Australian Politics Forum - Conservative Vote Crashes In Latest Poll

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Conservative Vote Crashes In Latest Poll
Jan 28^th, 2014 at 6:04am

The monthly ReachTEL poll for the Seven Network gives Labor its biggest post-election lead to date.

GhostWhoVotes relates that the latest monthly ReachTEL automated phone poll conducted for the Seven Network gives Labor its biggest post-election lead to date, up to 53-47 from 52-48 in the December 15 poll. Primary votes are Coalition 39.8%, down from 41.4%; Labor 40.6%, up from 40.4%; and Greens 9.1%, up from 8.7%. The poll also has 20.3% reporting being better off since a year ago compared with 39.3% for worse off and 40.4% for neither. Prospectively, 23.5% expect to be better off in a year, 39.4% worse off and 37.1% neither. On the economy as a whole, 34.9% think it headed in the right direction and 39.3% in the wrong direction, with 25.8% undecided. A very similar question from Essential Research last week had 38% rating the economy as heading in the right direction versus 33% for the wrong direction, which while better than the ReachTEL results was a substantial deterioration on post-election findings which had it at 44% and 27%. These figures here courtesy of Ryan Moore on Twitter.

The poll was conducted on Thursday from a sample of 3547. Full results will be available on the ReachTEL site tomorrow, which will apparently include personal ratings that have Tony Abbott up and Bill Shorten down. Stay tuned tomorrow for the weekly Essential Research and fortnightly Morgan.

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Frances Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 3577 In a Castle in the Hills Gender:	Re: Conservative Vote Crashes In Latest Poll Reply #1 - Jan 28^th, 2014 at 6:45am Is a drop of 1.6% in a poll really a crash, or is it just a normal variation you get from polls?
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skippy. Gold Member Offline Posts: 20882 Gender:	Re: Conservative Vote Crashes In Latest Poll Reply #2 - Jan 28^th, 2014 at 9:14am Frances wrote on Jan 28^th, 2014 at 6:45am: Is a drop of 1.6% in a poll really a crash, or is it just a normal variation you get from polls? No, 1.6 is not a crash, but 6 points is, and that's what the basher has achieved in four months. He makes Gillards numbers look good.
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Ex Dame Pansi Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 24168	Re: Conservative Vote Crashes In Latest Poll Reply #3 - Jan 28^th, 2014 at 9:21am After four months, imagine after three years.
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John Smith Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 74988 Gender:	Re: Conservative Vote Crashes In Latest Poll Reply #4 - Jan 28^th, 2014 at 1:03pm I noticed all those on this forum that used to love going on and on and on and on and on about polls pre-election, suddenly aren't interested in polls anymore ... why is that?
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Innocent bystander Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 4220 Gender:	Re: Conservative Vote Crashes In Latest Poll Reply #5 - Jan 28^th, 2014 at 2:23pm Ex Dame Pansi wrote on Jan 28^th, 2014 at 9:21am: After four months, imagine after three years. You're not going to last three years, you're going to choke on your own froth.
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polite_gandalf Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 20027 Canberra Gender:	Re: Conservative Vote Crashes In Latest Poll Reply #6 - Jan 28^th, 2014 at 2:33pm Is that the first time a post-election poll has labor's primary vote ahead? Hopefully these results will be reflective of both the Griffith by-election and the WA senate recount.
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# Gold Member Offline A fool is certain: an ignorant fool, absolutely so Posts: 2603	Re: Conservative Vote Crashes In Latest Poll Reply #7 - Jan 28^th, 2014 at 2:57pm Innocent bystander wrote on Jan 28^th, 2014 at 2:23pm: Ex Dame Pansi wrote on Jan 28^th, 2014 at 9:21am: After four months, imagine after three years. You're not going to last three years, ... Is Abbott?
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FriYAY Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 7395	Re: Conservative Vote Crashes In Latest Poll Reply #8 - Jan 28^th, 2014 at 3:00pm John Smith wrote on Jan 28^th, 2014 at 1:03pm: I noticed all those on this forum that used to love going on and on and on and on and on about polls pre-election, suddenly aren't interested in polls anymore ... why is that?
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Innocent bystander

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Re: Conservative Vote Crashes In Latest Poll
Reply #9 - Jan 28^th, 2014 at 3:00pm

# wrote on Jan 28^th, 2014 at 2:57pm:

Innocent bystander wrote on Jan 28^th, 2014 at 2:23pm:

Ex Dame Pansi wrote on Jan 28^th, 2014 at 9:21am:

After four months, imagine after three years.

You're not going to last three years, ...

Is Abbott?

Are any of us?, the planet is going to burst into flames any day now due to global warming Grin

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#

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ignorant fool, absolutely
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Re: Conservative Vote Crashes In Latest Poll
Reply #10 - Jan 28^th, 2014 at 3:04pm

Innocent bystander wrote on Jan 28^th, 2014 at 3:00pm:

# wrote on Jan 28^th, 2014 at 2:57pm:

Innocent bystander wrote on Jan 28^th, 2014 at 2:23pm:

Ex Dame Pansi wrote on Jan 28^th, 2014 at 9:21am:

After four months, imagine after three years.

You're not going to last three years, ...

Is Abbott?

Are any of us?, ...

I'll take that as a 'no'. Tongue

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BigOl64

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Re: Conservative Vote Crashes In Latest Poll
Reply #11 - Jan 28^th, 2014 at 3:10pm

____ wrote on Jan 28^th, 2014 at 6:04am:

Greens 9.1%, up from 8.7%.

The greens always go up in the polls after an election, it's during the election their voter support plummets.

Remember when you told everyone that labor was on the nose in QLD and the greens were going to be sitting in QLD parliment for the first time, remember that?

bugger that was funny. Grin

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____

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Re: Conservative Vote Crashes In Latest Poll
Reply #12 - Jan 28^th, 2014 at 3:29pm

BigOl64 wrote on Jan 28^th, 2014 at 3:10pm:

____ wrote on Jan 28^th, 2014 at 6:04am:

Greens 9.1%, up from 8.7%.

The greens always go up in the polls after an election, it's during the election their voter support plummets.

Remember when you told everyone that labor was on the nose in QLD and the greens were going to be sitting in QLD parliment for the first time, remember that?

bugger that was funny. Grin

No

Got a link?

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skippy.

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Re: Conservative Vote Crashes In Latest Poll
Reply #13 - Jan 28^th, 2014 at 3:37pm

BigOl64 wrote on Jan 28^th, 2014 at 3:10pm:

____ wrote on Jan 28^th, 2014 at 6:04am:

Greens 9.1%, up from 8.7%.

The greens always go up in the polls after an election, it's during the election their voter support plummets.

Remember when you told everyone that labor was on the nose in QLD and the greens were going to be sitting in QLD parliment for the first time, remember that?

bugger that was funny. Grin

Remember when I told you the women basher would be a one termer? F..k the smirk whipped off your face will be funny. Grin

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BigOl64

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Re: Conservative Vote Crashes In Latest Poll
Reply #14 - Jan 28^th, 2014 at 3:38pm

____ wrote on Jan 28^th, 2014 at 3:29pm:

BigOl64 wrote on Jan 28^th, 2014 at 3:10pm:

____ wrote on Jan 28^th, 2014 at 6:04am:

Greens 9.1%, up from 8.7%.

The greens always go up in the polls after an election, it's during the election their voter support plummets.

Remember when you told everyone that labor was on the nose in QLD and the greens were going to be sitting in QLD parliment for the first time, remember that?

bugger that was funny. Grin

No

Got a link?

You want a link to you crapping on about how well the greens were going to do in the last QLD election?

Grin

It's funny because you're stupid. Grin

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