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Why I dont believe In Anthropogenic Global Warming (Read 17377 times)
Phemanderac
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Re: Why I dont believe In Anthropogenic Global Warming
Reply #180 - Oct 19th, 2013 at 1:05pm
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 19th, 2013 at 12:51pm:
Phemanderac wrote on Oct 19th, 2013 at 12:19pm:


...this doesn't mean that currently accepted theories and facts in science are immutable and unchallengeable.

In fact science thrives upon revolution and paradigm shifts.

But it takes evidence to abandon one theory for another, or to refute currently accepted ideas or facts.

At the moment, Anthropogenically driven global warming (AGW) is a scientific notion strongly supported by theory and observational evidence.

The problem is, the future ramifications of AGW are very serious for humanity if rising CO2 levels aren't abated today.

Who has the moral and ethical right to advocate NON-ACTION on AGW that will effect ALL of humanity in the future?


Yeah, I kind of think the article pretty much agrees with some of what you say ironically.

And, my admittedly limited understanding of scientific process is far less limited than my understanding of the history of scientific practices. Hence I am very well aware of how accepted theories are constantly (maybe over decades) tested, revisited, adapted and changed as new data and technology allow us to think we know more. To my mind, science is basically the sport of eventually proving the things we think we know as either right or wrong. Getting acceptance of the knowledge is down to politics, business and marketing. There is the major flaw behind all science.
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Phemanderac
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Re: Why I dont believe In Anthropogenic Global Warming
Reply #181 - Oct 19th, 2013 at 1:05pm
 
.
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Phemanderac
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Re: Why I dont believe In Anthropogenic Global Warming
Reply #182 - Oct 19th, 2013 at 1:06pm
 
ok, a new PB, triple posted.
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Chimp_Logic
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Re: Why I dont believe In Anthropogenic Global Warming
Reply #183 - Oct 19th, 2013 at 1:26pm
 
Phemanderac wrote on Oct 19th, 2013 at 1:05pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 19th, 2013 at 12:51pm:
Phemanderac wrote on Oct 19th, 2013 at 12:19pm:


...this doesn't mean that currently accepted theories and facts in science are immutable and unchallengeable.

In fact science thrives upon revolution and paradigm shifts.

But it takes evidence to abandon one theory for another, or to refute currently accepted ideas or facts.

At the moment, Anthropogenically driven global warming (AGW) is a scientific notion strongly supported by theory and observational evidence.

The problem is, the future ramifications of AGW are very serious for humanity if rising CO2 levels aren't abated today.

Who has the moral and ethical right to advocate NON-ACTION on AGW that will effect ALL of humanity in the future?


Yeah, I kind of think the article pretty much agrees with some of what you say ironically.

And, my admittedly limited understanding of scientific process is far less limited than my understanding of the history of scientific practices. Hence I am very well aware of how accepted theories are constantly (maybe over decades) tested, revisited, adapted and changed as new data and technology allow us to think we know more. To my mind, science is basically the sport of eventually proving the things we think we know as either right or wrong. Getting acceptance of the knowledge is down to politics, business and marketing. There is the major flaw behind all science.


...an interesting way of describing the scientific process

you rightly highlight the issues presented by politics, business and marketing.

However these influences should not affect the peer review process nor the results of a scientific analysis produces.

Reproducibility and validation of theory by observation acts like a sieve to prevent pseudo science and abstract metaphysics filtering through.

A good example was the cold fusion experiment which eventually failed this basic test.

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Vuk11
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Re: Why I dont believe In Anthropogenic Global Warming
Reply #184 - Oct 19th, 2013 at 2:07pm
 
ImSpartacus2 wrote on Oct 19th, 2013 at 11:24am:
BS. You posted lies and conspiracy theory. Ohh the scientist have all made up global warming for funding. And they have continued to tell this lie with more lies to cover up the lies for over 2 decades. Why? For funding. But never mind the fossil fuel companies and right wing institutes associated with them, where you cut and paste all your propaganda from. Let's just forget they're potential for doctoring the data to protect their trillion dollar industry (ohh no its the few million in research grants that you focus on as the threat to truth). You say your not a denier but a skeptic. OK then tell us what the scientists are saying about anthropogenic global warming that does give you cause to believe them. Come on these people are scientists. There must be heaps they're saying that is correct about anthropogenic global warming so please list them. I expect to see a big list now.  Let's see how genuine you are. Or are you arguing that everything they say is made up and the world can't see through it? Give me your list boy. Let me see your list.



You want a list of what I agree with as far as AGW? I don't think I agree with anything about the AGW theory. But if you check back I made some predictions about what the fifth assessment report was going to push.

- Reduced ice coverage
- Ocean Acidification
- Extreme weather events
- Ocean warming

None of the above I'm willing to say is human induced. We're returning from a mini ice age and warming is expected, the hilarious thing is people thinking a 0.25/0.5 degree warming after coming out of a mini ice age is some how abnormal.

I agree that coming out of this mini-ice age the prediction done by Akasofu that the earth will probably warm another 0.6 degrees or so over the next decade or two then trail off again. I'll attach his little prediction at the end of this post.

The increased temperature and increased c02 seems to causing warming in the top 70m of the ocean which is not detrimental at all that's a joke, as well as some slight Acidification alongside some rise in the ocean. All is to be expected as the earth heats up and then trails off to go cool again.

My main gripe you need to remember is two things:
1. Carbon pricing is useless and detrimental to all civilized countries
2. The earth will heat and cool, so far there predictions have been utter failures, leading me to believe it's happening just as it always has, if our effect was as large as they say the data would prove this, not some 17 year stall and 0.25 degree rise  and some slight few mm rise in the ocean.

No one here is against a transition to alternative energy, hell I want deregulation and less restriction so people can be truly innovative and work towards energy that's more efficient then almost useless wind/solar. So we aren't stopping you guys we aren't some enemy trying to keep the world on fossil fuels until peak oil drops off and everything goes to sh*t.

Climate change whether it's man made or not is an issue shared with the majority of earths people, same with pollution. Get the government out of the market and allow people to adapt and prepare for the climate change that will happen regardless and allow people to be innovative in clean technologies.

But my big gripe with the IPCC and the AGW theory besides the above is data manipulation and the failure of the AGW theory to hold up to empirical testing. When the data starts matching what comes out of their mouths then I will listen until then I will despise their political tactics of manipulation and fear mongering.
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Chimp_Logic
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Re: Why I dont believe In Anthropogenic Global Warming
Reply #185 - Oct 19th, 2013 at 4:51pm
 
Vuk11 wrote on Oct 19th, 2013 at 2:07pm:
ImSpartacus2 wrote on Oct 19th, 2013 at 11:24am:
BS. You posted lies and conspiracy theory. Ohh the scientist have all made up global warming for funding. And they have continued to tell this lie with more lies to cover up the lies for over 2 decades. Why? For funding. But never mind the fossil fuel companies and right wing institutes associated with them, where you cut and paste all your propaganda from. Let's just forget they're potential for doctoring the data to protect their trillion dollar industry (ohh no its the few million in research grants that you focus on as the threat to truth). You say your not a denier but a skeptic. OK then tell us what the scientists are saying about anthropogenic global warming that does give you cause to believe them. Come on these people are scientists. There must be heaps they're saying that is correct about anthropogenic global warming so please list them. I expect to see a big list now.  Let's see how genuine you are. Or are you arguing that everything they say is made up and the world can't see through it? Give me your list boy. Let me see your list.



You want a list of what I agree with as far as AGW? I don't think I agree with anything about the AGW theory.



So you basically refute the fact that rising CO2 levels act to increase the average global temperature?

Interesting, you must either deny the fact that CO2 is a greenhouse gas OR you deny that CO2 is a by product of fossil fuel combustion (or BOTH. that's what AGW is - the causal link between human activities and rising global temperature - an undeniable observable scientific fact)

Youre in a bit of trouble as far as integrity is concerned vuk11
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ImSpartacus2
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Re: Why I dont believe In Anthropogenic Global Warming
Reply #186 - Oct 20th, 2013 at 6:47am
 
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« Last Edit: Oct 20th, 2013 at 6:54am by ImSpartacus2 »  
 
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ImSpartacus2
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Re: Why I dont believe In Anthropogenic Global Warming
Reply #187 - Oct 20th, 2013 at 6:50am
 
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« Last Edit: Oct 20th, 2013 at 6:56am by ImSpartacus2 »  
 
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ImSpartacus2
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Re: Why I dont believe In Anthropogenic Global Warming
Reply #188 - Oct 20th, 2013 at 6:50am
 
Vuk11 wrote on Oct 19th, 2013 at 2:07pm:
ImSpartacus2 wrote on Oct 19th, 2013 at 11:24am:
BS. You posted lies and conspiracy theory. Ohh the scientist have all made up global warming for funding. And they have continued to tell this lie with more lies to cover up the lies for over 2 decades. Why? For funding. But never mind the fossil fuel companies and right wing institutes associated with them, where you cut and paste all your propaganda from. Let's just forget they're potential for doctoring the data to protect their trillion dollar industry (ohh no its the few million in research grants that you focus on as the threat to truth). You say your not a denier but a skeptic. OK then tell us what the scientists are saying about anthropogenic global warming that does give you cause to believe them. Come on these people are scientists. There must be heaps they're saying that is correct about anthropogenic global warming so please list them. I expect to see a big list now.  Let's see how genuine you are. Or are you arguing that everything they say is made up and the world can't see through it? Give me your list boy. Let me see your list.



You want a list of what I agree with as far as AGW? I don't think I agree with anything about the AGW theory. But if you check back I made some predictions about what the fifth assessment report was going to push.

- Reduced ice coverage
- Ocean Acidification
- Extreme weather events
- Ocean warming

None of the above I'm willing to say is human induced. We're returning from a mini ice age and warming is expected, the hilarious thing is people thinking a 0.25/0.5 degree warming after coming out of a mini ice age is some how abnormal.

I agree that coming out of this mini-ice age the prediction done by Akasofu that the earth will probably warm another 0.6 degrees or so over the next decade or two then trail off again. I'll attach his little prediction at the end of this post.

The increased temperature and increased c02 seems to causing warming in the top 70m of the ocean which is not detrimental at all that's a joke, as well as some slight Acidification alongside some rise in the ocean. All is to be expected as the earth heats up and then trails off to go cool again.

My main gripe you need to remember is two things:
1. Carbon pricing is useless and detrimental to all civilized countries
2. The earth will heat and cool, so far there predictions have been utter failures, leading me to believe it's happening just as it always has, if our effect was as large as they say the data would prove this, not some 17 year stall and 0.25 degree rise  and some slight few mm rise in the ocean.

No one here is against a transition to alternative energy, hell I want deregulation and less restriction so people can be truly innovative and work towards energy that's more efficient then almost useless wind/solar. So we aren't stopping you guys we aren't some enemy trying to keep the world on fossil fuels until peak oil drops off and everything goes to sh*t.

Climate change whether it's man made or not is an issue shared with the majority of earths people, same with pollution. Get the government out of the market and allow people to adapt and prepare for the climate change that will happen regardless and allow people to be innovative in clean technologies.

But my big gripe with the IPCC and the AGW theory besides the above is data manipulation and the failure of the AGW theory to hold up to empirical testing. When the data starts matching what comes out of their mouths then I will listen until then I will despise their political tactics of manipulation and fear mongering.

So you need to call yourself a denier not s skeptic. Skeptics acknowledge room for doubt buy their is no doubt in your mind. Nothing that the experts say about AGW is credible or gives you cause to pause. Everything they say about AGW is undeniably wrong to you. And you wonder why we dismiss you as a propagandist? You with no relevant science qualifications. If you were genuine and honest you would clearly see the the stupidity of your position but your not genuine and honest. Your here on a mission and you need to piss off now cause you've been found out.
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Chimp_Logic
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Re: Why I dont believe In Anthropogenic Global Warming
Reply #189 - Oct 20th, 2013 at 7:12am
 
Science is based upon healthy levels of skepticism

AGW DENIALISM on the other hand is merely a cult religion driven by political agendas and paranoid conspiracy theories.

There is no way a genuinely skeptical person would arrive at a purely dismissive position after they have examined all the data and rationale behind global warming and its human drivers
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Phemanderac
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Re: Why I dont believe In Anthropogenic Global Warming
Reply #190 - Oct 20th, 2013 at 7:20am
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 19th, 2013 at 11:55am:
Phemanderac wrote on Oct 19th, 2013 at 11:51am:
Look anyone can easily and demonstrably provide links to support whatever they "assert".


That's the point!

Can they provide peer reviewed scientific evidence to support their lunacy ?

You see the difference don't you?

I can provide you a link that supports the notion that humans have never landed on the moon.

I also have plenty of links that suggest there are reptilian aliens living amongst us - some of them Royals, some are US presidents. Must be correct - I HAVE A LINK



Well, it would seem to my simple mind that the patently obvious solution would be to ascertain the scientific cred of the link. i.e. is it from a recognised and respected scientific institute? I realise that these links only lead to more work, because basically the poster will have to actually do the writing work to explain what their link is all about in that it may be that the link will be to pure data (measurements, graphs etc etc etc).

This is why I point to both sides of the debate, which you seem to be attempting to question....

I am not questioning the actual science here, because, as I see it, that is not being presented presently. This is regardless of what I feel to be correct, but as an observation of how this debate is played out for the main part in the main stream (media) and on these forums.

By the way, I am not arguing for or against your position here, I have clearly expressed my view that the bigger picture debate should be about stopping pollution broadly. Mainly because that seems to me to be far more pertinent, more easily grasped by people not from scientific backgrounds and being totally avoided by this silly debate. Now, before you start, it is a silly debate because of how (observably) it presently plays out in the media and public forums - I am sure for those who the science is decided this is very frustrating, but, I think it evident that;

a) The science is complex and, therefore, not easily understood by people not well studied in specific sciences.

b) On such a large scale that it is difficult to observe the changes that occur and, therefore, easy to dismiss. Fear plays a part in this, I don't mean fear as in "OMG the world is going to end", but, fear that we (humans) may have stuffed it up and cannot (are afraid to) accept responsibility for this.

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On the 26th of January you are all invited to celebrate little white penal day...

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Phemanderac
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Re: Why I dont believe In Anthropogenic Global Warming
Reply #191 - Oct 20th, 2013 at 7:31am
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 19th, 2013 at 1:26pm:
Phemanderac wrote on Oct 19th, 2013 at 1:05pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 19th, 2013 at 12:51pm:
Phemanderac wrote on Oct 19th, 2013 at 12:19pm:


...this doesn't mean that currently accepted theories and facts in science are immutable and unchallengeable.

In fact science thrives upon revolution and paradigm shifts.

But it takes evidence to abandon one theory for another, or to refute currently accepted ideas or facts.

At the moment, Anthropogenically driven global warming (AGW) is a scientific notion strongly supported by theory and observational evidence.

The problem is, the future ramifications of AGW are very serious for humanity if rising CO2 levels aren't abated today.

Who has the moral and ethical right to advocate NON-ACTION on AGW that will effect ALL of humanity in the future?


Yeah, I kind of think the article pretty much agrees with some of what you say ironically.

And, my admittedly limited understanding of scientific process is far less limited than my understanding of the history of scientific practices. Hence I am very well aware of how accepted theories are constantly (maybe over decades) tested, revisited, adapted and changed as new data and technology allow us to think we know more. To my mind, science is basically the sport of eventually proving the things we think we know as either right or wrong. Getting acceptance of the knowledge is down to politics, business and marketing. There is the major flaw behind all science.


...an interesting way of describing the scientific process

you rightly highlight the issues presented by politics, business and marketing.

However these influences should not affect the peer review process nor the results of a scientific analysis produces.

Reproducibility and validation of theory by observation acts like a sieve to prevent pseudo science and abstract metaphysics filtering through.

A good example was the cold fusion experiment which eventually failed this basic test.



I think (or thought) I went on to highlight how and why the peer review process is the current best practice, however, it is not infallible, nor is it necessarily totally free from the upsets, hurdles and pressures about funding, politics and marketing. That is because we are all fallible human beings even when we belong to the scientific community.

My view on what science is by the way is based on understanding how it evolved more than its processes, as I stated. It is ultimately about working stuff out, in very simple terms. Historically it has arguably been a process of trial and error with a lot of error. Science to my mind would generally not reject the errors because they are also valid areas of data collection and measurement.

As to reproducibility, I agree entirely, that has for a  long time now been a basic part of scientific practice and demonstration. The failing of basic tests you speak of though, sometimes do not occur until we develop the necessary technology and/or tools to develop and conduct the actual "basic tests". Have a look for example at the history of Geology and, in particular, the development of the relatively recent theories on plate tectonics. For the main part this theory was, in effect, rejected widely in Geological circles initially.

I guess the bottom line is that any human endeavour that fails to acknowledge, recognise and make room for human fallibility is destined to being a much more longitudinal study than one that does take human fallibility into account...
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Chimp_Logic
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Re: Why I dont believe In Anthropogenic Global Warming
Reply #192 - Oct 20th, 2013 at 8:20am
 
Phemanderac wrote on Oct 20th, 2013 at 7:31am:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 19th, 2013 at 1:26pm:
Phemanderac wrote on Oct 19th, 2013 at 1:05pm:
Chimp_Logic wrote on Oct 19th, 2013 at 12:51pm:
Phemanderac wrote on Oct 19th, 2013 at 12:19pm:


...this doesn't mean that currently accepted theories and facts in science are immutable and unchallengeable.

In fact science thrives upon revolution and paradigm shifts.

But it takes evidence to abandon one theory for another, or to refute currently accepted ideas or facts.

At the moment, Anthropogenically driven global warming (AGW) is a scientific notion strongly supported by theory and observational evidence.

The problem is, the future ramifications of AGW are very serious for humanity if rising CO2 levels aren't abated today.

Who has the moral and ethical right to advocate NON-ACTION on AGW that will effect ALL of humanity in the future?


Yeah, I kind of think the article pretty much agrees with some of what you say ironically.

And, my admittedly limited understanding of scientific process is far less limited than my understanding of the history of scientific practices. Hence I am very well aware of how accepted theories are constantly (maybe over decades) tested, revisited, adapted and changed as new data and technology allow us to think we know more. To my mind, science is basically the sport of eventually proving the things we think we know as either right or wrong. Getting acceptance of the knowledge is down to politics, business and marketing. There is the major flaw behind all science.


...an interesting way of describing the scientific process

you rightly highlight the issues presented by politics, business and marketing.

However these influences should not affect the peer review process nor the results of a scientific analysis produces.

Reproducibility and validation of theory by observation acts like a sieve to prevent pseudo science and abstract metaphysics filtering through.

A good example was the cold fusion experiment which eventually failed this basic test.



I think (or thought) I went on to highlight how and why the peer review process is the current best practice, however, it is not infallible, nor is it necessarily totally free from the upsets, hurdles and pressures about funding, politics and marketing. That is because we are all fallible human beings even when we belong to the scientific community.

My view on what science is by the way is based on understanding how it evolved more than its processes, as I stated. It is ultimately about working stuff out, in very simple terms. Historically it has arguably been a process of trial and error with a lot of error. Science to my mind would generally not reject the errors because they are also valid areas of data collection and measurement.

As to reproducibility, I agree entirely, that has for a  long time now been a basic part of scientific practice and demonstration. The failing of basic tests you speak of though, sometimes do not occur until we develop the necessary technology and/or tools to develop and conduct the actual "basic tests". Have a look for example at the history of Geology and, in particular, the development of the relatively recent theories on plate tectonics. For the main part this theory was, in effect, rejected widely in Geological circles initially.

I guess the bottom line is that any human endeavour that fails to acknowledge, recognise and make room for human fallibility is destined to being a much more longitudinal study than one that does take human fallibility into account...


...well according to priests the only infallible thing in the universe is their religion

Science I suppose is religious in the sense that it has priests, holy texts and temples of worship commonly known as laboratories

The difference being is that their bible is continually being re-written and added to.

With all its human frailties, the peer reviewed process combined with the scientific rigour of reproducibility and validation, is very effective. The important thing is that corrections and improvements are encouraged and form part of the process

Over the decades the scientific evidence that supports AGW has merely grown. If any scientist can attribute the recent warming trends and their rapid rates to a natural mechanism or non-human driver they are welcome to publish their theory and data.
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Re: Why I dont believe In Anthropogenic Global Warming
Reply #193 - Oct 20th, 2013 at 9:24am
 
You lot are really incredible,

Can you deny the following,

Climategate - showed how Mann and Co. operate, more politics than science.

IPCC stated glaciers would all be gone by 2035.

Alarmists where saying in 2005 2006 that by 2013 the arctic would be free of ice.

The hot spot in the tropopasue, once upon a time it was the mantle piece of AGW.

The missing heat is in the oceans, after a 15 years of no warming.

The consensus was fabricated from an online two question survey.

Cook et al a fraudulent attempt to prove the consensus.

1990 IPCC computer model forecasts got it wrong.

IPCC overestimates CO2 forcing and CO2 lifetime in our atmosphere.

The AGW is funded to the tune of billions of dollars by bankers and their corporations, including big oil.

The main objective of manmade CO2 emissions is to form a trillion dollar carbon credit derivatives market on wall street.

and many more........!!!!!
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1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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Chimp_Logic
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Re: Why I dont believe In Anthropogenic Global Warming
Reply #194 - Oct 20th, 2013 at 12:33pm
 
Ajax wrote on Oct 20th, 2013 at 9:24am:
You lot are really incredible,

Can you deny the following,

Climategate - showed how Mann and Co. operate, more politics than science.

IPCC stated glaciers would all be gone by 2035.

Alarmists where saying in 2005 2006 that by 2013 the arctic would be free of ice.

The hot spot in the tropopasue, once upon a time it was the mantle piece of AGW.

The missing heat is in the oceans, after a 15 years of no warming.

The consensus was fabricated from an online two question survey.

Cook et al a fraudulent attempt to prove the consensus.

1990 IPCC computer model forecasts got it wrong.

IPCC overestimates CO2 forcing and CO2 lifetime in our atmosphere.

The AGW is funded to the tune of billions of dollars by bankers and their corporations, including big oil.

The main objective of manmade CO2 emissions is to form a trillion dollar carbon credit derivatives market on wall street.

and many more........!!!!!



where are the models that predict ZERO warming or even cooling as CO2 levels rise in the earths atmosphere?

Havent you found one yet?

(hint: even EXXON cant produce one and they are the largest corporation in human history - in fact EXXON are quite comfortable with the global warming science and recommend urgent action be taken to mitigate climate change effects in the future. Why would EXXON hold this position which is so different to your religious beliefs and paranoid conspiracy tax dogma?)
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Mini Ice Age (2014-2029)
Dr Sircus cures cancer with Baking Soda and Magnesium - Jethro the MENTAL GIANT & his flute madness
 
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