Australian Politics Forum - Exit polls dire for LNP Government.

greggerypeccary Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 136914 Gender:	Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government. Reply #60 - Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:46pm St George of the Garden wrote on Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:44pm: In other news—Aust 1 SK 0, just before halftime! I have no idea what that means
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The Mole Gold Member Offline http://www.ozpolitic .co/album/forum-atta chments/y Posts: 1499 Gender:	Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government. Reply #61 - Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:47pm polite_gandalf wrote on Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:45pm: and regularly over 20%
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St George of the Garden Gold Member Offline http://tinyurl.com/n 3o8m2x Posts: 9809 Gender:	Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government. Reply #62 - Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:47pm Quote: 7.43pm. In sum: Labor 40, LNP 36, cross-bench 3, in doubt 10. 7.40pm. In doubt: Albert, Brisbane Central, Ferny Grove, Mansfield, Mount Coot-tha (another inner-city surprise), Mount Ommaney (big show for Labor if so), Mundingburra, Redlands, Whitsunday. Go on, you good thing, 5 more seats!
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The Mole Gold Member Offline http://www.ozpolitic .co/album/forum-atta chments/y Posts: 1499 Gender:	Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government. Reply #63 - Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:48pm greggerypeccary wrote on Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:46pm: St George of the Garden wrote on Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:44pm: In other news—Aust 1 SK 0, just before halftime! I have no idea what that means Probably soccer- stop it George.
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St George of the Garden Gold Member Offline http://tinyurl.com/n 3o8m2x Posts: 9809 Gender:	Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government. Reply #64 - Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:48pm greggerypeccary wrote on Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:46pm: St George of the Garden wrote on Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:44pm: In other news—Aust 1 SK 0, just before halftime! I have no idea what that means Asia cup soccer—Aust just scored, now it is half time.
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greggerypeccary Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 136914 Gender:	Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government. Reply #65 - Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:49pm The Mole wrote on Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:47pm: polite_gandalf wrote on Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:45pm: and regularly over 20% I'm not sure, but I think I just heard them say that one seat had a swing of 28%
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greggerypeccary

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Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government.
Reply #66 - Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:50pm

St George of the Garden wrote on Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:48pm:

greggerypeccary wrote on Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:46pm:

St George of the Garden wrote on Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:44pm:

In other news—Aust 1 SK 0, just before halftime!

I have no idea what that means Undecided

Asia cup soccer—Aust just scored, now it is half time.

What's SK?

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MOTR Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 6646	Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government. Reply #67 - Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:51pm Peter Beattie is sounding very optimistic.
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greggerypeccary Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 136914 Gender:	Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government. Reply #68 - Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:51pm Oh, South Korea, I'm guessing. Asia Cup? Why is Australia in something called the Asia Cup?
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Bam

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Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government.
Reply #69 - Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:51pm

The swings in many seats are so large that the swingometer on the ABC cannot show them. It maxes out at 10%. Some swings to Labor are nearly twice this. Probably just returning some of the large swings at the last election, but it is remarkable that the ALP are even with a chance.

The Queensland Parliament has 89 seats, 45 are needed for victory.

The ABC computer has the ALP on 44 seats.

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greggerypeccary

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Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government.
Reply #70 - Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:52pm

Bam wrote on Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:51pm:

The swings in many seats are so large that the swingometer on the ABC cannot show them. It maxes out at 10%. Some swings to Labor are nearly twice this. Probably just returning some of the large swings at the last election, but it is remarkable that the ALP are even with a chance.

The Queensland Parliament has 89 seats, 45 are needed for victory.

The ABC computer has the ALP on 44 seats.

Opening the next bottle of Champagne ...

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polite_gandalf Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 20027 Canberra Gender:	Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government. Reply #71 - Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:52pm Interesting to note that the LNP primary vote remains above labor's. Labor succeeding by former PUP voters returning to them and also a surprisingly solid greens vote.
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Bam Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 21905 Gender:	Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government. Reply #72 - Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:53pm greggerypeccary wrote on Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:51pm: Oh, South Korea, I'm guessing. Asia Cup? Why is Australia in something called the Asia Cup? Australia used to compete in Oceania. That's like a whale in a swimming pool with sardines and minnows due to Australia's sporting hegemony.
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MOTR

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Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government.
Reply #73 - Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:53pm

St George of the Garden wrote on Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:47pm:

Quote:

7.43pm. In sum: Labor 40, LNP 36, cross-bench 3, in doubt 10.

7.40pm. In doubt: Albert, Brisbane Central, Ferny Grove, Mansfield, Mount Coot-tha (another inner-city surprise), Mount Ommaney (big show for Labor if so), Mundingburra, Redlands, Whitsunday.

Go on, you good thing, 5 more seats!

Mundingburra has shifted into the red column.

Helped along by a 10% swing to the Palmer Party.

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"What does this mean? It means that we need to do practical things that actually reduce emissions."

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St George of the Garden

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Re: Exit polls dire for LNP Government.
Reply #74 - Jan 31^st, 2015 at 7:54pm

Quote:

7.51pm. My calculations didn’t account for Springwood, a spectacular Labor gain. So adding in Mundingburra, that reads as 41 Labor, 36 LNP, cross-bench 3, nine in doubt.

7.49pm. One of those key seats, Mundingburra, is now being called by the ABC computer for Labor.

7.45pm. Or to put it another way, Labor on the cusp of the barest of majorities. If they fail, very likely a hung parliament. Nearly everything would have to go right for the LNP to get them to 45.

LNP in BIG trouble! I’ll drink to that! There wikll be NO bi-election to get The Can’t back into Parliament!

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Poll
Question: how many years take for labor to balance the budget?
* This poll has now closed *
1 year 4 (36.4%) 2 years 2 (18.2%) 3 years 3 (27.3%) Never 2 (18.2%) Total votes: 11 « Created by: President Elect, The Mechanic on: Jan 31^st, 2015 at 9:18pm »