longweekend58 wrote on Sep 23
rd, 2013 at 5:35pm:
... It isn't as if the evidence is even remotely convincing, never-mind compelling. There is zero evidence(literally) to find ANY CLIMATE ASPECT that has gone outside the bounds of historic levels or heading there. ...
TEMPERATURE CHANGES: epic failure
SEA LEVEL CHANGES: epic failure
ICE CAP melting: epic failure
EXTREME WEATHER increases: epic failure
AUSTRALIAN DROUGHTS: epic, epice, massive failure
GLACIAL RETREAT: failure
...
None of which you have the remotest chance of substantiating. As
I've pointed out before, assertion with no intention of substantiation is the mark of a troll.
I first became aware of the issue in the 1950s; a television program, something like
this from YouTube. In the 1970s, I looked into climate science in some detail and came to the conclusion that it's so complex that I'll never be in a position to devote the resources to the study, necessary to develop a credible understanding.
My fallback position is to seek the opinion of the best qualified. Fortunately for me, there's a
clear consensus.
So why are so many patently feeble minds so certain that they know better than the best qualified? My guess is that the
Dunning-Kruger Effect has something to do with it.
http://alwaysquestionauthority.com/2013/07/07/critical-thinking-ignorance-begets... Quote:The D-K Effect was frequently suggested historically, notably by Charles Darwin -
“Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge”
– and Bertrand Russell -
“One of the painful things about our time is that those who feel certainty are stupid, and those with any imagination and understanding are filled with doubt and indecision.”
In a series of studies, Dunning and Kruger found this pattern across many skills, including reading comprehension, operating a motor vehicle, and playing chess or tennis. Apparently, those displaying the D-K Effect are so lacking in competence that they are even unaware of their incompetence, thus they tend to overestimate their level of skill and fail to recognize skill in others. Conversely, people with high levels of skill or knowledge tend to underestimate their standing relative to others. It seems that the more one knows, the more he realizes how little he knows.
To that, I would add a Confucian principle, which translates roughly:
Quote:The more a wise man learns, the more ho comes to appreciate how little he knows.
So what of longweekend58? On the evidence of his behaviour here, he probably failed to complete High School. The trolling is compensation for his inadequacies.