It is hilarious! I get accused of peddling Labor propaganda—and I have not—and rabbitfood posts from Turncoat’s website!
That Strategic Review shows the peak finance requirement for Malcolm’s Terrible Muddle is $41Bn! It also shows peak funding for FTTH is $73Bn. However, reading the first set of Hansard extracts that I posted here shows JB Rousselot admitting under questioning that the $73Bn figure is a number he pulled out of thin air.
This $41Bn
DOES NOT INCLUDE THE COST OF BUYING THE COPPER!
Nor does it include the cost of buying the HFC.
The 2016 deadline for “25mbps” for all is gone—negotiations with Telstra have hardly started—“up to” 25mbps maybe in place for some by 2019.
Every time I look at the Strategic Review I have to laugh. All this talk of 25mbps minimum, of 50:20 over the copper is pure fantasy. The only way to get 50:20 over copper is to rip out all the copper, enlarge the pits and ducts and rerun (what a waste, rerunning obsolescent copper!)
at least 2 but better 4pairs of .6mm copper
wire to every premises (more for business of course.) The present copper is not just rotten, it is
too thin at .3 and .42mm
too high an impedance to run more than something up to 25mbps.
Rerunning significant amounts of copper, especially the thicker wire and 4 pairs per premises
IS A WASTE OF MONEY AND WILL COST MORE THAN RUNNING FIBRE!
My costings start with the $41Bn the Strategic Review states for Malcolm’s Terrible Muddle.
Then the copper and HFC have to be bought from Tel$tra and Optus. I costed this at $30Bn. It will be expensive to buy the copper, my $30Bn figure is a guess but with Thodey extolling the virtues of the copper I bet the final figure will be close to that. They are not going to let it go for a song.
Having (tho I doubt they will) bought the copper it has to be audited. The wiring database is hopelessly out of date, technicians just too rushed to do a proper job of maintenance or updating the database. The state of the copper must also be audited—even Malcolm talks glibly of remediating the copper. This is code for rerunning copper. I put $10Bn for each audit—checking the whole network will take time, techs sending signals down each pair. Where there is pair gain, a “working” line created by taking one line from two broken pairs then we don’t have a “twisted pair” and so cannot be used for ADSL1 let alone anything faster and so copper has to be rerun.
I put ?? for the cost of remediating the copper—until the results of the two audits are in it takes a brave man to write down a figure. Copper costs more than fibre so rerunning copper is lunacy, the more so as to get anything above “up to 25mbps” will need rerunning with .6mm copper and that means pits and pipes need to be enlarged. Just lunacy to contemplate and I don’t think anyone involved, Turncoat, the simian, the NBN Co board and management has any intention to rerun copper.
You are being lied to! WAKE UP!