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Why I don’t believe in Catastrophic Climate Change (Read 19061 times)
longweekend58
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Why I don’t believe in Catastrophic Climate Change
Sep 27th, 2013 at 10:36am
 
It is easy for simpletons and politicians to classify a complex issue into ‘yes and no’ or ‘true and false’ or some other variety of the black and white argument.  But life is never that easy and very few serious and complex issues are ever so easily and so conveniently classified.  Climate Change is certainly just such an issue. For starters, most people cannot even easily define the issue.
Just using the term ‘climate change’ is pointless since it is quite obvious that climate changes and always has.  Even adding ‘Anthropogenic ‘ (human caused) to the front doesn’t help much since it is a basic understanding of science that since we form part of the earth’s bio-system we inevitably affect it.  The truly telling word that makes all the change and causes all the debate is ‘catastrophic’. Catastrophic Anthropogenic Climate Change (CACC). 

CC is obvious. ACC is pretty certain although the degree of effect is very debatable.  But CACC is where you lost me.

CACC essentially believes we are all going to fry, starve, drown or die in mass numbers unless we all do the IPCC’s bidding and spend hundreds of trillions of dollars changing our lives and lowering our standard of living.  Conveniently, the bulk of that money apparently needs to go to poor third-world countries. It wouldn’t be the UN if it didn’t involve criticising the West and doling out huge amounts of aid to African dictators and other left-wing dictatorships!

But is that C really all that credible?

I am naturally a cynic.  It is my personality trait.  Rather than viewing it as a failing, it is indeed very helpful in business, allowing me to see through the marketing hype and over-optimistic predictions to see the truth.  I don’t fall for scams because I always ask myself ‘where are the facts’ and the pertinent questions. Being a cynic means you don’t trust easily.  Faith isn’t your first resort but rather your last and blind faith is simply asking too much, period.  So naturally, the word ‘catastrophic’ aroused my instant suspicion.

To be honest, I’ve heard it all before.  Blah, Blah Blah.

We had the post World War 2 fear that we would all die in a global nuclear war.  Then we had the pollution global scare of the 1970s where we all expected to die in mounds of rubbish, breathing toxic air and drinking deadly acidic water.  We had Y2K, that truly embarrassing example of global hysteria and now, we have CACC.  Originally, we just had Global Warming but apparently that wasn’t sexy enough and probably too easy to confront so it was renamed CACC.

I’m not a denialist - which is a truly offensive term - but rather a cynic, demanding evidence and proof.  I don’t blindly accept the CACC position and so I ask ‘prove it’.  And that is where we part company.

The default position is always that climate is not heading towards catastrophe and as support for that I refer you to tens of thousands of years of human history where we were not destroyed by climate change. This of course is not proof that we aren’t heading towards catastrophe but it remains the default position that CACC proponents have to debunk.  As a cynic, I don’t have to prove anything. Rather, it is the job of CACC proponents to prove their case. And to be honest, it has been an epic fail.

A 0.89 degree rise in over 100 years doesn’t really concern me and I’m not sure why it should.  It clearly hasn’t harmed us in any way and I’ve heard several arguments that it has actually been a good thing. And when I see that the global warming has stabilised and has for the last 17 years I again question the hysteria over warming.  After years of doom-and-gloom predictions that the poles would melt, they have resolutely failed to do so and even now are increasing in size again. The six metres of sea level rise is closer to 6mm.  The UN’s prediction of 50 million climate refugees by last decade has been off by... fifty million.

But still the hysteria rages unabated. And hasn’t it gotten personal? Anyone who has ever debated or argued at length knows that once the debate gets personal you know the other side has lost. Superior, evidence-supported argument doesn’t need personal attacks.  So now I am a ‘denialist’. Considered a criminal by some and a fool by many in the CACC crowd.

I’m not a fool.  I’m a cynic.  If you want me to be a believer then you need to prove your case and to date, the CACC crowd have not even gotten close.  The one-time ‘gold standard’ Hockey Stick Graph which once adorned the IPCC reports and backdrops at news conferences is now generously described as bad science, although fraud is a better word.  The Climategate scandals have shown people willing to game the system to maintain the momentum of CACC.  But even such reprehensible behaviour doesn’t comprehensively negate CACC, although it certainly severely damages its credibility.  The real nail in the coffin of CACC is climate itself.

The world’s climate is stubbornly refusing to follow the IPCC’s predictive models.  Temperature refuses to rise.  Ice caps refuse to melt.  Glaciers refuse to disappear.  Extreme weather remains at the same level as it has for centuries.  Sea level rises are in millimetres, not metres. And reservoirs and dams continue to fill, even in dry countries like Australia.
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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longweekend58
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Re: Why I don’t believe in Catastrophic Climate Change
Reply #1 - Sep 27th, 2013 at 10:36am
 
I don’t believe in CACC, not because of ideology or blind faith, but rather by observation and science. I see nothing more than minor changes to climate well inside the bounds that history records.  We are cooler than the Medieval Warm Period and warmer than the more recent Little Ice Age.  I know there are groups of scientists that passionately believe in CACC but until such time as they provide concrete proof, then their hypothesis sounds more like the now-debunked theory of ‘ether’ that had consensus support among scientists for so long.

Maybe if they got a single predictive model to accurately mirror climate they might have a point. But to date, they have gotten every single prediction wrong and by a large margin. I do not believe that the hypothesis has any scientific merit at all, based on the comprehensive failure of every single model and every single prediction.

That is why I don’t believe in Catastrophic Anthropogenic Climate Change. 
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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skippy.
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Re: Why I don’t believe in Catastrophic Climate Change
Reply #2 - Sep 27th, 2013 at 10:38am
 
I love it when a known moron thinks he knows better than 99% of the scientific community. Roll Eyes
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longweekend58
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Re: Why I don’t believe in Catastrophic Climate Change
Reply #3 - Sep 27th, 2013 at 10:40am
 
skippy. wrote on Sep 27th, 2013 at 10:38am:
I love it when a known moron thinks he knows better than 99% of the scientific community. Roll Eyes


because they've never been wrong before???   the consensus position in science has frequently been wrong.  and CACC isn't even the consensus opinion.

but good to see that you didn't read the article.
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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skippy.
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Re: Why I don’t believe in Catastrophic Climate Change
Reply #4 - Sep 27th, 2013 at 10:43am
 
longweekend58 wrote on Sep 27th, 2013 at 10:40am:
skippy. wrote on Sep 27th, 2013 at 10:38am:
I love it when a known moron thinks he knows better than 99% of the scientific community. Roll Eyes


because they've never been wrong before???   the consensus position in science has frequently been wrong.  and CACC isn't even the consensus opinion.

but good to see that you didn't read the article.

I read it, and I decided 99% of the scientific community are correct. I am sure your ancestors believed in a flat earth, let's face it you still believe in fairies in the sky, the true sign of a fool.
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skippy.
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Re: Why I don’t believe in Catastrophic Climate Change
Reply #5 - Sep 27th, 2013 at 10:46am
 
BTW. Liar, it's against forum rules to post up articles you stole off someone else and try to pass them off as your own, where's the link, loony tunes?
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Karnal
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Re: Why I don’t believe in Catastrophic Climate Change
Reply #6 - Sep 27th, 2013 at 11:00am
 
skippy. wrote on Sep 27th, 2013 at 10:38am:
I love it when a known moron thinks he knows better than 99% of the scientific community. Roll Eyes


I love it when they change the definition to "catastrophic".
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____
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Re: Why I don’t believe in Catastrophic Climate Change
Reply #7 - Sep 27th, 2013 at 11:04am
 
Hey long, for a person who gambles a whole $5 on the outcome of the federal melbourne seat ... loses the bet and then reneges on paying that $5 to the charity of my choice, who cares what you believe in since you have no ethics. 

If you want to risk your god's creation over your denial of basic science ... then why start this thread here. It should be in some obscure location hidden away from the light of day.

You have no morals and want to destroy humanity just out of pigheadedness.
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« Last Edit: Sep 27th, 2013 at 11:12am by ____ »  
 
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____
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Re: Why I don’t believe in Catastrophic Climate Change
Reply #8 - Sep 27th, 2013 at 11:06am
 
Karnal wrote on Sep 27th, 2013 at 11:00am:
skippy. wrote on Sep 27th, 2013 at 10:38am:
I love it when a known moron thinks he knows better than 99% of the scientific community. Roll Eyes


I love it when they change the definition to "catastrophic".



We are living in a period of a mass extinction which looks like will include our species. Yeah you are right, catastrophic is an understatement ... deadly climate change is more fitting.
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longweekend58
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Re: Why I don’t believe in Catastrophic Climate Change
Reply #9 - Sep 27th, 2013 at 11:38am
 
skippy. wrote on Sep 27th, 2013 at 10:46am:
BTW. Liar, it's against forum rules to post up articles you stole off someone else and try to pass them off as your own, where's the link, loony tunes?


I wrote it roo-girl.
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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Karnal
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Re: Why I don’t believe in Catastrophic Climate Change
Reply #10 - Sep 27th, 2013 at 11:45am
 
____ wrote on Sep 27th, 2013 at 11:06am:
Karnal wrote on Sep 27th, 2013 at 11:00am:
skippy. wrote on Sep 27th, 2013 at 10:38am:
I love it when a known moron thinks he knows better than 99% of the scientific community. Roll Eyes


I love it when they change the definition to "catastrophic".



We are living in a period of a mass extinction which looks like will include our species. Yeah you are right, catastrophic is an understatement ... deadly climate change is more fitting.


I think Longy might take issue with that, GW.

As do the IPCC, based on their most recent report.

Longy isn't out to destroy humanity through sheer pigheadedness alone. Mind you, if it keeps Labor out of power, Longy would be the first to push the button.

Now that's ethics, leftards.
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Vuk11
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Re: Why I don’t believe in Catastrophic Climate Change
Reply #11 - Sep 27th, 2013 at 11:58am
 
skippy. wrote on Sep 27th, 2013 at 10:38am:
I love it when a known moron thinks he knows better than 99% of the scientific community. Roll Eyes


Oh man the debunked 97% is up to 99%!? Now it has to be true! Tongue

____ wrote on Sep 27th, 2013 at 11:06am:
We are living in a period of a mass extinction which looks like will include our species. Yeah you are right, catastrophic is an understatement ... deadly climate change is more fitting.


Do you have a list of predictions of what negative effects are going to happen and when?
Muso has kindly shown me towards a not so catastrophic list, that doesn't include runaway warming.
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Dnarever
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Re: Why I don’t believe in Catastrophic Climate Change
Reply #12 - Sep 27th, 2013 at 12:09pm
 
CC is obvious. ACC is pretty certain although the degree of effect is very debatable.  But CACC is where you lost me.

You seem to partially accept the problem but want to ignore the obvious results.

If you accept climate change the question is then how much impact does it have.

2 , 5, 3 degree increases are talked about action today or more precisely 5 to 10 years ago were to limit the chage at around 2 degrees.

I believe it is accepted that temp increase has a significant impact on arid land and a reduction of world crop viability.

i.e. we lose the ability go grow enough to feed the population. Some feel that this is a catastrophic problem but I suppose some feel that their class and position will enable them to get enough food and that a few hundred million dying will solve the rather mild annoyance.
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Ajax
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Re: Why I don’t believe in Catastrophic Climate Change
Reply #13 - Sep 27th, 2013 at 12:11pm
 
skippy. wrote on Sep 27th, 2013 at 10:43am:
longweekend58 wrote on Sep 27th, 2013 at 10:40am:
skippy. wrote on Sep 27th, 2013 at 10:38am:
I love it when a known moron thinks he knows better than 99% of the scientific community. Roll Eyes


because they've never been wrong before???   the consensus position in science has frequently been wrong.  and CACC isn't even the consensus opinion.

but good to see that you didn't read the article.

I read it, and I decided 99% of the scientific community are correct. I am sure your ancestors believed in a flat earth, let's face it you still believe in fairies in the sky, the true sign of a fool.


Where did you read it.....???

And

What did you read.......?????


http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1377835124/105#105

Are you sure this consensus even exists....????/
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1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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Ajax
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Re: Why I don’t believe in Catastrophic Climate Change
Reply #14 - Sep 27th, 2013 at 12:13pm
 
____ wrote on Sep 27th, 2013 at 11:06am:
Karnal wrote on Sep 27th, 2013 at 11:00am:
skippy. wrote on Sep 27th, 2013 at 10:38am:
I love it when a known moron thinks he knows better than 99% of the scientific community. Roll Eyes


I love it when they change the definition to "catastrophic".



We are living in a period of a mass extinction which looks like will include our species. Yeah you are right, catastrophic is an understatement ... deadly climate change is more fitting.


Where is the evidence.....?????

Show me..............!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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