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The psychology of denial (Read 3288 times)
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The psychology of denial
Sep 19th, 2013 at 4:03pm
 
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/sep/13/climate-change-scienceofclima... Quote:
It's a common refrain: If people only knew more about the science, there wouldn't be so much polarization on the issue of climate change. But Dan M. Kahan's groundbreaking work has gone a long way to prove that idea wrong. In fact, he's found, it's not the lack of scientific understanding that has led to conflict over climate change, but rather the need to adhere to the philosophy and values of one's "cultural" group.

Kahan, a professor of law and psychology at Yale Law School, says "individualists" — those who believe individuals should be responsible for their own well-being and who are wary of regulation or government control – tend to minimize the risk of climate change. On the other side, he notes, those who identify with the "communitarianism" group favor a larger role for government and other collective entities in securing the welfare of individuals and tend to be wary of commercial activity – he sees them as likely to favor restrictions on greenhouse gas emissions.

In an interview with Yale Environment 360 contributor Diane Toomey, Kahan maintained that in order to break down this polarization, the issue needs to be reframed in a way that minimizes the likelihood that positions on climate change will be identified with a particular cultural group. "Are there ways to combine the science with meanings that would be affirming rather than threatening to people?" he said. "I think if somebody believes that there just aren't any, I think that person just doesn't have much imagination."
More at the link.
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Ajax
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Re: The psychology of denial
Reply #1 - Sep 20th, 2013 at 2:35pm
 
Take a look at that link watch and digest the information and then come back and tell me who the real deniers are....????

http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1379387772
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1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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BatteriesNotIncluded
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Re: The psychology of denial
Reply #2 - Sep 20th, 2013 at 4:01pm
 
http://depositphotos.com/3979380/stock-photo-Hand---okay-and-dollar-sign.html
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*Sure....they're anti competitive as any subsidised job is.  It wouldn't be there without the tax payer.  Very damned difficult for a brainwashed collectivist to understand that I know....  (swaggy) *
 
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Chimp_Logic
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Re: The psychology of denial
Reply #3 - Sep 20th, 2013 at 4:10pm
 
Ajax wrote on Sep 20th, 2013 at 2:35pm:
Take a look at that link watch and digest the information and then come back and tell me who the real deniers are....????

http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1379387772


What is the basis for your rejection of the simple science that underpinns AGW?

Surely it can't be a scientific basis or one based upon logic

It must a political or psychological one.

So your rationale and arguments are null and void in the disciple of science.

Present alternative explanations for the global warming trend or remain a pathetic clown puppet with a Hollywood mask on
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Mini Ice Age (2014-2029)
Dr Sircus cures cancer with Baking Soda and Magnesium - Jethro the MENTAL GIANT & his flute madness
 
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Re: The psychology of denial
Reply #4 - Sep 20th, 2013 at 6:44pm
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Sep 20th, 2013 at 4:10pm:
What is the basis for your rejection of the simple science that underpinns AGW?


Just like temperature & CO2 donot correlate in our past history and in our present, same with all other IPCC predictions, they've all been shown to be over shooting the mark or they simply just don't correlate.....!!!

Quote:
Surely it can't be a scientific basis or one based upon logic


Well whats it going to be then, two days ago muso was hell bent that the missing heat was in the deep ocean layers, which is what the IPCC where also saying.

Now they tell us in AR5 that most heat is found in the top layers (700 metres).

That's the kinda science the IPCC produce, don't know whether they're Arthur or Marthur, depending upon what day it is.

Quote:
It must a political or psychological one.


Just a common sense one, remember we where told that by 2013 the arctic would be ice free.......??????

Quote:
So your rationale and arguments are null and void in the disciple of science.


Most IPCC predictions have been knocked on the head and your telling me i'm out of wack....??????

Quote:
Present alternative explanations for the global warming trend or remain a pathetic clown puppet with a Hollywood mask on


You mean the fact that we're coming out of a mini ice age has no part at all.....?????

Go figure...............!!!!
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1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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Re: The psychology of denial
Reply #5 - Sep 20th, 2013 at 7:44pm
 
Ajax wrote on Sep 20th, 2013 at 6:44pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Sep 20th, 2013 at 4:10pm:
What is the basis for your rejection of the simple science that underpinns AGW?


Just like temperature & CO2 donot correlate in our past history and in our present, same with all other IPCC predictions, they've all been shown to be over shooting the mark or they simply just don't correlate.....!!!


Correlation coefficient = 0.86 (strong correlation)

Quote:
Surely it can't be a scientific basis or one based upon logic

Quote:
Well whats it going to be then, two days ago muso was hell bent that the missing heat was in the deep ocean layers, which is what the IPCC where also saying.

Now they tell us in AR5 that most heat is found in the top layers (700 metres).



Semantics. Most heat is found in the top layer. This should be obvious to a primary school student, but some heat is also found in the deeper layers (more than expected).

Quote:
Just a common sense one, remember we where told that by 2013 the arctic would be ice free.......??????


Which climate scientist made that claim?  Was there a peer reviewed paper that predicted that? Please provide a link.
(you are also a prime example of how common sense is not very common)

Quote:
You mean the fact that we're coming out of a mini ice age has no part at all.....?????


Well, let's let the data speak for itself. We are not coming out of a mini ice age therefore your "fact" is not a fact. How many studies of paleo temperatures do you neeed?

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« Last Edit: Sep 20th, 2013 at 7:50pm by muso »  

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Re: The psychology of denial
Reply #6 - Sep 21st, 2013 at 10:34am
 
Again you're using Mann & Co. Hockey shhhtick methods and models.

Please tell me what happened to the medieval warm period and the mini ice age in that graph you keep posting....???

Somehow Mann & Co. have conveniently omitted them....???

Care to explain ...WHY.......?????

Denying the truth is like kicking rocks bare foot.

There is no correlation between temperature and CO2, never has been in our history.

And right now more than one third of manmade CO2 emissions have gone up into the atmosphere since 1998....yet temperatures aren't rising......???

Where is the correlation...................?????

I know you where using the missing heat has gone into the bottom layers of the ocean (3000 metres).

But the IPCC's AR5 says that most of the heat that went into the ocean is at the top layers (700 metres)

So which is it now muso.....bottom or top.....????


Is there any correlation between CO2 and temperature?

(1).....On a small time scale
(NO)
,
(11,000 years)


Showing from 200 to 11000 years ago, the subsequent graph is based on ice core data, readily visible in files hosted on the servers of the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA):GISP 2 and EPICA Dome C

Graph-1

...

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/04/11/does-co2-correlate-with-temperature-histor...

(2).....On a medium time scale YES???, (450,000 years)


(NO)
, It appears so because of the scale we are zoomed out at.


WARNING !
This is the scale that most global warming sites use to scare the unsuspecting.


Over the past few hundred thousand years of ice core data, a “medium” time scale in this sense, CO2 superficially appears to change in step with temperature if a graph is so zoomed out as to not show sub-millennial time
scales well

Graph-2

...

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/04/11/does-co2-correlate-with-temperature-histor...

A record of temperature and atmospheric CO2 over the past 400,000 years is preserved in the Vostok Ice Core and is shown in the figure on the right.

It can be seen that there have been a series of large fluctuations in temperature (the Ice Ages), accompanied by large changes in atmospheric CO2.

It is thought that these large temperature fluctuations are triggered by Milankovitch cycles - variations in the earth's orbit that change the amount of energy from the sun that reaches us.

However, on their own, these cycles are not enough to explain the changes in temperature.

The full explanation seems to be that the small change in temperature caused by the changing orbit are amplified by natural processes on earth. These cause CO2 to be released from the oceans and the biosphere, causing an increased greenhouse effect.

This is described more fully in this article from the New Scientist (see also Shackleton 2000). For more details on the timing of changes in CO2 and temperature, click on the figure.

http://www.brighton73.freeserve.co.uk/gw/paleo/paleoclimate.htm#100,000years

(3).....On a long time scale
(NO)
,
(millions of years)


Graph-3

...

[url]http://s155.n46.n171.n68.static.myhostcenter.com/WVFossils/Reference_Docs/Geocarb_III-Berner.pdf[/urll]

(4).....Lately

...
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« Last Edit: Sep 21st, 2013 at 10:40am by Ajax »  

1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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Re: The psychology of denial
Reply #7 - Sep 21st, 2013 at 11:29am
 
Ajax wrote on Sep 21st, 2013 at 10:34am:
[b]Again you're using Mann & Co. Hockey shhhtick methods and models.

Please tell me what happened to the medieval warm period and the mini ice age in that graph you keep posting....???



No. There have been at least 14 different independent studies since that original regional study was posted in the IPCC FAR.  Every one of them shows that the Medieval Warm period was cooler than the current decade.

Do you suffer from short term memory loss?  The orginal study was over a much less extensive area. It relied heavily on tree ring data. There are far more accurate proxies available and a large number of proxies agree fairly closely.

The Medieval Warm period and the Little Ice Ages were probably regional events.  For the Hockey Stick Ancient history, read here and educate yourself:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hockey_stick_controversy

It's from Wikipedia, but the references are accurately reported.   

I've already explained the issues with the first and last graph, but you choose to ignore it.
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Re: The psychology of denial
Reply #8 - Sep 21st, 2013 at 12:51pm
 
Ajax, can I have some crack please??
Oh, wait, daddy says that's for your indoctrinated friends oh fair enough then go and bore them with your year 11 economics books that you never read the first time!!  Grin Grin
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*Sure....they're anti competitive as any subsidised job is.  It wouldn't be there without the tax payer.  Very damned difficult for a brainwashed collectivist to understand that I know....  (swaggy) *
 
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Re: The psychology of denial
Reply #9 - Sep 21st, 2013 at 2:07pm
 
BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Sep 21st, 2013 at 12:51pm:
Ajax, can I have some crack please??
Oh, wait, daddy says that's for your indoctrinated friends oh fair enough then go and bore them with your year 11 economics books that you never read the first time!!  Grin Grin


So you hate your dad and your a druggie....???

We're not all like that dude.........!!!
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1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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Re: The psychology of denial
Reply #10 - Sep 21st, 2013 at 4:09pm
 
Don't feed the troll and check your PMs.
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Re: The psychology of denial
Reply #11 - Sep 22nd, 2013 at 6:45am
 
Ajax wrote on Sep 21st, 2013 at 2:07pm:
BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Sep 21st, 2013 at 12:51pm:
Ajax, can I have some crack please??
Oh, wait, daddy says that's for your indoctrinated friends oh fair enough then go and bore them with your year 11 economics books that you never read the first time!!  Grin Grin


So you hate your dad and your a druggie....???

We're not all like that dude.........!!!

Lol, is muso calling me a troll? Hey muso- I'm saving the planet mate not pretending I'm above it all like Ajax!!

People like me call these blokes out and only a true fascist would take the side with the most vested interests!

Go the stock market yehhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh!  Shocked Shocked

Climate Change is a consumption problem. It's a waste problem. The fat has to be trimmed and that means vacuous tools on the net should, once in awhile, get served a head full of bourbon and coke induced manic laughter!
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*Sure....they're anti competitive as any subsidised job is.  It wouldn't be there without the tax payer.  Very damned difficult for a brainwashed collectivist to understand that I know....  (swaggy) *
 
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Re: The psychology of denial
Reply #12 - Sep 22nd, 2013 at 7:04am
 
BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Sep 22nd, 2013 at 6:45am:
Lol, is muso calling me a troll? Hey muso- I'm saving the planet mate not pretending I'm above it all like Ajax!!

People like me call these blokes out and only a true fascist would take the side with the most vested interests!

Go the stock market yehhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh!  Shocked Shocked

Climate Change is a consumption problem. It's a waste problem. The fat has to be trimmed and that means vacuous tools on the net should, once in awhile, get served a head full of bourbon and coke induced manic laughter!


It's much more than a waste problem. Even if we cut back the waste, we'd still have a problem. If we smoke crack, live in caves and sing kumbaya like 21st century hippies, we'll all go broke.

I've seen what happens to a country when it goes broke. Do you think they worry about luxuries like waste minimisation or biodiversity in such countries?  They do not.  Anything that moves is eaten, waste oil is dumped. They have government environmental departments that do nothing. They don't have the resources. The country needs to be able to bring in renewable energy projects. This costs money.

Death, This is a serious issue.  Some people are probably beyond reason, but for others reading this, your personal snipes about crack smoking don't help the case one bit.
If you want to help save the planet, don't spam with personal attacks. I know that you mean well, but if you continue with this, I will suspend you.
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« Last Edit: Sep 22nd, 2013 at 7:09am by muso »  

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Re: The psychology of denial
Reply #13 - Sep 22nd, 2013 at 10:22am
 
muso wrote on Sep 21st, 2013 at 11:29am:
Ajax wrote on Sep 21st, 2013 at 10:34am:
[b]Again you're using Mann & Co. Hockey shhhtick methods and models.

Please tell me what happened to the medieval warm period and the mini ice age in that graph you keep posting....???



No. There have been at least 14 different independent studies since that original regional study was posted in the IPCC FAR.  Every one of them shows that the Medieval Warm period was cooler than the current decade.

Do you suffer from short term memory loss?  The orginal study was over a much less extensive area. It relied heavily on tree ring data. There are far more accurate proxies available and a large number of proxies agree fairly closely.

The Medieval Warm period and the Little Ice Ages were probably regional events.  For the Hockey Stick Ancient history, read here and educate yourself:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hockey_stick_controversy

It's from Wikipedia, but the references are accurately reported.   

I've already explained the issues with the first and last graph, but you choose to ignore it.


If you look here there are just as many papers (or more) that confirm the medieval was at least as hot as today or hotter.

http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1379729924

It just goes to show that the science is FAR from settled.

Which in that case how on Earth can they pass a tax on the air we breath.......??????
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1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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Re: The psychology of denial
Reply #14 - Sep 22nd, 2013 at 11:42am
 
Ajax wrote on Sep 22nd, 2013 at 10:22am:


If you look here there are just as many papers (or more) that confirm the medieval was at least as hot as today or hotter.


Well I checked out four of those so far at random. They were all regional studies - Northern Norway, Greenland,  Sweden...

- and one of the authors specofically explained that the study should not be extrapolated on a global scale, contradicting your claim that it was global.

Check the Law Dome ice core temperature proxy data from Antarctica. What does that tell you? 

I'm pretty sure that they are mostly cherry picked regional studies for specific regions that showed warming for this period, and ignoring all others. Look them up yourself and show that  I'm wrong.
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