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NBN progress? (Read 126433 times)
Cliff48
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Re: NBN progress?
Reply #255 - Dec 4th, 2013 at 4:59pm
 
longweekend58 wrote on Dec 4th, 2013 at 4:32pm:
the current NBN is way, way behind on its schedule and over budget.  There comes a time in the real world when you have to choose between the gold-plated delivery and delivery at all.  FTTN is the only model that will actually get delivered before 2030.  NBN Corp is massively behind and getting worse.

and the revenue argument is beyond pitiful.  NBN is a monopoly.  [highlight]it can charge the same for 12Mbps as it does for 100Mbps.  who is going to stop them?[/highlight]


They can charge what they like, but who is going pay NBNco for a service that is no better than they are already receiving.  12mbps (line/sync) is what most people are already receiving.
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Bobby.
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Re: NBN progress?
Reply #256 - Dec 4th, 2013 at 5:22pm
 
Cliff48 wrote on Dec 4th, 2013 at 4:59pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Dec 4th, 2013 at 4:32pm:
the current NBN is way, way behind on its schedule and over budget.  There comes a time in the real world when you have to choose between the gold-plated delivery and delivery at all.  FTTN is the only model that will actually get delivered before 2030.  NBN Corp is massively behind and getting worse.

and the revenue argument is beyond pitiful.  NBN is a monopoly.  [highlight]it can charge the same for 12Mbps as it does for 100Mbps.  who is going to stop them?[/highlight]


They can charge what they like, but who is going pay NBNco for a service that is no better than they are already receiving.  12mbps (line/sync) is what most people are already receiving.



I am paying top dollar for only 2.2 mbps     Sad
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Re: NBN progress?
Reply #257 - Dec 4th, 2013 at 7:38pm
 
longweekend58 wrote on Dec 4th, 2013 at 12:41pm:
...
you are the one making the claim bozo, not me.  you claim EXPONENTIAL GROWHT and yet provide no evidence - not even evidence of growth in the last 9 years.  You are a total failure at supporting your position.
Do you honestly believe that denying the fact that I've provided evidence and you haven't will change anything? Of course not, you don't do anything honestly. You're just trying to distract again.

longweekend58 wrote on Dec 4th, 2013 at 12:41pm:
# wrote on Dec 4th, 2013 at 12:26pm:
...
His whining is calculated to distract. Yet another demonstration of longweekend58's compulsive dishonesty.


other than you abuse and whining... do you have some actual evidence to present???
Not abuse, just the facts. The whining is not mine. You're the one with no evidence.

By the way, thanks for keeping this topic alive.
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greggerypeccary
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Re: NBN progress?
Reply #258 - Dec 4th, 2013 at 7:40pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Dec 4th, 2013 at 5:22pm:
Cliff48 wrote on Dec 4th, 2013 at 4:59pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Dec 4th, 2013 at 4:32pm:
the current NBN is way, way behind on its schedule and over budget.  There comes a time in the real world when you have to choose between the gold-plated delivery and delivery at all.  FTTN is the only model that will actually get delivered before 2030.  NBN Corp is massively behind and getting worse.

and the revenue argument is beyond pitiful.  NBN is a monopoly.  [highlight]it can charge the same for 12Mbps as it does for 100Mbps.  who is going to stop them?[/highlight]


They can charge what they like, but who is going pay NBNco for a service that is no better than they are already receiving.  12mbps (line/sync) is what most people are already receiving.



I am paying top dollar for only 2.2 mbps     Sad



The porn must take a while to load.


Undecided
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#
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Re: NBN progress?
Reply #259 - Dec 4th, 2013 at 7:42pm
 
greggerypeccary wrote on Dec 4th, 2013 at 7:40pm:
...
The porn must take a while to load.
...
When will you learn that your habits* aren't typical?

* greggerypeccary wrote on Nov 25th, 2013 at 2:01pm:
# wrote on Nov 25th, 2013 at 1:55pm:
greggerypeccary wrote on Nov 25th, 2013 at 1:05pm:
... masturbate ...
There's no evidence that greggerypeccary ever stops.
I don't.
...
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Re: NBN progress?
Reply #260 - Dec 8th, 2013 at 6:36pm
 
Cue longweekend58, confidently asserting that the bits are better on copper and that FTTN will do better, cheaper.  Grin

One gigabit available on NBN this month

December 6, 2013
Lucy Battersby

NBN Co will start selling a one gigabit per second (1Gbps) broadband service before the end of the year, but availability will depend on the number of people willing to pay for the super fast speeds.

The commercial-grade broadband service will travel at download speeds of up to 1000 megabits per second [Mbps], also known as a gigabit, and upload speeds of 400 Mbps. This was about 100 times faster than the average speeds available to most households on the copper network today.

An NBN Co spokesman confirmed on Friday the service "will be made available to retail service providers by the end of the year", but that it was up to retail service providers to decide whether they would sell it to customers.

There were currently about 250,000 households and businesses within NBN Co’s fibre footprint that could potentially request the service.
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At least one carrier has already confirmed it would sell 1 Gbps plans, but none of the retail providers contacted by Fairfax Media on Friday would reveal their prices.

“Our plans to launch a gigabit service are still being finalised, but we will add it to our offering,’’ iiNet’s NBN product manager, Rachael McIntyre, said. iiNet also owns TransACT and Internode. 

It may be some time before consumers know how much 1 Gbps would cost because NBN Co charges its wholesale customers – the retailers that sell services to consumers – a basic monthly access charge for each active connection plus a ‘‘CVC charge’’.

The CVC charge pays for the speed and capacity NBN Co supplies to each retailer’s customers within a fibre serving area. Charges increase as consumers request faster services.

For example, the wholesale cost of buying 100 Mbps from NBN Co was $38 per month per premise for access, plus $2000 per area per month for the speed. Supplying 1 Gbps would cost $150 per month for access, plus $20,000 for speed, according to NBN Co’s 2013-16 Draft Corporate Plan.   

Each carrier splits the cost among its customers in each area, usually 3000 premises, figuring not all of them would require the maximum speed at exactly the same time.

However, if only one premise out of 3000 wanted a 1 Gbps plan, that single household or business may be asked to pay the monthly $20,000 CVC charge, as Communications Minister Malcolm Turnbull warned when he was in opposition.

"The reality is this: if you want to have a guaranteed one gig service, your retail service provider will have to buy one gig of CVC for you and that is gonna cost $20,000 a month," he said during a pre-election NBN debate.

Senior analyst at Informa Telecoms and Media, Tony Brown, said NBN Co’s wholesale charging model was still a concern for telcos and some were hoping NBN Co might change it under the new government.

He expects the 1 Gbps service would be a ‘‘niche service’’ marketed to commercial customers, with only a handful of residential customers interested in it.

"The issue for retailers is, it is such a huge amount of bandwidth. Do you want to risk putting all that bandwidth into the market place?" Mr Brown said.

The 1Gbps service was first considered in 2010 and announced earlier this year.

In October, Google Fibre boss Kevin Lo said given access to 1Gbps services, consumers and entrepreneurs would "rise to that occasion".
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St George of the Garden
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Re: NBN progress?
Reply #261 - Dec 10th, 2013 at 9:23am
 
FTTN would need to be rolled out quickly and get huge number activations or will need much more $$$ from govt.

http://www.zdnet.com/fttn-nbn-needs-customers-more-than-coverage-nbn-co-report-7...

Quote:
Noting that FTTN's limited product set would restrict the possibility of offering high-value services over such a network, NBN Co warned that the government would need to ensure that large numbers of users were switched over to any FTTN NBN as quickly as possible, so as to maximise revenues.


Comments are gold!

And

FTTP customers will have to pay more to keep stupid FTTN alive:

http://www.zdnet.com/fttn-cvc-revenue-shortfall-could-keep-fttp-prices-high-nbn-...
And

Childish opposition by Piss&Moan and Turncoat meant business was chary of investing in fast broadband products and services:
http://www.zdnet.com/au/nbn-politics-hindered-business-investment-in-broadband-7...

Hopefully the last 3 dreadful polls for the shambles will lead to some rethinking. By actually acting in the national interest, forgetting the drive to destroy all the reforms Gillard introduced, forgetting about stupid FTTN which just won’t work here, the shambles might seem less a shambles and actually improve in the polls.
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Re: NBN progress?
Reply #262 - Dec 11th, 2013 at 7:31pm
 
St George of the Garden wrote on Dec 10th, 2013 at 9:23am:
FTTN would need to be rolled out quickly and get huge number activations or will need much more $$$ from govt.

http://www.zdnet.com/fttn-nbn-needs-customers-more-than-coverage-nbn-co-report-7...

Quote:
Noting that FTTN's limited product set would restrict the possibility of offering high-value services over such a network, NBN Co warned that the government would need to ensure that large numbers of users were switched over to any FTTN NBN as quickly as possible, so as to maximise revenues.


Comments are gold!

And

FTTP customers will have to pay more to keep stupid FTTN alive:

http://www.zdnet.com/fttn-cvc-revenue-shortfall-could-keep-fttp-prices-high-nbn-...
And

Childish opposition by Piss&Moan and Turncoat meant business was chary of investing in fast broadband products and services:
http://www.zdnet.com/au/nbn-politics-hindered-business-investment-in-broadband-7...
...
So FTTN will not meet the forecast 1Gb/s demand over the existing copper? It will probably be more expensive? It probably won't be delivered any faster?

I'm astonished!  Roll Eyes

St George of the Garden wrote on Dec 10th, 2013 at 9:23am:
...
Hopefully the last 3 dreadful polls for the shambles will lead to some rethinking. By actually acting in the national interest, forgetting the drive to destroy all the reforms Gillard introduced, forgetting about stupid FTTN which just won’t work here, the shambles might seem less a shambles and actually improve in the polls.
Come off it. This mob makes longweekend58 look sane and reasonable.
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Re: NBN progress?
Reply #263 - Dec 11th, 2013 at 7:31pm
 
NBN Co has not tested fibre to the node

December 11, 2013 - 4:44PM

Lucy Battersby

NBN Co has not conducted any trials of the alternative national broadband network since the change of government, executives told a senate select committee on Wednesday morning.

Nor has NBN Co received detailed information from Telstra about its own fibre-to-the-node trial or the condition of its copper network, despite the fibre-to-the-node model relying on copper to deliver broadband to premises.

NBN Co and Communications Minister Malcolm Turnbull are expected to release a review of NBN Co on Thursday morning, including audits of the company’s financial history and strategy.

At a four-hour hearing on Wednesday morning four NBN Co witnesses were questioned by the Senate Select Committee overseeing the NBN project.
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NBN Co’s chief operating officer, Greg Adcock, said fibre-to-the-node trials were "under discussion", but had not started. The trials would look at how much of Telstra’s copper would need to be remediated and how a rollout would occur.

"The trial is going to have a look at a number issues and one will be to help develop the assumption set under which the copper network will be characterised," Mr Adcock told the committee.

The committee was chaired by former Communications Minister, Stephen Conroy, who dominated the questioning, referred to documents that were not publicly available, and often pointed fingers at witnesses. Senator Conroy established NBN Co while in government to deliver broadband to more than 90 per cent of Australian premises using a fibre-to-the-premises model. However, the new government come into office with plans to alter this rollout so most premises would receive a broadband upgrade on their existing copper connection rather than a new fibre optic connection.

NBN Co’s head of corporate and commercial Kevin Brown, chief marketing officer Kieran Cooney, and chief technology officer Gary McLaren also appeared before the committee. However, head of strategy and transformation at NBN Co, JB Rousselot, and chief financial officer Robin Payne were not present because they were finalising the strategic review, despite being ordered to attend by the Senate.

NBN Co confirmed its board reviewed and approved the draft strategic review document before it was delivered to Mr Turnbull’s office on December 2.

"There was feedback [from the Minister’s office] on quite a substantive document, and so there is a lot of issues that you have to clarify in terms of calculations, logic etc. But there has been a subsequent board meeting of NBN Co this week to further go over the document. And as a consequence of that there is some additional work, as happens with these documents," Mr Brown said.

Meanwhile, general manager of the competition watchdog’s communications branch, Michael Cosgrave, confirmed it would have to review the regulations surrounding the NBN if the model changed substantially.

The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission was on the cusp of finalising NBN Co’s regulatory arrangements following two years of consultations.

"If there was going to be substantial FTTN rollout there would be a need for changes and subsequent approval process for a revised migration plan," Mr Cosgrave said.

And the Department of Communications confirmed it had received "spatial representations of all broadband networks" in Australia from telcos as part of its inquiry into broadband availability and quality.  It had also received 'DSL port availability' information from Telstra Wholesale, which indicates how many households could buy ADSL from Telstra's competitors in the future.

"This is not a house by house engineering analysis. The intent is to identify under served areas in order to inform the prioritsation of the completion of the [NBN] roll out," the departmental secretary Drew Clarke told the committee.

"We are using the information to characterise broadband available and quality, area by area."
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NBNMyths
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Re: NBN progress?
Reply #264 - Dec 11th, 2013 at 9:38pm
 
longweekend58 wrote on Dec 4th, 2013 at 4:32pm:
the current NBN is way, way behind on its schedule and over budget.  There comes a time in the real world when you have to choose between the gold-plated delivery and delivery at all.  FTTN is the only model that will actually get delivered before 2030.  NBN Corp is massively behind and getting worse.

and the revenue argument is beyond pitiful.  NBN is a monopoly.  it can charge the same for 12Mbps as it does for 100Mbps.  who is going to stop them?


The NBN is behind schedule, but not over budget. The connection cost per premises of FTTP is on-budget, as is the transit network, wireless and satellite portions.

The delays have caused a forecast increase in total funding required of $1.6bn, because of slower revenue due to the delays. Although this was offset by higher-than-forecast uptake of 50 and 100Mbps plans, leading to higher ARPU than forecast. Even that $1.6bn does not necessarily mean any increase in total funding though, because the NBN have budgeted a $3.6bn contingency fund within the $44bn budget, which has not yet been touched.

Who will stop NBN Co from charging the same for 12 as 100Mbps? Easy: The ACCC. NBN Co have set prices for each speed tier, and the CVC component. The ACCC SAU specifies these prices and limits increases to below-CPI for the next 30 years.

To partially answer your request of '#'....

While not quite exponential, fixed network volume growth continues to grow very fast, as shown in the latest ABS stats. An increase of 66% in the last 12 months.

...
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« Last Edit: Dec 11th, 2013 at 9:51pm by NBNMyths »  

Debunking the FUD on the NBN
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Re: NBN progress?
Reply #265 - Dec 12th, 2013 at 9:42am
 
http://www.zdnet.com/unknown-quality-telstra-copper-4-6x-costlier-than-fttp-nbn-co-7000024200/

Of all the revelations to emerge from the leaking of NBN Co's confidential assessment of the Coalition's fibre-to-the-node (FttN) based alternative national broadband network (NBN) policy, one of the most problematic for the new government is the warning that any future NBN should avoid taking ownership of Telstra's copper access network (CAN) and the “significant network remediation” it requires.

The warning – prepared by NBN Co to form part of the Department of Communications' Incoming Government Brief ('blue book') for now communications minister Malcolm Turnbull – lays bare the massive risk that would accompany any decision by the government to renegotiate its $11 billion contract with Telstra so that the government would take over ownership or control of the network.

While it readily agreed that the VDSL2 technology proposed for use on the Coalition's NBN is “proven and commercially available today”, NBN Co warned that the level of remediation required – both of the problematic presence of asbestos, and of a copper network that has been called “dilapidated” and an “absolute disgrace” – “is expected to be significant but cannot be accurately determined until NBN Co gains access to Telstra's copper plant records and commences VDSL2 trials.”

Some such trials were recently conducted – in laboratory settings, not in the real world – with some success by NBN Co.

You don't say.
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Re: NBN progress?
Reply #266 - Dec 13th, 2013 at 8:49am
 
IT News this morning:
Quote:
Coalition NBN to cost $41bn, miss delivery dates


Guarantees internet speeds as far as the ISP.


The Coalition is already predicting an $11.5 billion blowout to the cost of building its version of the national broadband network, but says it will still cost less than Labor's scheme.

The 132-page strategic review (pdf), approved by NBN Co's board today, paints the former plan as headed for massive cost and time overruns, including a $19 billion overrun in capital expenditure and a three-year delay to the planned completion date.

However, the Coalition's own pre-election pledges proved overly optimistic, with costs expected to come in at "around" $41 billion rather than the promised $29.5 billion.

The 2016 forecast to bring 25 Mbps to all Australians has also been canned. Instead, the Coalition predicts it will be able to bring download speeds of up to 25 Mbps to 43 percent of premises in Australia's fixed-line footprint by that time.


http://www.itnews.com.au/News/367388,coalition-nbn-to-cost-41bn-miss-delivery-da...

You ask me, the pushing back of the timeline is because we all know negotiations with Telstra will take 3 years easy. Once having the copper the amount of work needed to get say 20mbps is also going to blow the cost right out of the ballpark! So pretend it will cost $14Bn more makes it all sound realistic. So push out the cost of FTTH by some large but arbitrary amount to justify FTTN.

Not realistic at all, of course. To get a dinky di 50mbps over Telstra copper they would have to rerun copper—and how futile is that? That copper would need to be a minimum of .6mm diameter instead of the present .32 and .4mm so pits and ducts would need to be enlarged! The report was written by buddies of Turnbull so I would not rely on the accuracy of any of the figures—the review was written purely to justify the unjustifiable.

Also—FTTN has only one speed tier. So cannot offer different speed tiers which would have seen heavy NBN users subsidise more modest broadband users. The bush is going to get ripped off blind, again. The Budget is going to bleed forever with subsidies, there will be no investment paying for itself out of revenues: FTTN revenues will be woeful!

So forget anything real. How can you remediate copper without rerunning copper? 20mbps decaying over the years is the best we can look for. Forget telehealth—add in cost of extra hospitals and nursing homes to look after aging, frail Boomers who with the NBN could have staid in their own homes, forget a boost to GDP, forget new applications, new services and so on.

MDUs will, mostly, be a bit better off, but they will be stuck forever at something under 100mbps, declining as the copper in the MDU block slowly corrodes. 4K TV? Maybe just but would cause congestion to the other apartments in the MDU.

So, while other nations forget about FTTN (apart from Germany which has like 300K nodes and good copper) we are going to make history by a non–incumbent Telco abandoning FTTH and installing FTTN on some of the worst and narrowest copper around. We will be an international laughing stock.

Oh, and the real cost of installing FTTN—more like $100Bn and that is just to ensure something like 20mbps, already insufficient, radically insufficient in a couple of years.

Poor fellow my country, indeed.
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longweekend58
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Re: NBN progress?
Reply #267 - Dec 13th, 2013 at 8:58am
 
# wrote on Dec 4th, 2013 at 7:38pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Dec 4th, 2013 at 12:41pm:
...
you are the one making the claim bozo, not me.  you claim EXPONENTIAL GROWHT and yet provide no evidence - not even evidence of growth in the last 9 years.  You are a total failure at supporting your position.
Do you honestly believe that denying the fact that I've provided evidence and you haven't will change anything? Of course not, you don't do anything honestly. You're just trying to distract again.

longweekend58 wrote on Dec 4th, 2013 at 12:41pm:
# wrote on Dec 4th, 2013 at 12:26pm:
...
His whining is calculated to distract. Yet another demonstration of longweekend58's compulsive dishonesty.


other than you abuse and whining... do you have some actual evidence to present???
Not abuse, just the facts. The whining is not mine. You're the one with no evidence.

By the way, thanks for keeping this topic alive.


you HAVENT provided any evidence you nonsensical clown.  and if you had, it would be trivial to repeat it yet you have repeatedly failed to do so.  because you can provide NO EVIDENCE
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Re: NBN progress?
Reply #268 - Dec 13th, 2013 at 8:59am
 
Bobby. wrote on Dec 4th, 2013 at 5:22pm:
Cliff48 wrote on Dec 4th, 2013 at 4:59pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Dec 4th, 2013 at 4:32pm:
the current NBN is way, way behind on its schedule and over budget.  There comes a time in the real world when you have to choose between the gold-plated delivery and delivery at all.  FTTN is the only model that will actually get delivered before 2030.  NBN Corp is massively behind and getting worse.

and the revenue argument is beyond pitiful.  NBN is a monopoly.  [highlight]it can charge the same for 12Mbps as it does for 100Mbps.  who is going to stop them?[/highlight]


They can charge what they like, but who is going pay NBNco for a service that is no better than they are already receiving.  12mbps (line/sync) is what most people are already receiving.



I am paying top dollar for only 2.2 mbps     Sad



and until recently when you tested your line speed, you weren't even aware of it ie your speed was quite adequate for your needs.  This implies that increasing your speed to the FTTN's 25Mbps+ would be probably not even noticed by you nor would you notice the 100Mbps speed either.
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Re: NBN progress?
Reply #269 - Dec 13th, 2013 at 9:02am
 
# wrote on Dec 8th, 2013 at 6:36pm:
Cue longweekend58, confidently asserting that the bits are better on copper and that FTTN will do better, cheaper.  Grin

One gigabit available on NBN this month

December 6, 2013
Lucy Battersby

NBN Co will start selling a one gigabit per second (1Gbps) broadband service before the end of the year, but availability will depend on the number of people willing to pay for the super fast speeds.

The commercial-grade broadband service will travel at download speeds of up to 1000 megabits per second [Mbps], also known as a gigabit, and upload speeds of 400 Mbps. This was about 100 times faster than the average speeds available to most households on the copper network today.

An NBN Co spokesman confirmed on Friday the service "will be made available to retail service providers by the end of the year", but that it was up to retail service providers to decide whether they would sell it to customers.

There were currently about 250,000 households and businesses within NBN Co’s fibre footprint that could potentially request the service.
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At least one carrier has already confirmed it would sell 1 Gbps plans, but none of the retail providers contacted by Fairfax Media on Friday would reveal their prices.

“Our plans to launch a gigabit service are still being finalised, but we will add it to our offering,’’ iiNet’s NBN product manager, Rachael McIntyre, said. iiNet also owns TransACT and Internode. 

It may be some time before consumers know how much 1 Gbps would cost because NBN Co charges its wholesale customers – the retailers that sell services to consumers – a basic monthly access charge for each active connection plus a ‘‘CVC charge’’.

The CVC charge pays for the speed and capacity NBN Co supplies to each retailer’s customers within a fibre serving area. Charges increase as consumers request faster services.

For example, the wholesale cost of buying 100 Mbps from NBN Co was $38 per month per premise for access, plus $2000 per area per month for the speed. Supplying 1 Gbps would cost $150 per month for access, plus $20,000 for speed, according to NBN Co’s 2013-16 Draft Corporate Plan.   

Each carrier splits the cost among its customers in each area, usually 3000 premises, figuring not all of them would require the maximum speed at exactly the same time.

However, if only one premise out of 3000 wanted a 1 Gbps plan, that single household or business may be asked to pay the monthly $20,000 CVC charge, as Communications Minister Malcolm Turnbull warned when he was in opposition.

"The reality is this: if you want to have a guaranteed one gig service, your retail service provider will have to buy one gig of CVC for you and that is gonna cost $20,000 a month," he said during a pre-election NBN debate.

Senior analyst at Informa Telecoms and Media, Tony Brown, said NBN Co’s wholesale charging model was still a concern for telcos and some were hoping NBN Co might change it under the new government.

He expects the 1 Gbps service would be a ‘‘niche service’’ marketed to commercial customers, with only a handful of residential customers interested in it.

"The issue for retailers is, it is such a huge amount of bandwidth. Do you want to risk putting all that bandwidth into the market place?" Mr Brown said.

The 1Gbps service was first considered in 2010 and announced earlier this year.

In October, Google Fibre boss Kevin Lo said given access to 1Gbps services, consumers and entrepreneurs would "rise to that occasion".



"If we build it, they will come"

Guys, that is a sci-fi movie line, not business truth.
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