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For the gullible AGW activists in all yall (Read 3080 times)
progressiveslol
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For the gullible AGW activists in all yall
Dec 31st, 2013 at 6:28pm
 
Celebrated Physicist Calls IPCC Summary ‘Deeply Unscientific’



http://nofrakkingconsensus.com/2013/12/20/celebrated-physicist-calls-ipcc-summary-deeply-unscientific/
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Re: For the gullible AGW activists in all yall
Reply #1 - Dec 31st, 2013 at 7:18pm
 
progressiveslol wrote on Dec 31st, 2013 at 6:28pm:
Celebrated Physicist Calls IPCC Summary ‘Deeply Unscientific’



http://nofrakkingconsensus.com/2013/12/20/celebrated-physicist-calls-ipcc-summary-deeply-unscientific/

Some of us know enough to realise that we don't know enough. Others don't.

Some of us accept the advice of the best qualified, however unpleasant. Others search for convenient, but palatable, fictions.
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muso
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Re: For the gullible AGW activists in all yall
Reply #2 - Dec 31st, 2013 at 7:45pm
 
What are his arguments?
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Chimp_Logic
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Re: For the gullible AGW activists in all yall
Reply #3 - Dec 31st, 2013 at 7:47pm
 
progressiveslol wrote on Dec 31st, 2013 at 6:28pm:
Celebrated Physicist Calls IPCC Summary ‘Deeply Unscientific’



http://nofrakkingconsensus.com/2013/12/20/celebrated-physicist-calls-ipcc-summary-deeply-unscientific/


Denying the high school level science that underpins Anthropogenic Global warming and its inevitable changes in the earths climate is DEEPLY UNSCIENTIFIC
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Re: For the gullible AGW activists in all yall
Reply #4 - Dec 31st, 2013 at 7:55pm
 
Here’s a direct quote from Darriulat’s submission
:


The way the SPM deals with uncertainties (e.g. claiming something is 95% certain) is shocking and deeply unscientific. For a scientist, this simple fact is sufficient to throw discredit on the whole summary. The SPM gives the wrong idea that one can quantify precisely our confidence in the [climate] model predictions, which is far from being the case. [bold added]

Darriulat says “the main point to appreciate” is that, because the Summary was written for policymakers rather than for other scientists, it “can not be a scientific document.” His next remarks deserve to be displayed on every billboard in Times Square:
------------------------------------------------------

Darriulat seems to be attacking the IPCC from a scientific purest point of view.

And as we all know, AGW isn't based upon anything the IPCC says or does.

I certainly don't base my conclusions and opinions on anything the IPCC publishes. Look in the literature base, and what the professional scientific bodies are saying about AGW and the resultant climatic changes that awaits humanity.

Where does Darriulat refute the science of AGW?

As usual the denialists grab at any straw they can to attempt muddying the waters in the public realm.
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muso
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Re: For the gullible AGW activists in all yall
Reply #5 - Dec 31st, 2013 at 8:18pm
 
I had a quick read through his submission. Here is an example where he made a very elementary error in his judgement:

Quote:
that they assume a sensitivity of 3° for a doubling of CO, above pre-industrial values while at most 1° is observed


That in itself demonstrates that he doesn't understand the difference between equibrium climate sensitivity and transient climate response. It's understandable for someone commenting on on subject matter outside his field. The transient climate response for the last 50 years is indeed just above 1 degree, but this fails to include delayed feedback.

It also demonstrates that he didn't bother to read the Working Group 1 report "The Physical Science basis", because the explanation in right there in black and white, and it includes this graph in Figure 9.2:

http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/tar/wg1/fig9-1.htm

However, the fact that he would make such pronouncements without even once consulting a worker in the field shows an arrogant disregard for experts in the field.

It also begs the question that if he set himself the task of reviewing this very document, how could he miss an entire chapter?

He says in his report that most people just read the summary for policymakers, however, he obviously didn't even read that document, because it's spelled out in black and white even in that summary. Most people apparently doesn't include himself:

Quote:
The transient climate response quantifies the response of the climate system to an increasing radiative forcing on a decadal to century timescale. It is defined as the change in global mean surface temperature at the time when the atmospheric CO2 concentration has doubled in a scenario of concentration increasing at 1% per year. The transient climate response is
likely in the range of 1.0°C to 2.5°C (high confidence
) and extremely unlikely greater than 3°C.


So is this another example of an esteemed physicist who has "lost it" with old age? It seems the most likely explanation.

It's unfortunate that people like Patrick Moore and our friend here, who lapse into pseudoscience during their senior years by commenting on subjects where they lack any clear knowledge.

Quote:
Darriulat seems to be attacking the IPCC from a scientific purest point of view.


I disagree. It's hardly purist when he gets some of the basic facts wrong himself.
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« Last Edit: Dec 31st, 2013 at 8:24pm by muso »  

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Re: For the gullible AGW activists in all yall
Reply #6 - Dec 31st, 2013 at 8:25pm
 
Darriulat was one that lee was banging on about recently. Seems to be denailist flavour of the nanosecond.
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Re: For the gullible AGW activists in all yall
Reply #7 - Dec 31st, 2013 at 8:42pm
 
Pierre Darriulat demands a conventional scientific summary by the IPCC in its reports, when IPCC is producing a different type of report, that has inputs from many nations, and individuals.

Its a silly demand to make and then on this basis impose a total disregard for anything the IPCC concludes.

The IPCC isn't producing a publication in a Physics Journal on elementary particle physics.

Whilst Pierre makes some valid comments concerning the format, language and conclusions of the latest IPCC report, they really aren't relevant in this instance. He is acting like a peer reviewer for an International Scientific Journal. They always pick at any element of a paper for the purpose of improving it or perhaps exposing an error etc.

Personally I find the output and recommendations made by the IPCC very conservative (not surprising seeing as how many people and nations are involved in their report making process)
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Re: For the gullible AGW activists in all yall
Reply #8 - Dec 31st, 2013 at 8:48pm
 
Need to head out this evening.

I will not be contributing anything in this forum for the rest of this year at least.

Happy New Year

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Mini Ice Age (2014-2029)
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muso
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Re: For the gullible AGW activists in all yall
Reply #9 - Dec 31st, 2013 at 9:08pm
 
Happy New Year Chimp (When it comes)

Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 31st, 2013 at 8:42pm:
He is acting like a peer reviewer for an International Scientific Journal.


Perhaps a Peer Reviewer who is not familiar with the subject matter of the paper and who doesn't actually read it properly.
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lee
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Re: For the gullible AGW activists in all yall
Reply #10 - Dec 31st, 2013 at 9:48pm
 
Definitely not a pal reviewer.
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Re: For the gullible AGW activists in all yall
Reply #11 - Dec 31st, 2013 at 10:04pm
 
You've got to keep the faith  Grin
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Re: For the gullible AGW activists in all yall
Reply #12 - Jan 1st, 2014 at 8:32am
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Dec 31st, 2013 at 8:42pm:
Pierre Darriulat demands a conventional scientific summary by the IPCC in its reports, when IPCC is producing a different type of report, that has inputs from many nations, and individuals.

Its a silly demand to make and then on this basis impose a total disregard for anything the IPCC concludes.

The IPCC isn't producing a publication in a Physics Journal on elementary particle physics.

Whilst Pierre makes some valid comments concerning the format, language and conclusions of the latest IPCC report, they really aren't relevant in this instance. He is acting like a peer reviewer for an International Scientific Journal. They always pick at any element of a paper for the purpose of improving it or perhaps exposing an error etc.

Personally I find the output and recommendations made by the IPCC very conservative (not surprising seeing as how many people and nations are involved in their report making process)

Personally I find the output and recommendations made by the IPCC very unscientific (not surprising seeing as how many activists and 1st year graduates are involved in their report making process)
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Re: For the gullible AGW activists in all yall
Reply #13 - Jan 1st, 2014 at 10:35am
 
It must be remembered that the
Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change is a political forum. It is the Politicians who met in Stockholm to decide on the wording of the Summary for Policy Makers.

The scientific reports must agree with the SPM, not the other way around, The tail wagging the dog. The political imperative overriding the scientific imperative.

Is it any wonder the underlying reports reflect the SPM?
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Re: For the gullible AGW activists in all yall
Reply #14 - Jan 1st, 2014 at 11:08am
 
lee wrote on Dec 31st, 2013 at 9:48pm:
Definitely not a pal reviewer.
Do you know the difference?

I don't doubt that you'll reject the sources, but here are a couple, to give you an idea of what differentiates true peer review from the "pal review" favoured in denialist circles:
http://www.skepticalscience.com/pal-review-true-story-fairy-tale.html
http://www.desmogblog.com/skeptics-prefer-pal-review-over-peer-review-chris-de-f...
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