Australian Politics Forum - The state of Queensland.

St George of the Garden Gold Member Offline http://tinyurl.com/n 3o8m2x Posts: 9809 Gender:	Re: The state of Queensland. Reply #375 - Jan 30^th, 2015 at 9:29pm Doubt there will be much joy for PUP itself.
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Aussie Gold Member Offline OzPolitic Posts: 38868 Gender:	Re: The state of Queensland. Reply #376 - Jan 30^th, 2015 at 9:35pm St George of the Garden wrote on Jan 30^th, 2015 at 9:29pm: Doubt there will be much joy for PUP itself. There will be delirium. This was all about............... "Goodbye Campbell Newmann......goodbye."
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Bam Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 21905 Gender:	Re: The state of Queensland. Reply #377 - Jan 30^th, 2015 at 9:35pm Queensland election 2015: LNP to retain government, ABC Vote Compass survey suggests Expected seat results (Vote Compass): LNP 52 (including Ashgrove) ALP 35 KAP 2 I expect it to be slightly closer than that: LNP 49 seats, ALP 38 (including Ashgrove) KAP 2.
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Emma

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Re: The state of Queensland.
Reply #378 - Jan 30^th, 2015 at 9:39pm

It ain't over till the fat lady sings.

Interesting, and vital, times for Queensland.

Talk to you here tomorrow night eh?
Smiley

[/quote]

Maybe not. I'll be at the Palmer Resort having a beer or three. I'll have an extra one for you.
[/quote]

Do that, 'cos guess what? I'll be giving you a thought or two on the morrow.. and I'll raise a glass of Red.. to
no more noman.

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live every day

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St George of the Garden Gold Member Offline http://tinyurl.com/n 3o8m2x Posts: 9809 Gender:	Re: The state of Queensland. Reply #379 - Jan 30^th, 2015 at 9:45pm Aussie wrote on Jan 30^th, 2015 at 9:35pm: St George of the Garden wrote on Jan 30^th, 2015 at 9:29pm: Doubt there will be much joy for PUP itself. There will be delirium. This was all about............... "Goodbye Campbell Newmann......goodbye." I realise that, Aussie, but PUP itself is pretty much finished.
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Aussie

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Re: The state of Queensland.
Reply #380 - Jan 30^th, 2015 at 9:45pm

Bam wrote on Jan 30^th, 2015 at 9:35pm:

Queensland election 2015: LNP to retain government, ABC Vote Compass survey suggests
Expected seat results (Vote Compass):
LNP 52 (including Ashgrove)
ALP 35
KAP 2

I expect it to be slightly closer than that: LNP 49 seats, ALP 38 (including Ashgrove) KAP 2.

Bam....from the link...

Quote:

The results are not an indication of who survey respondents intend to vote for; rather they reflect respondents' beliefs about who will win their local seat.

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Aussie

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Re: The state of Queensland.
Reply #381 - Jan 30^th, 2015 at 9:47pm

St George of the Garden wrote on Jan 30^th, 2015 at 9:45pm:

Aussie wrote on Jan 30^th, 2015 at 9:35pm:

St George of the Garden wrote on Jan 30^th, 2015 at 9:29pm:

Doubt there will be much joy for PUP itself.

There will be delirium. This was all about...............

"Goodbye Campbell Newmann......goodbye."

I realise that, Aussie, but PUP itself is pretty much finished.

It is finished if Clive walks away from it, no doubt about that.

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polite_gandalf Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 20027 Canberra Gender:	Re: The state of Queensland. Reply #382 - Jan 31^st, 2015 at 1:16am The big poll rush on the eve of the election is just coming through now. All three published polls tonight - reachtell, newspoll and galaxy have it at 52-48 LNP. Galaxy the only one I saw on Ashgrove - Newman behind 55-45.... ouch Almost certainly a new LNP government with no premier...
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President Elect, The Mechanic

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Re: The state of Queensland.
Reply #383 - Jan 31^st, 2015 at 5:21am

Aussie wrote on Jan 30^th, 2015 at 9:35pm:

St George of the Garden wrote on Jan 30^th, 2015 at 9:29pm:

Doubt there will be much joy for PUP itself.

There will be delirium. This was all about...............

"Goodbye Campbell Newmann......goodbye."

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=joEaO0IAsAk

im just wondering what type of person would quote that stupid greedy arrogant fat turd... Roll Eyes

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Q

The STORM has arrived
Every Dog Has Its Day...
Dark to Light.
Sheep no more.

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President Elect, The Mechanic

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Re: The state of Queensland.
Reply #384 - Jan 31^st, 2015 at 5:26am

polite_gandalf wrote on Jan 31^st, 2015 at 1:16am:

The big poll rush on the eve of the election is just coming through now. All three published polls tonight - reachtell, newspoll and galaxy have it at 52-48 LNP. Galaxy the only one I saw on Ashgrove - Newman behind 55-45.... ouch Shocked

Almost certainly a new LNP government with no premier...

constitutionally, one of the LNP members who is sitting in a "safe seat" could resign and go to a by election whereby Newman could stand and win the seat and stay the Premier...

that would be funny on so many levels... especially to see how aussie would act... Grin

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Q

The STORM has arrived
Every Dog Has Its Day...
Dark to Light.
Sheep no more.

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President Elect, The Mechanic

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Re: The state of Queensland.
Reply #385 - Jan 31^st, 2015 at 5:37am

Emma wrote on Jan 29^th, 2015 at 7:51pm:

Ahh one of the irrelevant big ignorant mouths return.!! CODS.. I am surprised. Wink

yeah I'd like to say.. some people, especially those who don't live here, are full of erroneous rubbish about this state.

Mexicans are welcome to their opinions, no matter how gormless, or formless , they are.
Cods, still not willing to talk to me.? Obviously not

, and why should I be surprised that you think, we here in QLD, should keep Noman ?? Save it for after the election. Your opinion is not relevant as you don't vote in QLD.

how do you work that out you sponging leach... ? Angry

its because of nincompoops like you that keep voting Labor and hence, keep going further and further into debt that affects other states in Australia..

for instance...

Victoria only gets back 90% of GST because they have to subsidies the halfwit QLDers because they are in massive debt so get 110% of GST revenue..

the federal government should cut funding to QLD and let them sink because they are too greedy and stupid for reform...

the hungry bastards would rather pass on their massive debt to their children... fricken scumbags.. Angry

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Q

The STORM has arrived
Every Dog Has Its Day...
Dark to Light.
Sheep no more.

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Bam

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Re: The state of Queensland.
Reply #386 - Jan 31^st, 2015 at 9:38am

Aussie wrote on Jan 30^th, 2015 at 9:45pm:

Bam wrote on Jan 30^th, 2015 at 9:35pm:

Queensland election 2015: LNP to retain government, ABC Vote Compass survey suggests
Expected seat results (Vote Compass):
LNP 52 (including Ashgrove)
ALP 35
KAP 2

I expect it to be slightly closer than that: LNP 49 seats, ALP 38 (including Ashgrove) KAP 2.

Bam....from the link...

Quote:

The results are not an indication of who survey respondents intend to vote for; rather they reflect respondents' beliefs about who will win their local seat.

This is why I expect the election result to be a little closer than the Vote Compass predicts.

Another thing that may cause a few surprises on election night is the widespread use of preference flows from the 2012 election when calculating 2PP by the various pollsters. This is flawed because the various parties are allocating their preferences differently this time.

For example, The Greens had a "just vote 1" campaign in 2012, while this time they are preferencing the ALP second in a large number of winnable seats. Other minor parties are putting the LNP last including PUP (which didn't exist in 2012). The protest vote factor was against the ALP in 2012 and will be against the LNP in 2015.

Any assertion that the preference flows will be identical has nothing to support it but is just a guess.

The 52-48 2PP based on 2012 preferences is therefore a little optimistic for the LNP. If these samples were accurate the actual election result may be closer, perhaps 51-49 or so.

For more detailed analyses, see this post and this post at PollBludger.

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You are not entitled to your opinion. You are only entitled to hold opinions that you can defend through sound, reasoned argument.

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John Smith

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Re: The state of Queensland.
Reply #387 - Jan 31^st, 2015 at 11:38am

President Elect, The Mechanic wrote on Jan 31^st, 2015 at 5:21am:

Aussie wrote on Jan 30^th, 2015 at 9:35pm:

St George of the Garden wrote on Jan 30^th, 2015 at 9:29pm:

Doubt there will be much joy for PUP itself.

There will be delirium. This was all about...............

"Goodbye Campbell Newmann......goodbye."

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=joEaO0IAsAk

im just wondering what type of person would quote that stupid greedy arrogant fat turd... Roll Eyes

derrr .... the voters in Hockeys electorate

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Our esteemed leader:
I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.

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cods

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Re: The state of Queensland.
Reply #388 - Jan 31^st, 2015 at 11:52am

Aussie wrote on Jan 30^th, 2015 at 9:47pm:

St George of the Garden wrote on Jan 30^th, 2015 at 9:45pm:

Aussie wrote on Jan 30^th, 2015 at 9:35pm:

St George of the Garden wrote on Jan 30^th, 2015 at 9:29pm:

Doubt there will be much joy for PUP itself.

There will be delirium. This was all about...............

"Goodbye Campbell Newmann......goodbye."

I realise that, Aussie, but PUP itself is pretty much finished.

It is finished if Clive walks away from it, no doubt about that.

if he polls badly he will walk.. this is costing him a fortune.... and it will give you some idea of what he is really like aussie..

in it for himself.. bugger the country. Roll Eyes

well we tried to tell you that...

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John Smith Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 75287 Gender:	Re: The state of Queensland. Reply #389 - Jan 31^st, 2015 at 11:53am cods wrote on Jan 31^st, 2015 at 11:52am: in it for himself.. clive got in it for one reason and one reason alone ... to get at Newman. He doesn't care about the money or anything else.
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