Australian Politics Forum - Exit polls dire for LNP Government.

Its time Gold Member Offline Boot libs out Posts: 25639 Gender:	Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government. Reply #210 - Feb 1^st, 2015 at 3:20pm Roll on NSW election, nobody thought Labor could pull off the stunning victory in QLD , oh my righties look at the damage Abort has done, this will be remembered for generations. what a epic fail
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Aussie

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Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government.
Reply #211 - Feb 1^st, 2015 at 3:25pm

polite_gandalf wrote on Feb 1^st, 2015 at 3:07pm:

The ABC site has 85 seats decided - 43 to labor, 39 to LNP and 3 to other. That leaves 4 still in doubt. Labor just need two of those. One of them - Maryborough as mentioned above - is looking more and more labor. The other listed as 'ALP ahead' - Mansfield - is still too close. Presuming the other two go to LNP (its said that once LNP are ahead they usually stay ahead), its really a 50-50 bet at this stage as to whether labor will have a one seat majority or will form government with support from one independent. If that quote from Wellington is true, then Labor shouldn't need any KAP support.

It'll be true. On a prior occasions, Wellington handed Government to the ALP (Beattie). He has been attacked viciously by the LNP up here (his is 'my' seat) and has always been highly critical of LNP corruption. He is 50% PUP.

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cods

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Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government.
Reply #212 - Feb 1^st, 2015 at 3:27pm

Aussie wrote on Feb 1^st, 2015 at 3:25pm:

polite_gandalf wrote on Feb 1^st, 2015 at 3:07pm:

The ABC site has 85 seats decided - 43 to labor, 39 to LNP and 3 to other. That leaves 4 still in doubt. Labor just need two of those. One of them - Maryborough as mentioned above - is looking more and more labor. The other listed as 'ALP ahead' - Mansfield - is still too close. Presuming the other two go to LNP (its said that once LNP are ahead they usually stay ahead), its really a 50-50 bet at this stage as to whether labor will have a one seat majority or will form government with support from one independent. If that quote from Wellington is true, then Labor shouldn't need any KAP support.

It'll be true. On a prior occasions, Wellington handed Government to the ALP (Beattie). He has been attacked viciously by the LNP up here (his is 'my' seat) and has always been highly critical of LNP corruption. He is 50% PUP.

so how meany seats got PUP bums on them aussie... you being at the engine room I am sure you have the answer..

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Aussie

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Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government.
Reply #213 - Feb 1^st, 2015 at 3:30pm

cods wrote on Feb 1^st, 2015 at 3:27pm:

Aussie wrote on Feb 1^st, 2015 at 3:25pm:

polite_gandalf wrote on Feb 1^st, 2015 at 3:07pm:

The ABC site has 85 seats decided - 43 to labor, 39 to LNP and 3 to other. That leaves 4 still in doubt. Labor just need two of those. One of them - Maryborough as mentioned above - is looking more and more labor. The other listed as 'ALP ahead' - Mansfield - is still too close. Presuming the other two go to LNP (its said that once LNP are ahead they usually stay ahead), its really a 50-50 bet at this stage as to whether labor will have a one seat majority or will form government with support from one independent. If that quote from Wellington is true, then Labor shouldn't need any KAP support.

It'll be true. On a prior occasions, Wellington handed Government to the ALP (Beattie). He has been attacked viciously by the LNP up here (his is 'my' seat) and has always been highly critical of LNP corruption. He is 50% PUP.

so how meany seats got PUP bums on them aussie... you being at the engine room I am sure you have the answer..

None....a slim chance in Callide to unseat the Deputy Premier 'Boofhead' Jeff Seeney.

If that happens, Palmer will have the trifecta...way beyond his expectations.

1. Goodbye Campbell Newmann.
2. Long shot that the LNP lose Government, and
3. Longer shot that PUP could unseat Seeney.

Ultimately, for the next Federal election, PUP voting numbers/% indicate at least one more Senator.

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Lobo

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Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government.
Reply #214 - Feb 1^st, 2015 at 3:49pm

cods wrote on Feb 1^st, 2015 at 3:27pm:

Aussie wrote on Feb 1^st, 2015 at 3:25pm:

polite_gandalf wrote on Feb 1^st, 2015 at 3:07pm:

The ABC site has 85 seats decided - 43 to labor, 39 to LNP and 3 to other. That leaves 4 still in doubt. Labor just need two of those. One of them - Maryborough as mentioned above - is looking more and more labor. The other listed as 'ALP ahead' - Mansfield - is still too close. Presuming the other two go to LNP (its said that once LNP are ahead they usually stay ahead), its really a 50-50 bet at this stage as to whether labor will have a one seat majority or will form government with support from one independent. If that quote from Wellington is true, then Labor shouldn't need any KAP support.

It'll be true. On a prior occasions, Wellington handed Government to the ALP (Beattie). He has been attacked viciously by the LNP up here (his is 'my' seat) and has always been highly critical of LNP corruption. He is 50% PUP.

so how meany seats got PUP bums on them aussie... you being at the engine room I am sure you have the answer..

The 'meany seats' have all got LNP bums on them.....

Wink

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Kat

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Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government.
Reply #215 - Feb 1^st, 2015 at 3:52pm

Its time wrote on Feb 1^st, 2015 at 3:20pm:

Roll on NSW election, nobody thought Labor could pull off the stunning victory in QLD , oh my righties look at the damage Abort has done, this will be remembered for generations.

what a epic

fail

The funny thing is, having 'owned' its corruption, the NSW mob haven't actually been THAT bad
(closing the Newcastle rail line excepted).

Yeah, they're Libnats, but they don't seem to be so totally off the rails and out of control as the
mob up north or the tumour in our south-east (the ACT).

And yeah. I did vote for 'em. Suck that, rightards.

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Emma Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 9853 OZ Gender:	Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government. Reply #216 - Feb 1^st, 2015 at 7:38pm The Mole wrote on Jan 31^st, 2015 at 10:38pm: Andrei..when QLD loses a state election, it therefore strongly indicates that the Federal Govt. also loses their next election,that is why most on here are so excited, they want Abbott gone- not that you care anyway right? yeah
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Bam Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 21905 Gender:	Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government. Reply #217 - Feb 1^st, 2015 at 9:00pm cods wrote on Feb 1^st, 2015 at 3:27pm: so how meany seats got PUP bums on them aussie... you being at the engine room I am sure you have the answer.. You do seem to be in a niggly mood today, cods.
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Andrei.Hicks

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Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government.
Reply #218 - Feb 1^st, 2015 at 9:04pm

polite_gandalf wrote on Feb 1^st, 2015 at 2:40pm:

The quirkiness of our preferential system on display in the electorate of Maryborough - where the race is between the 2nd and 3rd placed candidate. It is already known that the sitting LNP candidate, who will get the most first preferences, has already lost. Whoever ends up 2nd place between the labor and independent candidates will win on preferences.

The idiocy of the Australian system and an example of why I - along with a colossal majority in Britain - rejected it in the referendum.
The guy who got the most votes should win. End of story.

The Australian system is rubbish.

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Anyone who lives within their means suffers from a lack of imagination - Oscar Wilde

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John Smith

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Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government.
Reply #219 - Feb 1^st, 2015 at 9:07pm

Andrei.Hicks wrote on Feb 1^st, 2015 at 9:04pm:

polite_gandalf wrote on Feb 1^st, 2015 at 2:40pm:

The quirkiness of our preferential system on display in the electorate of Maryborough - where the race is between the 2nd and 3rd placed candidate. It is already known that the sitting LNP candidate, who will get the most first preferences, has already lost. Whoever ends up 2nd place between the labor and independent candidates will win on preferences.

The idiocy of the Australian system and an example of why I - along with a colossal majority in Britain - rejected it in the referendum.
The guy who got the most votes should win. End of story.

The Australian system is rubbish.

You fool. The aussie system is the best in the world. If your first choice is out, why shouldn't your vote count? My suggestion to you is to stay in the UK.

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Our esteemed leader:
I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.

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Aussie

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Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government.
Reply #220 - Feb 1^st, 2015 at 9:09pm

Andrei.Hicks wrote on Feb 1^st, 2015 at 9:04pm:

polite_gandalf wrote on Feb 1^st, 2015 at 2:40pm:

The quirkiness of our preferential system on display in the electorate of Maryborough - where the race is between the 2nd and 3rd placed candidate. It is already known that the sitting LNP candidate, who will get the most first preferences, has already lost. Whoever ends up 2nd place between the labor and independent candidates will win on preferences.

The idiocy of the Australian system and an example of why I - along with a colossal majority in Britain - rejected it in the referendum.
The guy who got the most votes should win. End of story.

The Australian system is rubbish.

Why should anyone who gets less than 50% of the vote get the gig? Isn't this about democracy?

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polite_gandalf

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Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government.
Reply #221 - Feb 1^st, 2015 at 9:46pm

The guy with "most votes" could conceivably be as low as 20-30%. The principle behind the preferential system is that the 70-80% who didn't elect that guy actually get a say. Preferential voting means that the candidate who more than 50% of the voters prefer will get in.

Quite simply, if you are interested in elections being decided by what the majority want, then preferential system is fairer.

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A resident Islam critic who claims to represent western values said:
Quote:

Outlawing the enemy's uniform - hijab, islamic beard - is not depriving one's own people of their freedoms.

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Postmodern Trendoid III

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Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government.
Reply #222 - Feb 1^st, 2015 at 9:56pm

Aussie wrote on Feb 1^st, 2015 at 3:30pm:

cods wrote on Feb 1^st, 2015 at 3:27pm:

Aussie wrote on Feb 1^st, 2015 at 3:25pm:

polite_gandalf wrote on Feb 1^st, 2015 at 3:07pm:

The ABC site has 85 seats decided - 43 to labor, 39 to LNP and 3 to other. That leaves 4 still in doubt. Labor just need two of those. One of them - Maryborough as mentioned above - is looking more and more labor. The other listed as 'ALP ahead' - Mansfield - is still too close. Presuming the other two go to LNP (its said that once LNP are ahead they usually stay ahead), its really a 50-50 bet at this stage as to whether labor will have a one seat majority or will form government with support from one independent. If that quote from Wellington is true, then Labor shouldn't need any KAP support.

It'll be true. On a prior occasions, Wellington handed Government to the ALP (Beattie). He has been attacked viciously by the LNP up here (his is 'my' seat) and has always been highly critical of LNP corruption. He is 50% PUP.

so how meany seats got PUP bums on them aussie... you being at the engine room I am sure you have the answer..

None....a slim chance in Callide to unseat the Deputy Premier 'Boofhead' Jeff Seeney.

If that happens, Palmer will have the trifecta...way beyond his expectations.

1. Goodbye Campbell Newmann.
2. Long shot that the LNP lose Government, and
3. Longer shot that PUP could unseat Seeney.

Ultimately, for the next Federal election, PUP voting numbers/% indicate at least one more Senator.

Good hate from Palmer. It's this kind of rancour we need more of in government. War is peace. This is progress.

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Aussie Gold Member Offline OzPolitic Posts: 38572 Gender:	Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government. Reply #223 - Feb 1^st, 2015 at 9:58pm Or....democracy.
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polite_gandalf Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 20027 Canberra Gender:	Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government. Reply #224 - Feb 2^nd, 2015 at 10:38am For what its worth, ABC has just changed Mansfield status to 'likely LNP retain'. This was the 50-50 seat I talked about that would likely determine if labor had a one seat majority or one seat short. Hung parliament looking more likely - at this stage.
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Poll
Question: how many years take for labor to balance the budget?
* This poll has now closed *
1 year 4 (36.4%) 2 years 2 (18.2%) 3 years 3 (27.3%) Never 2 (18.2%) Total votes: 11 « Created by: President Elect, The Mechanic on: Jan 31^st, 2015 at 9:18pm »