Sun Tzu wrote on Nov 22^nd, 2015 at 3:36pm:


So people were invented to confirm their biases, when reading the tea leaves modelled data.

Sun Tzu wrote on Nov 22^nd, 2015 at 3:49pm:


That was your take on it. Are you resiling?

Residents in Western Australia have been urged to seek safety after the WA Department of Fire and Emergency Services (DFES) issued four emergency bushfire warnings across the state.

An emergency warning is in place for a fire in the western part of Bindoon, north of Perth, with homes in Gray Road, Hidaway Drive, Lakeside Drive and Great Northern Highway under threat.

Residents in those areas are in danger and need to either leave immediately for a safer place or prepare to defend their home.

DFES said embers were burning ahead of the bushfire and warned residents to close all doors and windows.

It has jumped the Great Northern Highway, parts of which are now closed.

People can evacuate to the Bindoon Town Hall on the Great Northern Highway.

An emergency warning has also been issued for people in the western part of Ellenbrook in the Shire of Swan, where burning embers are causing problems.

The fire was burning in bushland adjacent to Charlottes Vista. Homes there and in Moulton Trail are under threat.

"Burning embers are likely to be blown around your home," a warning said.

Another emergency warning remains in place in the coastal town of Esperance, where residents have again been told to evacuate their homes after a fire — which has burned for days — broke containment lines on its western flank.

Authorities said there was a threat to lives and homes.

The alert level for the fire was upgraded to an emergency warning when the flames moved fast in a north-westerly direction.

The fire is threatening homes in Myrup, to the north-east of Esperance.

The Department of Fire and Emergency Services (DFES) has advised residents leaving their homes to take Quarry Road north, and turn left at Myrup Road then north along Esperance-Coolgardie Highway.

An emergency warning has also been issued for the Julimar State Forest in the Shire of Toodyay.

Residents near the forest are warned that burning embers are likely to be blown around homes.

Those deciding to stay and defend are being advised not to rely on mains water pressure, as it could be affected.

The threat had eased on Saturday but hot, windy conditions have fanned flames.

There have been several devastating fires in the region since last weekend.

One of the blazes claimed the life of four people, including local farmer Kym Curnow and three European nationals.

ADELAIDE, Australia –  Out-of-control wildfires have caused at least two deaths, 13 injuries and have destroyed at least 16 homes near the southern Australian city of Adelaide, officials said on Thursday.

Two bodies were recovered on Wednesday and there was an unconfirmed report that a person fleeing the blaze died in a car wreck in the razed rural area, South Australia state Premier Jay Weatherill said.

The confirmed casualties were a 56-year-old woman and a 69-year-old man. Their names were not released.

At least two firefighters were among the 13 people hospitalized by the blaze that had scorched 85,000 hectares (210,000 acres) of farm and woodland and threatened several towns near Adelaide, the state's capital and largest city, Weatherill said.

Five of those injured were in critical or serious conditions with burns.

"Their condition is being closely monitored, but we do hold grave concerns," Weatherill told reporters.

When I was a kid in Sydney, near the coast, the heat & humidity was so bad we had to brave the funnel web spiders and sleep out on the lawn. And that was a double brick house.

Never had to do that since.

The global surface temperature in 2015 is likely to be the warmest on record and reach the significant milestone of 1° Celsius above the pre-industrial era.

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO), in a provisional statement on the status of global climate, says this is due to a combination of a strong El Niño and human-induced global warming.

The WMO has prepared the analysis ahead of the COP21, the UN climate change conference in Paris which begins on Monday to decide a global emissions reduction goal.

Australia last month had its warmest October on record and a heatwave early in the month set new records for early season warmth.

And a powerful El Niño event is gaining strength, influencing weather patterns in many parts of the world and is partly to blame for the exceptionally warm October in Australia. The impact will continue to be felt in 2016.

Globally the years 2011-2015 have been the warmest five on record, with many extreme weather events, especially heatwaves, influenced by climate change.

“The state of the global climate in 2015 will make history as for a number of reasons,” says WMO Secretary-General Michel Jarraud.

“Levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere reached new highs and in the Northern hemisphere spring 2015, the three-month global average concentration of CO2 crossed the 400 parts per million barrier for the first time.

“2015 is likely to be the hottest year on record, with ocean surface temperatures at the highest level since measurements began. It is probable that the 1°C Celsius threshold will be crossed. This is all bad news for the planet.”