aquascoot wrote on Sep 8
th, 2014 at 12:06pm:
we shouldn't just look at a problem and walk away.
I don't think anyone's saying we should. The issue is
how to solve the problem, and
who.
If we're looking at a military solution, you need boots on the ground. Air strikes are only a start - you can't finish a job with air strikes.
The boots on the ground need to be locals. If Uncle and Mother go in, you'll create a front for global jihad. If Uncle and Mother go in, they'll never get out.
The locals need to agree on a strategy - this is where diplomacy comes in. The days of Uncle picking sides and playing them against each other has twisted US foreign policy into knots. Now, Uncle doesn't know whether he supports Assad in Syria, or the resistance. Uncle doesn't know whether he supports another corrupt Shi'ite regime in Iraq, or someone else (and there is no one else). In all the other countries Uncle's meddled in - Afghanistan, Egypt, Palestine - Uncle chops and changes teams like an inept coach.
Remember, the US supports the most fundamentalist state in the world: Saudi Arabia. The UK supported the most dangerous terrorist leader in the world at the time: Ghadafi. It wasn't a corrupt Arab state that released the Lockerby bombers, it was Mother England. It wasn't the Arab states who drew Ghadafi into a warm embrace, it was the UK and Europe.
Since the end of the Cold War, Western intervention in the Middle East has been a spectacular failure. Hearing Obama say that he doesn't have a plan for Iraq and Syria is such refreshing honesty. In Rumsfeld terminology, this is a known-unknown. Backing leaders like Saddam and Ghadafi et al, and then throwing them away when they turn on you is a recipe for disaster.
As the source of much of the world's energy, the Middle East needs to be secure.
How you secure it, and
who you back, is pivotal. Obama was elected with a mandate to withdraw US forces from Iraq, not send them back in. I understand that you have to face problems when they happen, but you need to do this with brains, not brawn.
The Middle East is in the situation it is today thanks to the Western support for dictatorships and direct military involvement. The Middle East is in this situation because very few Arab states have made the transition to popularly elected governments. The Middle East is still a collection of tribes and tribal allegiances, with very few stable republics. Rather than fostering and strengthening local systems of governance and popular representation, Western intervention has merely backed tribes, trained their armies and security forces, and let them do their job of supressing their populations rather than including them. The most recent example of this is the al Malaki government in Iraq, backed all the way by Uncle.
If you ask me, it's time the Middle East started to solve its own problems, and it's time we started to look for alternative sources of energy.