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IPCC 95% sure about AGW (Read 38371 times)
Vuk11
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Re: IPCC 95% sure about AGW
Reply #360 - Oct 16th, 2013 at 9:12pm
 
# wrote on Oct 16th, 2013 at 8:44pm:
Debate is about fact. Facts can be substantiated.


Most would say it's about logic and evidence but okay.

Quote:
You don't need qualifications, but you do need to be able to show where your comments come from.

It's a bit like statistics. There are two kinds:
- those you look up and;
- those you make up.

From where I sit, it seems your "facts" are the kind you make up.


Graphs showing observed recorded data sourced from papers/research aren't fact enough for you? Do you think we just make up graphs to lie to you? Most of them are sourced from the IPCC and peer reviewed papers themselves, others are graphs depicting the data in these papers. What more do you want?
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Ajax
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Re: IPCC 95% sure about AGW
Reply #361 - Oct 17th, 2013 at 8:19am
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 16th, 2013 at 8:49pm:
The AGW denialist Church avoids publishing its research articles in peer reviewed scientific journals

They prefer the mass media and internet.

A place where they can lie and distort with impunity

Extremely easy to expose though - like shooting fish in a barrel ladies and gentlemen

Its quite humorous watching them self destruct with their own lies and convoluted pseudo arguments



Read the climatgate emails and learn how Michael Mann & Co. tried so desperately hard to knock back and discredit sceptic peer reviewed literature.

Seems like they were actually frightened of these documents and couldn't bare any criticism of their own documents...???

Now is that science...............??????
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1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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Chimp_Logic
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Re: IPCC 95% sure about AGW
Reply #362 - Oct 17th, 2013 at 12:43pm
 
generally, fossil fuel combustion can be represented as

C* + 2O2 -> CO2 + 2H2O + ENERGY (+*)

Now lets look at some basic scientific FACTS that almost every person accepts.

1. CO2 is a by product of fossil fuel combustion

2. Isotopic analysis has verified that the bulk of the increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration over the past century or so is due to human activities such as fossil fuel combustion (as well as de-forestation etc)

3. CO2 is a greenhouse or thermal retentive component in the earths atmosphere.

For AGW (Anthropogenic Global Warming) to be a false assertion or observation, one or more of the above FACTS needs to be refuted or rendered incorrect.

You can argue as to how much the earth will warm, OR what effects this warming will have on geological and biological systems on the earth which includes the climate in general, BUT to deny the AGW fact is more than a delusional stance to take - its utterly indefensible.

So if anyone in here can show how one or more of the FACTS listed above are false or non factual statements, I am all ears.

If you cant then, return to your crack pot denialist religious temples and pray to your spin priests.
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Vuk11
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Re: IPCC 95% sure about AGW
Reply #363 - Oct 17th, 2013 at 2:59pm
 
Lol no one is saying that c02 doesn't trap heat and no one is saying that producing c02 ourselves isn't c02 or that it doesn't trap heat.

The issue is like you say how much does it trap, what would be the effects of increasing c02 and most importantly how does the climate react/adapt to these changes. As we have seen the impact of c02 has been vastly overstated, this began with Al-Gore preaching how snow would be a thing of the past and there'd be widespread catastrophic weather events and we'd all die with runaway warming.

The climate sinks were underestimated and now used as an excuse, the knowledge is still insufficient to determine how each driver effects the other drivers. The impact of c02 increases alongside solar cycles is still in debate.

So I guess I sort of understand now why you are calling AGW a fact. You are confusing man made warming with man made greenhouse effects. The greenhouse effect does have some scientists trying to disprove it and it's entertaining to listen to. However the AGW theory is all about how our increase of c02 is the main driver that is destroying the earth. That my friend is not fact.
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Chimp_Logic
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Re: IPCC 95% sure about AGW
Reply #364 - Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:45pm
 
Vuk11 wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 2:59pm:
Lol no one is saying that c02 doesn't trap heat and no one is saying that producing c02 ourselves isn't c02 or that it doesn't trap heat.

The issue is like you say how much does it trap, what would be the effects of increasing c02 and most importantly how does the climate react/adapt to these changes. As we have seen the impact of c02 has been vastly overstated, this began with Al-Gore preaching how snow would be a thing of the past and there'd be widespread catastrophic weather events and we'd all die with runaway warming.

The climate sinks were underestimated and now used as an excuse, the knowledge is still insufficient to determine how each driver effects the other drivers. The impact of c02 increases alongside solar cycles is still in debate.

So I guess I sort of understand now why you are calling AGW a fact. You are confusing man made warming with man made greenhouse effects. The greenhouse effect does have some scientists trying to disprove it and it's entertaining to listen to. However the AGW theory is all about how our increase of c02 is the main driver that is destroying the earth. That my friend is not fact.


You still don't understand the point I am making.

AGW implicitly states that HUMAN activities such as de-forestation and fossil fuel burning increases the average global temperature of the earth.

read my post again if you wish, I purposefully delineate between the simple fact that human activities are warming the planet (undeniable scientific FACT), and its effects long term and also HOW much that warming will be going forward.

The reality is that Anthropogenic Global Warming has been verified as a basic scientific fact since about the end of the 1990s when the last known natural radiation forcing cycle (solar irradiance cycle ~ 12 year period) was finally ruled out as a possible major thermal driver. In fact this natural candidate can be dismissed even prior to the year 1980 purely based on the large observed thermal retention "rates". It just became non controversial post 1980

If you recall, many AGW denialists would often use this graph to deceive people in thinking that the sun's varying irradiance was deriving the warming trends measured. They always showed data prior to 1980. Funny that, isn't it. Very good trick for the public, but doesn't seem to filter through the peer reviewed scientific publication process

Ah yes the good old days, when the denialist tricksters would cut this graph at about the year 1980.
...
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Mini Ice Age (2014-2029)
Dr Sircus cures cancer with Baking Soda and Magnesium - Jethro the MENTAL GIANT & his flute madness
 
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greggerypeccary
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Re: IPCC 95% sure about AGW
Reply #365 - Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:50pm
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:45pm:
... I purposefully delineate between the simple fact that human activities are warming the planet (undeniable scientific FACT) ...


Nope, it's not an undeniable scientific fact.



Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:45pm:
The reality is that Anthropogenic Global Warming has been verified as a basic scientific fact since about the end of the 1990s ...


Nope, that is not the reality.

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Chimp_Logic
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Re: IPCC 95% sure about AGW
Reply #366 - Oct 17th, 2013 at 5:10pm
 
greggerypeccary wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:50pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:45pm:
... I purposefully delineate between the simple fact that human activities are warming the planet (undeniable scientific FACT) ...


Nope, it's not an undeniable scientific fact.



Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:45pm:
The reality is that Anthropogenic Global Warming has been verified as a basic scientific fact since about the end of the 1990s ...


Nope, that is not the reality.



Well I would agree with you on these points If I attended your church group meetings regularly

I prefer to read scientific articles on the matter from numerous sources as well as consult the opinions of non religious experts
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Mini Ice Age (2014-2029)
Dr Sircus cures cancer with Baking Soda and Magnesium - Jethro the MENTAL GIANT & his flute madness
 
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greggerypeccary
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Re: IPCC 95% sure about AGW
Reply #367 - Oct 17th, 2013 at 5:15pm
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 5:10pm:
greggerypeccary wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:50pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:45pm:
... I purposefully delineate between the simple fact that human activities are warming the planet (undeniable scientific FACT) ...


Nope, it's not an undeniable scientific fact.



Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:45pm:
The reality is that Anthropogenic Global Warming has been verified as a basic scientific fact since about the end of the 1990s ...


Nope, that is not the reality.



Well I would agree with you on these points ...



... if you understood:

a) what a scientific theory is, and

b) that AGW is, in fact, a scientific theory.


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Chimp_Logic
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Re: IPCC 95% sure about AGW
Reply #368 - Oct 17th, 2013 at 5:29pm
 
greggerypeccary wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 5:15pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 5:10pm:
greggerypeccary wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:50pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:45pm:
... I purposefully delineate between the simple fact that human activities are warming the planet (undeniable scientific FACT) ...


Nope, it's not an undeniable scientific fact.



Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:45pm:
The reality is that Anthropogenic Global Warming has been verified as a basic scientific fact since about the end of the 1990s ...


Nope, that is not the reality.



Well I would agree with you on these points ...



... if you understood:

a) what a scientific theory is, and

b) that AGW is, in fact, a scientific theory.




you are confusing a simple validated scientific fact with rhetoric

A = anthropogenic
G = Global
W = Warming

very simple isn't it.

Perhaps you need to outline YOUR theory that seems to say that it is IMPOSSIBLE for human activities to increase the average global temperature

Or are you calling your theory a fact?
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Mini Ice Age (2014-2029)
Dr Sircus cures cancer with Baking Soda and Magnesium - Jethro the MENTAL GIANT & his flute madness
 
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ignorant fool, absolutely
so

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Re: IPCC 95% sure about AGW
Reply #369 - Oct 18th, 2013 at 1:25pm
 
greggerypeccary wrote on Oct 15th, 2013 at 4:12pm:
# wrote on Oct 15th, 2013 at 3:06pm:
greggerypeccary wrote on Oct 15th, 2013 at 11:08am:
# wrote on Oct 15th, 2013 at 11:00am:
greggerypeccary wrote on Oct 15th, 2013 at 10:51am:
...
I'm starting to think that you have absolutely no idea what that word means.
...

Clearly, English is not your first language.

o·nan·ism Quote:
  (n-nzm)
n.
1. Masturbation.

It's a worry that you habitually leave only one hand free for the keyboard.



"habitually" ? Where did you get that from?  ...

From your behaviour.



Really?  Have you been peeking through my window?
...

No need. Your behaviour on this board is more than enough to establish that you're a compulsive wanker.
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#
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Re: IPCC 95% sure about AGW
Reply #370 - Oct 18th, 2013 at 1:28pm
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 5:29pm:
greggerypeccary wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 5:15pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 5:10pm:
greggerypeccary wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:50pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:45pm:
... I purposefully delineate between the simple fact that human activities are warming the planet (undeniable scientific FACT) ...


Nope, it's not an undeniable scientific fact.



Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:45pm:
The reality is that Anthropogenic Global Warming has been verified as a basic scientific fact since about the end of the 1990s ...


Nope, that is not the reality.



Well I would agree with you on these points ...



... if you understood:

a) what a scientific theory is, and

b) that AGW is, in fact, a scientific theory.




you are confusing a simple validated scientific fact with rhetoric

A = anthropogenic
G = Global
W = Warming

very simple isn't it.

Perhaps you need to outline YOUR theory that seems to say that it is IMPOSSIBLE for human activities to increase the average global temperature

Or are you calling your theory a fact?

Chimp, the IPCC said 95 to 100% certain. To most of us, that would be beyond reasonable doubt.

Clearly, nothing is beyond unreasonable doubt.
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#
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A fool is certain: an
ignorant fool, absolutely
so

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Re: IPCC 95% sure about AGW
Reply #371 - Oct 18th, 2013 at 1:31pm
 
greggerypeccary wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:50pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:45pm:
... I purposefully delineate between the simple fact that human activities are warming the planet (undeniable scientific FACT) ...


Nope, it's not an undeniable scientific fact.



Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:45pm:
The reality is that Anthropogenic Global Warming has been verified as a basic scientific fact since about the end of the 1990s ...


Nope, that is not the reality.


Compulsive troll, aren't you young wanker*?

* greggerypeccary wrote on Sep 28th, 2013 at 5:56pm:
... I'm not adverse to onanism ...

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greggerypeccary
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Re: IPCC 95% sure about AGW
Reply #372 - Oct 18th, 2013 at 1:36pm
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 5:29pm:
greggerypeccary wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 5:15pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 5:10pm:
greggerypeccary wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:50pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:45pm:
... I purposefully delineate between the simple fact that human activities are warming the planet (undeniable scientific FACT) ...


Nope, it's not an undeniable scientific fact.



Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:45pm:
The reality is that Anthropogenic Global Warming has been verified as a basic scientific fact since about the end of the 1990s ...


Nope, that is not the reality.



Well I would agree with you on these points ...



... if you understood:

a) what a scientific theory is, and

b) that AGW is, in fact, a scientific theory.




you are confusing a simple validated scientific fact with rhetoric




Incorrect.

You, however, don't know the difference between a theory and a fact.

It's no wonder you're so confused when it comes to science.
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Chimp_Logic
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Re: IPCC 95% sure about AGW
Reply #373 - Oct 18th, 2013 at 1:41pm
 
vuk11 is 95% certain that CO2 can only act as a greenhouse gas if under pure vacuum conditions.

lol
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Dr Sircus cures cancer with Baking Soda and Magnesium - Jethro the MENTAL GIANT & his flute madness
 
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Chimp_Logic
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Re: IPCC 95% sure about AGW
Reply #374 - Oct 18th, 2013 at 1:44pm
 
greggerypeccary wrote on Oct 18th, 2013 at 1:36pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 5:29pm:
greggerypeccary wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 5:15pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 5:10pm:
greggerypeccary wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:50pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:45pm:
... I purposefully delineate between the simple fact that human activities are warming the planet (undeniable scientific FACT) ...


Nope, it's not an undeniable scientific fact.



Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 17th, 2013 at 4:45pm:
The reality is that Anthropogenic Global Warming has been verified as a basic scientific fact since about the end of the 1990s ...


Nope, that is not the reality.



Well I would agree with you on these points ...



... if you understood:

a) what a scientific theory is, and

b) that AGW is, in fact, a scientific theory.




you are confusing a simple validated scientific fact with rhetoric




Incorrect.

You, however, don't know the difference between a theory and a fact.

It's no wonder you're so confused when it comes to science.


You politicise the words theory and fact for your own personal reasons

a person who does that cannot practice or understand the scientific method. they are political priests

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Mini Ice Age (2014-2029)
Dr Sircus cures cancer with Baking Soda and Magnesium - Jethro the MENTAL GIANT & his flute madness
 
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