lose any seats in QLD. Apparently the polls were completely warped by the Palmer factor - who is currently getting around 12% - which no one predicted.

Also pleasant surprises for labor in western Sydney. The real killers have been Victoria and Tasmania. Soloman in the NT may be the one gain for labor.

Best news so far - Bandt looks set to retain Melbourne  Smiley


I don't think that's the case at the moment. Labor will probably lose two seats in Qld.
Back to top
 

Hunt says Coalition accepts IPCC findings

"What does this mean? It means that we need to do practical things that actually reduce emissions."
 
IP Logged
 
Aussie
Gold Member
*****
Offline


OzPolitic

Posts: 38853
Gender: male
Re: Most Interesting seat?
Reply #35 - Sep 7th, 2013 at 9:32pm
 
Annie Anthrax wrote on Sep 7th, 2013 at 9:16pm:
Aussie wrote on Sep 7th, 2013 at 9:06pm:
polite_gandalf wrote on Sep 7th, 2013 at 8:57pm:
Aussie wrote on Sep 7th, 2013 at 8:47pm:
Wayne Swan in trouble


no, he's retained pretty comfortably.

Labor almost certainly won't lose any seats in QLD. Apparently the polls were completely warped by the Palmer factor - who is currently getting around 12% - which no one predicted.

Also pleasant surprises for labor in western Sydney. The real killers have been Victoria and Tasmania. Soloman in the NT may be the one gain for labor.

Best news so far - Bandt looks set to retain Melbourne  Smiley


Clive predicted it.

PUP is now an outside, yes ~ outside chance in Fisher, the seat adjacent to Clive's Fairfax.

Fairfax and Fisher, two of the jewels in the Qld LNP Crown!  Love it.

Look out for PUP Campbell Newman!


What do you think of Palmer, Aussie?


He's a complex bloke, not to be taken lightly or dismissed as a buffoon.  Has 'visionary' like ideas, and is willing to stump up his own cash to back himself, and them.  I have met him, and I have seen him 'perform' live on several occasions.  He knows how to deliver a prepared mantra, just like Abbott does.

He is loyal and/but demands it in return.   For example, I did an afternoon shift at a booth for him today, and when I arrived, PUP had more than was required to adequately man the place, and one bloke had been there in the blazing sun for 6 hours.  He had no means of transport back to where he was staying, so I offered to drive him.  Turns out he was the Under 19 Coach for a Southport Rugby Club (Gold Coast).  Their U19s were not in final contention so the entire Team (and Officials) were bussed up to the Sunshine Coast by Clive to assist at Polling Booths.  He gave them all free accommodation at his Resort for two nights, and invited them all to his 'win lose or draw' piss-up which is going on right now.  I asked the obvious question - why?  'Well, Clive throws us a bone every year, and he asked us for help at the Booths."  "Why does he throw your Club a bone?" 

"It's his old Rugby Club from his playing days!"

PUP has a future, but it will be a difficult transition from what it is now, to what it needs to be for further and continued success.

Having very long pockets obviously helps.
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
polite_gandalf
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 20027
Canberra
Gender: male
Re: Most Interesting seat?
Reply #36 - Sep 7th, 2013 at 9:54pm
 
Aussie wrote on Sep 7th, 2013 at 9:32pm:
PUP has a future


meh - seems to me just the same 10-15% of Queenslanders who used to vote for Pauline. No more Pauline - so who else to turn to? Bit of a surprise though that they overwhelmingly rejected Katter.
Back to top
 

A resident Islam critic who claims to represent western values said:
Quote:
Outlawing the enemy's uniform - hijab, islamic beard - is not depriving one's own people of their freedoms.
 
IP Logged
 
John Smith
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 75137
Gender: male
Re: Most Interesting seat?
Reply #37 - Sep 7th, 2013 at 10:05pm
 
polite_gandalf wrote on Sep 7th, 2013 at 9:54pm:
Aussie wrote on Sep 7th, 2013 at 9:32pm:
PUP has a future


meh - seems to me just the same 10-15% of Queenslanders who used to vote for Pauline. No more Pauline - so who else to turn to? Bit of a surprise though that they overwhelmingly rejected Katter.


that'll all depend on what he does with the PUP from this point on. Palmer needs to move into the background a little and let the party develop real policies and real candidates.
Back to top
 

Our esteemed leader:
I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.
 
IP Logged
 
Aussie
Gold Member
*****
Offline


OzPolitic

Posts: 38853
Gender: male
Re: Most Interesting seat?
Reply #38 - Sep 8th, 2013 at 2:03pm
 
Fisher.

Slipper has been trounced but the LNP's Mal Brough looks precarious with 76.52% of the vote counted as at 12.39 am today.

Brough has                                  28,010
Gissane (ALP)                              13,519
Katter Party                                   1,944
Greens                                          4,824

PUP's Bill Schoch                          11,535

So, because Katter and the Greens have preferred PUP, Bill Scoch will leap frog the ALP's Gissane.  The ALP have preferenced PUP, so if all preferences go according to How to Vote (yeas, I know they won't) PUP's Bill Schoch will win.

Given there will be preference leakage, it is going to be mighty close, and I'm going with Palmer's gut feel that PUP's Bill Schoch will win.

Amazing if that happens.  Both Sunshine Coast seats (normally rock solid LNP) could be Kennels!
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
John Smith
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 75137
Gender: male
Re: Most Interesting seat?
Reply #39 - Sep 8th, 2013 at 2:06pm
 
Aussie wrote on Sep 8th, 2013 at 2:03pm:
Fisher.

Slipper has been trounced but the LNP's Mal Brough looks precarious with 76.52% of the vote counted as at 12.39 am today.

Brough has                                  28,010
Gissane (ALP)                              13,519
Katter Party                                   1,944
Greens                                          4,824

PUP's Bill Schoch                          11,535

So, because Katter and the Greens have preferred PUP, Bill Scoch will leap frog the ALP's Gissane.  The ALP have preferenced PUP, so if all preferences go according to How to Vote (yeas, I know they won't) PUP's Bill Schoch will win.

Given there will be preference leakage, it is going to be mighty close, and I'm going with Palmer's gut feel that PUP's Bill Schoch will win.

Amazing if that happens.  Both Sunshine Coast seats (normally rock solid LNP) could be Kennels!


Brough doesn't deserve to win .... but that's OK if he does, I'll spend the next 3 yrs asking Cods why they preselected someone knowing he was a crook
Back to top
 

Our esteemed leader:
I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.
 
IP Logged
 
True Colours
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 2837
Gender: male
Re: Most Interesting seat?
Reply #40 - Sep 8th, 2013 at 2:07pm
 
True Blue... wrote on Sep 7th, 2013 at 6:23pm:
Labor may lose every seat in QLD


Couldn't have been more wrong than that.

Shows that the robopolls are not reliable.
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
Aussie
Gold Member
*****
Offline


OzPolitic

Posts: 38853
Gender: male
Re: Most Interesting seat?
Reply #41 - Sep 8th, 2013 at 2:17pm
 
John Smith wrote on Sep 8th, 2013 at 2:06pm:
Aussie wrote on Sep 8th, 2013 at 2:03pm:
Fisher.

Slipper has been trounced but the LNP's Mal Brough looks precarious with 76.52% of the vote counted as at 12.39 am today.

Brough has                                  28,010
Gissane (ALP)                              13,519
Katter Party                                   1,944
Greens                                          4,824

PUP's Bill Schoch                          11,535

So, because Katter and the Greens have preferred PUP, Bill Scoch will leap frog the ALP's Gissane.  The ALP have preferenced PUP, so if all preferences go according to How to Vote (yeas, I know they won't) PUP's Bill Schoch will win.

Given there will be preference leakage, it is going to be mighty close, and I'm going with Palmer's gut feel that PUP's Bill Schoch will win.

Amazing if that happens.  Both Sunshine Coast seats (normally rock solid LNP) could be Kennels!


Brough doesn't deserve to win .... but that's OK if he does, I'll spend the next 3 yrs asking Cods why they preselected someone knowing he was a crook


If Brough does scrape home...............

Yeas, you can ask cods that, but it won't be for long.  Even if Mal survives the Ashbygate scandal , there is a much bigger and far more threatening black cloud above Brough ~ Clive Palmer's defamation action against him.  Clive is claiming about $800,000, but that is not really Brough's problem which is costs.

If Brough loses (and on what I know from the detail which I have followed) he will............the costs will be astronomical, and Brough will be bankrupted..............meaning, he will no longer be eligible to be a MHR.

Bye bye, Mal.  It's only a matter of time.  Now,  or soon enough.

Smiley
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
matty
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 11055
East Sydney
Gender: male
Re: Most Interesting seat?
Reply #42 - Sep 8th, 2013 at 2:36pm
 
Brough will win Fisher quite easily. Palmer looks set for Fairfax, but I wouldn't say it's a certainty just yet. The Coalition will keep Solomon (my electorate). Also, we should get Lingiari, Capricornia and Petrie. It will take a few days to know for sure though, many seats are in doubt.
Back to top
 

BILL SHORTEN WILL NEVER BE PM!!!!
 
IP Logged
 
Aussie
Gold Member
*****
Offline


OzPolitic

Posts: 38853
Gender: male
Re: Most Interesting seat?
Reply #43 - Sep 8th, 2013 at 2:54pm
 
matty wrote on Sep 8th, 2013 at 2:36pm:
Brough will win Fisher quite easily. Palmer looks set for Fairfax, but I wouldn't say it's a certainty just yet. The Coalition will keep Solomon (my electorate). Also, we should get Lingiari, Capricornia and Petrie. It will take a few days to know for sure though, many seats are in doubt.


I detest acknowledging your existence, because I regard you as a lunatic, idiotic attention seeking troll.  But, this is one I can't ignore.  Care to tell me how Brough can win, given those numbers I have posted (at 2.17 pm. ^^^^^)
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
matty
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 11055
East Sydney
Gender: male
Re: Most Interesting seat?
Reply #44 - Sep 8th, 2013 at 3:04pm
 
Aussie wrote on Sep 8th, 2013 at 2:54pm:
matty wrote on Sep 8th, 2013 at 2:36pm:
Brough will win Fisher quite easily. Palmer looks set for Fairfax, but I wouldn't say it's a certainty just yet. The Coalition will keep Solomon (my electorate). Also, we should get Lingiari, Capricornia and Petrie. It will take a few days to know for sure though, many seats are in doubt.


I detest acknowledging your existence, because I regard you as a lunatic, idiotic attention seeking troll.  But, this is one I can't ignore.  Care to tell me how Brough can win, given those numbers I have posted (at 2.17 pm. ^^^^^)


Why am I a lunatic? Because I disagree with you? You think anyone who isn't a lefty is a lunatic.

At last count, Brough has 60% of the 2pp.
Back to top
 

BILL SHORTEN WILL NEVER BE PM!!!!
 
IP Logged
 
Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 
Send Topic Print