Quote:If we put the establishment of Roman dictatorship at around 50BCE, we see from Morris's data that the increase of all traits continued to skyrocket until year 1, then stayed at the same level for another 100 years. So there goes your "fell slowly" baloney.
The data does not actually show this. It only has 100 year resolution. Furthermore, you are basically creating a strawman of the argument. Money does not evaporate the minute a dictator takes over. A significant lag is entirely consistent with the mechanisms involved. Despite that, the results for Rome match the theory extraordinarily well. Stagnation and fall where the was previously rapid growth is a change in fortune. If our own society stopped making scientific and economic advances and improvements to our quality of life, I would count that as a failure.
Quote:You say Rome's social development "fell slowly" under the dictatorship (ignoring the fact that for 150 it didn't
Your own numbers show that it did - this alone is a significant change from the meteoric rise that preceded it.
Quote:and translating "fell slowly" for "stagnated" when it suits)
Both are adequate descriptions.
Quote:There are about 100 other reasons for the decline of Rome's prosperity that started nearly two centuries after the establishment of absolute dictatorship that had nothing to do with abolishing an imaginary "inclusive" government - that exists only in your mind. Feel free to read Edward Gibbon.
The lurch towards dictatorship can be an ultimate cause for probably most of the reasons he gives. The authors do go over some of the alternative reasons (eg blaming it on the various invaders) and explain how it is more a symptom than a cause. For example, suppose America became a dictatorship and it's GDP actually fell for the next few centuries, until one day Mexico or China or Afghanistan invaded. A simplistic analysis would blame it on the invasions. That would not actually be incorrect, as the invasion would be a proximate cause of something, but it would entirely miss the point and the lesson of history.
The same patterns are repeated throughout history, and the theory has great predictive power for what will happen in the future, as well as instructive power for how to achieve change. You do not need 100 reasons to explain 1 event. It is one reason that can explain 100 events.