polite_gandalf wrote on May 15
th, 2016 at 12:33pm:
Elections are a cynical tool to consolidate and protect dictatorships. Classic example, when Tsar Nicholas II allowed elections to stave off revolution.
This is how people get parliaments and erections the world over. The US got theirs through a revolution, Western Europe got its erections after the 1848 revolutions, Britain got universal suffrage after WWI, when the rest of Europe was turning to communism.
FD believes liberal democracy just evolves as if by some gravitational historical force. Liberal democracy has always arisen as a negotiated payoff by rulers to their subjects to stop them revolting. France, Germany, Britain, Russia, all established the political systems they have today through bargains with revolutionaries. In Russia, the revolutionaries reneged, but they’re back to the duma, which has been taken over by a new form of tzar.
Today, liberal democracy is the default position because the interests of capital demand it. Elections and forms of political inclusivity are often IMF loan conditions, as they were in Mexico, Argentina, Indonesia and Thailand. Here,, economic forces demand the payoff of liberal democracy to stop political unrest and sovereign risk.
This is being challenged today by the rise of China, and in Europe, Putin. We can include the failure of the Arab Spring. With economic and political insecurity, people are prepared to accept dictators again. Perhaps the best example of this is occurring with the popular appeal of Donald Trump in the heart of the empire.
People are prepared to give up freedoms if they can be made to believe its about sticking it to the lower classes, in the US’ case, Mexicans and the Muselman.
Unlike FD, who also supports freedoms being taken away for this end, I can’t see liberal democracy being the dominant political model for much longer. It’s certainly not the end of history as Fukuyama (and FD) once held.