THE political assassination of Tony Abbott and Malcolm Turnbull’s return to the Liberal leadership six years after he was dumped has lifted the Coalition ahead of Labor for the first time in 16 months.
The first comprehensive poll taken since Monday night’s bloody coup has recorded a three-point bounce in the Coalition’s primary vote since May.
The Coalition under the leadership of Mr Turnbull now leads Labor on a two-party preferred basis of 51-49 — with ominous signs for the opposition.
Mr Turnbull has also opened a two-to-one lead as preferred prime minister over Bill Shorten within days of being installed as leader.
Despite being in office only a matter of hours, 51 per cent of voters rated him as making a better prime minister compared to 20 per cent for Opposition Leader Mr Shorten.
The results will relieve Coalition MPs, who feared the Liberal right-wing would revolt in anger over the dumping of Mr Abbott.
In a troubling sign for Mr Shorten’s own leadership, 27 per cent of Labor voters said they preferred Mr Turnbull as prime minister — although this would be unlikely to translate into Labor supporters switching to the Coalition.
Among Coalition voters, 82 per cent endorsed Mr Turnbull as PM over Mr Shorten with only 4 per cent of Coalition voters preferring Mr Shorten.
However, the poll also showed a high number of people who have parked their vote and reserved judgment on Mr Turnbull, with 29 per cent refusing to commit to endorsing either.
Previous polls comparing Mr Abbott to Mr Shorten had an uncommitted number of between 22 and 25 per cent.
Galaxy CEO David Briggs said those who had made up their mind were positive in their support for Mr Turnbull.
“(But) there is a reasonable proportion who have yet to make up their mind,” he said.
Pollsters have warned of the “sugar hit” effect and said the Coalition’s challenge now would be to prevent it sliding back if the government cannot remain unified.
A national Galaxy poll of 1224 voters in the aftermath of the spill showed an immediate lift in the Coalition primary vote from 41 per cent to 44 per cent — recovering almost all lost territory since the 2013 election, which it won on a primary vote of 45.5 per cent.
At its lowest ebb the Coalition sank to 36 per cent primary in February amid the first leadership spill.
Mr Abbott managed to recover the ground to lift the primary vote to 41 per cent before the Bronwyn Bishop chopper scandal.
The poll bounce followed the first leak against Mr Turnbull, which revealed he was the Abbott’s government’s worst-performing minister when it came to appointing women to board positions with just one appointee out of 16 made by his office.
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