If you will excuse the pun
, the climate debate has started to hot up again in recent months. It is hard to put your finger on why, but then again, this is one debate that has long since divorced itself from the reality of facts, figures and science.
Both sides of the debate have been… hang on! Why must there only be two sides and why must there only be two camps? Surely there is room in the middle and across the spectrum, right? Well, in short, the answer is no. The nature of any debate that gets hijacked by ideology and faith is that it very quickly polarises into the ‘yes’ and ‘no’ camps and no alternative positions are allowed. It is he death knell for serious discussion. Now back to my original sentence…
Both sides of the debate have not exactly done themselves proud. The rhetoric, the personal abuse and the arrogance of some of the loudest voices has been obscene, that is when it hasn’t been laughable and error-filled.
Al Gore probably kicked things off with his once-lauded and now much-derided movie “An Inconvenient Truth” which was lumbered with so many factual errors, exaggerations and outright lies that the name of the movie has been the punchline to many a joke. The much hyped and much publicised ‘hockey stick graph’ has fared little better. Once proudly displayed by the IPCC to all and sundry, the graph and its underlying methodologies have now been reduced to being generously described as ‘bad science’ or less politely, outright fraud.
Not that the other side can hold its head up all that high. Self-styled Lord Monkton has been a running sore and embarrassing global joke for some years now and self-respecting people try to ignore his ravings. And then there are the conspiracy theorists always ready to muddy the waters of any otherwise, sensible discussion.
Former Australian senator Graeme Richardson recently complained that the ‘denialists’… Sorry, let’s digress yet again. ‘Denialists’? A term like that is rather harsh and extremely derogatory and speaks volumes about those that use it – none of it good. The fact that Queensland University even has a course to help people counteract (largely throw insults) anti-climate-change viewpoints ie denialism is a disturbing state of affairs. So back to Graeme Richardson…
Former Australian senator Graeme Richardson recently complained that the Climate Change Critics had taken over the majority opinion because ‘no one has engaged them. Wrong Graeme. That’s not the reason. Not even close. Politicians of all stripes love to consider the average person as some kind of gullible mug who will swallow whatever message is the loudest. While sadly there may be some truth to that, most people retain sufficient intelligence and experience to work out what is a truth and what is a lie, especially when it is rather obvious. The world has been told for three decades now that we are all going to drown, fry, starve or die in other ways because of ‘out of control, catastrophic climate change’ and yet, nothing much has changed at all. Any Australian with a few decades of life to refer to has experienced drought, flood, heat, cold and extreme weather events. And not one of them is historically remarkable.
When Tim Flannery came along claiming that Adelaide will run out of water, Sydney will never fill its dams and we are all going to burn up from uncontrolled heat, experience and scepticism caused most people to ignore that prediction. The subsequent flooding rains and decommissioning of desalination plants due to full reservoirs pretty much put paid to such predictions. Except it didn’t. Even in the face of near 100% failure of climate predictions, the same people keep making the same claims and with the same results.
The reason the significant majority of average people reject the notion that climate is out of control and we are all going to die is the complete and total failure of any of these prophecies to be fulfilled even in small measure. While NASA and NOAA might trumpet loudly (and some would say hysterically) their claims that 2014 was the ‘hottest year ever’, they are talking about hundredths of a degree alongside error margins of tenths of a degree. People are not stupid or at least not that stupid. It is a bit like predicting a St Kilda premiership each and every year. After 20, 30,v40 years of disappointment, you quickly learn to treat such predictions as the wishful thinking they are.