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Leadership coup propels Coalition ahead of Labor (Read 6155 times)
Armchair_Politician
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Leadership coup propels Coalition ahead of Labor
Sep 18th, 2015 at 6:45am
 
THE political assassination of Tony Abbott and Malcolm Turnbull’s return to the Liberal leadership six years after he was dumped has lifted the Coalition ahead of Labor for the first time in 16 months.

The first comprehensive poll taken since Monday night’s bloody coup has recorded a three-point bounce in the Coalition’s primary vote since May.

The Coalition under the leadership of Mr Turnbull now leads Labor on a two-party preferred basis of 51-49 — with ominous signs for the opposition.

Mr Turnbull has also opened a two-to-one lead as preferred prime minister over Bill Shorten within days of being installed as leader.

Despite being in office only a matter of hours, 51 per cent of voters rated him as making a better prime minister compared to 20 per cent for Opposition Leader Mr Shorten.

The results will relieve Coalition MPs, who feared the Liberal right-wing would revolt in anger over the dumping of Mr Abbott.

In a troubling sign for Mr Shorten’s own leadership, 27 per cent of Labor voters said they preferred Mr Turnbull as prime minister — although this would be unlikely to translate into Labor supporters switching to the Coalition.

Among Coalition voters, 82 per cent endorsed Mr Turnbull as PM over Mr Shorten with only 4 per cent of Coalition voters preferring Mr Shorten.

However, the poll also showed a high number of people who have parked their vote and reserved judgment on Mr Turnbull, with 29 per cent refusing to commit to endorsing either.

Previous polls comparing Mr Abbott to Mr Shorten had an uncommitted number of between 22 and 25 per cent.

Galaxy CEO David Briggs said those who had made up their mind were positive in their support for Mr Turnbull.

“(But) there is a reasonable proportion who have yet to make up their mind,” he said.

Pollsters have warned of the “sugar hit” effect and said the Coalition’s challenge now would be to prevent it sliding back if the government cannot remain unified.

A national Galaxy poll of 1224 voters in the aftermath of the spill showed an immediate lift in the Coalition primary vote from 41 per cent to 44 per cent — recovering almost all lost territory since the 2013 election, which it won on a primary vote of 45.5 per cent.

At its lowest ebb the Coalition sank to 36 per cent primary in February amid the first leadership spill.

Mr Abbott managed to recover the ground to lift the primary vote to 41 per cent before the Bronwyn Bishop chopper scandal.

The poll bounce followed the first leak against Mr Turnbull, which revealed he was the Abbott’s government’s worst-performing minister when it came to appointing women to board positions with just one appointee out of 16 made by his office.

http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/nsw/malcolm-turnbull-leadership-coup-prope...
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Ex Dame Pansi
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Re: Leadership coup propels Coalition ahead of Labor
Reply #1 - Sep 18th, 2015 at 6:54am
 

They might even stay ahead IF Turnbull and the party decide to dump the draconian Abbott policies, otherwise the 'honeymoon period' will be short lived.
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andrei said: Great isn't it? Seeing boatloads of what is nothing more than human garbage turn up.....
 
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Dnarever
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Re: Leadership coup propels Coalition ahead of Labor
Reply #2 - Sep 18th, 2015 at 6:58am
 
First poll AP has posted in 16 months ?

I would think that at this point any poll is meaningless.
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President Elect, The Mechanic
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Re: Leadership coup propels Coalition ahead of Labor
Reply #3 - Sep 18th, 2015 at 7:00am
 
he should go to an election while he's on a sugar hit...

otherwise, he's a dead duck..
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Its time
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Re: Leadership coup propels Coalition ahead of Labor
Reply #4 - Sep 18th, 2015 at 7:08am
 
Of course it was going to be popular , we just got rid of the worst PM ever, Australia is celebrating.
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Dnarever
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Re: Leadership coup propels Coalition ahead of Labor
Reply #5 - Sep 18th, 2015 at 7:10am
 
Ex Dame Pansi wrote on Sep 18th, 2015 at 6:54am:
They might even stay ahead IF Turnbull and the party decide to dump the draconian Abbott policies, otherwise the 'honeymoon period' will be short lived.


Hope he does not dump the Abbott plan for good government, I was eagerly waiting for that one to start.
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Bobby.
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Re: Leadership coup propels Coalition ahead of Labor
Reply #6 - Sep 18th, 2015 at 7:15am
 

Quote:
27 per cent of Labor voters said they preferred Mr Turnbull as prime minister


Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Bobby.
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Re: Leadership coup propels Coalition ahead of Labor
Reply #7 - Sep 18th, 2015 at 7:16am
 

Labor is toast - finished -

maybe the Greens will be the second party?
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Dnarever
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Re: Leadership coup propels Coalition ahead of Labor
Reply #8 - Sep 18th, 2015 at 7:18am
 
Bobby. wrote on Sep 18th, 2015 at 7:15am:
Quote:
27 per cent of Labor voters said they preferred Mr Turnbull as prime minister


Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin



And every single one of them is going to have enough time to see him in action and work out how wrong they were.
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Bobby.
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Re: Leadership coup propels Coalition ahead of Labor
Reply #9 - Sep 18th, 2015 at 7:24am
 
Dnarever wrote on Sep 18th, 2015 at 7:18am:
Bobby. wrote on Sep 18th, 2015 at 7:15am:
Quote:
27 per cent of Labor voters said they preferred Mr Turnbull as prime minister


Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin



And every single one of them is going to have enough time to see him in action and work out how wrong they were.



But Shorten has no charisma -

Labor voters might turn to the Greens?
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Dnarever
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Re: Leadership coup propels Coalition ahead of Labor
Reply #10 - Sep 18th, 2015 at 7:29am
 
Bobby. wrote on Sep 18th, 2015 at 7:24am:
Dnarever wrote on Sep 18th, 2015 at 7:18am:
Bobby. wrote on Sep 18th, 2015 at 7:15am:
Quote:
27 per cent of Labor voters said they preferred Mr Turnbull as prime minister


Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin



And every single one of them is going to have enough time to see him in action and work out how wrong they were.



But Shorten has no charisma -

Labor voters might turn to the Greens?


Abbott had charisma ?

There is a green with charisma ?

People vote for charisma, no wonder we are not doing so well.
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issuevoter
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Re: Leadership coup propels Coalition ahead of Labor
Reply #11 - Sep 18th, 2015 at 7:38am
 
I suspect the only reason Shorten is still there, is that Labor are a bit shy of leadership changes. But all this talk of a "Coup" is sensationalist at best and hysteria at worst. The PM does not have regal or presidential powers. We don't vote for a PM, we vote for the party. If you voted for a party because you like the leader, you don't understand Parliamentary democracy.
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Dnarever
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Re: Leadership coup propels Coalition ahead of Labor
Reply #12 - Sep 18th, 2015 at 7:46am
 
issuevoter wrote on Sep 18th, 2015 at 7:38am:
I suspect the only reason Shorten is still there, is that Labor are a bit shy of leadership changes. But all this talk of a "Coup" is sensationalist at best and hysteria at worst. The PM does not have regal or presidential powers. We don't vote for a PM, we vote for the party. If you voted for a party because you like the leader, you don't understand Parliamentary democracy.



This seems to be starkly different from the conservative view when it was Rudd and Gillard ?

Up till last week we were still hearing about backstabbing turncoat Shorten.
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Re: Leadership coup propels Coalition ahead of Labor
Reply #13 - Sep 18th, 2015 at 8:10am
 
Since Libs are still behind their 2013 election position, a DD is the likely future.


A Galaxy poll of federal voting intention for the News Corp tabloids – the first such poll since May – confirms the impress of ReachTEL in recording a relatively modest bounce to the Coalition, who nonetheless peak their noses in front by 51-49 on two-party preferred. That makes this the first poll since a Newspoll in early April 2014 to have the Coalition in front. The primary vote numbers are Coalition 44%, Labor 36%, Greens 11% and Palmer United 2%.


blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2015/09/18/galaxy-51-49-to-coalition-2/
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mariacostel
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Re: Leadership coup propels Coalition ahead of Labor
Reply #14 - Sep 18th, 2015 at 8:37am
 
And it is only the beginning, people!


In a few weeks the polls with be 54/46 and Labor will be looking at a second consecutive bloodbath.

The goal is to keep labor out of office and so save Australia from the disaster that would be Shorten running a union government.

Better luck next time, Labor!
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