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The Myth of the 97% consensus claim (Read 38096 times)
mariacostel
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #315 - Sep 6th, 2015 at 7:34pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Sep 6th, 2015 at 7:31pm:
You and Longy obviously don’t live on the land. Your denialism is only sustainable if you stay in your a/c houses and drive in your a/c cars to your a/c workplace.

It is warming to the extent agricultural practices/crops have to be changed.

AGW has weakened the jetstream to such an extent frigid Arctic air can escape to cause blizzards in England and the NE of the US and even further away. This winter Antarctic air escaped south and snow fell as far north as Qld. Will we have blizzards in the eastern states next year?

There is a huge El Nino building in the Pacific while the Indian Ocean is way hotter than normal. Maybe stockpile bottled water and iron rations.


You are going to have to do better than make an unsubstantiated claim like that.
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Jovial Monk
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #316 - Sep 6th, 2015 at 7:35pm
 
You show crank sites.

If you live in Melbourne within a winter or two blizzards might be a regular part of Melbourne winters.
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mariacostel
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #317 - Sep 6th, 2015 at 7:37pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Sep 6th, 2015 at 7:35pm:
You show crank sites.

If you live in Melbourne within a winter or two blizzards might be a regular part of Melbourne winters.


Nature.com is a crank site??  Wasnt that precisely the site you demanded support from?
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mariacostel
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #318 - Sep 6th, 2015 at 7:41pm
 
“Today most scientists dismiss the hockey stick.”

DR MADHAV KHANDEKAR, PHD Meteorologist and climatologist. Research Scientist with Environment Canada for 25 years. Editorial board member of The Journal of Natural Hazards, and former editor of Climate Research. Member of the American Geophysical Union, the Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society, and the American Meteorological Society. Former World Meteorological Organization lecturer in meteorology. MSc in Statistics from Pune University, PhD in Meteorology from Florida State University.

Before the hockey stick, climate science was a complicated business: a vast Amazonian river (as Professor Kiminori Itoh of Yokohama National University characterized it25) with many tributaries - from aerosols and volcanoes to solar variations and land surface modifications. What if all that complexity could be simplified? Really simplified - into “a nice tidy story” (in Professor Keith Briffa’s words) about “unprecedented warming in a thousand years” 26. In 2009 Dr Khandekar was interviewed by Canada’s Frontier Centre for Public Policy. Asked whether Michael E Mann’s hockey stick was “a smoking gun that proves the alarmists right”, he replied27:

The hockey stick was a graph constructed by some scientists about ten years ago. What it was meant to show was that the earth’s temperature from about 1080 till about 1850 remained essentially constant and then it started to shoot up. Lots of problems have been found out in the graph. The most glaring error in the hockey stick was that it did not show the Little Ice Age, which was significant. It did not show the Medieval Warm Period from the 8th to 12th century, which was also significant. There were errors in the use of the tree-ring data and also other errors. So today, most scientists dismiss the hockey stick. They do not consider the hockey stick graph to be a correct representation of the global mean temperature.

Can that really be true - that most scientists “dismiss” the hockey stick? As we shall see in the pages that follow, many scientists from around the world disagree with Mann’s science, and sometimes very forcefully - and they include not only “deniers” but full-scale “alarmists” and all points on the spectrum in between. These people reject not only his science but his style - the peculiarly vicious yet self-defeating “climate war” mentality so unsuited to a great grey blur of contradictory uncertainties. You can believe in anthropogenic global warming, an impending ice age, solar heating, natural variability or no big deal whatever happens, and still regret the appalling damage done to climate science by Mann’s total war in service of a piece of cartoon climatology by a one-stick pony. Yet the real question is not whether “most scientists” dismiss the hockey stock today, but why more scientists didn’t denounce it back then. Too many people who should have known better sat idly by as an obscure researcher, with the ink barely dry on his PhD, overturned the accumulated scientific wisdom of centuries - because it was convenient to the political goals of activists, bureaucrats, politicians - and above all an ambitious new transnational bureaucracy, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Steyn, Mark (2015-09-01). "A Disgrace to the Profession" (Kindle Locations 396-423). Stockade Books. Kindle Edition.




Now debunk the Author of this - A Princeton Professor of Physics and US Government advisor
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Jovial Monk
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #319 - Sep 6th, 2015 at 7:46pm
 
Why do I have to debunk anything? AGW is here and now! You have lost the argument!
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mariacostel
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #320 - Sep 6th, 2015 at 7:50pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Sep 6th, 2015 at 7:46pm:
Why do I have to debunk anything? AGW is here and now! You have lost the argument!


Wow. In a forum full of truly amateurish or infantile arguments you have topped them all.  Scientists the world over tell you otherwise, but you know better?  They provide not opinion , but fact and still you insist on your own belief.

You have the mind of a child and not a particularly bright one.

YOU are the denier. A denier of fact, a denier of science and a denier of the value of an education.
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Jovial Monk
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #321 - Sep 6th, 2015 at 7:54pm
 
I got an education, I think you envy those that did, Longy.

There is no longer an argument about the existence of AGW, it is here and hitting the man on the land. We had a very cold winter this year courtesy of Antarctic air that escaped north, easy to extrapolate that Eastern States winters are going to get much colder.

The huge El Nino forming in the Pacific will likely write finis to all the denialist crap around.
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mariacostel
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #322 - Sep 6th, 2015 at 7:58pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Sep 6th, 2015 at 7:54pm:
I got an education, I think you envy those that did, Longy.

There is no longer an argument about the existence of AGW, it is here and hitting the man on the land. We had a very cold winter this year courtesy of Antarctic air that escaped north, easy to extrapolate that Eastern States winters are going to get much colder.

The huge El Nino forming in the Pacific will likely write finis to all the denialist crap around.


And yet scientists from both sides of that debate DISAGREE with you.

I guess you still believe the Hockey Stick is great science, right?  And you forget the 450 scientists much brighter than you who confirm that the MVP was much warmer than today?

Why dont you produce some sources for your drivelling nonsense?
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mariacostel
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #323 - Sep 6th, 2015 at 8:03pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Sep 6th, 2015 at 7:54pm:
I got an education, I think you envy those that did, Longy.

There is no longer an argument about the existence of AGW, it is here and hitting the man on the land. We had a very cold winter this year courtesy of Antarctic air that escaped north, easy to extrapolate that Eastern States winters are going to get much colder.

The huge El Nino forming in the Pacific will likely write finis to all the denialist crap around.


There is a very significant argument about the degree of human involvement in the minimal warming we have had. Have you not followed the scientific press? Or do you just read Climate Clown websites and their worthless opinions?
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #324 - Sep 6th, 2015 at 8:16pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Sep 6th, 2015 at 7:31pm:
You and Longy obviously don’t live on the land. Your denialism is only sustainable if you stay in your a/c houses and drive in your a/c cars to your a/c workplace.

It is warming to the extent agricultural practices/crops have to be changed.

AGW has weakened the jetstream to such an extent frigid Arctic air can escape to cause blizzards in England and the NE of the US and even further away. This winter Antarctic air escaped south and snow fell as far north as Qld. Will we have blizzards in the eastern states next year?

There is a huge El Nino building in the Pacific while the Indian Ocean is way hotter than normal. Maybe stockpile bottled water and iron rations.

You say you've got an education yet you cannot think for yourself. Looks like you've got yourself an indoctrination.

Human contribution of atmospheric CO2 is 0.005% of total atmospheric gases.  Explain how that determines the climate.

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Jovial Monk
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #325 - Sep 6th, 2015 at 8:21pm
 
Mate, I went to the Saltram Winery Open Day, as a Club 1 member. We were told what was happening, with fiano replacing riesling/Cab Sauv etc on the valley floor. We were told how the ripening times for different grape varieties/locations are compressing.

You should watch Landline like I do. You will see how farmers/graziers are already having to adapt to the increasing heat and how that affects crops.

Lastly you should bring yourself up to speed with what is happening in the Antarctic—not good!

This is happening NOW! Now, Longy, not at some distant time in the future or in lands far away. Why are wineries planting vineyards in Tassie you think? Or why French wineries are planting vineyards in England?
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #326 - Sep 6th, 2015 at 8:25pm
 
mariacostel wrote on Sep 6th, 2015 at 6:22pm:
http://www.michaelkeller.com/news/news575.htm

http://dailycaller.com/2013/12/13/study-earth-was-warmer-in-roman-medieval-times/

Read some actual info from actual scientists about the MVP - warmer than today.


From Maria Costel's own reference a statement that debunks her contention:

Quote:
Dr Simon Brown, the climate extremes research manager at the Meteorological Office at Bracknell, said that the present consensus among scientists on the IPCC was that the Medieval Warm Period could not be used to judge the significance of existing warming.

Dr Brown said: "The conclusion that 20th century warming is not unusual relies on the assertion that the Medieval Warm Period was a global phenomenon. This is not the conclusion of IPCC."

He added that there were also doubts about the reliability of temperature proxies such as tree rings: "They are not able to capture the recent warming of the last 50 years," he said.
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gizmo_2655
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #327 - Sep 6th, 2015 at 8:25pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Sep 6th, 2015 at 7:54pm:
I got an education, I think you envy those that did, Longy.

There is no longer an argument about the existence of AGW, it is here and hitting the man on the land. We had a very cold winter this year courtesy of Antarctic air that escaped north, easy to extrapolate that Eastern States winters are going to get much colder.

The huge El Nino forming in the Pacific will likely write finis to all the denialist crap around.


There has never been any argument about GW, but AGW is a very different thing.

And most of the multi-generational farmers around here would laugh in your face, if you told them that human-caused climate change had anything to do with the current weather/climate or growing conditions.
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"I just get sick of people who place a label on someone else with their own definition.

It's similar to a strawman fallacy"
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #328 - Sep 6th, 2015 at 8:29pm
 
gizmo_2655 wrote on Sep 6th, 2015 at 8:25pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Sep 6th, 2015 at 7:54pm:
I got an education, I think you envy those that did, Longy.

There is no longer an argument about the existence of AGW, it is here and hitting the man on the land. We had a very cold winter this year courtesy of Antarctic air that escaped north, easy to extrapolate that Eastern States winters are going to get much colder.

The huge El Nino forming in the Pacific will likely write finis to all the denialist crap around.


There has never been any argument about GW, but AGW is a very different thing.

And most of the multi-generational farmers around here would laugh in your face, if you told them that human-caused climate change had anything to do with the current weather/climate or growing conditions.


Gizmo's expert scientific evidence "...the multi-generational farmers around here...".

Gizmo forgot it's usual disclaimer: "I am not a scientist but." Gizmo's intellect would not compete with a scientist's butt.
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lee
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Re: The Myth of the 97% consensus claim
Reply #329 - Sep 6th, 2015 at 8:31pm
 
Unforgiven is not even a wit. He struggles to be half so.
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